{"title":"The health consequences of returning to work after retirement: Evidence from a Japanese longitudinal survey","authors":"Masaaki Mizuochi","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101330","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101330","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Prolonged and active old age provides individuals with more chances to work again after full retirement. Returning to work is an increasingly common form of the retirement process and influences the sustainability of social security systems. Previous studies show a beneficial relationship between returning to work and health; however, little is known about the causal effect of returning to work on health. This study used data from men and women aged 50 and older (11,991 individuals) in the Longitudinal Survey of Middle-aged and Older Adults, conducted annually from 2005 to 2019 in Japan. The effects of three types of labor force transitions (continued work, full retirement, and return to work) on physical and mental health were examined. To obtain the causal effects, an instrumental variable approach was used by exploiting the Japanese pension reform and labor market settings as instruments. Compared with full retirement, returning to work showed significantly worse mental health but no significant difference in physical health. The negative effect of returning to work was pronounced among men, former nonmanual workers, and low-wealth individuals. Contrary to the findings in previous studies, insignificant or detrimental effects of returning to work were found in this study. The rigorous causal analysis adds new evidence to the literature. The findings provide important implications for labor and health policy in aging societies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"52 ","pages":"Article 101330"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1570677X23001119/pdfft?md5=5d6616fc26958689d3f5a8eb0c539a28&pid=1-s2.0-S1570677X23001119-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138474292","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Carlotta Montorsi , Alessio Fusco , Philippe Van Kerm , Stéphane P.A. Bordas
{"title":"Predicting depression in old age: Combining life course data with machine learning","authors":"Carlotta Montorsi , Alessio Fusco , Philippe Van Kerm , Stéphane P.A. Bordas","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101331","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101331","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>With ageing populations, understanding life course factors that raise the risk of depression in old age may help anticipate needs and reduce healthcare costs in the long run. We estimate the risk of depression in old age by combining adult life course trajectories and childhood conditions in supervised machine learning algorithms. Using data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), we implement and compare the performance of six alternative machine learning algorithms. We analyse the performance of the algorithms using different life-course data configurations. While we obtain similar predictive abilities between algorithms, we achieve the highest predictive performance when employing semi-structured representations of life courses using sequence data. We use the Shapley Additive Explanations method to extract the most decisive predictive patterns. Age, health, childhood conditions, and low education predict most depression risk later in life, but we identify new predictive patterns in indicators of life course instability and low utilization of </span>dental care services.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"52 ","pages":"Article 101331"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138464131","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Michael Lebenbaum , France Gagnon , Claire de Oliveira , Audrey Laporte
{"title":"Genetic endowments for social capital: An investigation accounting for genetic nurturing effects","authors":"Michael Lebenbaum , France Gagnon , Claire de Oliveira , Audrey Laporte","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101316","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101316","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Despite social capital having been shown to be important for health and well-being, relatively little research has examined genetic determinants. Genetic endowments for education have been shown to influence human, financial, and health capital, but few studies have examined social capital, and those conducted have yet to account for genetic nurturing. We used the Add-Health data to study the effect of genetic endowments on individual social capital using the education polygenic score (PGS). We used sibling fixed effects models and controlled for the family environment to account for genetic nurturing. After accounting for the family environment, we found moderately large significant associations between the education PGS and volunteering, but associations with religious service attendance and number of friends were completely attenuated in sibling fixed effects models. These findings highlight that genetic endowments play an important role in influencing volunteering and the importance of accounting for genetic nurturing.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"52 ","pages":"Article 101316"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138484371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The economics of aging with infectious and chronic diseases","authors":"Holger Strulik , Volker Grossmann","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101319","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101319","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We develop an economic model of aging in which the susceptibility and severity of infectious diseases depend on the accumulated health deficits (immunosenescence) and the life history of infections affects the accumulation of chronic health deficits (inflammaging). Individuals invest in their health to slow down health deficit accumulation and take measures to protect themselves from infectious diseases. We calibrate the model for an average American and explore how health expenditure, life expectancy, and the value of life depend on individual characteristics, medical technology<span>, and the disease environment. We then use counterfactual computational experiments of the U.S. epidemiological transition 1860–2010 to show that the decline of infectious diseases caused a substantial decline of chronic diseases<span> and contributed more to increasing life expectancy than advances in the treatment of chronic diseases.</span></span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"52 ","pages":"Article 101319"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138467323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How did unmet care needs during the pandemic affect health outcomes of older European individuals?","authors":"Julien Bergeot , Florence Jusot","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101317","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101317","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic left many people with unmet health care needs, which could have detrimental effects on their health. This paper examines the effects of these unmet needs during the first wave of the pandemic on health outcomes one year later. We combine two waves of the SHARE survey collected during the COVID-19 pandemic (in June/July 2020 and 2021), as well as four waves collected before the pandemic. Our health outcomes are four dummy variables: fatigue, falling, fear of falling and dizziness/faints/blackouts issues. Finally, we use OLS regression with individual and time fixed effects for our difference-in-difference analysis, as well as a doubly robust estimator to condition the parallel trend assumption on pre-pandemic covariates. We find substantial effects of having had unmet healthcare needs during 2020 on the probability of having trouble with fatigue and fear of falling one year later. We particularly find strong effects for general practitioner (GP) and specialist care, and in lower extent of physiotherapist, psychotherapist, and rehabilitation care.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"52 ","pages":"Article 101317"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1570677X23000989/pdfft?md5=134083079e9b80643ccf35b3f2e6a7b7&pid=1-s2.0-S1570677X23000989-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138464130","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"COVID-19 transmission in a resource dependent community with heterogeneous populations: An agent-based modeling approach","authors":"Aaron D. Wood , Kevin Berry","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101314","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101314","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Outbreaks of COVID-19 in crowded work locations led to mass infection events during the pandemic that stressed health capacity in rural communities. This led to disparate responses – either isolating and restricting workers to facilities and potentially amplifying spread between them, more intense community wide restrictions, or an acceptance of higher disease spread. An extreme case is the salmon fishery in Bristol Bay, Alaska, where fishermen, factory workers, and residents all interact during the summer fishing season. During the pandemic, policy measures were debated, including community mask mandates, restricting workers to their boats and factories, and even closing the valuable seasonal fishery. We develop an agent-based SIR model (ABM) to examine COVID-19 transmission in a resource-dependent community populated by distinct subgroups. The model includes a virus spreading within and between three heterogenous populations who interact with other members of their type in their home location, and with different types of agents when out in the community. We simulate various non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination rates across these groups. Results demonstrate the efficacy of non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccinations, as well as tradeoffs between duration and intensity and tradeoffs between groups impacted by the outbreak. This ABM demonstrates the impact of public policy mechanisms on health outcomes in resource-dependent communities with distinct populations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"52 ","pages":"Article 101314"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138490056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"State dependence in immunization and the role of discouragement","authors":"Kabir Dasgupta , Gail Pacheco , Alexander Plum","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101313","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101313","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate whether having a child immunized at a prior schedule <em>genuinely</em> increases the likelihood of vaccinating the child at the subsequent schedule. We use longitudinal data from the Growing Up in New Zealand study and apply a dynamic random-effects model that also controls for the initial immunization status. Prior to any covariate-adjusted estimations, our data shows that almost 96% of the children immunized at the previous schedule are also immunized at the subsequent schedule. In comparison, only 29% of children who were not immunized at the prior schedule receive immunization at the next milestone, thereby indicating an unadjusted state dependence in immunization of 67 percentage points (p.p.). Upon controlling for relevant covariates and unobserved heterogeneities, the genuine state dependence in immunization is, on average, estimated to be 20 p.p. Importantly, the magnitude of the state dependence is greater for Māori (by 5 p.p.) and also greater for mothers that report being discouraged from having their child immunized during the antenatal period (by 10 p.p.).</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"51 ","pages":"Article 101313"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1570677X23000941/pdfft?md5=3bcd6829ca06df0848bf42e342f304e2&pid=1-s2.0-S1570677X23000941-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89720391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Casino-based cash transfers and fertility among the Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians in North Carolina: A time-series analysis","authors":"Parvati Singh , Alison Gemmill , Tim-Allen Bruckner","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101315","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101315","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Fertility decline remains a key concern among high-income countries. Prior research indicates that income supplementation through unconditional cash transfers (UCT) may correspond with increased fertility. We examine whether a casino-based UCT, in the form of <em>per capita</em> (percap) payments to members of the Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians (EBCI) corresponds with an acute increase in fertility. We use North Carolina vital statistics datasets from 1990 to 2006 and apply time-series analysis methods to examine the relation between specific months of percap payments (exposure) and monthly number of conceptions that result in live births (outcome) among the EBCI. We control for autocorrelation and monthly counts of births (arrayed by conception cohorts) among white women (ineligible for UCT receipt) in the study region. Results indicate an increase in conceptions that result in live births at 1 and 3 months after percap receipt among EBCI women aged ≥20 years (exposure month lag 1 coefficient = 1.74, <em>p</em> = 0.03; exposure month lag 3 coefficient = 1.60, <em>p</em> = 0.04). Exploratory analyses indicate that the observed fertility increase concentrates among primiparae EBCI women. We do not find any association between percap payment timing and births to EBCI women aged <20 years.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"51 ","pages":"Article 101315"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89720390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effect of hurricanes on mental health over the long term","authors":"Yasin Civelek","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101312","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101312","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Existing causal studies examining the impact of hurricanes on health and health-related outcomes typically focus on short-run impacts and specific outcomes associated with physical health. In this paper, I explore the long-term effects of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita on the mental health of adults using two individual-level datasets from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics. Difference-in-differences models are used to estimate the long-run causal impact of hurricanes. I compare the mental health of adults living in Katrina and Rita affected counties to those in other counties before and after the hurricanes. My findings suggest that the hurricanes increased the number of poor mental health days by 0.49 days per 30 days (14.5 %) during a seven-year post period (2006–2012) and psychological distress by 0.46 K-6 points (15.2 %) during a six-year post period. I also find that the estimated effects were notably larger among specific sub-groups, such as single mothers and black respondents. These results are robust to different sample and functional form specifications. From a policy perspective, these findings suggest that long-lasting effects need to be included in any analysis of the impact of hurricanes in order to capture their full effect.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"51 ","pages":"Article 101312"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72211742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Immigration policy shocks and infant health","authors":"Laxman Timilsina","doi":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101309","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ehb.2023.101309","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper evaluates the effect of positive and negative immigration policy shocks on infant health outcomes in the U.S. I examine changes in mean birth weight and the incidence of low birth weight (LBW) at the metropolitan statistical area (MSA) level around two major institutional shocks: The 1986 Immigration Reform Act (IRCA), which favored immigrants, and the increase in Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency arrests at the start of 2017 which might have put immigrants at greater risk of apprehension. It uses a triple difference approach, comparing birth outcomes of foreign-born mothers with U.S.-born mothers (relative to mothers living in MSAs with a higher and lower concentration of IRCA applications and an increase in ICE arrests) before and after the two immigration policies. I find that in MSAs that had higher IRCA applications, mean birth weight increased, and the incidence of LBW decreased by 3–6 percent for babies born to foreign-born mothers. By contrast, in MSAs that had higher ICE arrests starting in 2017, mean birth weight decreased, and the incidence of LBW increased by 3–7 percent for babies born to foreign-born mothers. The effect of the increase in ICE arrests was more pronounced among mothers who were born in Latin and Central American countries. Sub-sample analysis shows that the incidence of LBW increased by as much as 12 percent for babies born to foreign-born mothers of Hispanic origin.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50554,"journal":{"name":"Economics & Human Biology","volume":"51 ","pages":"Article 101309"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49684528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}