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Early Warning and Predictive Analytic Systems in Conflict Contexts: Insights from the Field 冲突背景下的预警和预测分析系统：来自实地的见解
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-03-19 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2185377
T. Lynam, Mollie Zapata, Håvard Hegre, Curtis M Bell, Clayton Besaw
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking Inter-Communal Violence in Africa 对非洲社区间暴力的反思
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-03-06 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2180924
Danielle Watson
{"title":"Rethinking Inter-Communal Violence in Africa","authors":"Danielle Watson","doi":"10.1080/13698249.2023.2180924","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2023.2180924","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51785,"journal":{"name":"Civil Wars","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43632536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Pitfalls and Potential of the Systematic Collection of Data on Child Soldier Recruitment 系统收集儿童兵招募数据的缺陷和潜力
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-03-02 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2179911
C. Faulkner, Roos Haer
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引用次数: 0
“Life After Death” Remembering the “Tamil Tigers” in North-East Sri Lanka “死后的生活”纪念斯里兰卡东北部的“泰米尔猛虎组织”
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-02-10 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2167041
G. Frerks
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引用次数: 0
Divided We Fall: Ethnic Cleavages, Movement Cohesion, and the Risk of Escalation to Civil War in Non-Violent Uprisings 《分裂我们灭亡:民族分裂、运动凝聚力和非暴力起义升级为内战的风险》
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2177054
Katariina Mustasilta, Isak Svensson
{"title":"Divided We Fall: Ethnic Cleavages, Movement Cohesion, and the Risk of Escalation to Civil War in Non-Violent Uprisings","authors":"Katariina Mustasilta, Isak Svensson","doi":"10.1080/13698249.2023.2177054","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2023.2177054","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Why do some non-violent uprisings escalate into armed violence while others do not? We suggest that horizontal polarisation contributes to the escalation of non-violent campaigns. We examine the effect of ethnic cleavages between the campaign and its opponent and movement cohesion as explanatory factors for escalation into civil war and non-state violence. Statistical analysis of all major non-violent campaigns (1970–2014) shows that non-violent conflicts with ethnic cleavages have a higher risk of escalating into armed violence in particular, when the conflict takes place over governmental aims. The results also indicate that movement cohesion alleviates the risk of armed escalation.","PeriodicalId":51785,"journal":{"name":"Civil Wars","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43283803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Civil Wars Vol. 25, No. 1 (2023) – Editorial Introduction 《内战》第25卷第1期（2023年）——编辑简介
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2185184
James Worrall, A. Waterman
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引用次数: 0
Guerrilla Protest: Understanding Social Movements from a Civil War Framework with the Case of Hong Kong 2019 游击队抗议：从内战框架看社会运动——以香港2019为例
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2167043
F. H. Wong
{"title":"Guerrilla Protest: Understanding Social Movements from a Civil War Framework with the Case of Hong Kong 2019","authors":"F. H. Wong","doi":"10.1080/13698249.2023.2167043","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2023.2167043","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Protests could exhibit properties of an asymmetrical, nonconventional war when paramilitary police utilise counterinsurgency measures and decentralised protestors adopt guerrilla tactics. This study examines the structural characteristics of the 2019 Hong Kong protests and the organisation of the police and protestors. Strategic challenges seen in civil wars emerged. Blurred frontlines and identification problems escalated violence for collaboration and control. The civil war theoretical framework explains the role of civilians, the logic of violence, and the realignment of social and economic life in prolonged protests. The resemblance of society at civil war suggests civilians were forced to take sides and participate.","PeriodicalId":51785,"journal":{"name":"Civil Wars","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46006909","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Social Construction of Grievance and Everyday Responses to Violent Conflict: Insights from the Maoist Conflict in West Bengal, India 不满的社会建构和对暴力冲突的日常反应:来自印度西孟加拉邦毛派冲突的见解
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2167044
Monica Carrer
{"title":"The Social Construction of Grievance and Everyday Responses to Violent Conflict: Insights from the Maoist Conflict in West Bengal, India","authors":"Monica Carrer","doi":"10.1080/13698249.2023.2167044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2023.2167044","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT While in the civil wars literature grievance is often considered as a cause of violent conflict, this paper investigates how grievances are meaningful to the people who experience violence, and how these meanings are expressed in everyday actions. Through the case of the Maoist conflict in India, in this paper I explore how grievance is socially constructed and related to action according to local people’s own narratives. This study reveals that perceptions of grievance are related not only to violent actions, but also to everyday strategies to resist violence and achieve durable peace and social change at the local level.","PeriodicalId":51785,"journal":{"name":"Civil Wars","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49261068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cherry-Picking Tradition and Selective Modernisation: The Insurgency of the Indigenous Cordillerans of the Philippines 采樱桃传统与选择性现代化:菲律宾科迪勒人的叛乱
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2177055
Cheng Xu
{"title":"Cherry-Picking Tradition and Selective Modernisation: The Insurgency of the Indigenous Cordillerans of the Philippines","authors":"Cheng Xu","doi":"10.1080/13698249.2023.2177055","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2023.2177055","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Conventional peacebuilding literature posits strong state capacity or empowerment of local knowledge as potential mechanisms for conflict resolution. Using process-tracing and ethnography, I show that an alternate pathway to peace lies in a dialectical approach by examining the armed conflict between indigenous Igorot communities against the Philippine state. When indigenous peoples strategically modernise by ‘cherry-picking’ and adapting traditions, they create opportunities to manoeuvre around and access state power. Exploiting the state’s own preconceived notions of indigeneity, Igorot communities defined the terms of their autonomy. This study introduces the understanding that statebuilding and indigenisation as hybrid processes for peacebuilding.","PeriodicalId":51785,"journal":{"name":"Civil Wars","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44295489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Legislative Elections Amid Civil Wars: Micro-Case Studies from Mali 内战中的立法选举:马里的微观案例研究
IF 1.1
Civil Wars Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13698249.2023.2177053
Alexander Thurston
{"title":"Legislative Elections Amid Civil Wars: Micro-Case Studies from Mali","authors":"Alexander Thurston","doi":"10.1080/13698249.2023.2177053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2023.2177053","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper investigates ruling parties’ calculations in wartime legislative elections. The paper argues that ruling parties’ strategies are shaped by opportunity structures and the party’s desire to protect party insiders, rather than simply by considerations about ‘government-held’ or ‘rebel-held’ territory. Ruling parties may adopt several strategies: (1) ceding seats to popular opposition candidates, even in government-controlled territory; (2) allowing rebels to run on the ruling party’s ticket; and (3) blatant electoral manipulation. Ruling parties may miscalculate, including about how much manipulation the population will countenance. The paper examines these dynamics through a case study of Mali’s 2020 legislative elections.","PeriodicalId":51785,"journal":{"name":"Civil Wars","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45243341","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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