{"title":"Decoupling economic growth from energy use: The role of energy intensity in an endogenous growth model","authors":"Tobias Bergmann , Matthias Kalkuhl","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108519","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108519","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We develop a theory of endogenous economic growth with explicit consideration of energy in the production process. Following basic thermodynamic considerations, energy is modeled as a (perfect) complement to machines. Long-run economic growth is driven by expanding product varieties. While energy flows on Earth are currently abundant, extrapolation of past consumption trends suggests that energy supply might be a binding constraint in a few centuries to millennia. We show that constant economic growth with bounded energy use is possible if the energy intensity of newly developed products declines at a constant, positive, and arbitrarily small rate. Hence, aggregate decoupling is possible even when no decoupling at the product level is possible. Aggregate decoupling is, however, not possible if there exists a strictly positive lower bound for the energy intensity of newly invented products. We further show that increasing energy prices decrease growth rates by reducing the incentive to innovate. Our results suggest that the energy intensity of structural change is decisive for future growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108519"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142989204","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Enrico A.R. D’Ecclesiis , Eugenio Levi , Fabrizio Patriarca
{"title":"Exploring the multifaceted relationship between environmental attitudes and political voting","authors":"Enrico A.R. D’Ecclesiis , Eugenio Levi , Fabrizio Patriarca","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108518","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108518","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the intricate connection between various individual attitudes toward the environment and support for environmental political parties is essential. In this study, we use the 2016 climate change module from the European Social Survey, employing a wide range of individual features and a machine learning approach to explore this complex relationship. Our analysis reveals a decoupling between personal and political dimensions of pro-environmental attitudes. While pro-environmental sensitivity and climate change awareness primarily identify individuals engaged in ecologically-conscious personal behavior, they do not necessarily indicate support for eco-friendly policies. Furthermore, while sensitivity and engagement are associated with increased civic participation and less support for populist political parties, increased support for pro-environmental parties is primarily linked to policy support for eco-friendly initiatives. These findings emphasize the need for comprehensive strategies to garner support for environmental policies in both personal and political realms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108518"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142989205","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Are national climate change mitigation pledges shaped by citizens' mitigation preferences? Evidence from globally representative data","authors":"Heinz Welsch","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108520","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108520","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Paris Agreement on Climate Change requests signatory countries to specify voluntary targets for their greenhouse gas emissions. The targets stated by the end of 2021 imply percentage emission reductions that vary widely across countries. This paper uses globally representative data from the Global Climate Change Survey to study how countries' emission reduction pledges are related to climate action preferences of their respective citizens. The study finds the following: (1) Nations' percentage reduction pledges (PRPs) are not significantly related to citizens' mean national willingness to contribute (WTC) to climate change mitigation. (2) WTC and PRPs are linked to key country characteristics in diametrically opposite ways. Specifically, (2a) WTC is positively related to average annual temperatures and negatively related to per-capita income and per-capita emissions, whereas (2b) PRPs are negatively related to average annual temperature and positively related to per-capita income and per-capita emissions. (3) Measures of divergence between PRPs and WTC are negatively related to citizens' satisfaction with democracy. Assuming that temperatures, per-capita income, and per-capita emissions indicate sensitivity to climate change, adaptive capacity, and mitigation costs, respectively, finding (2a) is consistent with standard cost-benefit considerations. Assuming that per-capita emissions and per-capita income indicate “Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities”, finding (2b) is consistent with ethical principles of equity and fairness. Considering right-wing populists' using climate change as a political battleground, finding (3) suggests the possibility that ambitious mitigation targets may backfire by fuelling support for anti-climate populist parties – a political-economy tragedy of the commons.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108520"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142989206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Olesya M. Savchenko , Robert Botta , Roberto Koeneke , Jana Hilsenroth , Kelly A. Grogan , Holden E. Harris , Christa D. Court
{"title":"Valuing coastal fisheries and seagrasses: A case study of estuarine resources on Florida's Nature Coast","authors":"Olesya M. Savchenko , Robert Botta , Roberto Koeneke , Jana Hilsenroth , Kelly A. Grogan , Holden E. Harris , Christa D. Court","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108517","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108517","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study uses a choice experiment survey of 1002 Florida residents and visitors to estimate willingness to pay for environmental programs leading to changes in populations of recreationally and economically important fish (red drum, seatrout, snook) and abundance of seagrass on Florida's Nature Coast. We estimate a series of random parameter logit models and conduct a latent class analysis to explore heterogeneity in preferences. Our results suggest that respondents are willing to pay to prevent declines in populations and abundance of all four aquatic resources. However, respondents are only willing to pay for increases in spotted seatrout and seagrasses. Our analysis further shows that female respondents, individuals with a bachelor's degree or higher, and those who have visited or fished on the Nature Coast are more likely to pay for an environmental program to improve environmental conditions. These results inform resource management decisions aimed at preserving estuarine and coastal resources on the Nature Coast and similar regions worldwide threatened by the negative impacts of human activities and climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108517"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142967830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Olumide O. Olaoye , Mulatu F. Zerihun , Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan
{"title":"Is resource endowment a trigger for conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa? Unveiling the moderating role of income inequality","authors":"Olumide O. Olaoye , Mulatu F. Zerihun , Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108516","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108516","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The literature on the effect of natural resources on conflicts is far from being conclusive. Recent evidence suggests that the relationship between natural resources and violent conflicts may be influenced by income inequality. That is, inequitable distribution of economic and natural resources increases the incentives for resource-rich countries to engage in conflicts. The main contribution of this study to the growing body of research on natural resources and conflicts is that it provides empirical evidence on the moderating role of income inequality in natural resources—conflict nexus in SSA. The study adopts the ordinary least square (OLS), the two-step system GMM and Driscoll and Kraay covariance estimator. The result shows that natural resources do not have any direct effect on conflicts. However, the interaction of income inequality and natural resources increases conflicts in SSA. The result also shows that quality of government, domestic investment, regime durability, and education are important determinants of conflicts in SSA. Lastly, the result shows that tax revenue has a negative and statistically significant effect on conflicts. The research and policy implications are discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108516"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142967831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Macroeconomic, sectoral and financial dynamics in energy transitions: A stock-flow consistent, input-output approach","authors":"Andrew Jackson, Tim Jackson","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108507","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108507","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper develops a stock-flow consistent, input-output (SFC-IO) model that is able to simulate a number of the risks and opportunities associated with different types of transitions to net zero. In particular, the model is able to capture transition related impacts stemming from changes in: i) green investment; ii) energy return on energy invested (EROI); and iii) financial transition risks. We use this model to simulate a number of different types of energy transitions (i.e. orderly versus disorderly, anticipated versus unanticipated) to better understand the potential links and feedback effects between these different transition features and how they might generate non-linear dynamics along the transition pathway.</div><div>Novel or semi novel aspects of the model include: i) multiple firm sectors and goods types; ii) the integration of a dynamic input-output model into the SFC model; iii) the use of an almost ideal demand system; iv) firms that produce distinct capital vintages which have defined lifespans and endogenously determined levels of labour productivity and material goods inputs; v) endogenous markups which are set to generate a target profit rate on each individual capital vintage (and cover interest payments, retained earnings and loan repayments); vi) the tracking of individual loans (which are linked to distinct capital vintages), loan repayments, and loan defaults; vii) the exit and bankruptcy of the fossil fuel sector during the transition process.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108507"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142967832","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effect of the beef zero deforestation commitment in the Brazilian Amazon: A spatial panel data analysis","authors":"Diogo Vallim , Alexandre Leichsenring","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108503","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108503","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the effects of the Beef Zero Deforestation Commitment (Beef ZDC) on deforestation rates in the Brazilian Amazon. Using a spatial panel data regression model, the study analyzes data from 280 municipalities across three states of the Brazilian Amazon at three time points. The outcome variable, created through a geoprocessing technique, reflects the intensity of slaughterhouse activity under the zero-deforestation commitment within municipal jurisdictional limits. The findings show that higher Beef ZDC intensity is significantly associated with reductions in deforestation, with a 1 % increase in Beef ZDC intensity leading to a total 0.32 % decrease in deforestation, accounting for both direct and indirect effects. The direct effect means reductions within the municipality, likely due to stricter environmental standards and enhanced monitoring, while the indirect effect stems from spatial dependence, where actions in one municipality affect neighboring areas. Additionally, the study reveals a spatial autoregressive effect, where deforestation in one municipality triggers significant further deforestation in adjacent areas. The analysis underscores the importance of incorporating spatial dependence, using the adequate unit of analysis and considering local governance contexts, such as institutional arrangements, political economy factors, and organizational practices in investigating the outcomes of hybrid regulatory initiatives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108503"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142925044","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Simon Cornée , Damien Rousselière , Véronique Thelen
{"title":"The environmental benefits of grassroots cooperatives in agriculture","authors":"Simon Cornée , Damien Rousselière , Véronique Thelen","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108513","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108513","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyses the environmental benefits of grassroots cooperation in agriculture. Specifically, it focuses on the French context, which is characterised by a heavy reliance on pesticides and by strong inter-farmer interactions structured within farm machinery sharing cooperatives (CUMAs). We theorise that these social interactions are strategically complementary in the sense that the agroecological practices of farmers involved in the CUMA network, in a given spatial unit, are influenced by the presence and actions of CUMA members in their vicinity. At the extensive margin, increased peer-to-peer interactions, driven by a higher density of CUMA members, foster sociotechnical exchanges conducive to reducing pesticide use. At the intensive margin, if members individually make greater use of their CUMA, they collectively gain access to technologically advanced machinery assets, which leads to a reduction in pesticide use through improvements in technical efficiency. Our econometric analysis, based on a dataset provided by the National Federation of CUMAs covering 5793 individual cooperatives, fully supports the extensive-margin mechanism. The intensive-margin mechanism, however, is only observed for greater use of agroecological equipment by CUMA members, suggesting a rebound effect when it comes to conventional equipment. Overall, these results point to the idea of a ‘hidden agroecological transition.’</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108513"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142925070","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Peipei Tian , Haoyu Ma , Zeyi Zhang , Yang Yu , Dan Li
{"title":"China's current carbon inequality is predominantly determined by capital disparity","authors":"Peipei Tian , Haoyu Ma , Zeyi Zhang , Yang Yu , Dan Li","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108515","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108515","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The responsibility for carbon emissions is unequally distributed among socioeconomic groups due to consumption and wealth inequality. Examining carbon inequality is crucial for achieving fair and just climate mitigation. As the world largest carbon emitter, China has been the focus of numerous studies on carbon inequality. However, most of these studies have primarily concentrated on the inequality of household consumption-related emissions, overlooking the nation's largest carbon emission category: capital formation. In this study, we investigate national and provincial carbon inequality in China among income groups, involving three consumption-based emission categories: household consumption, government spending, and capital formation-related emissions. The results reveal that the top 20 % of urban residents, comprising 9.7 % of the population, are responsible for 33 % of the capital formation-related carbon emissions. In contrast, the lowest 20 % of rural residents, accounting for 8.6 % of the population, contribute only 2 % of such emissions. The carbon inequality associated with capital formation is significantly larger than that of household consumption in almost all provinces. Further decomposition analysis shows that carbon inequality in capital formation is the dominant contributors (more than 60 % in 24 out of 29 provinces) to China's overall carbon inequality. These findings suggest that reducing carbon emissions and addressing inequality should focus on the capital/investment of the high-income groups.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108515"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143158180","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Prosocial and financial incentives for biodiversity conservation: A field experiment using a smartphone app","authors":"Shusaku Sasaki , Takahiro Kubo , Shodai Kitano","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108506","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108506","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ascertaining the number, type, and location of plant, insect, and animal species is essential for biodiversity conservation. However, it is difficult to comprehensively monitor the situation using only expert-led surveys, and therefore information voluntarily provided by citizens is helpful in determining species distribution. To effectively encourage citizens to share data, this study proposed a prosocial incentive that rewards providing species information with donations for endangered species conservation activities. We conducted a field experiment with users (<em>N</em> = 830) of a widely used Japanese smartphone app “biome” where they post species photos and measured the incentive's effect on their posting behavior. In addition, we measured the effect of a financial incentive that provides monetary rewards for posting species photos and compared the two incentives' effects. The analyses revealed that while the prosocial incentive did not increase the number of posts on average, it could influence the content of the posts, increasing the proportion of posts on rare species. In contrast, the financial incentive significantly increased the total number of posts and, in particular, the number of posts on less rare and invasive species. Our results indicate that the prosocial and financial incentives could stimulate different motivations and encourage different posting behaviors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108506"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142925045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}