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Beyond the Binary: A New Typology for Evaluating Warning Success and Failure in Strategic Surprise 超越二元对立:评估战略意外事件中预警成败的新类型学
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2025-04-09 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viaf009
Nikki Ikani
{"title":"Beyond the Binary: A New Typology for Evaluating Warning Success and Failure in Strategic Surprise","authors":"Nikki Ikani","doi":"10.1093/isr/viaf009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viaf009","url":null,"abstract":"Why do some intelligence warning processes succeed in anticipating surprise while others fail? This article challenges the binary perspective on warning success and warning failure prevalent in extant analyses, which it contends ignores the complexity of warning processes and their outcomes. Its main thesis is that warning success rather exists on a spectrum of outcomes from full success to complete failure. To support this argument, this article introduces a novel, multidimensional typology that captures warning outcomes on such a spectrum, aligning with approaches to measuring (foreign) policy success within political science and public administration. It dissects warning effectiveness into three dimensions: the analytical (accuracy and timeliness of threat understanding), process (effectiveness of warning communication), and political dimensions (degree of decision-maker receptivity). Inherent tensions and challenges within these dimensions are expected to produce trade-offs, where success in one dimension may not ensure success in others. By applying this typology to three illustrative case studies—the COVID-19 pandemic warning in the United Kingdom, the Russian interference in the 2016 US election campaign, and the EU's warning process preceding the Crimea annexation—this paper demonstrates that warning performance often varies significantly across the three dimensions, highlighting the trade-offs and conflicts that can occur. This typology challenges existing binary paradigms and enables a more comprehensive understanding of warning effectiveness. This may inform targeted, adaptive, and effective security policy responses, in addition to improving our understanding of strategic surprise anticipation and warning strategies.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143813896","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Feminist Foreign Policy as a Case of Governance Feminism: Neoliberalism, Militarism, and Women as “Agents of Change” 女权主义外交政策作为治理女性主义的案例:新自由主义、军国主义和妇女作为“变革的推动者”
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2025-04-09 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viaf007
Colleen Bell, Nicole Wegner
{"title":"Feminist Foreign Policy as a Case of Governance Feminism: Neoliberalism, Militarism, and Women as “Agents of Change”","authors":"Colleen Bell, Nicole Wegner","doi":"10.1093/isr/viaf007","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viaf007","url":null,"abstract":"A growing number of Western states are positioning feminism as the path to a more peaceful and prosperous world. In this article, we examine Canada's feminist foreign policy agenda as an instance of governance feminism, whereby the normative commitment to gender equality is pursued by governing women's agency. We conduct a qualitative discursive analysis of eleven key policy documents spanning development, peace, and security and trade, unpacking how expanding roles for women are framed as the solution to both gender inequality and a range of global issues. Although feminist foreign policy could improve the lives of some, it largely adopts the universalizing conceits of liberal feminism, rendering it blind to diversity and inequality among women and gender-diverse persons within and beyond Canada. By focusing on guiding individual action, Canada's feminist policies distract from broader global politico-economic structures that “agents of change” confront while also sustaining global hierarchies and militarism.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"101 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143813895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Introducing Organizational (Dis)Entanglements: How Scholarship on Regime Complexity and Power Dynamics Helps Make Sense of International Order-Making 介绍组织(不)纠葛:关于制度复杂性和权力动态的学术研究如何帮助理解国际秩序的建立
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2025-04-03 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viaf002
Stephanie C Hofmann, Yuqian Cai, Laura Gómez-Mera, Tamar Gutner, Matias Margulis, Diana Panke, Berthold Rittberger, Sören Stapel, Matthew Stephen, Moritz Weiss
{"title":"Introducing Organizational (Dis)Entanglements: How Scholarship on Regime Complexity and Power Dynamics Helps Make Sense of International Order-Making","authors":"Stephanie C Hofmann, Yuqian Cai, Laura Gómez-Mera, Tamar Gutner, Matias Margulis, Diana Panke, Berthold Rittberger, Sören Stapel, Matthew Stephen, Moritz Weiss","doi":"10.1093/isr/viaf002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viaf002","url":null,"abstract":"Scholars and pundits focusing on the changing international order and its possible fragmentation often pay little attention to the manifold relationships between international organizations (IOs). Neglecting inter-organizational relationships, we argue, biases discussions towards doomsday predictions and reinforces the perception of global fragmentation. In this Forum, we address these biases by bringing together two strands of IR scholarship: power rivalry/transition and regime complexity. We do so by introducing the concept of organizational (dis)entanglements. An examination of how more and less powerful national and international policymakers engage and disengage IOs, highlights processes of reinforcing, muddling through, or undermining various ongoing order-making initiatives. The individual contributions examine organizational (dis)entanglements by highlighting actors’ various multilateral order-making attempts across IOs, global and regional ordering dynamics through IOs, and the roles international bureaucrats play in these processes. These contributions help identify new directions of inquiry in the study of IOs and international order by, for example, demonstrating that actors can engage with competition and cooperation simultaneously. Not all ordering attempts are equally likely to radically change global politics.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"34 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143775502","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Disentangling the Nexus of Nuclear Weapons and Climate Change—A Research Agenda 解开核武器与气候变化的关系——一个研究议程
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2025-03-17 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viaf003
Kjølv Egeland
{"title":"Disentangling the Nexus of Nuclear Weapons and Climate Change—A Research Agenda","authors":"Kjølv Egeland","doi":"10.1093/isr/viaf003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viaf003","url":null,"abstract":"Global warming and nuclear war are frequently described as the world's greatest threats. Both challenges could be understood as expressions of modern science and technology, and both present tough collective action problems. They are also mutually entangled. Yet students of security have still to systematically unpack the relationship between climate change and the politics of nuclear weapons. In this article, I critically review the nascent literature on the climate–nuclear nexus and set out avenues for future research. I find that the existing literature has focused disproportionately on immediate managerial challenges such as the likely inundation of current nuclear weapons bases, neglecting the potential consequences of more profound, crisis-induced global transformations. Students of nuclear arms control, deterrence, and disarmament should interrogate the assumption that the basic political and institutional structures that condition policy outcomes today will continue to exist indefinitely.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"36 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143641061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Practices of (De)Legitimation in World Politics
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viae042
Nora Stappert, Frank Gadinger, Stanislav Budnitsky, Matthias Ecker-Ehrhardt, Anna Geis, David Shim, Laurenz Krumbacher, Siddharth Tripathi
{"title":"Practices of (De)Legitimation in World Politics","authors":"Nora Stappert, Frank Gadinger, Stanislav Budnitsky, Matthias Ecker-Ehrhardt, Anna Geis, David Shim, Laurenz Krumbacher, Siddharth Tripathi","doi":"10.1093/isr/viae042","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viae042","url":null,"abstract":"This forum proposes a practice-oriented approach to (de)legitimation processes in world politics. Drawing on international practice theory and visual IR, among other fields, our approach offers an important extension of existing literature on (de)legitimation that mostly concentrates on discursive (de)legitimation. Instead, this forum focuses on a broader variety of practices of (de)legitimation, such as bodily gestures and visual (de)legitimation practices, including as communicated via (social) media. The forum’s six contributions demonstrate the significance and conceptual promise of our approach by showcasing various conceptual entry points and empirical illustrations. Matthias Ecker-Ehrhardt analyzes the everyday legitimation practices of international organization officials acting as the “personal face” of institutional processes on social media. Anna Geis examines the Taliban’s symbolic and embodied practices of self-legitimation during the Doha negotiations with the United States in 2019–2020. Subsequently, Stanislav Budnitsky conceptualizes the reoccurring practice of verbally and physically assaulting foreign experts on Russian televised political talk shows as embodied legitimation practices of Russia’s anti-Western geopolitical agenda. David Shim and Laurenz Krumbacher draw attention to the everyday, visualized legitimation practices of climate activists on TikTok, emphasizing their performative dimension. Frank Gadinger turns to Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s social media-oriented public performances in parliaments around the world. Nora Stappert and Siddharth Tripathi conclude the forum with a discussion of limitations, remaining challenges, and future research avenues, including using decolonial and postcolonial approaches. Combined, our forum opens an avenue for future research that considers existing and new forms of (de)legitimation in global affairs through the lens of practice while emphasizing the crucial role of legitimacy and normativity in international practices.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143367365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Local Knowledges in International Peacebuilding: Acquisition, Filtering, and Systematic Bias 国际建设和平中的地方知识:获取、过滤和系统性偏见
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viae047
Sarah von Billerbeck, Katharina P Coleman, Steffen Eckhard, Benjamin Zyla
{"title":"Local Knowledges in International Peacebuilding: Acquisition, Filtering, and Systematic Bias","authors":"Sarah von Billerbeck, Katharina P Coleman, Steffen Eckhard, Benjamin Zyla","doi":"10.1093/isr/viae047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viae047","url":null,"abstract":"There is widespread consensus among peacebuilding practitioners and scholars on the importance of integrating local knowledge into the design, planning, and implementation of international peace interventions. However, the concept of local knowledge remains undertheorized, and the dynamics of local knowledge integration in international activities have not yet been fully explored. This paper reconceptualizes “local knowledge” in peacebuilding as local knowledges in the plural, highlighting seven categories of relevant local knowledge and the contestation within each. We then draw on organizational theory to identify the processes by which particular types of local knowledge become more or less likely to be incorporated into internationally led peacebuilding activities. Specifically, we argue that knowledge incorporation consists of two stages: acquisition and filtering. In both, international actors control who is able to contribute knowledges and which knowledges are recognized. Systematic biases result: knowledges that confirm previously held beliefs or that simplify complexity are incorporated more regularly. We illustrate our argument by focusing on the UN, but suggest that our findings apply to other international actors, including non-governmental organizations, and extend beyond peacebuilding.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142902265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fifty Shades of Deprivation: Disaggregating Types of Economic Disadvantage in Studies of Terrorism 贫困的五十道阴影:恐怖主义研究中的经济劣势类型分类
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viae045
Steffen Hertog, Adrian Arellano, Thomas Hegghammer, Gudrun Østby
{"title":"Fifty Shades of Deprivation: Disaggregating Types of Economic Disadvantage in Studies of Terrorism","authors":"Steffen Hertog, Adrian Arellano, Thomas Hegghammer, Gudrun Østby","doi":"10.1093/isr/viae045","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viae045","url":null,"abstract":"Does economic deprivation fuel terrorist recruitment? A large empirical literature has explored this question, but the findings remain contradictory and inconclusive. We argue that this is due to inconsistencies in the way deprivation has been defined and measured. This article identifies these deficiencies and provides a roadmap toward more precise measurement of deprivation and consequently toward a better understanding of its potential impact on the emergence of terrorism. More specifically, we propose a conceptual framework that distinguishes three different dimensions of relative deprivation: individual vs. collective, objective vs. subjective, and synchronic vs. diachronic. Combining them yields eight different mechanisms that could link economic status to terrorist radicalization. Drawing inspiration from fields such as conflict studies, social psychology, and political behavior, we outline some measurement approaches that could capture the mechanisms in a targeted way. The findings have implications for how researchers should collect data and design studies as well as for how policymakers should interpret the statistical results.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142597058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Postcards from the Pandemic: Women, Intersectionality, and Gendered Risks in the Global COVID-19 Pandemic 来自大流行的明信片:全球 COVID-19 大流行中的妇女、交叉性和性别风险
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viae041.1
Luna K C, Megan MacKenzie
{"title":"Postcards from the Pandemic: Women, Intersectionality, and Gendered Risks in the Global COVID-19 Pandemic","authors":"Luna K C, Megan MacKenzie","doi":"10.1093/isr/viae041.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viae041.1","url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 crisis created, and continues to produce, unprecedented challenges globally. Marginalized and racialized families, communities, and nations are experiencing their worst impacts, and in particular, women and girls are the hardest hit. The most pressing concerns raised by COVID-19 include a surge in gender-based violence, a rise in care burden, the feminization of poverty, and growing unemployment, largely in the Global South and conflict-affected regions. Drawing on feminist security studies and intersectionality literature, this forum explores gendered risks in the COVID-19 era, focusing on the security of women and girls from racialized and marginalized backgrounds in both the Global North and South. This forum presents seven short papers providing rich data on a range of case studies that include Yemen, Sri Lanka, Liberia, Canada, India, and Burundi. The contributions draw attention to the multilayered, diverse, intersectional, complex, and contextual gendered risks associated with the pandemic. The through line themes of intersectional identities, patriarchy, conflict, post-conflict, militarization, and marginalization are used to illustrate how gendered risks are (re)constructed during and after the COVID-19 crisis. This forum launched what we hope will offer a new research agenda and support to provide scholarly terrain for future research. This forum section not only provides insights into the vast and complex gendered impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic but also sparks broader thinking about everyday forms of insecurity that women and girls face in global crises.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"237 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142490932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reimagining Comparisons in International Relations through Reflexivity 通过反身性重新认识国际关系中的比较
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viae043
Daniela Lai
{"title":"Reimagining Comparisons in International Relations through Reflexivity","authors":"Daniela Lai","doi":"10.1093/isr/viae043","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viae043","url":null,"abstract":"The article argues that International Relations, and especially those approaches that are informed by the epistemological and methodological premises of reflexivity, would benefit from a more diversified range of comparative methodologies other than those deriving from the work of J.S. Mill and more recent developments within the neopositivist canon. While discussions of methodology in International Relations have become open to a diversity of approaches in recent years, scholars have often been less prone to formulate explicit methodological guidance, especially in the form of practical guidance for alternative comparative research designs. Building on but further developing existing work on reflexivity and methodology, the article thus aims to open up methodological possibilities for reflexive IR by delineating three comparative strategies: defamiliarizing discursive comparison, contrapuntal comparison, and vernacular comparison. Each of the strategies is explained with reference to its theoretical and methodological background in existing scholarship, two key stages for its practical application, as well as examples. The article concludes by highlighting the importance and urgency of methodological innovation in IR––especially when it comes to approaches inspired by reflexivity.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"46 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142488737","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Status Orders: Toward a Local Understanding of Status Dynamics in World Politics 地位秩序:对世界政治中地位动态的局部理解
IF 3.3 1区 社会学
International Studies Review Pub Date : 2024-10-22 DOI: 10.1093/isr/viae044
Pål Røren
{"title":"Status Orders: Toward a Local Understanding of Status Dynamics in World Politics","authors":"Pål Røren","doi":"10.1093/isr/viae044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/isr/viae044","url":null,"abstract":"This analytical essay highlights the importance of status orders in the study of status and prestige in world politics. Drawing on recent research in the field, I argue that understanding the particular social structures that regulate the status dynamics within social collectives is crucial to understanding how actors seek and receive status in world politics. I review the literature on status in IR and introduce the concept of status orders as context-specific and local social structures that determine what is considered prestigious within a particular group, community, or club. Using examples from war-making, nuclear weapons, and diplomatic practice, I argue that the fact that status dynamics is often produced locally and not globally forces us to focus less on “universal” aspirations for status, and more on where that actor sought status from and eventually according to which yardstick that actor experienced a change in status.","PeriodicalId":54206,"journal":{"name":"International Studies Review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142905027","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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