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Stein’s Method Meets Computational Statistics: A Review of Some Recent Developments 斯坦因的方法与计算统计:一些最新发展的回顾
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-05-07 DOI: 10.1214/22-sts863
Andreas Anastasiou, A. Barp, F. Briol, B. Ebner, Robert E. Gaunt, Fatemeh Ghaderinezhad, Jackson Gorham, A. Gretton, Christophe Ley, Qiang Liu, Lester W. Mackey, C. Oates, G. Reinert, Yvik Swan
{"title":"Stein’s Method Meets Computational Statistics: A Review of Some Recent Developments","authors":"Andreas Anastasiou, A. Barp, F. Briol, B. Ebner, Robert E. Gaunt, Fatemeh Ghaderinezhad, Jackson Gorham, A. Gretton, Christophe Ley, Qiang Liu, Lester W. Mackey, C. Oates, G. Reinert, Yvik Swan","doi":"10.1214/22-sts863","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/22-sts863","url":null,"abstract":"Stein's method compares probability distributions through the study of a class of linear operators called Stein operators. While mainly studied in probability and used to underpin theoretical statistics, Stein's method has led to significant advances in computational statistics in recent years. The goal of this survey is to bring together some of these recent developments and, in doing so, to stimulate further research into the successful field of Stein's method and statistics. The topics we discuss include tools to benchmark and compare sampling methods such as approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo, deterministic alternatives to sampling methods, control variate techniques, parameter estimation and goodness-of-fit testing.","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43029634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 17
The Costs and Benefits of Uniformly Valid Causal Inference with High-Dimensional Nuisance Parameters 具有高维妨害参数的一致有效因果推理的成本与收益
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-05-05 DOI: 10.1214/21-sts843
Niloofar Moosavi, J. Haggstrom, X. Luna
{"title":"The Costs and Benefits of Uniformly Valid Causal Inference with High-Dimensional Nuisance Parameters","authors":"Niloofar Moosavi, J. Haggstrom, X. Luna","doi":"10.1214/21-sts843","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/21-sts843","url":null,"abstract":"Important advances have recently been achieved in developing procedures yielding uniformly valid inference for a low dimensional causal parameter when high-dimensional nuisance models must be estimated. In this paper, we review the literature on uniformly valid causal inference and discuss the costs and benefits of using uniformly valid inference procedures. Naive estimation strategies based on regularisation, machine learning, or a preliminary model selection stage for the nuisance models have finite sample distributions which are badly approximated by their asymptotic distributions. To solve this serious problem, estimators which converge uniformly in distribution over a class of data generating mechanisms have been proposed in the literature. In order to obtain uniformly valid results in high-dimensional situations, sparsity conditions for the nuisance models need typically to be made, although a double robustness property holds, whereby if one of the nuisance model is more sparse, the other nuisance model is allowed to be less sparse. While uniformly valid inference is a highly desirable property, uniformly valid procedures pay a high price in terms of inflated variability. Our discussion of this dilemma is illustrated by the study of a double-selection outcome regression estimator, which we show is uniformly asymptotically unbiased, but is less variable than uniformly valid estimators in the numerical experiments conducted.","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48898490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Comment: Settle the Unsettling: An Inferential Models Perspective 评论:解决不安:一个推理模型的视角
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.1214/21-STS765B
Chuanhai Liu, Ryan Martin
{"title":"Comment: Settle the Unsettling: An Inferential Models Perspective","authors":"Chuanhai Liu, Ryan Martin","doi":"10.1214/21-STS765B","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/21-STS765B","url":null,"abstract":"Here, we demonstrate that the inferential model (IM) framework, unlike the updating rules that Gong and Meng show to be unreliable, provides valid and efficient inferences/prediction while not being susceptible to sure loss. In this sense, the IM framework settles what Gong and Meng characterized as “unsettling.”","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41743877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
The Box–Cox Transformation: Review and Extensions Box-Cox转换:回顾和扩展
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.1214/20-STS778
A. Atkinson, M. Riani, A. Corbellini
{"title":"The Box–Cox Transformation: Review and Extensions","authors":"A. Atkinson, M. Riani, A. Corbellini","doi":"10.1214/20-STS778","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/20-STS778","url":null,"abstract":"The Box-Cox power transformation family for non-negative responses in linear models has a long and interesting history in both statistical practice and theory, which we summarize. The relationship between generalized linear models and log transformed data is illustrated. Extensions investigated include the transform both sides model and the Yeo-Johnson transformation for observations that can be positive or negative. The paper also describes an extended Yeo-Johnson transformation that allows positive and negative responses to have different power transformations. Analyses of data show this to be necessary. Robustness enters in the fan plot for which the forward search provides an ordering of the data. Plausible transformations are checked with an extended fan plot. These procedures are used to compare parametric power transformations with nonparametric transformations produced by smoothing.","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48376839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 44
A selective overview of deep learning. 深度学习的选择性概述。
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-05-01 Epub Date: 2020-04-19 DOI: 10.1214/20-sts783
Jianqing Fan, Cong Ma, Yiqiao Zhong
{"title":"A selective overview of deep learning.","authors":"Jianqing Fan, Cong Ma, Yiqiao Zhong","doi":"10.1214/20-sts783","DOIUrl":"10.1214/20-sts783","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Deep learning has achieved tremendous success in recent years. In simple words, deep learning uses the composition of many nonlinear functions to model the complex dependency between input features and labels. While neural networks have a long history, recent advances have greatly improved their performance in computer vision, natural language processing, etc. From the statistical and scientific perspective, it is natural to ask: What is deep learning? What are the new characteristics of deep learning, compared with classical methods? What are the theoretical foundations of deep learning? To answer these questions, we introduce common neural network models (e.g., convolutional neural nets, recurrent neural nets, generative adversarial nets) and training techniques (e.g., stochastic gradient descent, dropout, batch normalization) from a statistical point of view. Along the way, we highlight new characteristics of deep learning (including depth and over-parametrization) and explain their practical and theoretical benefits. We also sample recent results on theories of deep learning, many of which are only suggestive. While a complete understanding of deep learning remains elusive, we hope that our perspectives and discussions serve as a stimulus for new statistical research.</p>","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":"36 2","pages":"264-290"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8300482/pdf/nihms-1639566.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39219267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Robust high dimensional factor models with applications to statistical machine learning. 鲁棒高维因子模型及其在统计机器学习中的应用。
IF 3.9 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-05-01 Epub Date: 2021-04-19 DOI: 10.1214/20-sts785
Jianqing Fan, Kaizheng Wang, Yiqiao Zhong, Ziwei Zhu
{"title":"Robust high dimensional factor models with applications to statistical machine learning.","authors":"Jianqing Fan, Kaizheng Wang, Yiqiao Zhong, Ziwei Zhu","doi":"10.1214/20-sts785","DOIUrl":"10.1214/20-sts785","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Factor models are a class of powerful statistical models that have been widely used to deal with dependent measurements that arise frequently from various applications from genomics and neuroscience to economics and finance. As data are collected at an ever-growing scale, statistical machine learning faces some new challenges: high dimensionality, strong dependence among observed variables, heavy-tailed variables and heterogeneity. High-dimensional robust factor analysis serves as a powerful toolkit to conquer these challenges. This paper gives a selective overview on recent advance on high-dimensional factor models and their applications to statistics including Factor-Adjusted Robust Model selection (FarmSelect) and Factor-Adjusted Robust Multiple testing (FarmTest). We show that classical methods, especially principal component analysis (PCA), can be tailored to many new problems and provide powerful tools for statistical estimation and inference. We highlight PCA and its connections to matrix perturbation theory, robust statistics, random projection, false discovery rate, etc., and illustrate through several applications how insights from these fields yield solutions to modern challenges. We also present far-reaching connections between factor models and popular statistical learning problems, including network analysis and low-rank matrix recovery.</p>","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":"36 2","pages":"303-327"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2021-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8315369/pdf/nihms-1639567.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39254018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comment: On the History and Limitations of Probability Updating 评论:概率更新的历史和局限性
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1214/21-STS765A
G. Shafer
{"title":"Comment: On the History and Limitations of Probability Updating","authors":"G. Shafer","doi":"10.1214/21-STS765A","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/21-STS765A","url":null,"abstract":"Gong and Meng show that we can gain insights into classical paradoxes about conditional probability by acknowledging that apparently precise probabilities live within a larger world of imprecise probability. They also show that the notion of updating becomes problematic in this larger world. A closer look at the historical development of the notion of updating can give us further insights into its limitations.","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42864081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comment: Moving Beyond Sets of Probabilities 评论:超越概率集
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1214/21-STS765C
G. Wheeler
{"title":"Comment: Moving Beyond Sets of Probabilities","authors":"G. Wheeler","doi":"10.1214/21-STS765C","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/21-STS765C","url":null,"abstract":"The theory of lower previsions is designed around the principles of coherence and sure-loss avoidance, thus steers clear of all the updating anomalies highlighted in Gong and Meng’s “Judicious Judgment Meets Unsettling Updating: Dilation, Sure Loss and Simpson’s Paradox” except dilation. In fact, the traditional problem with the theory of imprecise probability is that coherent inference is too complicated rather than unsettling. Progress has been made simplifying coherent inference by demoting sets of probabilities from fundamental building blocks to secondary representations that are derived or discarded as needed.","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45118344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Stochastic Approximation: From Statistical Origin to Big-Data, Multidisciplinary Applications 随机逼近:从统计起源到大数据,多学科应用
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1214/20-STS784
T. Lai, Hongsong Yuan
{"title":"Stochastic Approximation: From Statistical Origin to Big-Data, Multidisciplinary Applications","authors":"T. Lai, Hongsong Yuan","doi":"10.1214/20-STS784","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/20-STS784","url":null,"abstract":"Stochastic approximation was introduced in 1951 to provide a new theoretical framework for root finding and optimization of a regression function in the then-nascent field of statistics. This review shows how it has evolved in response to other developments in statistics, notably time series and sequential analysis, and to applications in artificial intelligence, economics, and engineering. Its resurgence in the Big Data Era has led to new advances in both theory and applications of this microcosm of statistics and data science.","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43506417","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Noncommutative Probability and Multiplicative Cascades 非交换概率与乘级联
IF 5.7 1区 数学
Statistical Science Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.1214/20-STS780
I. McKeague
{"title":"Noncommutative Probability and Multiplicative Cascades","authors":"I. McKeague","doi":"10.1214/20-STS780","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1214/20-STS780","url":null,"abstract":"Various aspects of standard model particle physics might be explained by a suitably rich algebra acting on itself, as suggested by Furey (2015). The present paper develops the asymptotics of large causal tree diagrams that combine freely independent elements in such an algebra. The Marčenko–Pastur law and Wigner’s semicircle law are shown to emerge as limits of normalized sum-over-paths of nonnegative elements assigned to the edges of causal trees. These results are established in the setting of noncommutative probability. Trees with classically independent positive edge weights (random multiplicative cascades) were originally proposed by Mandelbrot as a model displaying the fractal features of turbulence. The novelty of the present work is the use of noncommutative (free) probability to allow the edge weights to take values in an algebra. An application to theoretical neuroscience is also discussed.","PeriodicalId":51172,"journal":{"name":"Statistical Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2021-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43723597","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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