Agricultural Economics最新文献

Warming Temperatures and the Choice of Crop Variety: Evidence From Heat-Avoiding and Heat-Tolerant Rice in Japan 气温升高与作物品种选择：来自日本避热和耐热水稻的证据

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70153

Kenichi Kuroiwa, Kentaro Kawasaki, A. Ford Ramsey

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引用次数: 0

Are Farmers Better Messengers for Conservation Practices than Extension Professionals? 农民比推广专家更能传达保护实践吗？

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-11-02 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70154

Xiaolan Wan, Jingyi Tong, Jacqueline Comito, Wendong Zhang

{"title":"Are Farmers Better Messengers for Conservation Practices than Extension Professionals?","authors":"Xiaolan Wan, Jingyi Tong, Jacqueline Comito, Wendong Zhang","doi":"10.1111/agec.70154","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70154","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Edge-of-field (EOF) practices installed at field borders to filter agricultural runoff are critical for improving water quality. Despite their effectiveness, adoption by farmers remains critically low. This study explores the influence of messengers on farmers' decisions to adopt EOF practices. We conducted an information treatment experiment using two information sources—an Extension professional and a farmer early adopter—versus a control group. Using an online survey of 373 Iowa farmer respondents in 2022, we built an empirical model to detect the treatment effect on farmer intention to adopt EOF practices. Our results reveal that farmers with less experience in conservation practices responded more positively to the treatments, and that a farmer messenger was more effective than an Extension professional in encouraging practice adoption. The farmer messenger increased adoption probability by 20.4 percentage points among respondents who are not currently enrolled in the Conservation Reserve Program, while the professional messenger yielded a statistically insignificant 7.7-percentage-point increase. Among respondents who decline adoption, both messengers reduced self-reported difficulty understanding how the practice works. These findings suggest that professional and peer messengers can each build technical understanding of EOF practices, while peer messengers are distinctively better at converting that understanding into stated intention to adopt. Outreach programs may therefore benefit from leveraging peer experiences and narratives, as farmer-to-farmer communication appears to resonate more effectively in these communities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149355836","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Major Global Disruptions and Food Security Links–How the Iran War and Chokepoint Tensions May Affect Global Hunger 重大的全球破坏和粮食安全联系——伊朗战争和咽喉紧张局势如何影响全球饥饿

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-10-15 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70152

Bernardina Algieri, Lukas Kornher, Joachim von Braun

{"title":"Major Global Disruptions and Food Security Links–How the Iran War and Chokepoint Tensions May Affect Global Hunger","authors":"Bernardina Algieri, Lukas Kornher, Joachim von Braun","doi":"10.1111/agec.70152","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70152","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The escalation of conflict in the Middle East in 2026 and the disruptions affecting major maritime chokepoints, particularly the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb/Red Sea corridor, threaten global food security through higher energy, fertilizer, and shipping costs. We argue that the shock is more structural than previous crises because it simultaneously affects core agricultural inputs and trade routes, unlike the 2022 price spike in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which primarily caused temporary supply shortages. This has especially severe consequences for import-dependent economies in the Gulf area, Africa, and other low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). While energy price shocks can be transmitted relatively quickly to food markets through immediate changes in production and transportation costs, shipping cost and fertilizer price shocks tend to operate with longer adjustment lags because they propagate through physical supply chains and agricultural production processes. Prolonged energy market disruptions stemming from conflict around the Strait of Hormuz, together with tensions affecting Bab el-Mandeb, or future disruptions from (geo)political conflicts, entail the risk of trade policy responses and further market disturbances that could exacerbate the ongoing crisis. We highlight that rising prices for energy, shipping, and food are placing an immense strain on LMICs already burdened by heavy debt, limited access to finance, and inflationary pressure, with implications for food security and hunger.</p>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.70152","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149205784","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Estimation of Global Crop Area Elasticities: A Bayesian Approach 全球作物面积弹性估算：贝叶斯方法

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-10-10 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70150

Sunghwi Woo, Shawn Arita, Wyatt Thompson

引用次数: 0

Market and Welfare Effects of Restructuring US Beef Packing for Competition and Resilience 重组美国牛肉包装对竞争和弹性的市场和福利影响

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-10-04 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70151

Azzeddine Azzam, Sunil Dhoubhadel

引用次数: 0

The Impact of the EU Common Agricultural Policy on Regional Agricultural Productivity 欧盟共同农业政策对区域农业生产力的影响

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-09-28 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70148

Anna Renhart, Tamás Krisztin, Philipp Piribauer

引用次数: 0

The Accuracy of Equity Analysts’ Earnings Per Share Forecasts of Agribusinesses and Sugar-Using Firms 股票分析师对农业综合企业和食糖企业每股收益预测的准确性

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-09-17 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70149

Carlos O. Trejo-Pech, Karen L. DeLong, Robert Johansson

{"title":"The Accuracy of Equity Analysts’ Earnings Per Share Forecasts of Agribusinesses and Sugar-Using Firms","authors":"Carlos O. Trejo-Pech, Karen L. DeLong, Robert Johansson","doi":"10.1111/agec.70149","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70149","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study evaluates equity analysts’ earnings forecasts, comparing United States (U.S.) sugar-using firms (SUF), and a selected group of agribusinesses (AGB). Aspects of U.S. sugar policy, reinitiated in 1982, help to ensure a reliable and predictable domestic supply of SUF's primary ingredient, sugar. U.S. sugar policy requires the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to generate publicly available sugar supply and demand forecasts through its <i>World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates</i> (<i>WASDE</i>) report, introduced in 1992 and expanded in 2008 to include Mexican sugar forecasts. Therefore, we examined whether the reinitiation of U.S. sugar policy, the initiation of <i>WASDE</i> sugar forecasts, and the implementation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) for sugar trade benefited SUF by improving equity analysts’ earnings per share (EPS) forecasting accuracy for these firms. This analysis, mainly based on difference-in-differences and event-study regression, focused on EPS forecast accuracy from 1976 to 2025. Consistent with our hypothesis, we found that improvements in SUF EPS forecast accuracy were statistically associated with the reinitiation of U.S. sugar policy in 1982 and, to a lesser extent, with the implementation of the NAFTA sugar provision in 2008. More broadly, our analysis suggests that, given its role as a price- and supply-stabilizer, U.S. sugar policy might have caused a structural shift in the U.S. sugar industry, providing a more predictable business environment, and that its legacy may remain present in the contemporary forecasting environment.</p>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/agec.70149","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148994591","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Is the Price Right? The Case of the Nutrient Abatement in Chinese Hog Production 价格合适吗？中国生猪生产中的营养减量化案例

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-09-15 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70146

Youpei Yan, Robert G. Chambers

{"title":"Is the Price Right? The Case of the Nutrient Abatement in Chinese Hog Production","authors":"Youpei Yan, Robert G. Chambers","doi":"10.1111/agec.70146","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70146","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Understanding how abatement interacts with production requires a framework that recognizes distinct but interdependent technical processes. This paper applies a full-information maximum likelihood (FIML) system with endogenous regime switching to three groups of Chinese hog farms using different abatement strategies. Each group operates along two separable frontiers (one for production and one for abatement) linked through the shared land input. With a first-stage correction for nonrandom technology choice, the joint FIML estimation identifies the active regime, recovers shadow prices, and distinguishes inefficiency from imbalance within each technological setting. The FIML design shows that this structural approach addresses distortions that arise when production and abatement are evaluated within a single-frontier framework or a two-frontier framework without endogenous-switching. Results reveal systematic differences in land requirements, shadow prices, and regime responses across abatement systems. Ignoring technological heterogeneity risks mispricing pollution control, leading to inefficient or uneven regulatory burdens across farms.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50837,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Economics","volume":"57 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2026-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148965641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Land Fragmentation and Technology Adoption in Rice Production: Evidence From Vietnam 水稻生产中的土地破碎化与技术采用：来自越南的证据

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-09-15 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70147

Nguyen Thai Phan, Ji Yong Lee, Rodolfo M. Nayga Jr.

引用次数: 0

Transforming Food Systems in Times of Global Disorder 在全球混乱时期改变粮食系统

IF 4.7 3区经济学

Agricultural Economics Pub Date : 2026-09-02 DOI: 10.1111/agec.70143

Johan Swinnen, Tamsin Zandstra

引用次数: 0