Global and Planetary Change最新文献

{"title":"Corrigendum to “The Ediacara Biota of the Wood Canyon formation: Latest Precambrian macrofossils and sedimentary structures from the southern Great Basin” [Global and Planetary Change (2024) 104547; 1–17]","authors":"Scott D. Evans , Emily F. Smith , Prescott Vayda , Lyle L. Nelson , Shuhai Xiao","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104581","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104581","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104581"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142445848","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The future extent of the Anthropocene epoch: A synthesis","authors":"C.P. Summerhayes ,&nbsp;J. Zalasiewicz ,&nbsp;M.J. Head ,&nbsp;J. Syvitski ,&nbsp;A.D. Barnosky ,&nbsp;A. Cearreta ,&nbsp;B. Fiałkiewicz-Kozieł ,&nbsp;J. Grinevald ,&nbsp;R. Leinfelder ,&nbsp;F.M.G. McCarthy ,&nbsp;J.R. McNeill ,&nbsp;Y. Saito ,&nbsp;M. Wagreich ,&nbsp;C.N. Waters ,&nbsp;M. Williams ,&nbsp;J. Zinke","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104568","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104568","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We synthesize research from complementary scientific fields to address the likely future extent and duration of the proposed Anthropocene epoch. Intensification of human-forced climate change began from about 1970 onwards with steepening increases in greenhouse gases, ocean acidification, global temperature and sea level, along with ice loss. The resulting distinction between relatively stable Holocene climatic conditions and those of the proposed Anthropocene epoch is substantial, with many aspects irreversible. The still-rising trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions is leading to yet greater and more permanent divergence of the Anthropocene from the Holocene Earth System. We focus here on the effects of the ensuing climate transformation and its impact on the likely duration of this novel state of the Earth System.</div><div>Given the magnitude and rapid rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂), its long lifetime in the atmosphere, and the present disequilibrium in Earth's energy budget (expressed as the Earth's Energy Imbalance, or EEI), both temperatures and sea level must continue to rise – even with carbon emissions lowered to net zero (where anthropogenic CO₂ emissions = anthropogenic CO₂ removals) – until the energy budget balance is eventually restored. Even if net zero were achieved immediately, elevated global temperatures would persist for at least several tens of millennia, with expected levels of warmth by the end of this century not seen since the early Late Pliocene. Interglacial conditions are likely to persist for at least 50,000 years under already-accumulated CO₂ emissions and Earth's low eccentricity orbit. Continued increases in greenhouse gas emissions are likely to extend that persistence to around 500,000 years, suppressing the pronounced expression of Milankovitch cyclicity typical of the later Pleistocene Epoch. This major perturbation alone is sufficient to justify the Anthropocene as terminating the Holocene Epoch. The wider and mostly irreversible effects of climate change, not least in amplifying reconfiguration of the biosphere, emphasize the scale of this departure from Holocene conditions, justifying the establishment of a new epoch.</div><div>Given such perspectives, the Anthropocene epoch represents what will become a lasting and substantial change in the Earth System. It is the Holocene Epoch at only 11,700 years duration that will appear as the ‘blip’ in the Geological Time Scale, a brief interval when complex, settled human societies co-existed with, but did not overwhelm, a stable Earth System.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104568"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142424971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Impacts of moisture transport on extreme precipitation in the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration, China","authors":"Yufan Chen ,&nbsp;Shuyu Zhang ,&nbsp;Guoqing Gong ,&nbsp;Penghan Chen ,&nbsp;Thian Yew Gan ,&nbsp;Deliang Chen ,&nbsp;Junguo Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104582","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104582","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In recent decades, the Central Plains Urban Agglomeration of China (CPUA) has faced recurring extreme precipitation events (EPEs), leading to severe floods, endangering residents, and causing significant property damage. This study examines the spatiotemporal patterns of summer EPEs in the CPUA from 1961 to 2022. We used the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model to trace the water vapor trajectories associated with these events, identifying atmospheric circulations linked to various moisture sources. Summer EPEs in the CPUA have become more frequent and intense. Urban regions typically experience stronger EPEs, while mountainous regions encounter more frequent but milder precipitation. The moisture contributing to these events comes from sources including Eurasia (9.94 %), the northern and southern Western North Pacific (48.39 %), and the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea (41.67 %). Notably, contributions from Eurasia and the northern Western North Pacific have increased, whereas those from the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea have decreased. Events driven by Western North Pacific moisture have stronger impacts on urban areas, influenced by abnormal anticyclonic patterns and the development of the Huang-Huai cyclone, which triggers intense convective activity over the CPUA. The strengthening of the Western North Pacific subtropical high promotes the transport of warm air, which merges with colder inland air, leading to extreme precipitation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104582"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818124002297/pdfft?md5=2f0edb61769d18cddc747a6ccfeefc6e&pid=1-s2.0-S0921818124002297-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142229853","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Increasing cross-border dust storm from Mongolia to China during 1987–2022","authors":"Yihao Ma ,&nbsp;Rui Mao ,&nbsp;Cuicui Shi ,&nbsp;Xingya Feng ,&nbsp;Li Ma ,&nbsp;Xingyu Song","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104578","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104578","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Mongolia and northern China have the highest frequency of dust weather in Northeast Asia. Dust transport from Mongolia to China is a major cause of dust weather in northern China. However, there has been limited research on the frequency changes of cross-border dust storms from Mongolia to China over the past few decades. Based on observational data, we analyzed the variation in cross-border dust storms between China and Mongolia during 1987–2022. The results indicate that, on average, approximately seven cross-border dust storm events occur annually between China and Mongolia, predominantly during the spring. The frequency of cross-border dust storms from Mongolia to China significantly increased from 2.2 events in P1 (1987–1999) to 7.5 events in P2 (2000−2022). Long-term trends suggest that rising dust emissions in east-central Mongolia largely contributed to this increase. The increase in cross-border dust storms from Mongolia to China in the spring was driven by more frequent cyclones in eastern Mongolia and Northeast China during P2. This is evidenced by a negative height anomaly and increased vorticity at 850 hPa over Northeast China. The cyclones were linked to the northward shift of the East Asian Polar Front Jet Stream (EAPJ) at 300 hPa between 50<strong>°</strong>N and 60<strong>°</strong>N. Additionally, surface conditions such as higher temperatures and decreased vegetation in Mongolia contributed to the increased frequency of cross-border dust storms from P1 to P2.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104578"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142168003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Anthropogenically-induced atmospheric Pb cycle in low-latitude Asia since the industrial revolution recorded by high-resolution stalagmites” [Global and Planetary Chang, 232 (2024) 104337]","authors":"Tianli Wang ,&nbsp;Pei-Hsuan Yao ,&nbsp;Chuan-Chou Shen ,&nbsp;Sakonvan Chawchai ,&nbsp;Adi Torfstein ,&nbsp;Ashish Sinha ,&nbsp;Hai Xu ,&nbsp;Tsai-Luen Yu ,&nbsp;Fangyuan Lin ,&nbsp;Xiqian Wang ,&nbsp;Dong Li ,&nbsp;Hai Cheng ,&nbsp;R. Lawrence Edwards ,&nbsp;Zhisheng An ,&nbsp;Liangcheng Tan","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104567","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104567","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104567"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142445847","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Potential effects of the Emeishan large igneous province on Capitanian marine anoxia in the Upper Yangtze region","authors":"Mingzhi Kuang ,&nbsp;Haifeng Yuan ,&nbsp;Wenjie Li ,&nbsp;Bolin Zhang ,&nbsp;Chen Shen ,&nbsp;Qinren Xiao ,&nbsp;Xihua Zhang ,&nbsp;Hanlin Peng ,&nbsp;Cong Chen ,&nbsp;Tianjun Li","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104579","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104579","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The widespread Capitanian (late Guadalupian) marine anoxia/euxinia has long been regarded as a key driver of the end-Guadalupian (middle Permian) biotic crisis. However, the cause of this marine anoxia is debated, particularly regarding the influence of the Emeishan large igneous province (ELIP). To investigate the contribution of the ELIP to marine anoxia and the possible causal mechanisms, we undertook a conodont biostratigraphic and geochemical study of the middle Permian Maokou Formation in a platform-to-trough transect in the Upper Yangtze region, South China. Our results show that the depositional facies of the Maokou Formation changed from a carbonate ramp to an intra-platform trough within the <em>Jinogondolella</em> (<em>J.</em>) <em>altudaensis</em> zone in the northwestern Yangtze region, which can be attributed to the initial activity of the ELIP. Mantle-derived Sr inputs in the initial and main stages of the ELIP led to two decreases in ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr during the Capitanian, in the <em>J. shannoni</em>–<em>J. altudaensis</em> and <em>J. prexuanhanensis</em>–<em>J. xuanhanensis</em> zones. The elevated ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr values during the late Capitanian may have been due to enhanced continental weathering caused by rapid climate warming in response to subaerial eruptions of the ELIP. The deep-water anoxia–euxinia expanded during the middle Capitanian, as indicated by increased Mo_EF/U_EF and V/(V + Ni) values, along with the disappearance of burrows and appearance of small pyrite framboids in the <em>J. altudaensis</em> zone in the Cheng 20 well. However, shallow-water anoxia occurred during the late Capitanian (i.e., <em>J. prexuanhanensis</em>–<em>J. xuanhanensis</em> zone), as evidenced by positive Ce anomalies and losses of aerobic benthic species in the Erya section. Importantly, marine anoxia and negative δ¹³C_carb excursions occurred synchronously, but earlier in deep water than in shallow water, potentially indicating an expansion of the oxygen minimum zone (OMZ). The deep-water anoxia corresponded to a decrease in ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr ratios and the appearance of an intra-platform trough in the <em>J. altudaensis</em> zone, whereas the shallow-water anoxia in the late Capitanian coincided with elevated ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr ratios. This suggests that the initial activity of the ELIP promoted the development of the OMZ in deep waters during the middle Capitanian, while the subaerial eruptions of the ELIP drove climate warming that led to the expansion of the OMZ into shallow-water platforms during the late Capitanian.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104579"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142229855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Western Mongolian Plateau exhibits increasing Holocene temperature","authors":"Chong Huang ,&nbsp;Xiaozhong Huang ,&nbsp;Jinbao Li ,&nbsp;Ling Wang ,&nbsp;Lan Jiang ,&nbsp;Lixiong Xiang ,&nbsp;Jun Zhang ,&nbsp;Yu Hu ,&nbsp;Xiaoyan Mu ,&nbsp;Min Zheng ,&nbsp;Xiuxiu Ren ,&nbsp;Tao Wang ,&nbsp;Jiawu Zhang ,&nbsp;Guoliang Lei ,&nbsp;Otgonbayar Demberel ,&nbsp;Xiaodong Liu ,&nbsp;Natalia Rudaya ,&nbsp;Antje Schwalb ,&nbsp;Yanwu Duan ,&nbsp;Jule Xiao ,&nbsp;Fahu Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104577","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104577","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The scarcity of Holocene winter temperature records from the core area of the Mongolian-Siberian High (MSH) hampers our understanding of the long-term evolution of the MSH and its modulation of the East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM). Here we use the body size of <em>Pediastrum</em>, a new and sensitive temperature proxy, from the sediments of Tolbo Lake in the western Mongolian Plateau, to reconstruct changes in winter temperature in the core area of the MSH during the Holocene. A large-scale investigation of modern <em>Pediastrum</em> body size across East Asia indicates that it is an accurate proxy indicator for mean winter temperature. The Holocene winter temperature based on <em>Pediastrum</em> body size from Tolbo Lake shows a general warming trend with the maximum at ∼2.6 ka. The current warming has attained the magnitude of the previous Holocene maximum, despite the underlying forcing being different. The mid-late Holocene winter warming in inland Eurasia may have weakened the MSH and reduced the intensity of the EAWM.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104577"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142232170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate variability in a 3.8 Ma old sedimentary record from the hyperarid Atacama Desert","authors":"Felix L. Arens ,&nbsp;Jenny Feige ,&nbsp;Alessandro Airo ,&nbsp;Christof Sager ,&nbsp;Lutz Hecht ,&nbsp;Lucas Horstmann ,&nbsp;Felix E.D. Kaufmann ,&nbsp;Johannes Lachner ,&nbsp;Thomas Neumann ,&nbsp;Norbert Nowaczyk ,&nbsp;Ferry Schiperski ,&nbsp;Peter Steier ,&nbsp;Alexandra Stoll ,&nbsp;Ulrich Struck ,&nbsp;Bernardita Valenzuela ,&nbsp;Friedhelm von Blanckenburg ,&nbsp;Hella Wittmann ,&nbsp;Lukas Wacker ,&nbsp;Dirk Wagner ,&nbsp;Pedro Zamorano ,&nbsp;Dirk Schulze-Makuch","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104576","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104576","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The hyperarid Atacama Desert is one of the driest and oldest deserts on Earth, rendering it a valuable climate archive. However, unraveling its past climate is particularly challenging and the few studied paleoclimate records of the region reveal strong temporal and spatial variabilities. To enhance our understanding of these dynamics we investigated a sedimentary record in the Yungay valley located in the southern hyperarid Atacama Desert. We employed paleomagnetic and radiocarbon dating, and for the first time for Atacama Desert sediments, a meteoric ¹⁰Be/⁹Be based method for determining the depositional age. The respective 4.20 m deep profile comprises a lower alluvial fan deposit with a maximum age of 3.8 ± 0.8 Ma, and an upper 1.84 m thick clay pan deposit that has accumulated over the last 19 ka. Different proxies including grain size, salt concentration, and elemental composition indicate an aridity increase around 2.3 Ma ago and repeated dry and wet phases during the late Pleistocene and the Holocene. The latter climatic shifts can be assigned to variabilities of the South American Summer Monsoon and El Niño Southern Oscillation with moisture sources from the Atlantic and the Pacific Ocean, respectively. This study provides deeper insights into the heterogeneous climate of the hyperarid Atacama Desert and underlines the importance of interdisciplinary investigations to decipher climate systems and their effect on potential habitable regions in such an extreme environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104576"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142321944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Sensitivity of western Pacific subtropical high to regional sea surface temperature changes","authors":"Lingyu Zhou ,&nbsp;Yan Xia ,&nbsp;Chen Zhou ,&nbsp;Chuanfeng Zhao ,&nbsp;Fei Xie ,&nbsp;Lu Dong","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104565","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104565","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) exerts significant influence on the climate of the Pacific region and East Asia. In this study, we systematically examined the responses of the WPSH intensity and position to regional sea surface temperature (SST) changes using idealized SST patch experiments with a climate model. Our findings reveal that the WPSH intensity is most sensitive to northern tropical SST during the boreal summer. Specifically, warming in the tropical Indian Ocean, eastern Pacific, and tropical North Atlantic contributes to a strengthening of the WPSH, whereas warming in the tropical western Pacific leads to its weakening. SST warming enhances local convergence and convection, which can modify the WPSH intensity via modulating the strength of tropical zonal circulation. Additionally, it is found that the SST-induced enhancement (weakening) of the WPSH is always accompanied with a westward extension (eastward retreat) of the WPSH. Furthermore, the response of the WPSH to tropical SST changes exhibits nonnegligible nonlinearity, which indicates the importance of multi-ocean interaction in determining the WPSH response to global surface warming.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104565"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142168641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A 70-year record reveals the poleward shift of tropical cyclone tracks in the east China coastal ocean is twice that of landward shift","authors":"Chaoran Xu ,&nbsp;Yang Yang ,&nbsp;Jianjun Jia ,&nbsp;Jeremy D. Bricker ,&nbsp;Ya Ping Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104566","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104566","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Analyzing the spatial-temporal changes in tropical cyclone (TC) tracks in the east China coastal ocean (ECCO) to quantify the magnitude of poleward and landward migration of TCs is of significant importance for coastal disaster mitigation and planning due to its susceptibility to the impacts of TCs. In this study, the TCs that affected the ECCO from 1949 to 2022 are classified into three typical types of tracks using the k-means clustering method, mass moments, and track interpolation based on TC location, shape, and intensity information. Type 1 is a northwestward track, Type 2 is a northwest to northeast-turning track, and Type 3 is a northwest to northeast-turning offshore track. Type 1 tracks mainly make landfall in southern China, while Type 2 predominantly makes landfall in eastern China. Moreover, the proportion of Type 1 decreases while their landfall percentage increases over time, and the proportion of Type 2 tracks is increasing. The probability of TC effects on the eastern and northern parts of the ECCO is increasing, and the boundary where the TC center reaches after landfall is shifting landward. During the period from 1994 to 2022, there has been a significant migration in TC tracks, with the mean centroid of the TCs affecting the ECCO shifting westward by 0.66° in longitude and northward by 1.26° in latitude, which means the magnitude of the poleward shift is about twice that of the landward shift. This migration appears to have been pre-conditioned by a combined influence of a weakening westward steering flow, reduced vertical wind shear, and warmer sea surface temperature Our findings provide valuable insights into the longitudinal and latitudinal migration of TC tracks and have important implications for disaster prevention, mitigation planning, and the adjustment of crucial coastal protection zones in the ECCO and similar regions around the globe.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55089,"journal":{"name":"Global and Planetary Change","volume":"242 ","pages":"Article 104566"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142168002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}