Susannah Gold, Simon Croft, Richard Budgey, James Aegerter
{"title":"Selection of movement rules to simulate species dispersal in a mosaic landscape model","authors":"Susannah Gold, Simon Croft, Richard Budgey, James Aegerter","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2024.101081","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2024.101081","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Dispersal is an ecological process central to population dynamics, describing one of the most important movement behaviours between populations and across landscapes. In spatial population models for terrestrial vertebrates, capturing and portraying plausible dispersal behaviour is of particular importance when considering the spread of disease or invasive species. The distribution of distances travelled by dispersers, or the dispersal kernel, is typically highly skewed, with most individuals remaining close to their origin but some travelling substantially further. Using mechanistic models to simulate individual dispersal behaviour, the dispersal kernel can be generated as an emergent property. Through stepwise simulation of the entire movement path, models can also account for the influence of the local environment, and contacts during the dispersal event which may spread disease. In this study, we explore a range of simple rules to emulate individual dispersal behaviour within a mosaic model generated using irregular geometry. Movement rules illustrate a limited range of behavioural assumptions and when applied across these simple synthetic landscapes generated a wide range of emergent kernels. We establish that naturalistic kernels can emerge when simulating dispersal across irregular mosaic landscapes. Given the variability in dispersal distances observed within species, our results highlight the importance of considering landscape heterogeneity and individual-level variation in movement, with simpler rules approximating random walks providing less plausible emergent kernels. As a case study, we demonstrate how rule sets can be selected by comparison to an empirical kernel for a study species (red fox; <em>Vulpes vulpes</em>). These results provide a foundation for the selection of movement rules to represent dispersal in spatial agent-based models, however, we also emphasise the need to corroborate rules against the behaviour of specific species and within chosen landscapes to avoid the potential for these rules to bias predictions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"58 ","pages":"Article 101081"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X24000096/pdfft?md5=e1247f736076abf1ef0ba55304ec3fe1&pid=1-s2.0-S1476945X24000096-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140552641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Branden Holmes , Janine M. Ziermann , Artur Strzelecki , Steffen Springer , Michael Zieger
{"title":"Who notices Gymnophiona? Google Trends data reveal interesting trends for recent amphibian species","authors":"Branden Holmes , Janine M. Ziermann , Artur Strzelecki , Steffen Springer , Michael Zieger","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2024.101080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2024.101080","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Gymnophiona (caecilians) are inconspicuous, wormlike amphibians that are often hidden from human sight due to their aquatic or fossorial lifestyles. While Google Trends data have been widely used within conservation biology to provide information about the relative interest in species, and therefore of their flagship-making potential, as well as to identify current taxonomic biases. This study aimed to evaluate public interest in amphibians, with a particular focus on caecilians, and possible taxonomic biases of and within the class Amphibia. Google Trends data from amphibians, reptiles (sauropsids, excluding aves), and fishes (chondrichthyans + osteichthyans, excluding tetrapods) were analyzed and compared. In addition, a framework for a representation index and web representation index is presented. The introduced relative representation index was able to confirm taxonomic bias concerning Amphibia. Differences in worldwide public interest could also be evaluated within amphibians, indicating severe underrepresentation in public interest for caecilians.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"58 ","pages":"Article 101080"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140536772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ashleigh Arton , Ernesto Carrella , Jens Koed Madsen , Richard M. Bailey
{"title":"Triggering the tragedy: The simulated effects of alternative fisher goals on marine fisheries and fisheries policy","authors":"Ashleigh Arton , Ernesto Carrella , Jens Koed Madsen , Richard M. Bailey","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101070","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101070","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Avoiding the ‘tragedy of the commons’ remains a challenge in many natural resource systems, and open-access fisheries are well-studied in this context. Here, an agent-based model is used to investigate how variation in fisher goals change what policies best solve the tragedy. When fishers’ goals are easily satisfied, commons problems are avoided without management interventions, but the imposition of quota limits triggers the tragedy. Thus, commons problems are not necessarily inevitable and sophisticated governance institutions or regulations are not always required to manage them; the same policy may prevent the tragedy or trigger it, depending on the fisher's goals. Given that it is difficult to ascertain them, by using a simulation model we can find patterns that help us identify fishers' goals and incorporate these patterns within our management procedure. This can assist adaptive management to better incorporate behaviour into policy evaluation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"57 ","pages":"Article 101070"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X23000429/pdfft?md5=f03a9a530c3fc8629e66e1f2dee6a905&pid=1-s2.0-S1476945X23000429-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139699493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Enith A. Gómez-Hernández , Felipe N. Moreno-Gómez , Fernando Córdova-Lepe , Moisés Bravo-Gaete , Nelson A. Velásquez , Hugo A. Benítez
{"title":"Eco-epidemiological predator–prey models: A review of models in ordinary differential equations","authors":"Enith A. Gómez-Hernández , Felipe N. Moreno-Gómez , Fernando Córdova-Lepe , Moisés Bravo-Gaete , Nelson A. Velásquez , Hugo A. Benítez","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101071","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Eco-epidemiology integrates ecological and epidemiological approaches to analyze both the impact of infectious diseases on ecological communities and how interspecific interactions can alter disease dynamics. With the aim of extracting general principles of eco-epidemiological dynamics, this article presents a review of the literature focusing on predator–prey type ordinary differential equation models with disease in one of the species. We included 81 articles that were categorized according to prey growth function, disease transmission function, epidemiological model compartments, and predator functional response. The findings reveal that these models share a common mathematical lineage, which in turn facilitates the construction of models based on the general assumptions identified in this study. The most prevalent models tend to assume logistic prey growth, a bilinear incidence rate for disease transmission, an epidemiological model of the Susceptible–Infected type, and a Holling Type II predator functional response.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"57 ","pages":"Article 101071"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139050511","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Complexity and biocomplexity: Overview of some historical aspects and philosophical basis","authors":"Srdjan Kesić","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101072","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101072","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Complexity has radically changed human understanding of the world environment and continues challenging our best scientific theories. In a rapidly changing research landscape, historical and philosophical insights into Complexity can heighten awareness of the proper theoretical perspectives scientists should adopt to advance the study of biocomplexity, including ecological complexity. The present work aims to deepen this awareness and disclose how researchers should generally approach, scientifically and philosophically, the question of what Complexity is, which is of great importance not only to the scientific community but also far beyond. First, this article reviews some critical historical turning points that led to Complexity. Second, the paper discusses philosophical-scientific approaches to the <em>emergence</em> as one of the most critical features of complex systems. The critical ideas behind attempts to understand the generators of complexity in nature are then presented, focusing on the living world. Finally, the review focuses on understanding the ecosystem- and organism-oriented perspectives of biocomplexity. We conclude that the genuine problem of the origin of complexity theory and biocomplexity will continue to inspire generations of researchers to search for new, more comprehensive mathematical and computational frameworks to explain biological hierarchies in order to further advance the scientific understanding of life.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"57 ","pages":"Article 101072"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138817126","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Geographical boundaries and historical explanations of within-scale resilience","authors":"Colby J. Clark","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101062","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101062","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Historically, the idea that ecosystems possess geographical boundaries has been dismissed as both naïve and impractical. But advancements in remote sensing have led to the reliable detection of spatial regimes that seem to provide early warning of a potential critical transition. This invites a reexamination of the role geographical boundaries play in explanations of the resilience concept. Despite apparent ontological imprecision, defining the boundaries of an ecosystem geographically, instead of dynamically (i.e., as collections of feedback mechanisms), dilates explanations of resilience to improve understanding of the history of contingent causal dynamics that culminate in emergent self-organization at a single scale. To demonstrate the utility of geographical boundaries, three related discussions connect spatial resilience theory with elements of island biogeography theory: (1) the function of stepping-stones as ecological filters, (2) mobile links as examples of the rescue effect, and (3) the way assembly rules and successive equilibria map onto the forward loop of the adaptive cycle heuristic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"57 ","pages":"Article 101062"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138437771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Agent-based diffusion in predation systems with Beddington–DeAngelis response","authors":"Shikun Wang , Yuanshi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101059","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101059","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>Understanding dynamical behavior of a spatially distributed population is crucial to conservation and management of endangered species<span>. This paper considers predator–prey systems with Beddington–DeAngelis functional response, where the predator moves between source–sink patches asymmetrically and acts as an agent. Our aim is to show how agent-based diffusion affects dynamics of the system and total population abundance of the species. Using dynamical systems theory, we demonstrate stability of positive equilibria in the system, which implies coexistence of the species and change of abundance by diffusion. Moreover, we show Hopf and Bautin bifurcations with multiple limit cycles, which implies multiple oscillations of populations and even extinction of species. Furthermore, this work demonstrates that diffusion in the system may lead to results reversing those without diffusion. The diffusion could change dynamics of the system between coexistence at a steady state and persistence in periodic oscillation, while evolution in asymmetry of diffusion could make the predator reach a total abundance larger than that without diffusion, even reach the maximal abundance. Our results are consistent with experimental observations and are important in studying </span></span>conservation of biodiversity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"56 ","pages":"Article 101059"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49760690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Changing webs—Variation of complex networks over a tidal cycle in an intertidal rocky reef","authors":"Catarina Vinagre , Vanessa Mendonça","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101060","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101060","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Incorporating temporal variation in models is one of the most important challenges in food web research. One of the environments where time causes profound changes is the intertidal zone, where the immersion-emersion cycle drastically changes the abiotic and biotic conditions. Intertidal rocky shores have been intensively studied, however the variation in the complex food web network that occurs during a tidal cycle remains undescribed. Highly resolved food web networks were assembled for an intertidal reef depicting the food web during low and high tide, and with and without tide pools. It was concluded that high tide adds new species to the web, but it does not add complexity since network connectance was not changed. This occurs because incoming species are mostly highly generalist fish, which add many new links to the web. Tide pools, however, add not only diversity but also complexity. Webs were dominated by intermediate species, with the proportion of top consumers fluctuating throughout the tidal cycle, being lowest during low tide and highest at high tide, due to the incoming larger vertebrate predators. Consumer taxa outnumbered resource taxa, except at low tide when pools are present. Mean trophic level was lowest at low tide (2.3) and highest at high tide with pools (2.6). Omnivory was high and showed little change. “Chain”, the number of links connecting top to basal species, was stable but low. This implies that disturbance can rapidly travel bottom-up or top-down through predator-prey links. The increased connectance given by the addition of tide pools likely increases robustness to disturbances, an important feature in coastal areas so often impacted by human action.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"56 ","pages":"Article 101060"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49756933","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sonja Radosavljevic , Thomas Banitz , Volker Grimm , Lars-Göran Johansson , Emilie Lindkvist , Maja Schlüter , Petri Ylikoski
{"title":"Dynamical systems modeling for structural understanding of social-ecological systems: A primer","authors":"Sonja Radosavljevic , Thomas Banitz , Volker Grimm , Lars-Göran Johansson , Emilie Lindkvist , Maja Schlüter , Petri Ylikoski","doi":"10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101052","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecocom.2023.101052","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Dynamical systems modeling (DSM) explores how a system evolves in time when its elements and the relationships between them are known. The basic idea is that the structure of a dynamical system, expressed by coupled differential or difference equations, determines attractors of the system and, in turn, its behavior. This leads to structural understanding that can provide insights into qualitative properties of real systems, including ecological and social-ecological systems (SES). DSM generally does not aim to make specific quantitative predictions or explain singular events, but to investigate consequences of different assumptions about a system's structure. SES dynamics and possible causal relationships in SES get revealed through manipulation of individual interactions and observation of their consequences. Structural understanding is therefore particularly valuable for assessing and anticipating the consequences of interventions or shocks and managing transformation toward sustainability. Taking into account social and ecological dynamics, recognizing that SES may operate on different time scales simultaneously and that achieving an attractor might not be possible or relevant, opens up possibilities for DSM setup and analysis. This also highlights the importance of assumptions and research questions for model results and calls for closer connection between modeling and empirics. Understanding the potential and limitations of DSM in SES research is important because the well-developed and established framework of DSM provides a common language and helps break down barriers to shared understanding and dialog within multidisciplinary teams. In this primer we introduce the basic concepts, methods, and possible insights from DSM. Our target audience are both beginners in DSM and modelers who use other model types, both in ecology and SES research.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50559,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Complexity","volume":"56 ","pages":"Article 101052"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49705765","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}