Kavita Singh, Gustavo Angeles, H Luz McNaughton Reyes, Elizabeth Simmons, Alison Swiatlo, William Weiss
{"title":"Applying group-based trajectory modeling to understand under-five mortality trends and determinants in low-and lower-middle income countries.","authors":"Kavita Singh, Gustavo Angeles, H Luz McNaughton Reyes, Elizabeth Simmons, Alison Swiatlo, William Weiss","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00381-1","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-025-00381-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Reducing under-five mortality is a global health priority. Countries need specific data on which interventions have the most potential to lead to improvements to inform their programs and policies.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Group-based trajectory modeling was applied to identify distinct trajectories of under-five mortality from 2000 to 2019 in 78 low and lower-middle income countries. Both health and non-health variables were studied as time-stable covariates of trajectory group membership and as time-varying covariates of mortality rates within groups.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified four distinct groups that were primarily distinguished based on trajectory level rather than shape-low mortality, medium mortality, medium-high mortality and high mortality. All four groups had under-five trajectories that declined over time with the highest mortality group having the largest declines. We conducted two sets of bivariate analyses. The first analysis was conducted to understand what factors distinguished the different groups from one another (time stable covariate analysis), and the second analysis was done to understand what factors were significant within a group (time vaying covariate analysis). Results indicated that five factors were associated with all three comparisons of being in the low, medium and medium high groups compared to the highest mortality group. These factors were fertility rate, % of population with an improved water source, female secondary school enrollment rate, diphtheria, pertussis, tetanus dose 3 (DPT3) coverage and % of gross domestic product (GDP) on health expenditures. Results of the modeling of the within group analysis with time-varying factors indicated that higher fertility rates and higher out-of-pocket expenditures were significantly associated with greater mortality rates for all four groups. High DPT3 coverage, greater political stability, high coverage of births in a health facility and a greater % GDP on health expenditures were significantly associated with reduced under-five mortality for all four groups.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Findings from our study revealed the importance of considering both health and non-health factors in understanding trajectories of under-five mortality. In particular the fertility rate and % of GDP on health expenditures were signicant for all three comparisons of the trajectory group membership analysis (time-stable covariates) and were significant for all four groups in the within group analysis (time varying covariates). Other factors were significant for some comparisons and groups. Focusing on a number of key factors relevant to their group could help countries to further improve the health of young children.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"20"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144162579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Catherine R McGowan, Sarah A Cassidy-Seyoum, Promise Ekoriko, Mervat Alhaffar, Lucia Cassini, Jennifer Palmer, Abdihamid Warsame, Francesco Checchi
{"title":"Conflict-attributable mortality in Tigray Region, Ethiopia: Evidence from a survey of the Tigrayan diaspora.","authors":"Catherine R McGowan, Sarah A Cassidy-Seyoum, Promise Ekoriko, Mervat Alhaffar, Lucia Cassini, Jennifer Palmer, Abdihamid Warsame, Francesco Checchi","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00380-2","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-025-00380-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The war in Tigray Region, Ethiopia (November 2020 to November 2022) ended with formal commitments to accountability, but these have yet to produce publicly available accounts of the harms caused by the conflict.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We carried out an online survey of the Tigrayan diaspora to estimate mortality amongst children, adults, and older adults during, and prior to, the war-period. We collected retrospective demographic information on respondents', and their spouses', extended family inside Tigray. To mitigate selection bias, we standardised mortality estimates by rural-urban residence and wealth index.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 1011 participant-reported decedents, 810 died within Tigray, and 310 of these individuals died during the war-period. Of the 310 deaths in Tigray during the war-period, 224 (72.3%) died from intentional injuries. The standardised mortality rate for adults (15-49 years) was 21.3 per 1000 person-years (29.4 for men, 14.8 for women) during the war, and 1.0 in the preceding period (2010-2020). The mortality rate amongst older adults (≥ 60 years) was 45.1 per 1000 person-years during the war-period, compared to 22.8 in 2010-2020, and is higher than the period encompassing the Ethiopian Civil War (1974-1991) and Tigray/Wollo Famine (1984-1985). The mortality ratio (men to women) was approximately 2:1 in both adults, and older adults. The mortality rate amongst adults and older adults had been declining across the pre-war periods. Few deaths were reported amongst children. We estimate that the conflict has resulted in more than 102,000 deaths amongst those aged ≥ 15 years.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our study suggests a significant elevation in all-cause mortality, largely driven by intentional injuries. Although our pre-war-period data are likely under-reported, comparisons with other pre-war estimates corroborate these plausible elevations, particularly amongst adults. The mortality ratio, when compared to those from other settings, does not support assertions that the military strategy primarily involved the targeting of adult males, and instead suggests widespread killing of women and older adults who would not have posed a combat threat.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"19"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12096794/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144121490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rafaela Oliveira-Santos, Priscila Ribas de Farias Costa, Natanael de Jesus Silva, Juliana Freitas de Mello E Silva, Laís Silva Sacramento, Gilberto Kac, Rita de Cássia Ribeiro-Silva, Mauricio Lima Barreto
{"title":"Composite anthropometric data quality index for children under the age of 5 on the Brazilian National Food and Nutrition Surveillance System, 2019-2021.","authors":"Rafaela Oliveira-Santos, Priscila Ribas de Farias Costa, Natanael de Jesus Silva, Juliana Freitas de Mello E Silva, Laís Silva Sacramento, Gilberto Kac, Rita de Cássia Ribeiro-Silva, Mauricio Lima Barreto","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00371-3","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-025-00371-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>A composite evaluation that merges various data quality indicators separately enabled the researchers to score the overall data quality of the research. In this context, the objective of the present study is to develop composite anthropometric data quality indices for children under 5 registered on the Brazilian National Food and Nutrition Surveillance System (SISVAN) from 2019 to 2021.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Anthropometric data quality indicators were generated for 5,210 Brazilian municipalities: coverage, completeness, the ratio between the sexes, age difference index, preference for height and weight digits, biologically implausible z-score values, and standard deviation. Principal component analysis [PCA] was used to generate a composite anthropometric data quality index for standardized height-for-age (HAZ) and weight-for-height z score (WHZ) indices. The municipalities were ranked in descending order, following their anthropometric quality index values: lowest [worst quality] and highest values [best quality].</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In total, 29,367,435 records and 8,930,881 children with anthropometric measurement information were identified. The dispersion indicators, the percentage of biologically implausible values [BIV] and the digit preference had the highest factor loadings. We observed that the worst index values were found in municipalities in the country's poorest and most vulnerable regions [North, Northeast, and Central-West]. The correlation between the HAZ and WHZ quality indices was 0.74.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The proposed index provides a coherent measurement to discriminate municipal anthropometric data quality.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"18"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12076969/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144042583","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guanghui Shen, Jiahui Huang, Juan Fang, Yawen Zhen, Jiayi Tang, Liujun Wu, Xudong Yang, Shaochang Wu, Li Chen
{"title":"The mediating role of family functioning between childhood adversity and adult Health- related risk behaviors: a moderated mediation analysis of generational gap in Chinese migrant workers.","authors":"Guanghui Shen, Jiahui Huang, Juan Fang, Yawen Zhen, Jiayi Tang, Liujun Wu, Xudong Yang, Shaochang Wu, Li Chen","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00379-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-025-00379-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Adverse Childhood Experiences have been implicated in a range of health-related risk behaviors in adulthood, but there is limited research on how these patterns manifest among internal migrant workers in China. This study aims to elucidate the mediating role of family functioning and explore generational differences in this relationship.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cross-sectional study was conducted among two groups of migrant workers in China: first-generation migrant workers (FGWs) and new-generation migrant workers (NGMWs). A total of 2,187 participants completed surveys that assessed adverse childhood experiences, family functioning, and health-related risk behaviors. Mediation analysis was performed to examine the indirect effects of adverse childhood experiences on health risks through family functioning. Additionally, moderated mediation analysis was conducted to explore potential differences between FGWs and NGMWs.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Adverse childhood experiences significantly predicted higher health-related risk behaviors and lower family functioning (p < 0.001). Family Functioning mediated the relationship between adverse childhood experiences and health-related risks behaviors, which accounted for approximately 16.67% of the total effect (95% CI 0.03 to 0.07, p < 0.001). There was a significant difference in the indirect effects between NGMWs and FGWs (95% CI 0.01 to 0.06, p < 0.05). The indirect effect of adverse childhood experiences through family functioning was significant for NGMWs (p < 0.001), but non-significant for FGWs.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our study fills a critical gap in understanding the intricate links between adverse childhood experiences, family functioning, and health-related risk behaviors among China migrant workers in China. It highlights the role of family functioning as a significant mediator of the impact of early adverse childhood experiences on adult health-related risks behaviors, particularly in a vulnerable population like migrant workers. More importantly, our findings indicate that this mediation varies significantly between FGWs and NGMWs. Family functioning exhibited a stronger mediating effect between early adverse childhood experience and adult health-related risks behaviors for NGMWs compared to FGWs.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"17"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12046832/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144016858","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Improving the validity of estimates of mortality inequalities by education in England & Wales.","authors":"Gerry McCartney","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00367-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-025-00367-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Health inequalities are an important societal injustice. Understanding their scale and trends, and how they compare internationally, is needed to inform policy and practice, and also in order to evaluate the impacts of different policies. Many studies comparing health inequality trends across Europe have used educational attainment as a means of ranking adult populations, but there have been challenges as a consequence of the educational attainment data being missing, or categorising a very large proportion of the total population into a single group. Janssen et al. have recognised this challenge and have proposed an innovative and helpful method to overcome the problems of missing data. Although these are useful improvements, they still leave > 80% of the population categorised in the same group for some years, limiting the validity of the inequality measure.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"16"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12046791/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144055534","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dan Ye, Xueying Ji, Yiming Ma, Jiaheng Shi, Jiaofeng Wang, Jie Chen, Xiaona Hu, Zhijun Bao
{"title":"NPR is an independent risk factor for predicting all-cause mortality in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: evidence from NHANES 2007-2020.","authors":"Dan Ye, Xueying Ji, Yiming Ma, Jiaheng Shi, Jiaofeng Wang, Jie Chen, Xiaona Hu, Zhijun Bao","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00378-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-025-00378-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Neutrophil-associated inflammatory markers (NPR, NHR, SII, and SIRI) have been implicated in various metabolic diseases. However, studies on these markers with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and advanced liver fibrosis (ALF), as well as their impact on all-cause mortality, remain limited.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this historical cohort study, data from 8051 adults aged 20 years and older were analysed. Weighted logistic regression was used to investigate the associations of neutrophil-associated inflammatory markers with MASLD and ALF. Nonlinear associations were described via restricted cubic spline regression. The diagnostic utility was assessed via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Furthermore, weighted Kaplan‒Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models were employed to assess all-cause mortality risk. Sensitivity analyses were employed to guarantee the robustness of the findings.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Following adjustment for confounding factors, there was a significant positive association between the ln-transformed NPR, NHR, SII, and SIRI and the risk of MASLD (P < 0.001). Conversely, an inverse association was noted between the ln-transformed SII, SIRI and ALF (P < 0.05). Nonlinear relationships were identified between ln-transformed NPR, NHR, and SIRI and the risk of MASLD (P < 0.001), as well as between ln-transformed NPR, SII, and SIRI and the risk of ALF (P < 0.001). Furthermore, the ln-transformed NHR (cut-off value: - 2.571) exhibited the highest diagnostic accuracy for MASLD (AUC 0.71, 95% CI = 0.70, 0.72), whereas the NPR (cut-off value: - 3.857) demonstrated the highest diagnostic value for ALF (AUC 0.73, 95% CI = 0.70, 0.75). The results of the present study revealed an independent association between the ln-transformed NPR and an elevated risk of all-cause mortality in subjects diagnosed with MASLD. Subgroup analyses highlighted the underrepresentation of neutrophil-associated inflammatory markers in lean individuals with MASLD and ALF (BMI < 25 kg/m<sup>2</sup>).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Neutrophil-associated inflammatory markers are independently associated with MASLD and ALF. Specifically, the ln-transformed NHR and SII show promise as diagnostic markers for MASLD and ALF, respectively. Moreover, elevated ln-transformed NPR is independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in individuals with MASLD, highlighting the potential clinical relevance of these inflammatory markers in the context of steatotic liver disease.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"15"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12032722/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144057616","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Societies at risk: the association between conflict intensity and population health indicators in Venezuela.","authors":"Emilia Olson, Mhd Bahaa Aldin Alhaffar, Anneli Eriksson","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00377-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-025-00377-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Venezuela present a complex political and humanitarian context as the country is suffering from internal conflict and socio-political crisis which led to the deterioration of the health services, hyperinflation, and migration crisis, and this presents a unique case to explore the impact of conflict intensity on health outcomes. This study investigates potential relationships between conflict intensity and key health indicators in Venezuela from 2001 to 2016, focusing on malaria, heart disease mortality, and infant mortality rates.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Employing an ecological panel data analysis approach, this research analyzes state-year level data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program and the Venezuelan Health Observatory. The study focuses on assessing if and how conflict intensity influences malaria incidence, heart disease mortality rates, and under-1 infant mortality rate across Venezuelan regions, using panel data regression with fixed effects for state and year.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The study identifies a statistically significant correlation between conflict intensity high estimate and higher rates of infant mortality and heart disease mortality. Interestingly, no significant correlation was found between conflict intensity and malaria incidence. These findings suggest the multifaceted impacts of armed conflicts on health outcomes, indicating that while some health indicators deteriorate with rising conflict intensity, others may not exhibit direct correlations.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study underscores the complex relationship between armed conflict intensity and health outcomes in Venezuela, highlighting significant correlations with infant mortality and heart disease mortality, but not with malaria incidence or the conflict death best estimate. The best estimate from UCDP didn't show correlation, while the high estimate showed significant correlation. The limitations posed by the UCDP database constraints, and the absence of recent health data publication invite further research to explore the nuanced impacts of conflict on health.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"14"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11983831/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144007902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Measuring population health impact of the Trump administration's withdrawal from WHO and cuts to USAID: time to start counting.","authors":"Shereen Hussein, Jonathan M Samet","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00376-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-025-00376-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"13"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11978123/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143804777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Benjamin-Samuel Schlüter, Bruno Masquelier, Zeina Jamaluddine
{"title":"Correction to: A demographic assessment of the impact of the war in the Gaza Strip on the mortality of children and their parents in 2023.","authors":"Benjamin-Samuel Schlüter, Bruno Masquelier, Zeina Jamaluddine","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00375-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-025-00375-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"12"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11956204/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143755783","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Matthew Johnson, Wole Ademola Adewole, Victor Alegana, C Edson Utazi, Nuala McGrath, James Wright
{"title":"A scoping review of the methods used to estimate health facility catchment populations for child health indicators in sub-Saharan Africa.","authors":"Matthew Johnson, Wole Ademola Adewole, Victor Alegana, C Edson Utazi, Nuala McGrath, James Wright","doi":"10.1186/s12963-025-00374-0","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12963-025-00374-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Evidence indicating persistent geographic inequalities in health outcomes signifies a need for routine subnational monitoring of health-related Sustainable Development Goal targets in sub-Saharan Africa. Health facilities may be an appropriate subnational unit for monitoring purposes, but a lack of suitable demographic data complicates the production of baseline facility-level population denominators against which progress can be reliably measured. This scoping review aimed to map the methods and data sources used to estimate health facility catchment areas and translate them to population denominators for child health indicators in the region.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Peer-reviewed research publications and grey literature reports were identified by searching bibliographic databases and relevant organisational websites. The inclusion criteria required that studies were conducted in sub-Saharan Africa since January 2000, described quantitative method(s) for estimating health facility catchment areas and/or population denominators, and focussed on children as the population of interest. Following title/abstract then full text screening of search results, relevant data were extracted using a standard form. Thematic analysis was undertaken to extract themes and present a narrative synthesis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, 33 research publications and 3 grey literature reports were included. Of these, only 7 research studies and 1 technical guidance document outlined aims explicitly framed around methods development and/or evaluation. Studies increasingly estimated catchment areas using complex geostatistical or travel time-based modelling approaches rather than simpler proximity metrics, and produced denominators by intersecting catchment boundaries with gridded population surfaces rather than aggregating area-based administrative counts. Few studies used data produced by or describing health facilities to link estimation methods to service utilisation patterns, inter-facility competition or facility characteristics.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>There is a need for catchment population estimation methods that can be scaled to national-level facility networks and replicated across the region. This could be achieved by leveraging routinely collected health data and other readily available and nationally consistent data sources. Future methodological development should emphasise modern geostatistical approaches drawing upon the relative strengths of multiple data sources and capturing the range of spatial, supply-side, individual-level and environmental factors with potential to influence catchments' extent, shape and demographic composition.</p>","PeriodicalId":51476,"journal":{"name":"Population Health Metrics","volume":"23 1","pages":"11"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11955140/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143744408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}