Agricultural Economics最新文献_第3页

Beyond Metropolitan Averages: Food Demand Across Local Markets 超越都市平均水平：当地市场的食品需求

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-07-06 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70130

Justin D. Bina

{"title":"Beyond Metropolitan Averages: Food Demand Across Local Markets","authors":"Justin D. Bina","doi":"10.1111/agec.70130","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70130","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Demand estimates are commonly used to inform firm strategy and public policy, yet they can obscure important variation in demand across geographic space that is relevant for local business decisions and policy interventions. Prior work documents demand heterogeneity across countries, regions, states, and between coarse urban-rural categories, but evidence on sub-metropolitan variation is limited. This study documents within-metro geographic heterogeneity in market shares and willingness-to-pay (WTP) for retail and foodservice protein products. I use nearly six years of publicly available survey data and random parameters logit models that include municipality interactions with alternative-specific constants and price sensitivity to estimate municipality-specific market shares and WTP in the Phoenix metropolitan area. Demand varies substantially across adjacent municipalities. Central Phoenix residents exhibit higher retail WTP for conventional beef, pork, and chicken products, while both central Phoenix and Scottsdale-Tempe residents show consistently higher foodservice WTP. Median WTP in these municipalities is roughly 30–50% higher than in surrounding suburbs, whereas suburban groups exhibit similar valuations to one another. These within-metro differences are large enough to affect targeted pricing and assortment strategies and to produce uneven distributional welfare effects from local price policies (e.g., taxes). The results suggest that investment in geographically refined demand analyses could better inform policy interventions and business decisions at the local level, where those decisions are often made.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-07-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148462850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Food Price Crises and the Insulation of Domestic Grain Markets 粮食价格危机与国内粮食市场的隔离

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70125

Clemens Hoffmann, Lina Kastens, Alberto Portugal-Perez, Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel

{"title":"Food Price Crises and the Insulation of Domestic Grain Markets","authors":"Clemens Hoffmann, Lina Kastens, Alberto Portugal-Perez, Stephan von Cramon-Taubadel","doi":"10.1111/agec.70125","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70125","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Studies that analyze the transmission of food prices from international to domestic markets for large sets of countries and products assume that price relationships are time-invariant. However, studies that look in detail at individual countries and products show that countries respond to increasing international food prices with measures that increase the insulation of their domestic markets and thus weaken international-to-domestic price transmission. We analyze relationships between international prices and a large set of domestic prices for wheat, yellow and white maize, and rice using a smooth-transition error correction model. This specification relaxes the assumption of time-invariant price transmission by allowing price relationships and domestic market insulation to vary over time depending on international price levels. The results confirm that international-to-domestic price transmission weakens in many countries during periods of high international prices, such as 2007/08 and 2022. Our findings highlight a collective action problem: as more countries insulate, the global trading system's capacity to buffer shocks diminishes, amplifying volatility and food security risks.</p>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.70125","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148386345","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Small Midges, Major Consequences: Partial Declines in Cocoa Pollination and Their Economic Impact in West Africa and Beyond 小蚊，主要后果：可可授粉部分下降及其对西非和其他地区的经济影响

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70117

Falk Krumbe, Camillus Abawiera Wongnaa, Arndt Feuerbacher

{"title":"Small Midges, Major Consequences: Partial Declines in Cocoa Pollination and Their Economic Impact in West Africa and Beyond","authors":"Falk Krumbe, Camillus Abawiera Wongnaa, Arndt Feuerbacher","doi":"10.1111/agec.70117","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70117","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Cocoa production forms the backbone of West Africa's agricultural economy, sustaining smallholder farmers whose livelihoods depend on stable yields. Critical to these yields is the provision of pollination services by a few key species, notably, the minuscule <i>Forcipomyia</i> spp. While many studies have modeled the effects of complete pollinator collapse, the impacts of gradual declines remain little studied. In this study, we develop an integrated ecological–economic model that links pollinator abundance with cocoa yield, incorporating the global cocoa market and an economy-wide framework for Ghana, one of the world's major cocoa producers. We examine scenarios in which declines in pollinator populations occur at regional, national, and supranational scales. Our analysis reveals that localized declines in pollinator populations detrimentally affect cocoa farmers and Ghana's national economy, with rural communities and low-income households bearing a disproportionate share of the welfare losses. In contrast, widespread declines across West Africa trigger a “King effect” where rising global cocoa prices partially mitigate production losses, benefiting farmers while overall consumer surplus declines. These results highlight the necessity of conserving pollinator biodiversity to safeguard cocoa production and economic welfare at multiple scales.</p>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.70117","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148386138","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Online Benefit Redemption and SNAP Participation: Evidence From the SNAP Online Purchasing Pilot 在线福利兑换和SNAP参与：来自SNAP在线购买试点的证据

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-06-17 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70128

Chaebeen Yoon, Xiaowei Zhang, Qingxiao Li

{"title":"Online Benefit Redemption and SNAP Participation: Evidence From the SNAP Online Purchasing Pilot","authors":"Chaebeen Yoon, Xiaowei Zhang, Qingxiao Li","doi":"10.1111/agec.70128","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70128","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) is the largest federal nutrition assistance program in the United States, yet many eligible households do not participate due to administrative burdens, stigma, and geographic access constraints. We examine whether the SNAP Online Purchasing Pilot (OPP), which allows beneficiaries to redeem benefits online, affects program participation. Using a difference-in-differences design with state-level data from 2017 to 2021, we find that SNAP OPP increases program participation per capita by 13.7% (1.6 percentage points) and participation among individuals below the poverty line by 11.3% (11 percentage points). Event-study estimates indicate effects emerge within three months and persist thereafter. Participation gains are larger in states with higher digital infrastructure (computer ownership and internet access) and greater vehicle access, indicating that online and physical access function as complements. States with higher shares of elderly residents and households with children also exhibit stronger responses. These findings suggest that enabling online benefit redemption can expand safety net access, though benefits vary systematically with local infrastructure and demographic composition.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148282237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Role of Economic and Weather Conditions in Farmer Suicide in the United States 经济和天气条件在美国农民自杀中的作用

IF 4 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-06-12 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70127

Qi Wu, Pierre Mérel, Richard J. Sexton

{"title":"The Role of Economic and Weather Conditions in Farmer Suicide in the United States","authors":"Qi Wu, Pierre Mérel, Richard J. Sexton","doi":"10.1111/agec.70127","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70127","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Farmers commit suicide at high rates relative to the general population in the United States and elsewhere. Prior studies on farmer suicide have generally focused on socio-demographic characteristics of individuals and on method of suicide, but few quantitative analyses have sought to understand the possible role of economic and climatic factors as determinants of suicide among farmers. This study addresses this void. We develop an economic model to show how poor economic outcomes or adverse weather conditions can reduce current-period utility and diminish expectations of future utility through accumulation of debt and formation of expectations of future economic and climatic conditions, with suicide resulting in extreme cases. Our empirical analysis merges CDC nonpublic vital statistics, PRISM daily weather data, and USDA NASS crop and livestock price data into a county-year panel to estimate the relationship between weather variables, economic factors, and farmer suicides. Results based upon a Poisson regression model show that long-term, not transitory, poor economic conditions are associated with higher rates of farmer suicide. Extreme heat is also associated with increased farmer suicide, especially in counties most reliant upon animal agriculture. Precipitation appears to play little role in U.S. farmer suicide.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148237900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Gamification as an Approach To Enhance Comprehension in Risk Elicitation: Experimental Evidence From Smallholder Farmers 游戏化是提高风险诱导理解的途径：来自小农的实验证据

IF 4 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-06-04 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70124

Selina Bruns, Daniel Hermann, Oliver Musshoff

{"title":"Gamification as an Approach To Enhance Comprehension in Risk Elicitation: Experimental Evidence From Smallholder Farmers","authors":"Selina Bruns, Daniel Hermann, Oliver Musshoff","doi":"10.1111/agec.70124","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70124","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding risk attitudes is critical for agricultural development, as risk is ubiquitous in the lives of smallholder farmers. Accurate elicitation of risk attitudes is essential to analyze patterns and biases in decision-making. Ensuring comprehension and attention in risk elicitation tasks is particularly important, as inattentiveness generates noise rather than reliable results. Achieving this remains challenging, especially among smallholder farmers in the Global South, since many sophisticated risk elicitation methods require numerical skills that rural populations often lack due to limited education. To contribute to addressing this problem, we isolate the effects of illustration and gamification in risk elicitation tasks-two elements that may increase attention and engagement, potentially producing lower inconsistencies and more reliable results. We empirically test the <i>Wheel</i>-task, an elicitation method designed to be easy to understand and engaging, to motivate participation. The task follows a wheel-of-fortune model, where a spin determines the payout, while participants can always choose between spinning the wheel and a safe payout. We compare the <i>Wheel</i>-task results to the well-established Holt and Laury task (HL-task) in its original form, as well as with probabilities illustrated using the wheel. We collected the data among smallholder coffee farmers from rural Colombia and Peru and in a pilot phase among smallholder farmers from rural Cambodia. We find low levels of comprehension across all three tasks. More specifically, we find no substantial difference in comprehension or levels of risk aversion when illustrating the probabilities in the HL-task using a wheel. However, gamification affects levels of risk aversion, although these effects appear to be culturally dependent.</p>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.70124","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148174145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Land Consolidation, Tenure Documentation, and Land Rental Markets: Evidence from rural Vietnam 土地整理、权属文件和土地租赁市场：来自越南农村的证据

IF 4 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-06-02 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70126

Kim Lan Nguyen

{"title":"Land Consolidation, Tenure Documentation, and Land Rental Markets: Evidence from rural Vietnam","authors":"Kim Lan Nguyen","doi":"10.1111/agec.70126","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70126","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Land fragmentation is widely recognized as a constraint on smallholder agriculture, raising production costs, limiting mechanization, and reducing efficiency. Land consolidation programs have been introduced in many countries to address this problem, yet their economic effects depend not only on plot reconfiguration but also on institutional implementation and land market functioning. This paper examines the impacts of Vietnam's state-led land consolidation program using six waves of household panel data (2008–2018) from two provinces where consolidation was implemented. Impacts are estimated with two-way fixed effects and a staggered difference-in-differences approach that accounts for heterogeneous adoption timing. The results show that the consolidation program substantially reduced land fragmentation: the number of plots per household fell by roughly three plots, average plot size increased by about 66 percent, and the distance between plots and homesteads declined by approximately 23 percent. At the same time, administrative delays in reissuing land-use-right certificates temporarily reduced the share of titled and collateral-eligible land. While households’ overall access to credit is not adversely affected, land rental markets are significantly disrupted, with both rent-in and rent-out declining. Such reductions in land transactions may impede efficient land reallocation and operational scale adjustment, thereby delaying investment and productivity gains from improved land structure. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of institutional implementation and complementary market functioning for realizing the benefits of land consolidation in Vietnam and other smallholder economies.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148173793","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Farmland Liquidity Under a Tightened Ownership Regime: Urban–Rural Heterogeneity in South Korea 收紧所有权制度下的农地流动性：韩国的城乡异质性

IF 4 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-06-02 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70123

Jiseon Choi, Gwangseok Chae

{"title":"Farmland Liquidity Under a Tightened Ownership Regime: Urban–Rural Heterogeneity in South Korea","authors":"Jiseon Choi, Gwangseok Chae","doi":"10.1111/agec.70123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70123","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In real estate markets featuring substantial search friction and strong seller loss aversion, external shocks that shift buyer valuations are largely reflected in liquidity fluctuations, while price adjustments tend to be rigid. This study examines market liquidity shifts following the tightening of South Korean farmland ownership regulations, utilizing the 2021 Farmland Act amendment and nationwide parcel-level transaction data (2013−2023). We estimate the relationships between land liquidity, policy change, and key macro variables (i.e. interest rates) using a monthly county fixed-effects model. We find that the amendment is significantly associated with a 10%−11% reduction in nationwide market liquidity, as measured by the turnover rate. This negative relationship is geographically heterogeneous, being more pronounced in rural areas while statistically insignificant in investment-driven urban areas. Furthermore, our decomposition analysis reveals that the post-enforcement drop in observed market liquidity is mostly associated with rising interest rates. The role of interest rates is more dominant in urbanized areas than rural ones, reflecting the higher concentration of investment-driven buyers and substantial capital requirements for land acquisition in these regions. Our findings demonstrate that the market response to ownership regulation is strongly mediated by local market conditions, highlighting the challenges of enforcing stringent policies in areas with high investment potential.</p>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.70123","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148173808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

From Meat to Plant-Based Products? The Enduring Impact of BSE on Beef Consumption 从肉类到植物性产品？疯牛病对牛肉消费的持久影响

IF 4 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-06-02 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70120

Jader Velásquez, Shon Ferguson

引用次数: 0

A Targeting Bonus for More Effective Agri-Environmental Policy 更有效的农业环境政策的目标奖金

IF 4 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-05-28 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70122

Matteo Zavalloni, Katherine Simpson, Nick Hanley

{"title":"A Targeting Bonus for More Effective Agri-Environmental Policy","authors":"Matteo Zavalloni, Katherine Simpson, Nick Hanley","doi":"10.1111/agec.70122","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70122","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Despite significant policy interventions and conservation initiatives, incentives for the conservation of biodiversity have been criticised for being ecologically ineffective and economically inefficient. This paper examines a novel approach to improve the ecological and economic performance of such incentives. Specifically, we analyse the ecological and economic effectiveness of a targeting bonus which establishes a two-part subsidy for changes to land management when the ecological benefits of such changes vary spatially. Using a spatially explicit mathematical programming model applied to an empirical case study in the UK, we show that a targeting bonus has the potential to enhance efficiency, with the magnitude of gains depending on the strength of the spatial correlation between opportunity costs and ecological benefits, as well as the size of the budget and the definition of the targeting zone. We find that the targeting bonus offers major advantages when the most ecologically beneficial land parcels are positively correlated with highest opportunity costs for farmers; and that the additional benefits of the targeting bonus relative to a no-bonus subsidy scheme eventually decline as the share of the bonus is increased.</p>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2026-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.70122","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148174873","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0