{"title":"Fish distribution shifts due to climate change in the Northeast Atlantic: Using a hierarchical filtering approach on marine-estuarine opportunist species","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109013","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109013","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Marine-estuarine opportunist (MEO) species are fish that occur in the continental shelf and use estuaries and/or shallow coastal areas as nurseries. These commercially important resources are facing significant environmental modifications caused by direct and/or indirect anthropogenic climate change effects. In this study, we investigated the directionality and the magnitude of the distribution shifts (i.e., range size, gravity centroids, and margins) in marine environment suitability for six main MEO fish species within the Northeast Atlantic expected for the end of the 21st century. In the framework of this study, we have distinguished ‘sub-boreal’ from ‘sub-tropical’ species. The ‘hierarchical filters’ concept was adopted for modelling the potential species distributions and combined the predictions of i) a bioclimatic model with ii) a habitat model. The bioclimatic model is based on large-scale and time-variant variables while variables of the habitat model are fine-grained and time-invariant. Two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios are tested: an intermediate (SSP2-4.5) and a pessimistic one (SSP5-8.5). We applied this framework using international databases of biodiversity occurrences, ensemble forecasting producing consensual predictions, and innovative indices of distribution shifts. A visible north-westward shift was predicted for all six species in our study area. However, the northward expansion was greater for ‘sub-tropical’ than for ‘sub-boreal’ species due to faster gravity centroid displacement shifts and faster margins shifts. These range shifts may lead to major ecological impacts (e.g., changes in recruitment to estuarine and coastal nurseries, as well as changes in spawning grounds) that may alter populations' connectivity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142571360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Assessing the contribution of super-resolution in satellite derived bathymetry in the Antarctic","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The difficulty of defining the depth of near-shore seas (bathymetry) arises from the limits imposed by traditional ship-based approaches during data collection. Although LiDAR sensors with green lasers have been used to solve some of these problems, they come at a high cost in terms of their footprint and are prone to inaccuracies in turbid water. As shorelines undergo changes due to erosion, wetland loss, hurricane effects, sea-level rise, urban development, and population growth, consistent and accurate bathymetric data become crucial. These data play a significant role in comprehending and managing sensitive interfaces between land and water. Satellite-derived Bathymetry (SDB), which has been described by maritime and remote sensing researchers for over 50 years, emerges as a gap-filler, encompassing bathymetry extraction approaches using active (altimetry) and passive (optics) satellite sensors. In the past decade, advancements in sensor capabilities, computational power, and recognition by the International Hydrographic Organization (IHO) have propelled SDB to unprecedented popularity. This study explores the contribution of super-resolution in SDB for the first time in the shallow water zone of Horseshoe Island, Antarctica. Random forest and extreme gradient boosting machine learning-based regressors were used on Landsat-8 OLI images, which were atmospherically corrected by the ACOLITE algorithm and spatially enhanced twofold via the generative adversarial network for single image super-resolution (SRGAN). The bathymetry predictions with these two machine learning algorithms on SR images were benchmarked against previous studies in the same region and showed admissible results concerning the IHO standards. Furthermore, the results indicate that the bathymetric inversion performance of the spatially enhanced image via SRGAN is superior to the original multispectral image and pan-sharpened image in terms of the metrics observed, namely, root mean square error (RMSE), mean average error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R<sup>2</sup>). Comparison between the original and SR image bathymetry inversion for the 0–15 m depth range indicate improvements of up to 0.13 m for RMSE, up to 0.30 m for MAE, and up to 11% for R<sup>2</sup>. These results promise possible effective usage of super-resolution in SDB with satellite images such as Sentinel −2, which do not include a panchromatic band.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142554845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Implications of spawning migration patterns of the giant mud crab Scylla serrata (Forskål, 1775) on opportunities for larval dispersal","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Connectivity is an essential driver for aquatic species distribution, genetic variability and stock structure. The giant mud crab (<em>Scylla serrata</em>) is a coastal portunid commonly associated with estuaries and mangrove systems. This species has been observed to undertake a seaward spawning migration, as the larval development is known to be more successful under the stable environmental conditions typically found in marine waters. The larvae return to the coastal areas through advection, where they are recruited and enter the estuaries after metamorphosing into the first instar. Here, we used numerical modelling to test hypotheses regarding probabilities of larval settlement of the giant mud crab and the effect of the distance offshore from which females release the eggs. Our scenarios considered the biological characteristics of larvae and oceanographic conditions for six locations for mud crabs along a complex coastline - the Queensland east coast, Australia. The models suggest that all locations tend to self-supply, and to exchange mud crab larvae with other regions, but in different magnitudes. The spawning distance offshore considerably affects larval distribution and settlement. The main drivers for larval advection in areas within the continental shelf are wind patterns and coastal currents, while offshore along the Australian continental slope, the main drivers are ocean currents. Self-recruitment is predominant, although we also observed a significant degree of connectivity between each location and the surrounding coastline. Short spawning migrations benefit self-recruitment in all scenarios, but long offshore migrations favour connectivity among different locations. This source/sink balance seems to depend on the local oceanographic features. Nevertheless, offshore spawning by the giant mud crab has the potential to provide for successful recruitment in a variety of environmental contexts. This study provides novel predictions of the probabilities of larval settlement for mud crab populations considering ocean advection that can be applied to different contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142571361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do you want your paper published? – Then referee others! The view from seasoned editors","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109006","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142528539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Inspection of ghost crab (Ocypode quadrata) burrows with an articulating borescope: A tool to detect occupancy","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109004","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142528538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exploring marine zooplankton dynamics through carbon stable isotope signatures in a recently marine submarine volcano","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.109005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Submarine emissions of gases from hydrothermal vents alter the surrounding chemical environment, influencing species responses to the resulting environmental gradients. The 2011 underwater eruption of the Tagoro volcano off the coast of El Hierro in the Atlantic Ocean changed the physical and chemical conditions, impacting the distribution of pelagic fauna. Post-eruptive stages from 2013 to 2018 revealed changes in both benthic and pelagic communities, with continuous eruptions further affecting local carbon cycle through shifts in nutrient concentrations and isotopic composition. The lowest δ<sup>13</sup>C values in zooplanktonic primary consumers were found in areas directly influenced by the Tagoro submarine volcano. Although the mixing model results show that phytoplankton is the primary carbon source for copepods, contributing an average of 28.3% of their carbon, magmatic CO<sub>2</sub> and seawater dissolved inorganic carbon each account for approximately 17–18%. The isotopic signatures reveal a gradient of enrichment in copepods, reflecting the influence of inorganic nutrient and gas emissions from the volcano's centre to its periphery within the marine ecosystem. This data is useful for understanding the worldwide significance of environmental stressors such as volcanic eruptions on marine organisms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142528537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Environmental and ecological factors associated with stinging jellyfish at a tourism hotspot in the Gulf of Thailand","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108992","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108992","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The waters of Thailand are associated with some of the most severe cases of envenomation from jellyfish in Asia, often attributed to the extensive marine recreational tourism industry it supports. The western Gulf of Thailand in particular has been shown to host among the highest abundances of box jellyfish, while also being home to some of the highest marine recreational tourism, such as along the Koh Samui archipelago. Here we utilise aspects of the same tourism industry to develop a deeper understanding of stinging jellyfish population dynamics, by combining citizen science at the island of Koh Tao, with dedicated in-situ surveys and remote sensing data. Our analyses of 170 box jellyfish sightings and 81 blooms of <em>Pelagia</em> sp. across a six-year period revealed a strong seasonal trend, with both groups being most abundant between July and December. Decision tree analysis of the complete observation dataset and multiple environmental variables revealed a combination of precipitation and lunar cycle to be the strongest predictors of the assessed stinging jellyfish at Koh Tao. Furthermore, blooms of <em>Pelagia</em> sp. were associated with extensive medusivory by a large diversity of predators, including reef building corals. These observations add to the growing literature showing that scleractinian corals are readily able to ingest larger prey items, either by solitary or protocooperative feeding strategies. Meanwhile, no consumption of box jellyfish medusae was recorded during the study. These findings may allow for improved tourism management practices while also supporting a wider biogeographic assessment of stinging jellyfish in south-east Asia.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142527418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Variability and composition of mysid assemblages in a northwest Iberian estuary: Insights from a 10-year data series","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108991","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108991","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Long-term temporal studies have been used to assess the effects of climate change on mysid populations and their complex ecological interplay within heterogeneous ecosystems. This study is the first to investigate the mysid community in the Mondego estuary, western Portugal, for a decade, from 2003 to 2012. Monthly data collected from five stations along the estuary was used to investigate variations in mysid assemblage composition, patterns, phenology, and the interactions with environmental variables. Thirteen taxa were found in the assemblages. The community was dominated by <em>Mesopodopsis slabberi,</em> which was found in great numbers in the upper estuarine region. <em>Praunus flexuosus</em> and <em>Schistomysis spiritus</em> dominated the assemblages in the middle estuary, while <em>Gastrossacus spinifer</em> and <em>Heteromysis formosa</em> were very abundant at the mouth of the estuary. Overall, mysids were mostly present during autumn periods, when local environmental factors such as water temperature and chlorophyll-<em>a</em> concentrations influenced assemblage abundances. The high productivity of the system played a pivotal role in fostering greater species abundance. However, lower abundances were detected during warmer years, further evidencing changes in these key species’ communities under future climatic scenarios of increasing water temperatures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142528535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Variation in lifetime movements of an Ariidae species in an eastern Australian river revealed by otolith microchemistry","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108990","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108990","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ariids, or sea catfishes, inhabit marine, estuarine, and occasionally freshwater habitats circumtropically. They are most often locally abundant and are important in artisanal and commercial fisheries, particularly in developing countries. Detailed information on the ecology and habitat preferences of many of the genera within the family is lacking. We analysed the otolith of 57 blue catfish, Neoarius graeffei<em>,</em> collected from the lower reaches of the Clarence River, NSW, Australia with the aim of better understanding the species movement ecology, including its ability to respond to environmental change. Laser Ablation Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS) was used to quantify Sr:Ca, Ba:Ca and <sup>87</sup>Sr:<sup>86</sup>Sr ratios in otoliths and infer lifetime movement patterns. Otolith microchemistry revealed inter-individual variation in the movement patterns of <em>N. graeffei.</em> A strong affinity for estuarine waters was evident among most individuals, with movement into upstream freshwater habitats for extended periods discernible in some individuals. Variation in movement patterns was identified by changes in Ba:Ca, Sr:Ca and <sup>87</sup>Sr:<sup>86</sup>Sr otolith profiles, although Sr:Ca lacked clear patterns. Furthermore, both Ba:Ca and <sup>87</sup>Sr:<sup>86</sup>Sr otolith transects revealed estuarine residence by juveniles, as well as multiple movements among chemically distinct areas throughout the lifetime of some individuals. Otolith microchemistry enabled elucidation of long-term movement patterns of <em>N. graeffei</em> in our study. Uncovering the variable movement patterns of a single species identifies the potential adaptable nature of other species within the Ariidae family and indicates <em>N. graeffei</em> is resilient to environmental changes and anthropogenic impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142528534","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Association between water darkening and hypoxia in a Norwegian fjord","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108988","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108988","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Previous studies have shown that climate change makes Norwegian fjords prone to deoxygenation and water darkening (reduced light penetration) with ecological implications across the food web from phytoplankton to fish. While deoxygenation occurs in deep fjord basins due to reduced water renewal, water darkening has primarily been linked to increased loads of colored dissolved organic matter (CDOM) of terrestrial origin in rivers draining to the Baltic Sea, the North Sea and ultimately to the Norwegian Coastal Current and associated coastal waters. Here, we investigate the hypothesis that water darkening is also linked to deoxygenation of fjord basins. We measure the downwelling irradiance in a water column with hypoxic and anoxic water and compare it with a nearby, well-oxygenated water column. Our data show increased darkening in the hypoxic and anoxic layers, likely due to elevated concentrations of CDOM that is produced locally in these layers. We discuss the ecological implication of this result, which we believe is particularly relevant for the mesopelagic habitat.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50497,"journal":{"name":"Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142528536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}