Quarterly Journal of Political Science最新文献

{"title":"Sobering up after \"Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting?\"","authors":"Steven Rogers","doi":"10.1561/100.00019039","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00019039","url":null,"abstract":"“Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting?” raises questions central to understanding the extent to which individuals vote their partisanship and brings important attention to the potential observational equivalence between partisan and policy voting. In this response, I affirm some of Fowler’s arguments but also build upon existing studies to highlight that tests of the policy voting hypothesis need to seriously consider both the direct and indirect effects of partisanship to understand the relative role of policy versus partisanship. Such consideration is particularly significant as partisanship’s indirect effects can have troubling implications for democracy. I also reexamine the southern realignment and voters’ responses to hypothetical candidate policy positions, and when accounting for elite decision-making and complex information environments, I find voters respond less to candidate ideology and policy positions than suggested by Fowler’s original analyses. Together, my findings underscore the point that “policy voting and partisan intoxication are neither exhaustive nor mutually exclusive explanations” of voter behavior (Fowler 2019, 5). 1 I thank Michael Barber, Andrew Englehardt, Tyler King, Nolan McCarty, Seth McKee, and John Sides for their helpful feedback and assistance for this response. (2) “Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting?” raises questions central to understanding the extent to which individuals vote their partisanship and casts doubt that “partisanship is a hell of a drug.” I encourage readers to seriously consider Fowler’s challenges and critiques, which shed important light on what we know about partisanship’s and policy’s role in voter decision making. In this response, I affirm some of Fowler’s assertions but also provide nuance to Fowler’s arguments to bring greater attention to an underemphasized point: “policy voting and partisan intoxication are neither exhaustive nor mutually exclusive explanations” of voter behavior (Fowler 2019, 5) a point that can be at times lost in this intoxicating debate. I respond to many of Fowler’s points in the order originally made. I first broaden Fowler’s challenge to voter behavior scholars and argue that we not only need to find measures of partisanship independent of policy preferences but also continue to understand partisanship’s indirect effects on voting via policy opinions. Second, I build on Fowler’s study of the southern realignment to show that even though older and younger voters experienced the same realignment, those who came of political age prior to the civil rights movement exhibit more intoxicated voting behavior, which would be puzzling if we were in a purely policy driven world. I further highlight that the southern realignment is a story of both voter and elite electoral behavior, and once we account for elite behavior, voters respond less to candidate ideology than suggested by Fowler’s original analyses. Third, I reexamine the survey experiment considered by Fo","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00019039","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45132612","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Parents, Peers, and Politics: The Long-term Effects of Vertical Social Ties","authors":"Linuz Aggeborn, Nazita Lajevardi, K. Lindgren, Pär Nyman, Sven Oskarsson","doi":"10.1561/100.00019057","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00019057","url":null,"abstract":"We examine how one’s adult political participation is affected by having social ties to a politician during adolescence. Specifically, we estimate the long-term effect of having had a classmate during upper secondary school whose parent was running for office on future voter turnout and the likelihood of running for and winning political office. We use unique Swedish population-wide administrative data and find that students in school classes with a larger number of politically active parents are more politically active as adults, both in terms of voting and political candidacy. Our results suggest that the effect of vertical social ties is predominantly mediated ∗We thank seminar participants at Uppsala University, the Oslo Turnout Workshop (2017), Swepsa (2017), APSA (2018), and MPSA (2019) for their helpful and constructive comments. Earlier versions of this paper circulated under the titles “Do Political Acquintances Make You Politically Active?” and “The Effect of Having Peers Whose Parents Are Politicians.” This research was funded by the European Research Council (ERC), grant number 683214 CONPOL, and the Swedish Research Council (VR), grant number 2017-02472. ∗∗Although the QJPS is committed to making replication material available, this article makes use of sensitive data that cannot be publicly shared. The associated replication file contains the code needed for scholars with access to the data to fully replicate the reported result. Online Appendix available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00019057_app Supplementary Material available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00019057_supp MS submitted on 8 April 2019; final version received 28 November 2019 ISSN 1554-0626; DOI 10.1561/100.00019057 © 2020 L. Aggeborn, N. Lajevardi, K-O. Lindgren, P. Nyman and S. Oskarsson","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"15 1","pages":"221-253"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00019057","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43288120","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Partisan Intoxication or Policy Voting?","authors":"Anthony Fowler","doi":"10.1561/100.00018027a","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00018027a","url":null,"abstract":"Many political scientists believe that partisanship is an arbitrary psychological attachment that exerts a drug-like effect on voters' decisions. An implication is that voters don't care much about policy or government performance, and instead, elections are just a roll call of intoxicated partisans. I review and reassess the evidence for this view, concluding that there is no compelling evidence to support it. For many empirical tests, partisan intoxication and policy voting are observationally equivalent. Rare opportunities to partially distinguish between these possibilities like the southern realignment suggest that policy voting is more prevalent. When I conduct new tests utilizing survey experiments about hypothetical candidates, the weight of the evidence favors policy voting.","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"15 1","pages":"141-179"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00018027a","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48284316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Defending Sober Voters against Sensationalist Scholars: A Reply to Rogers","authors":"Anthony Fowler","doi":"10.1561/100.00018027b","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00018027b","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"15 1","pages":"213-219"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00018027b","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41721306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Letter from the Editors-in-Chief","authors":"Joshua D. Clinton","doi":"10.1561/100.00000001-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00000001-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00000001-1","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41841085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Candidate Elimination in Competitive Autocracies","authors":"Shichao Ma","doi":"10.1561/100.00018098","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00018098","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"15 1","pages":"105-139"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00018098","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48758050","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"An Informational Theory of Electoral Targeting in Young Clientelistic Democracies: Evidence from Senegal","authors":"J. Gottlieb, Horacio Larreguy","doi":"10.1561/100.00019018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00019018","url":null,"abstract":"An Informational Theory of Electoral Targeting in Young Clientelistic Democracies: Evidence from Senegal","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"15 1","pages":"73-104"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-01-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00019018","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43135465","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"How Cross-Cutting Discussion Shapes Support for Ethnic Politics: Evidence from an Experiment in Lebanon","authors":"Laura Paler, L. Marshall, Sami Atallah","doi":"10.1561/100.00018188","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00018188","url":null,"abstract":"How Cross-Cutting Discussion Shapes Support for Ethnic Politics: Evidence from an Experiment in Lebanon","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"15 1","pages":"33-71"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2020-01-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00018188","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41749478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Democracy and its Vulnerabilities: Dynamics of Democratic Backsliding","authors":"Zhaotian Luo, A. Przeworski","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.3469373","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3469373","url":null,"abstract":"The puzzle entailed in erosion of democracy by backsliding is how a catastrophic situation can be gradually brought about by steps against which people who would be adversely affected do not react in time. We investigate conditions which render democracy impregnable to backsliding and conditions which make it vulnerable. Democracy is sustainable, free from the threat of backsliding, when opposing politicians are neither very attractive nor very unattractive to citizens. To sustain it, citizens must allow more appealing incumbents to gain some security in office. Backsliding occurs either under \"populism,\" when citizens knowingly consent to erosion of democracy because they find the incumbent highly appealing, or under \"polarization,\" when citizens oppose the incumbent regardless of the attractiveness of the challenger, so that the incumbent can remain in office only by backsliding.","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2019-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49463277","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Voter Response to Hispanic Sounding\u0000Names: Evidence from Down-Ballot\u0000Statewide Elections","authors":"Suzanne K. Barth, N. Mittag, Kyung H. Park","doi":"10.1561/100.00018092","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00018092","url":null,"abstract":"The study of how voters respond to ethnic heuristics is complicated by the possibility that candidates differ along other dimensions that affect voter choice. This paper focuses on down-ballot statewide elections in which voters are plausibly ill-informed about candidates but can still infer race and ethnicity via the informational content in their names. Using nearly two decades of election results from the state of Texas, we find evidence of voters switching party support when their party's candidate has a distinctively Hispanic name. This result is more pronounced in counties that are expected to have higher levels of racial animosity. These findings are important since holding lower statewide office is a valuable stepping stone for minority politicians who aspire to higher office.","PeriodicalId":51622,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Political Science","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2019-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1561/100.00018092","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41904231","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}