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Preliminary Study on the Effect of Artificial Lighting on the Production of Basil, Mustard, and Red Cabbage Seedlings 人工照明对罗勒、芥菜和红甘蓝幼苗产量影响的初步研究
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020060
Bruna Maran, W. Silvestre, G. Pauletti
{"title":"Preliminary Study on the Effect of Artificial Lighting on the Production of Basil, Mustard, and Red Cabbage Seedlings","authors":"Bruna Maran, W. Silvestre, G. Pauletti","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020060","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020060","url":null,"abstract":"The use of artificial lighting in a total or supplementary way is a current trend, with growing interest due to the increase in the global population and climate change, which require high-yield, quality, and fast-growing crops with less water and a smaller carbon footprint. This experiment aimed to evaluate the effect of light-emitting diode (LED) lighting on the production of basil, mustard, and red cabbage seedlings under controlled artificial conditions and in a greenhouse as a supplementary lighting regime. Under controlled conditions, the experiment was conducted with basil seedlings, comparing LED light with two wavelengths (purple and white light). In a greenhouse, mustard and red cabbage seedlings were evaluated under natural light (regular photoperiod) and with supplementary purple lighting of 3 h added to the photoperiod. The variables assessed were aerial fresh mass (AFM), aerial dry mass (ADM), root dry mass (RDM), plant length (PL), and leaf area (LA). Basil seedlings grown under purple light showed greater length and AFM than those grown under white light, with no effect on the production of secondary metabolites. In the greenhouse experiment, red cabbage seedlings showed an increase in AFM, ADM, and DRM with light supplementation, with no effect on LA. AFM showed no statistical difference in mustard seedlings, but the productive parameters LA, ADM, and DRM were higher with supplementation. None of the evaluated treatments influenced the production of phenolic compounds and flavonoids in the three species evaluated. Light supplementation affected red cabbage and mustard seedlings differently, promoting better development in some production parameters without affecting the production of phenolic compounds and flavonoids in either plant. Thus, light supplementation or artificial lighting can be considered a tool to enhance and accelerate the growth of seedlings, increasing productivity and maintaining the quality of the secondary metabolites evaluated. Thus, this technology can reduce operational costs, enable cultivation in periods of low natural light and photoperiod, and cultivate tropical species in temperate environments in completely artificial (indoor) conditions.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"5 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140697830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Combining Image Classification and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles to Estimate the State of Explorer Roses 将图像分类与无人飞行器相结合,估算探险家玫瑰的状态
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020058
David Herrera, Pedro Escudero-Villa, Eduardo Cárdenas, Marcelo Ortiz, José Varela-Aldás
{"title":"Combining Image Classification and Unmanned Aerial Vehicles to Estimate the State of Explorer Roses","authors":"David Herrera, Pedro Escudero-Villa, Eduardo Cárdenas, Marcelo Ortiz, José Varela-Aldás","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020058","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020058","url":null,"abstract":"The production of Explorer roses has historically been attractive due to the acceptance of the product around the world. This species of roses presents high sensitivity to physical contact and manipulation, creating a challenge to keep the final product quality after cultivation. In this work, we present a system that combines the capabilities of intelligent computer vision and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to identify the state of roses ready for cultivation. The system uses a deep learning-based approach to estimate Explorer rose crop yields by identifying open and closed rosebuds in the field using videos captured by UAVs. The methodology employs YOLO version 5, along with DeepSORT algorithms and a Kalman filter, to enhance counting precision. The evaluation of the system gave a mean average precision (mAP) of 94.1% on the test dataset, and the rosebud counting results obtained through this technique exhibited a strong correlation (R2 = 0.998) with manual counting. This high accuracy allows one to minimize the manipulation and times used for the tracking and cultivation process.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"6 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140697823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Natural Compounds and Derivates: Alternative Treatments to Reduce Post-Harvest Losses in Fruits 天然化合物和衍生物:减少水果采后损失的替代处理方法
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020059
E. Rayón-Díaz, L. Hernández-Montiel, J. Sanchez-Burgos, V. Zamora-Gasga, R. González-Estrada, P. Gutiérrez-Martínez
{"title":"Natural Compounds and Derivates: Alternative Treatments to Reduce Post-Harvest Losses in Fruits","authors":"E. Rayón-Díaz, L. Hernández-Montiel, J. Sanchez-Burgos, V. Zamora-Gasga, R. González-Estrada, P. Gutiérrez-Martínez","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020059","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020059","url":null,"abstract":"The effects of phytopathogenic fungi on fruits and vegetables are a significant global concern, impacting various sectors including social, economic, environmental, and consumer health. This issue results in diminished product quality, affecting a high percentage of globally important fruits. Over the last 20 years, the use of chemical products in the agri-food sector has increased by 30%, leading to environmental problems such as harm to main pollinators, high levels of chemical residue levels, development of resistance in various phytopathogens, and health issues. As a response, various organizations worldwide have proposed programs aimed at reducing the concentration of active compounds in these products. Priority is given to alternative treatments that can mitigate environmental impact, control phytopathogens, and ensure low residuality and toxicity in fruits and vegetables. This review article presents the mechanisms of action of three alternative treatments: chitosan, citral, and hexanal. These treatments have the potential to affect the development of various pathogenic fungi found in tropical and subtropical fruits. It is important to note that further studies to verify the effects of these treatments, particularly when used in combination, are needed. Integrating the mechanisms of action of each treatment and exploring the possibility of generating a broad-spectrum effect on the development of pathogenic microorganisms in fruits is essential for a comprehensive understanding and effective management.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"15 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140696632","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prediction of Noise Levels According to Some Exploitation Parameters of an Agricultural Tractor: A Machine Learning Approach 根据农用拖拉机的一些使用参数预测噪音水平:机器学习方法
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020057
Ž. Barač, Dorijan Radočaj, I. Plaščak, M. Jurišić, Monika Marković
{"title":"Prediction of Noise Levels According to Some Exploitation Parameters of an Agricultural Tractor: A Machine Learning Approach","authors":"Ž. Barač, Dorijan Radočaj, I. Plaščak, M. Jurišić, Monika Marković","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020057","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020057","url":null,"abstract":"The paper presents research on measuring and the possibility of prediction of noise levels on the left and right sides of the operator within the cabin of an agricultural tractor when moving across various agrotechnical surfaces, considering movement velocity and tire pressures while employing machine learning techniques. Noise level measurements were conducted on a LANDINI POWERFARM 100 type tractor, and aligned with standards (HRN ISO 5008, HRN ISO 6396 and HRN ISO 5131). The obtained noise values were divided into two data sets (left and right set) and processed using multiple linear regression (mlr) and three machine learning methods (gradient boosting machine (gbm); support vector machine using radial basis function kernel (svmRadial); monotone multi-layer perceptron neural network (monmlp)). The most accurate method, considering surfaces, from the left side data set—(R2 0.515–0.955); (RMSE 0.302–0.704); (MAE 0.225–0.488)—and the right side—(R2 0.555–0.955); (RMSE 0.180–0.969); (MAE 0.139–0.644)—was monmlp predominantly, and to a lesser extent svmRadial. On analyzing the total data sets from the left and right sides regarding surfaces, gbm emerged as the most accurate method. The application of machine learning methods demonstrated data accuracy, yet in future research, measurements on certain surfaces may need to be repeated multiple times potentially to improve accuracy further.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"254 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140703839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparative Measurement of Horizontal Penetrometry with a Focus on the Degree of Soil Compaction in Real Work Conditions 以实际工作条件下的土壤压实度为重点的水平渗透仪比较测量法
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020056
Marek Mojžiš, Ján Kosiba, J. Jobbágy
{"title":"Comparative Measurement of Horizontal Penetrometry with a Focus on the Degree of Soil Compaction in Real Work Conditions","authors":"Marek Mojžiš, Ján Kosiba, J. Jobbágy","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020056","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020056","url":null,"abstract":"Potential soil production is closely related to the physical and mechanical properties. The aim of this paper was to evaluate the effect of different levels of soil compaction created by tractor chassis. The total area of the experimental plot was 13.22 ha. Up until 2019, a conventional tillage system had been used. The measurements were carried out with an innovative measuring device that allows for the continuous measurement of the horizontal penetrometry for comparative measurements while driving, which was designed at the Slovak University of Agriculture in Nitra. The measuring device measured the soil resistance in the tire track (On-track) and out of track (Off-track) as well as in three (50 s) sequences within one tractor pass. Three lines were chosen, where in each a pair of combinations was made. The results were subjected, in addition to graphical evaluation, to single factor ANOVA analysis. When comparing individual passes (PH1 to PH6), the statistical analysis showed that the results of the horizontal resistance measurements proved to be statistically significant (p < 0.05) with respect to the weight, number of passes, and tire underinflation. The highest compaction was caused by the first pass, while the higher weight of the tractor during the next pass had a smaller effect. Underinflating the tires ensured a reduction in compaction. Reducing the tractor tire pressure to 0.015 MPa resulted in a reduction in soil compaction of up to 16%.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"30 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140713391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimating Cotton Yield in the Brazilian Cerrado Using Linear Regression Models from MODIS Vegetation Index Time Series 利用 MODIS 植被指数时间序列的线性回归模型估算巴西塞拉多地区的棉花产量
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020054
Daniel A. B. de Siqueira, Carlos M. P. Vaz, Flávio S. da Silva, Ednaldo J. Ferreira, E. A. Speranza, Júlio C. Franchini, Rafael Galbieri, Jean-Louis Bélot, M. de Souza, Fabiano J. Perina, Sérgio das Chagas
{"title":"Estimating Cotton Yield in the Brazilian Cerrado Using Linear Regression Models from MODIS Vegetation Index Time Series","authors":"Daniel A. B. de Siqueira, Carlos M. P. Vaz, Flávio S. da Silva, Ednaldo J. Ferreira, E. A. Speranza, Júlio C. Franchini, Rafael Galbieri, Jean-Louis Bélot, M. de Souza, Fabiano J. Perina, Sérgio das Chagas","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020054","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020054","url":null,"abstract":"Satellite remote sensing data expedite crop yield estimation, offering valuable insights for farmers’ decision making. Recent forecasting methods, particularly those utilizing machine learning algorithms like Random Forest and Artificial Neural Networks, show promise. However, challenges such as validation performances, large volume of data, and the inherent complexity and inexplicability of these models hinder their widespread adoption. This paper presents a simpler approach, employing linear regression models fitted from vegetation indices (VIs) extracted from MODIS sensor data on the Terra and Aqua satellites. The aim is to forecast cotton yields in key areas of the Brazilian Cerrado. Using data from 281 commercial production plots, models were trained (167 plots) and tested (114 plots), relating seed cotton yield to nine commonly used VIs averaged over 15-day intervals. Among the evaluated VIs, Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and Triangular Vegetation Index (TVI) exhibited the lowest root mean square errors (RMSE) and the highest determination coefficients (R2). Optimal periods for in-season yield prediction fell between 90 and 105 to 135 and 150 days after sowing (DAS), corresponding to key phenological phases such as boll development, open boll, and fiber maturation, with the lowest RMSE of about 750 kg ha−1 and R2 of 0.70. The best forecasts for early crop stages were provided by models at the peaks (maximum value of the VI time series) for EVI and TVI, which occurred around 80–90 DAS. The proposed approach makes the yield predictability more inferable along the crop time series just by providing sowing dates, contour maps, and their respective VIs.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"41 11‐12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140726748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Lightweight Improved YOLOv5s-CGhostnet for Detection of Strawberry Maturity Levels and Counting 用于检测草莓成熟度和计数的轻量级改进型 YOLOv5s-CGhostnet
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020055
Niraj Tamrakar, Sijan Karki, M. Kang, Nibas Chandra Deb, E. Arulmozhi, Dae Yeong Kang, Junghoo Kook, Hyeon-tae Kim
{"title":"Lightweight Improved YOLOv5s-CGhostnet for Detection of Strawberry Maturity Levels and Counting","authors":"Niraj Tamrakar, Sijan Karki, M. Kang, Nibas Chandra Deb, E. Arulmozhi, Dae Yeong Kang, Junghoo Kook, Hyeon-tae Kim","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020055","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020055","url":null,"abstract":"A lightweight strawberry detection and localization algorithm plays a crucial role in enabling the harvesting robot to effectively harvest strawberries. The YOLO model has often been used in strawberry fruit detection for its high accuracy, speed, and robustness. However, some challenges exist, such as the requirement for large model sizes, high computation operation, and undesirable detection. Therefore, the lightweight improved YOLOv5s-CGhostnet was proposed to enhance strawberry detection. In this study, YOLOv5s underwent comprehensive model compression with Ghost modules GCBS and GC3, replacing modules CBS and C3 in the backbone and neck. Furthermore, the default GIOU bounding box regressor loss function was replaced by SIOU for improved localization. Similarly, CBAM attention modules were added before SPPF and between the up-sampling and down-sampling feature fusion FPN–PAN network in the neck section. The improved model exhibited higher mAP@0.5 of 91.7% with a significant decrement in model size by 85.09% and a reduction in GFLOPS by 88.5% compared to the baseline model of YOLOv5. The model demonstrated an increment in mean average precision, a decrement in model size, and reduced computation overhead compared to the standard lightweight YOLO models.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"134 18","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140725674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Physical Properties of Moist, Fermented Corn Grain after Processing by Grinding or Milling 通过研磨或碾磨加工后的湿润发酵玉米粒的物理特性
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020052
Keagan J. Blazer, K. Shinners, Zachary A. Kluge, M. Tekeste, M. Digman
{"title":"Physical Properties of Moist, Fermented Corn Grain after Processing by Grinding or Milling","authors":"Keagan J. Blazer, K. Shinners, Zachary A. Kluge, M. Tekeste, M. Digman","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020052","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020052","url":null,"abstract":"A novel biomass production system, integrating the co-harvesting and co-storage of moist corn grain and stover, promises a reduction in delivered feedstock costs. In this innovative method, the dry grain traditionally utilized for feed or biofuel production will now be processed at a considerably greater moisture content. The adoption of this approach may necessitate a substantial redesign of existing material handling infrastructure to effectively accommodate the handling and storage of moist grain after processing by milling or grinding. A comprehensive study was conducted to quantify the physical properties of this grain after processing with a knife processor or a hammermill. The geometric mean particle size, bulk and tapped density, sliding angle, material coefficient of friction, and discharged angle of repose were quantified. Five grain treatments, either fermented or unfermented, and having different moisture contents, were used. After processing, the moist, fermented ground grain exhibited a significantly smaller particle size compared to the dry grain. Additionally, both moist processed grains resulted in a decreased bulk density and increased material sliding angle, friction coefficient, and angle of repose. The examined metrics collectively suggest that handling, mixing, and storing moist ground grain will pose significant challenges compared to conventional dry ground grain. This increased difficulty may lead to substantially higher costs, a crucial factor that must be carefully considered when evaluating the overall economics of implementing this new biomass production system using combined harvesting and storage of corn grain and stover.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"62 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140747280","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Challenges of Digital Solutions in Sugarcane Crop Production: A Review 甘蔗作物生产中数字解决方案的挑战:综述
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020053
J. Molin, M. Wei, Eudocio Rafael Otavio da Silva
{"title":"Challenges of Digital Solutions in Sugarcane Crop Production: A Review","authors":"J. Molin, M. Wei, Eudocio Rafael Otavio da Silva","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020053","url":null,"abstract":"Over the years, agricultural management practices are being improved as they integrate Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) and Precision Agriculture tools. Regarding sugarcane crop production, this integration aims to reduce production cost, enhance input applications, and allow communication among different hardware and datasets, improving system sustainability. Sugarcane mechanization has some particularities that mandate the development of custom solutions based on digital tools, which are being applied globally in different crops. Digital mechanization can be conceived as the application of digital tools on mechanical operation. This review paper addresses different digital solutions that have contributed towards the mechanization of sugarcane crop production. The process of digitalization and transformation in agriculture and its related operations to sugarcane are presented, highlighting important ICT applications such as real-time mechanical operations monitoring and integration among operations, demonstrating their contributions and limitations regarding management efficiency. In addition, this article presents the major challenges to overcome and possible guidance on research to address these issues, i.e., poor communication technologies available, need for more focus on field and crop data, and lack of data interoperability among mechanized systems.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"95 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140747575","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Predictive Potential of Maize Yield in the Mesoregions of Northeast Brazil 巴西东北部中部地区玉米产量的预测潜力
AgriEngineering Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.3390/agriengineering6020051
F. D. S. Silva, Ivens Coelho Peixoto, R. L. Costa, H. Gomes, H. B. Gomes, Jório Bezerra Cabral Júnior, Rodrigo Martins de Araújo, D. Herdies
{"title":"Predictive Potential of Maize Yield in the Mesoregions of Northeast Brazil","authors":"F. D. S. Silva, Ivens Coelho Peixoto, R. L. Costa, H. Gomes, H. B. Gomes, Jório Bezerra Cabral Júnior, Rodrigo Martins de Araújo, D. Herdies","doi":"10.3390/agriengineering6020051","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering6020051","url":null,"abstract":"Most of the northeastern region of Brazil (NEB) has a maize production system based on family farming, with no technological advances and totally dependent on the natural rainfall regime, which is concentrated in 4 to 5 months in most parts of the region. This means that the productivity of this crop is low in the NEB. In the northern mesoregions of the NEB, rainfall is concentrated between January and June, in the east of the NEB from April to September, and in the west of the NEB from October to March. The growing season takes place during these semesters. With this in mind, our objective was to develop a model based on canonical correlation analysis (CCA) to predict corn production in the mesoregions of the NEB between 1981 and 2010, using accumulated precipitation per semester as the predictor variable and predicting the observed production in kg/ha. Our results showed that the CCA model presented higher correlations between observed and simulated production than that obtained simply from the direct relationship between accumulated rainfall and production. The other two metrics used, RMSE and NRMSE, showed that, on average, in most mesoregions, the simulation error was around 200 kg/ha, but the accuracy was predominantly moderate, around 29% in most mesoregions, with values below 20% in six mesoregions, indicative of better model accuracy, and above 50% in two mesoregions, indicative of low accuracy. In addition, we investigated how the different combinations between two modes of climate variability with a direct influence on precipitation in the NEB impacted production in these 30 years, with the combination of El Niño and a positive Atlantic dipole being the most damaging to harvests, while years when La Niña and a negative Atlantic dipole acted together were the most favorable. Despite the satisfactory results and the practical applicability of the model developed, it should be noted that the use of only one predictor, rainfall, is a limiting factor for better model simulations since other meteorological variables and non-climatic factors have a significant impact on crops. However, the simplicity of the model and the promising results could help agricultural managers make decisions in all the states that make up the NEB.","PeriodicalId":505370,"journal":{"name":"AgriEngineering","volume":"161 ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140751741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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