Shucai Yang, Quanbao Jiang, Jesús J. Sánchez-Barricarte
{"title":"China’s fertility change: an analysis with multiple measures","authors":"Shucai Yang, Quanbao Jiang, Jesús J. Sánchez-Barricarte","doi":"10.1186/s12963-022-00290-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-022-00290-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2022-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43374468","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Using routine programmatic data to measure HIV incidence among pregnant women in Botswana.","authors":"Katrina F Ortblad, Shreshth Mawandia, Odirile Bakae, Lenna Tau, Matias Grande, Goabaone Pankie Mogomotsi, Esther Mmatli, Modise Ngombo, Laura Seckel, Renee Heffron, Jillian Pintye, Jenny Ledikwe","doi":"10.1186/s12963-022-00287-2","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-022-00287-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa have high risk of HIV acquisition, yet approaches for measuring maternal HIV incidence using routine surveillance systems are undefined. We used programmatic data from routine antenatal care (ANC) HIV testing in Botswana to measure real-world HIV incidence during pregnancy.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>From January 2018 to September 2019, the Botswana Ministry of Health and Wellness implemented an HIV testing program at 139 ANC clinics. The program captured information on testers' age, testing date and result, and antiretroviral treatment (ART) initiation. In our analysis, we excluded individuals who previously tested HIV-positive prior to their first ANC visit. We defined incident HIV infection as testing HIV-positive at an ANC visit after a prior HIV-negative result within ANC.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, 29,570 pregnant women (median age 26 years, IQR 22-31) tested for HIV at ANC clinics: 3% (836) tested HIV-positive at their first recorded ANC visit and 97% tested HIV-negative (28,734). Of those who tested HIV-negative, 28% (7940/28,734) had a repeat HIV test recorded at ANC. The median time to HIV re-testing was 92 days (IQR 70-112). In total, 17 previously undiagnosed HIV infections were detected (HIV incidence 8 per 1000 person-years, 95% CI 0.5-1.3). ART initiation among women newly diagnosed with HIV at ANC (853) was 88% (671/762).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>In Botswana, real-world HIV incidence among pregnant women at ANC remains above levels of HIV epidemic control (≤ 1 per 1000 person-years). This study shows how HIV programmatic data can answer timely population-level epidemiological questions and inform ongoing implementation of HIV prevention and treatment programs.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"20 1","pages":"10"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2022-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8896233/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47055849","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jamie Perin, Yue Chu, Francisco Villavicencio, Austin Schumacher, Tyler McCormick, Michel Guillot, Li Liu
{"title":"Adapting and validating the log quadratic model to derive under-five age- and cause-specific mortality (U5ACSM): a preliminary analysis.","authors":"Jamie Perin, Yue Chu, Francisco Villavicencio, Austin Schumacher, Tyler McCormick, Michel Guillot, Li Liu","doi":"10.1186/s12963-021-00277-w","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-021-00277-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The mortality pattern from birth to age five is known to vary by underlying cause of mortality, which has been documented in multiple instances. Many countries without high functioning vital registration systems could benefit from estimates of age- and cause-specific mortality to inform health programming, however, to date the causes of under-five death have only been described for broad age categories such as for neonates (0-27 days), infants (0-11 months), and children age 12-59 months.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We adapt the log quadratic model to mortality patterns for children under five to all-cause child mortality and then to age- and cause-specific mortality (U5ACSM). We apply these methods to empirical sample registration system mortality data in China from 1996 to 2015. Based on these empirical data, we simulate probabilities of mortality in the case when the true relationships between age and mortality by cause are known.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We estimate U5ACSM within 0.1-0.7 deaths per 1000 livebirths in hold out strata for life tables constructed from the China sample registration system, representing considerable improvement compared to an error of 1.2 per 1000 livebirths using a standard approach. This improved prediction error for U5ACSM is consistently demonstrated for all-cause as well as pneumonia- and injury-specific mortality. We also consistently identified cause-specific mortality patterns in simulated mortality scenarios.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The log quadratic model is a significant improvement over the standard approach for deriving U5ACSM based on both simulation and empirical results.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"20 1","pages":"3"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2022-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8744238/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10397546","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Stefan T Trautmann, Yilong Xu, Christian König-Kersting, Bryan N Patenaude, Guy Harling, Ali Sié, Till Bärnighausen
{"title":"Value of statistical life year in extreme poverty: a randomized experiment of measurement methods in rural Burkina Faso.","authors":"Stefan T Trautmann, Yilong Xu, Christian König-Kersting, Bryan N Patenaude, Guy Harling, Ali Sié, Till Bärnighausen","doi":"10.1186/s12963-021-00275-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-021-00275-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Value of a Statistical Life Year (VSLY) provides an important economic measure of an individual's trade-off between health risks and other consumption, and is a widely used policy parameter. Measuring VSLY is complex though, especially in low-income and low-literacy communities.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using a large randomized experiment (N = 3027), we study methodological aspects of stated-preference elicitation with payment cards (price lists) in an extreme poverty context. In a 2 × 2 design, we systematically vary whether buying or selling prices are measured, crossed with the range of the payment card.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We find substantial effects of both the pricing method and the list range on elicited VSLY. Estimates of the gross domestic product per capita multiplier for VSLY range from 3.5 to 33.5 depending on the study design. Importantly, all estimates are economically and statistically significantly larger than the current World Health Organization threshold of 3.0 for cost-effectiveness analyses.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our results inform design choice in VSLY measurements, and provide insight into the potential variability of these measurements and possibly robustness checks.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"19 1","pages":"45"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2021-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8596344/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10110116","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Stephen M Tollman, Peter Byass, Peter Waiswa, Hannah Blencowe, Judith Yargawa, Joy E Lawn
{"title":"Count Every Newborn: EN-INDEPTH study to improve pregnancy outcome measurement in population-based surveys.","authors":"Stephen M Tollman, Peter Byass, Peter Waiswa, Hannah Blencowe, Judith Yargawa, Joy E Lawn","doi":"10.1186/s12963-020-00243-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-020-00243-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"19 Suppl 1","pages":"5"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2021-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7868673/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10292173","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Index","authors":"","doi":"10.1515/9780822374480-014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9780822374480-014","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90118490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"2. ESTIMATING DEATH. A Close Reading of Maternal Mortality Metrics in Malawi","authors":"C. Wendland","doi":"10.1515/9780822374480-003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9780822374480-003","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85512233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"7. WHEN GOOD WORKS COUNT","authors":"L. Walkover","doi":"10.1515/9780822374480-008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9780822374480-008","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78543796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"3. THE OBLIGATION TO COUNT. The Politics of Monitoring Maternal Mortality in Nigeria","authors":"Adeola Oni-Orisan","doi":"10.1515/9780822374480-004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9780822374480-004","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"272 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79936529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"1. METRICS OF THE GLOBAL SOVEREIGN. Numbers and Stories in Global Health","authors":"Vincanne Adams","doi":"10.1515/9780822374480-002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1515/9780822374480-002","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"179 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2020-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77007722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}