Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis最新文献

Global chessboard: Analyzing how geopolitical risk shapes renewable energy technology investments. 全球棋盘：分析地缘政治风险如何影响可再生能源技术投资。

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/risa.14310

Xin Zheng, Chang Li, Sajid Ali, T. Adebayo

{"title":"Global chessboard: Analyzing how geopolitical risk shapes renewable energy technology investments.","authors":"Xin Zheng, Chang Li, Sajid Ali, T. Adebayo","doi":"10.1111/risa.14310","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.14310","url":null,"abstract":"The allocation of budgets for renewable energy (RE) technology is significantly influenced by geopolitical risks (GPRs), reflecting the intricate interplay among global political dynamics, social media narratives, and the strategic investment decisions essential for advancing sustainable energy solutions. Against the backdrop of increasing worldwide initiatives to transition to RE sources, it is crucial to understand how GPR affects funding allocations, informing policy decisions, and fostering international collaboration to pursue sustainable energy solutions. Existing work probes the nonlinear effect of GPR on RE technology budgets (RTB) within the top 10 economies characterized by substantial research and development investments in RE (China, USA, Germany, Japan, France, South Korea, India, the United Kingdom, Australia, and Italy). Past research largely focused on panel data techniques to delve the interconnection between GPR and RE technology, overlooking the distinctive characteristics of individual economies. Contrarily, existing investigation implements the \"Quantile-on-Quantile\" tool to explore this association on an economy-particular basis, enhancing the precision of our analysis and offering both a comprehensive global perspective and nuanced perceptions for entire countries. The findings manifest a significant reduction in funding for RE technology associated with GPR across various quantile levels in the chosen economies. The disparities in results spotlight the necessity for policymakers to perform thorough assessments and carry out competent strategies to address the variations in GPR and RTB.","PeriodicalId":517072,"journal":{"name":"Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis","volume":"6 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140653671","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Assessing relative risks of municipal wastewater disposal options for Southeast Florida. 评估佛罗里达州东南部城市废水处理方案的相对风险。

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/risa.14301

F. Bloetscher, D. Meeroff, Kelley Conboy, C. Sham, R. Fergen, Richard Gallant, James Hart, T. Shibata, M. E. Tuccillo, J. Englehardt

引用次数: 0

Benchmark dose profiles for bivariate exposures. 双变量暴露的基准剂量曲线。

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1111/risa.14303

Tugba Akkaya Hocagil, Louise M. Ryan, Richard J Cook, Khue-Dung Dang, R. C. Carter, G. Richardson, Nancy L. Day, Claire D Coles, Heather Carmichael Olson, S. Jacobson, Joseph L Jacobson

{"title":"Benchmark dose profiles for bivariate exposures.","authors":"Tugba Akkaya Hocagil, Louise M. Ryan, Richard J Cook, Khue-Dung Dang, R. C. Carter, G. Richardson, Nancy L. Day, Claire D Coles, Heather Carmichael Olson, S. Jacobson, Joseph L Jacobson","doi":"10.1111/risa.14303","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.14303","url":null,"abstract":"While benchmark dose (BMD) methodology is well-established for settings with a single exposure, these methods cannot easily handle multidimensional exposures with nonlinear effects. We propose a framework for BMD analysis to characterize the joint effect of a two-dimensional exposure on a continuous outcome using a generalized additive model while adjusting for potential confounders via propensity scores. This leads to a dose-response surface which can be summarized in two dimensions by a contour plot in which combinations of exposures leading to the same expected effect are identified. In our motivating study of prenatal alcohol exposure, cognitive deficits in children are found to be associated with both the frequency of drinking as well as the amount of alcohol consumed on each drinking day during pregnancy. The general methodological framework is useful for a broad range of settings, including combinations of environmental stressors, such as chemical mixtures, and in explorations of the impact of dose rate rather than simply cumulative exposure on adverse outcomes.","PeriodicalId":517072,"journal":{"name":"Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis","volume":"18 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140668250","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Hit-and-run or hit-and-stay? Unintended effects of a stricter BAC limit. 肇事逃逸还是肇事滞留？更严格的酒精浓度限制的意外影响。

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4714268

Michael T. French, Gulcin Gumus

引用次数: 0