arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance最新文献

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Limit Order Book Simulations: A Review 限价订单簿模拟:回顾
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: arxiv-2402.17359
Konark Jain, Nick Firoozye, Jonathan Kochems, Philip Treleaven
{"title":"Limit Order Book Simulations: A Review","authors":"Konark Jain, Nick Firoozye, Jonathan Kochems, Philip Treleaven","doi":"arxiv-2402.17359","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.17359","url":null,"abstract":"Limit Order Books (LOBs) serve as a mechanism for buyers and sellers to\u0000interact with each other in the financial markets. Modelling and simulating\u0000LOBs is quite often necessary} for calibrating and fine-tuning the automated\u0000trading strategies developed in algorithmic trading research. The recent AI\u0000revolution and availability of faster and cheaper compute power has enabled the\u0000modelling and simulations to grow richer and even use modern AI techniques. In\u0000this review we highlight{examine} the various kinds of LOB simulation models\u0000present in the current state of the art. We provide a classification of the\u0000models on the basis of their methodology and provide an aggregate view of the\u0000popular stylized facts used in the literature to test the models. We\u0000additionally provide a focused study of price impact's presence in the models\u0000since it is one of the more crucial phenomena to model in algorithmic trading.\u0000Finally, we conduct a comparative analysis of various qualities of fits of\u0000these models and how they perform when tested against empirical data.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140005845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Time series generation for option pricing on quantum computers using tensor network 利用张量网络在量子计算机上生成用于期权定价的时间序列
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: arxiv-2402.17148
Nozomu Kobayashi, Yoshiyuki Suimon, Koichi Miyamoto
{"title":"Time series generation for option pricing on quantum computers using tensor network","authors":"Nozomu Kobayashi, Yoshiyuki Suimon, Koichi Miyamoto","doi":"arxiv-2402.17148","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.17148","url":null,"abstract":"Finance, especially option pricing, is a promising industrial field that\u0000might benefit from quantum computing. While quantum algorithms for option\u0000pricing have been proposed, it is desired to devise more efficient\u0000implementations of costly operations in the algorithms, one of which is\u0000preparing a quantum state that encodes a probability distribution of the\u0000underlying asset price. In particular, in pricing a path-dependent option, we\u0000need to generate a state encoding a joint distribution of the underlying asset\u0000price at multiple time points, which is more demanding. To address these\u0000issues, we propose a novel approach using Matrix Product State (MPS) as a\u0000generative model for time series generation. To validate our approach, taking\u0000the Heston model as a target, we conduct numerical experiments to generate time\u0000series in the model. Our findings demonstrate the capability of the MPS model\u0000to generate paths in the Heston model, highlighting its potential for\u0000path-dependent option pricing on quantum computers.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140005938","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimizing Portfolio Management and Risk Assessment in Digital Assets Using Deep Learning for Predictive Analysis 利用深度学习进行预测分析,优化数字资产的投资组合管理和风险评估
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-25 DOI: arxiv-2402.15994
Qishuo Cheng, Le Yang, Jiajian Zheng, Miao Tian, Duan Xin
{"title":"Optimizing Portfolio Management and Risk Assessment in Digital Assets Using Deep Learning for Predictive Analysis","authors":"Qishuo Cheng, Le Yang, Jiajian Zheng, Miao Tian, Duan Xin","doi":"arxiv-2402.15994","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.15994","url":null,"abstract":"Portfolio management issues have been extensively studied in the field of\u0000artificial intelligence in recent years, but existing deep learning-based\u0000quantitative trading methods have some areas where they could be improved.\u0000First of all, the prediction mode of stocks is singular; often, only one\u0000trading expert is trained by a model, and the trading decision is solely based\u0000on the prediction results of the model. Secondly, the data source used by the\u0000model is relatively simple, and only considers the data of the stock itself,\u0000ignoring the impact of the whole market risk on the stock. In this paper, the\u0000DQN algorithm is introduced into asset management portfolios in a novel and\u0000straightforward way, and the performance greatly exceeds the benchmark, which\u0000fully proves the effectiveness of the DRL algorithm in portfolio management.\u0000This also inspires us to consider the complexity of financial problems, and the\u0000use of algorithms should be fully combined with the problems to adapt. Finally,\u0000in this paper, the strategy is implemented by selecting the assets and actions\u0000with the largest Q value. Since different assets are trained separately as\u0000environments, there may be a phenomenon of Q value drift among different assets\u0000(different assets have different Q value distribution areas), which may easily\u0000lead to incorrect asset selection. Consider adding constraints so that the Q\u0000values of different assets share a Q value distribution to improve results.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139977398","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Note on Optimal Liquidation with Linear Price Impact 关于线性价格影响下的最优清算的说明
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: arxiv-2402.14100
Yan Dolinsky, Doron Greenstein
{"title":"A Note on Optimal Liquidation with Linear Price Impact","authors":"Yan Dolinsky, Doron Greenstein","doi":"arxiv-2402.14100","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.14100","url":null,"abstract":"In this note we consider the maximization of the expected terminal wealth for\u0000the setup of quadratic transaction costs. First, we provide a very simple\u0000probabilistic solution to the problem. Although the problem was largely\u0000studied, as far as we know up to date this simple and probabilistic form of the\u0000solution has not appeared in the literature. Next, we apply the general result\u0000for the study of the case where the risky asset is given by a fractional\u0000Brownian Motion and the information flow of the investor can be diversified.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139947946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Deep Hedging with Market Impact 影响市场的深度套期保值
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-20 DOI: arxiv-2402.13326
Andrei Neagu, Frédéric Godin, Clarence Simard, Leila Kosseim
{"title":"Deep Hedging with Market Impact","authors":"Andrei Neagu, Frédéric Godin, Clarence Simard, Leila Kosseim","doi":"arxiv-2402.13326","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.13326","url":null,"abstract":"Dynamic hedging is the practice of periodically transacting financial\u0000instruments to offset the risk caused by an investment or a liability. Dynamic\u0000hedging optimization can be framed as a sequential decision problem; thus,\u0000Reinforcement Learning (RL) models were recently proposed to tackle this task.\u0000However, existing RL works for hedging do not consider market impact caused by\u0000the finite liquidity of traded instruments. Integrating such feature can be\u0000crucial to achieve optimal performance when hedging options on stocks with\u0000limited liquidity. In this paper, we propose a novel general market impact\u0000dynamic hedging model based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) that considers\u0000several realistic features such as convex market impacts, and impact\u0000persistence through time. The optimal policy obtained from the DRL model is\u0000analysed using several option hedging simulations and compared to commonly used\u0000procedures such as delta hedging. Results show our DRL model behaves better in\u0000contexts of low liquidity by, among others: 1) learning the extent to which\u0000portfolio rebalancing actions should be dampened or delayed to avoid high\u0000costs, 2) factoring in the impact of features not considered by conventional\u0000approaches, such as previous hedging errors through the portfolio value, and\u0000the underlying asset's drift (i.e. the magnitude of its expected return).","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"282 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139925390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modelling crypto markets by multi-agent reinforcement learning 通过多代理强化学习为加密货币市场建模
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: arxiv-2402.10803
Johann Lussange, Stefano Vrizzi, Stefano Palminteri, Boris Gutkin
{"title":"Modelling crypto markets by multi-agent reinforcement learning","authors":"Johann Lussange, Stefano Vrizzi, Stefano Palminteri, Boris Gutkin","doi":"arxiv-2402.10803","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.10803","url":null,"abstract":"Building on a previous foundation work (Lussange et al. 2020), this study\u0000introduces a multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) model simulating crypto\u0000markets, which is calibrated to the Binance's daily closing prices of $153$\u0000cryptocurrencies that were continuously traded between 2018 and 2022. Unlike\u0000previous agent-based models (ABM) or multi-agent systems (MAS) which relied on\u0000zero-intelligence agents or single autonomous agent methodologies, our approach\u0000relies on endowing agents with reinforcement learning (RL) techniques in order\u0000to model crypto markets. This integration is designed to emulate, with a\u0000bottom-up approach to complexity inference, both individual and collective\u0000agents, ensuring robustness in the recent volatile conditions of such markets\u0000and during the COVID-19 era. A key feature of our model also lies in the fact\u0000that its autonomous agents perform asset price valuation based on two sources\u0000of information: the market prices themselves, and the approximation of the\u0000crypto assets fundamental values beyond what those market prices are. Our MAS\u0000calibration against real market data allows for an accurate emulation of crypto\u0000markets microstructure and probing key market behaviors, in both the bearish\u0000and bullish regimes of that particular time period.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139903705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Alpha-GPT 2.0: Human-in-the-Loop AI for Quantitative Investment Alpha-GPT 2.0:用于量化投资的环形人工智能
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: arxiv-2402.09746
Hang Yuan, Saizhuo Wang, Jian Guo
{"title":"Alpha-GPT 2.0: Human-in-the-Loop AI for Quantitative Investment","authors":"Hang Yuan, Saizhuo Wang, Jian Guo","doi":"arxiv-2402.09746","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.09746","url":null,"abstract":"Recently, we introduced a new paradigm for alpha mining in the realm of\u0000quantitative investment, developing a new interactive alpha mining system\u0000framework, Alpha-GPT. This system is centered on iterative Human-AI interaction\u0000based on large language models, introducing a Human-in-the-Loop approach to\u0000alpha discovery. In this paper, we present the next-generation Alpha-GPT 2.0\u0000footnote{Draft. Work in progress}, a quantitative investment framework that\u0000further encompasses crucial modeling and analysis phases in quantitative\u0000investment. This framework emphasizes the iterative, interactive research\u0000between humans and AI, embodying a Human-in-the-Loop strategy throughout the\u0000entire quantitative investment pipeline. By assimilating the insights of human\u0000researchers into the systematic alpha research process, we effectively leverage\u0000the Human-in-the-Loop approach, enhancing the efficiency and precision of\u0000quantitative investment research.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"80 1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139753439","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
RiskMiner: Discovering Formulaic Alphas via Risk Seeking Monte Carlo Tree Search RiskMiner:通过风险寻求蒙特卡洛树搜索发现公式字母表
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-11 DOI: arxiv-2402.07080
Tao Ren, Ruihan Zhou, Jinyang Jiang, Jiafeng Liang, Qinghao Wang, Yijie Peng
{"title":"RiskMiner: Discovering Formulaic Alphas via Risk Seeking Monte Carlo Tree Search","authors":"Tao Ren, Ruihan Zhou, Jinyang Jiang, Jiafeng Liang, Qinghao Wang, Yijie Peng","doi":"arxiv-2402.07080","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.07080","url":null,"abstract":"The formulaic alphas are mathematical formulas that transform raw stock data\u0000into indicated signals. In the industry, a collection of formulaic alphas is\u0000combined to enhance modeling accuracy. Existing alpha mining only employs the\u0000neural network agent, unable to utilize the structural information of the\u0000solution space. Moreover, they didn't consider the correlation between alphas\u0000in the collection, which limits the synergistic performance. To address these\u0000problems, we propose a novel alpha mining framework, which formulates the alpha\u0000mining problems as a reward-dense Markov Decision Process (MDP) and solves the\u0000MDP by the risk-seeking Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS). The MCTS-based agent\u0000fully exploits the structural information of discrete solution space and the\u0000risk-seeking policy explicitly optimizes the best-case performance rather than\u0000average outcomes. Comprehensive experiments are conducted to demonstrate the\u0000efficiency of our framework. Our method outperforms all state-of-the-art\u0000benchmarks on two real-world stock sets under various metrics. Backtest\u0000experiments show that our alphas achieve the most profitable results under a\u0000realistic trading setting.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139753426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A monotone piecewise constant control integration approach for the two-factor uncertain volatility model 双因素不确定波动模型的单调片断常数控制积分法
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: arxiv-2402.06840
Duy-Minh Dang, Hao Zhou
{"title":"A monotone piecewise constant control integration approach for the two-factor uncertain volatility model","authors":"Duy-Minh Dang, Hao Zhou","doi":"arxiv-2402.06840","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.06840","url":null,"abstract":"Prices of option contracts on two assets within uncertain volatility models\u0000for worst and best-case scenarios satisfy a two-dimensional\u0000Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) partial differential equation (PDE) with cross\u0000derivatives terms. Traditional methods mainly involve finite differences and\u0000policy iteration. This \"discretize, then optimize\" paradigm requires complex\u0000rotations of computational stencils for monotonicity. This paper presents a novel and more streamlined \"decompose and integrate,\u0000then optimize\" approach to tackle the aforementioned HJB PDE. Within each\u0000timestep, our strategy employs a piecewise constant control, breaking down the\u0000HJB PDE into independent linear two-dimensional PDEs. Using known closed-form\u0000expressions for the Fourier transforms of the Green's functions associated with\u0000these PDEs, we determine an explicit formula for these functions. Since the\u0000Green's functions are non-negative, the solutions to the PDEs, cast as\u0000two-dimensional convolution integrals, can be conveniently approximated using a\u0000monotone integration method. Such integration methods, including a composite\u0000quadrature rule, are generally available in popular programming languages. To\u0000further enhance efficiency, we propose an implementation of this monotone\u0000integration scheme via Fast Fourier Transforms, exploiting the Toeplitz matrix\u0000structure. Optimal control is subsequently obtained by efficiently synthesizing\u0000the solutions of the individual PDEs. The proposed monotone piecewise constant control method is demonstrated to be\u0000both $ell_{infty} $-stable and consistent in the viscosity sense, ensuring\u0000its convergence to the viscosity solution of the HJB equation. Numerical\u0000results show remarkable agreement with benchmark solutions obtained by\u0000unconditionally monotone finite differences, tree methods, and Monte Carlo\u0000simulation, underscoring the robustness and effectiveness of our method.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139753437","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
QuantAgent: Seeking Holy Grail in Trading by Self-Improving Large Language Model QuantAgent:通过自我完善大型语言模型寻找交易圣杯
arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: arxiv-2402.03755
Saizhuo Wang, Hang Yuan, Lionel M. Ni, Jian Guo
{"title":"QuantAgent: Seeking Holy Grail in Trading by Self-Improving Large Language Model","authors":"Saizhuo Wang, Hang Yuan, Lionel M. Ni, Jian Guo","doi":"arxiv-2402.03755","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2402.03755","url":null,"abstract":"Autonomous agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs) that devise plans and\u0000tackle real-world challenges have gained prominence.However, tailoring these\u0000agents for specialized domains like quantitative investment remains a\u0000formidable task. The core challenge involves efficiently building and\u0000integrating a domain-specific knowledge base for the agent's learning process.\u0000This paper introduces a principled framework to address this challenge,\u0000comprising a two-layer loop.In the inner loop, the agent refines its responses\u0000by drawing from its knowledge base, while in the outer loop, these responses\u0000are tested in real-world scenarios to automatically enhance the knowledge base\u0000with new insights.We demonstrate that our approach enables the agent to\u0000progressively approximate optimal behavior with provable\u0000efficiency.Furthermore, we instantiate this framework through an autonomous\u0000agent for mining trading signals named QuantAgent. Empirical results showcase\u0000QuantAgent's capability in uncovering viable financial signals and enhancing\u0000the accuracy of financial forecasts.","PeriodicalId":501294,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Computational Finance","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139753436","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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