Agribusiness最新文献

{"title":"Assessing the Impacts of Maritime Freight Rates on Global Beef Trade","authors":"Md Deluair Hossen,&nbsp;Andrew Muhammad","doi":"10.1002/agr.22030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22030","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>In this study, we examine the impact of container freight rates on global beef import demand by source. We address key questions about the effects of rising freight rates on major beef exporters such as Australia, the United States, and Brazil. Our estimates reveal varying global price and import demand effects, with significant declines in trade volume when freight rates double. The global import demand for beef from major exporters decreases by 7% (Ireland) to 27.6% (Uruguay), underscoring the critical role of transportation costs in shaping international beef trade. Countries like Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and Uruguay experience more than a 20% decrease in global import demand with a doubling of freight rates. Interestingly, despite the proximity of the United States to major markets like China, Japan, and South Korea, beef imports from Brazil and Australia are more impacted by freight rates than U.S. beef.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1891-1901"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100289","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The Impacts of Health and Environmental Information Nudges on Meat Choices: Where Does Goat Meat Fit?","authors":"Binod Khanal,&nbsp;Sunil P. Dhoubhadel,&nbsp;Rodolfo M. Nayga Jr.","doi":"10.1002/agr.22021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22021","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Amidst a recent surge in US goat meat imports to meet growing demand, this study contributes to the meat demand literature by examining consumer preferences for goat meat, a relatively healthy and environmentally friendly alternative to other popular meats. We employed a discrete choice experiment on representative US meat consumers and randomly assigned respondents to health and environmental information treatments. Further, information treatments were categorized into goat-focused comparative and generic information treatments. Estimates from the random parameter logit model reveal that health information treatments outperform environmental information treatments in influencing consumer preferences for goat meat. Additionally, the results show that goat-focused comparative information is more effective than generic information treatment. The market share simulations under different price scenarios suggest decreasing goat meat price to $4/lb. and informing respondents of the health benefits of goat meat over beef can yield up to 21% market share of the total US meat market for goat meat. These findings underscore the potential of goat meat in the US meat market, particularly when coupled with health information nudges.</p>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1831-1854"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agr.22021","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Farmers' Perceived Transparency and Performance: A Moderated-Mediation Model of Supply Chain Type, Buyer Type, and Relationship Quality","authors":"Heidi Vandenhaute,&nbsp;Xavier Gellynck,&nbsp;Hans De Steur","doi":"10.1002/agr.22028","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22028","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study explores the potential of short food supply chains in addressing information asymmetries within the agri-food chain. Drawing on data from 133 farmers in Flanders, Belgium, this research examines farmers' transparency perceptions regarding their buyers and evaluates their associations with relationship quality and perceived performance. The findings reveal a direct positive association between perceived transparency and perceived performance, with a substantial mediation through relationship quality. Moderated mediation analyses underscore the significant roles of supply chain type and buyer type in shaping these relationships. Notably, the association between transparency and performance is more pronounced for farmers engaged in short food supply chains and with privately owned buyers, contexts characterized by lower transparency perceptions. This highlights the potential benefits of enhanced transparency, particularly in such farmer–buyer relationships. This study emphasizes the importance for researchers, policymakers, and stakeholders to identify and strategically target practices aimed at increasing transparency in agri-food supply chains.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1855-1871"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Using K-Means Clustering to Explore Farmers' Behavior and Intention Towards Online Credit in China Based on Extended Theory of Planned Behavior","authors":"Shaoxiong Yang,&nbsp;Calum G. Turvey,&nbsp;Rong Kong","doi":"10.1002/agr.22026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22026","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Although online credit is recognized as one of the promising approaches to solving the problem of difficult access to loans for Chinese farmers in theory, there is still actually a lack of enthusiasm among farmers for its adoption. This study is dedicated to exploring the reasons why farmers don't adopt online credit from the perspective of perceptions. Based on field survey data involving 698 farmers in Shaanxi province, six constructs derived from the extended theory of planned behavior are designed to identify the specific characteristic typologies of farmers’ online credit perceptions using the K-means clustering method. Furthermore, the characteristics associated with farmers online credit behavior and intention are examined by an ordered logistic regression model. The results of cluster analysis reveal that five groups with differentiated perception characteristics are partitioned and labeled as (1) <i>Socially influenced non-believers</i>, (2) <i>Socially independent non-believers</i>, (3) <i>Just see fraud skeptics/Socially independent skeptics</i>, (4) <i>Suspicious but socially influenced</i>, and (5) <i>Neutral independent and no distinctive perception</i>. The results of ordered logistic regression show that distrust and suspicion among farmers towards online credit have significant relationships with shaping their behavior and intention. Concurrently, it cannot be overlooked the association between subjective norms and farmers’ online credit attitudes and perceptions. Additionally, farmers’ online credit behavior and intention also have correlations with various socio-demographic factors, including gender, age, education, physical health condition, off-farm work, and broadband coverage.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1872-1890"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149099284","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Effects of Climate Shocks on the Dynamism of Agricultural Production in Burkina Faso","authors":"Dénis B. Akouwerabou,&nbsp;Parfait Bako,&nbsp;Brigitte W. M. Goh,&nbsp;Patrick J. P.-W. Kaboré","doi":"10.1002/agr.22010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22010","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Floods constitute climate shocks that cause both tangible and intangible damage to the agricultural sector. An immediate effect of flooding on the farming sector is production loss. We analyze the effects of flooding on the dynamism of the production of Burkina Faso farmers. To this end, we apply the difference-in-differences method to balanced panel data covering the agricultural seasons from 2008 to 2012. Our case study involves farming areas that flooded in 2009. The results indicate that the effects of flooding persist for several agricultural seasons.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1729-1739"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100062","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Do Socialized Agricultural Services Promote Smallholder Participation in Large Markets? Evidence From Grain Farmers in China","authors":"Xiaochen Ma,&nbsp;Xiaokang Hou,&nbsp;Yuxin Cui,&nbsp;Jiyuan Ma","doi":"10.1002/agr.22014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22014","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Integrating small-scale farmers into large markets is crucial for agricultural modernization. To this end, China—as a ‘large country, small farmer’—has fostered socialized agricultural services (SASs). Although some studies have examined specific service components of SASs, a systematic analysis is missing and the mechanisms of SAS's effects on farmers' market participation has not been clarified. To address this gap, we use data from the 2020 China Rural Revitalization Survey to construct a motivation–opportunity–ability (MOA) framework for farmers' market participation behavior, uniquely introducing SASs to assess their impact on small farmers' market participation. This comprehensively examines farmers' market and deep-market participation, as measured by their sales decisions and channel selections, respectively, and addresses model endogeneity using the conditional mixed process and Heckman model. The findings reveal that SASs promote farmers' market and deep-market participation, augmenting the probability of participation by 39.6% and 14.2%, respectively. Mechanisms analysis reveals that this positive impact is brought about by increasing farmers' motivation to produce marketable products, providing farmers with direct access to heavily capitalized buyers, and increasing farmers' market participation ability. The heterogeneity analyses demonstrates that SASs improve the market participation of rice and corn farmers, having the greatest impact on the former. The findings provide policy guidelines concerning how to promote farmers' market participation in China, and provide a “Chinese experience” for other developing countries.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1689-1700"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149099351","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Modelling Consumers Preferences Using Risk Perceptions and Subjective Knowledge","authors":"Tânia Gonçalves,&nbsp;Lina Lourenço-Gomes,&nbsp;Lígia M. Costa Pinto,&nbsp;João Rebelo","doi":"10.1002/agr.22016","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22016","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Latent class models constitute an alternative approach to the popular mixed logit models to capture sources of individual preference heterogeneity to explain discrete choices. This article applies the latent class model to incorporate random taste variation across individuals or consumers, encompassing the role of lexicographic decision-making rules in the modeling of discrete choice responses. Furthermore, it provides a deeper understanding of processing information rules, by including latent variables related to individuals' subjective knowledge and risk perceptions in the explanation of the probability of adopting a specific simplifying decision rule or heuristic to select the most preferred alternative. The results reveal that accounting for information processing strategies avoids misspecification bias and yields more plausible behavioral outputs, namely deflated willingness to pay measures. Thus, providing a closer comprehension of the consumers' behavior and choice. These results were derived from a discrete choice experiment applied to a sample of regular wine consumers in Switzerland.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1701-1715"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100309","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Rising Minimum Wages: Challenges to the U.S. Produce Industry","authors":"A. Malek Hammami,&nbsp;Tian Xia,&nbsp;Zhengfei Guan,&nbsp;Xiurui Cui","doi":"10.1002/agr.22031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22031","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The U.S. produce industry has been facing significant challenges due to rising minimum wages. This study proposes a modeling framework to analyze the impacts of rising minimum wages and assess their effects on the U.S. produce sector, focusing on the strawberry industry, which confronts both escalating labor costs and competition from low-cost imports. A structural model with a nested Synthetic Inverse Demand System (SIDS) is employed to analyze how wage increases affect the industry in both short and long terms. Our findings reveal that rising minimum wages will lead to a substantial increase in both the shipments (by 46%) and prices (by 23%) of strawberries from Mexico, the sole competitor of the US industry. As a result, the Mexican strawberry industry will see a significant revenue boost of $420 million (+ 79%). On the other hand, the U.S. strawberry industry could incur a potential revenue loss of up to $304 million (−17.9%). These results highlight the rough road ahead for the labor-intensive produce industry as wages rise in the United States.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1956-1971"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149099596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Impact of Seed Regulation Reform on Licensing Fees of Varieties in China","authors":"Cheng Xiang,&nbsp;Rui Yang,&nbsp;Xia Wang,&nbsp;Jikun Huang","doi":"10.1002/agr.22020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.22020","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Crop breeding research and seed industry development are critical to promoting sustainable growth in agricultural production and ensuring food security. The Chinese government introduced a significant reform to the original seed regulation system, which was overly focused on market access management. This revision can profoundly impact the licensing market of seed varieties in China. However, the licensing issue in the seed industry has barely been tapped owing to the limited availability of real licensing data. This study aims to analyze the impacts of the seed regulation reform on the licensing fees of varieties in China based on some unique actual transaction data of variety licensing. We employed a nationwide in-person survey of seed companies and used a multivariate analysis. The results indicate that most seed companies in China were obliged to buy licenses for new varieties bred by others. An upfront lump-sum fixed-fee payment had also been the most used strategy for variety licensing. The estimation results of the multivariate analysis indicate that seed regulation reform in China led to an average decline of nearly half of the licensing fee of a variety. After the reform, the licensing prices of conventional rice varieties decreased the most, followed by maize varieties. By contrast, the reform did not significantly affect the licensing fees of hybrid rice varieties. The reform resulted in a 63% drop in licensing fee of a public-bred variety, while having no significant impact on that of private-bred varieties. Post reform, the licensee fee of a variety paid by smaller seed companies and non-state-owned enterprises (SOEs) decreased by 62% and 65%, respectively, while the fees paid by bigger seed companies and SOEs were not significantly affected. Moreover, the results confirm that newer varieties and the varieties with higher yield and exclusive contracts have significantly higher licensing fees, and large seed companies paid significantly more on a variety license. These results have important implications for market participants and policymakers in China's seed industry as well as other industries.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 4","pages":"1740-1752"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149100198","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analyzing individual rent price ratios in eastern German agricultural land markets: A GAMLSS approach","authors":"Marius Michels,&nbsp;Cord-Friedrich von Hobe,&nbsp;Miryam Sarah Merk,&nbsp;Thomas Kneib,&nbsp;Oliver Musshoff","doi":"10.1002/agr.21976","DOIUrl":"10.1002/agr.21976","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study explores the rent price ratio in agricultural land markets, crucial for evaluating market efficiency, policy needs, and farmer decision-making. Traditionally, the analyses faced challenges due to the absence of concurrent sale and rent data for the same land, potentially leading to biased results. This research avoids this problem by utilizing a unique dataset from Eastern Germany, encompassing auction data from 2016 to 2019. This dataset is distinctive, containing both the purchase and lease price offers by individual farmers for the same agricultural land at a single point. Thus, this study overcomes the conventional limitations of using aggregated or non-contemporaneous data. Hence, the focal point is to unravel the intricate relationship between individual rent price ratios and a myriad of influencing factors, including land characteristics and local farming structures. The use of Generalized Additive Models for Location, Shape, and Scale provides a robust framework for this analysis, offering a nuanced understanding of the distributional properties of individual rent price ratios. The study provides robust empirical evidence that highlights the need for adaptive and region-specific policies if policy makers insist on intervening in the agricultural land market. Furthermore, promising points of departure for future research are identified. [EconLit Citation: Q15].</p>","PeriodicalId":55544,"journal":{"name":"Agribusiness","volume":"42 3","pages":"1200-1218"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2026-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/agr.21976","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142213309","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}