International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification最新文献_第6页

$L^p$ Convergence of Approximate Maps and Probability Densities for Forward and Inverse Problems in Uncertainty Quantification 不确定性量化正反问题的近似映射和概率密度的收敛性

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022038086

T. Butler, T. Wildey, Wenjuan Zhang

引用次数: 1

MAXIMUM ENTROPY UNCERTAINTY MODELING AT THE FINITE ELEMENT LEVEL FOR HEATED STRUCTURES 加热结构在有限元水平上的最大熵不确定性建模

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022038338

P. Song, X.Q. Wang, M. Mignolet

引用次数: 0

Method for the Analysis of Epistemic and Aleatory Uncertainties for a Reliable Evaluation of Failure of Engineering Structures 工程结构失效可靠评估的认知不确定性和不确定性分析方法

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022042145

Niklas Miska, D. Balzani

引用次数: 0

An enhanced framework for Morris by combining with a sequential sampling strategy 通过结合顺序采样策略，莫里斯的增强框架

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022044335

Hanyan Huang, Qizhe Li, Sha Xie, Lin Chen, Zecong Liu

引用次数: 0

Bayesian identification of pyrolysis model parameters for thermal protection materials using an adaptive gradient-informed sampling algorithm with application to a Mars atmospheric entry 基于自适应梯度采样算法的热防护材料热解模型参数的贝叶斯识别，并应用于火星大气层入口

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022042928

J. Coheur, T. Magin, P. Chatelain, M. Arnst

{"title":"Bayesian identification of pyrolysis model parameters for thermal protection materials using an adaptive gradient-informed sampling algorithm with application to a Mars atmospheric entry","authors":"J. Coheur, T. Magin, P. Chatelain, M. Arnst","doi":"10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022042928","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022042928","url":null,"abstract":"For space missions involving atmospheric entry, a thermal protection system is essential to shield the spacecraft and its payload from the severe aerothermal loads. Carbon/phenolic composite materials have gained renewed interest to serve as ablative thermal protection materials (TPMs). New experimental data relevant to the pyrolytic decomposition of the phenolic resin used in such carbon/phenolic composite TPMs have recently been published in the literature. In this paper, we infer from these new experimental data an uncertainty-quantiﬁed pyrolysis model. We adopt a Bayesian probabilistic approach to account for uncertainties in the model identiﬁcation. We use an approximate likelihood function involving a weighted distance between the model predictions and the time-dependent experimental data. To sample from the posterior, we use a gradient-informed Markov chain Monte Carlo method, namely, a method based on an Itô stochastic differential equation, with an adaptive selection of the numerical parameters. To select the decomposition mechanisms to be represented in the pyrolysis model, we proceed by progressively increasing the complexity of the pyrolysis model until a satisfactory ﬁt to the data is ultimately obtained. The pyrolysis model thus obtained involves six reactions and has 48 parameters. We demonstrate the use of the identiﬁed pyrolysis model in a numerical simulation of heat shield surface recession in a Martian entry.","PeriodicalId":48814,"journal":{"name":"International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"67531182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

STOCHASTIC GALERKIN FINITE ELEMENT METHOD FOR NONLINEAR ELASTICITY AND APPLICATION TO REINFORCED CONCRETE MEMBERS 非线性弹性随机伽辽金有限元法及其在钢筋混凝土构件中的应用

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022038435

Mohammad S. Ghavami, Bedrich Sousedik, Hooshang Dabbagh, Morad Ahmadnasab

{"title":"STOCHASTIC GALERKIN FINITE ELEMENT METHOD FOR NONLINEAR ELASTICITY AND APPLICATION TO REINFORCED CONCRETE MEMBERS","authors":"Mohammad S. Ghavami, Bedrich Sousedik, Hooshang Dabbagh, Morad Ahmadnasab","doi":"10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022038435","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022038435","url":null,"abstract":"We develop a stochastic Galerkin finite element method for nonlinear elasticity and apply it to reinforced concrete members with random material properties. The strategy is based on the modified Newton-Raphson method, which consists of an incremental loading process and a linearization scheme applied at each load increment. We consider that the material properties are given by a stochastic expansion in the so-called generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) framework. We search the gPC expansion of the displacement, which is then used to update the gPC expansions of the stress, strain, and internal forces. The proposed method is applied to a reinforced concrete beam with uncertain initial concrete modulus of elasticity and a shear wall with uncertain maximum compressive stress of concrete, and the results are compared to those of stochastic collocation and Monte Carlo methods. Since the systems of equations obtained in the linearization scheme using the stochastic Galerkin method are very large, and there are typically many load increments, we also studied iterative solution using preconditioned conjugate gradients. The efficiency of the proposed method is illustrated by a set of numerical experiments.","PeriodicalId":48814,"journal":{"name":"International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138536969","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

MULTILEVEL QUASI-MONTE CARLO FOR INTERVAL ANALYSIS 区间分析的多水平拟蒙特卡罗

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022039245

Robin R.P. Callens, Matthias G.R. Faess, David Moens

{"title":"MULTILEVEL QUASI-MONTE CARLO FOR INTERVAL ANALYSIS","authors":"Robin R.P. Callens, Matthias G.R. Faess, David Moens","doi":"10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022039245","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022039245","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents a multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo method for interval analysis, as a computationally efficient method for high-dimensional linear models. Interval analysis typically requires a global optimization procedure to calculate the interval bounds on the output side of a computational model. The main issue of such a procedure is that it requires numerous full-scale model evaluations. Even when simplified approaches such as the vertex method are applied, the required number of model evaluations scales combinatorially with the number of input intervals. This increase in required model evaluations is especially problematic for highly detailed numerical models containing thousands or even millions of degrees of freedom. In the context of probabilistic forward uncertainty propagation, multifidelity techniques such as multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo show great potential to reduce the computational cost. However, their translation to an interval context is not straightforward due to the fundamental differences between interval and probabilistic methods. In this work, we introduce a multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo framework. First, the input intervals are transformed to Cauchy random variables. Then, based on these Cauchy random variables, a multilevel sampling is designed. Finally, the corresponding model responses are post-processed to estimate the intervals on the output quantities with high accuracy. Two numerical examples show that the technique is very efficient for a medium to a high number of input intervals. This is in comparison with traditional propagation approaches for interval analysis and with results well within a predefined tolerance.","PeriodicalId":48814,"journal":{"name":"International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138536983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An adaptive strategy for sequential designs of multilevel computer experiments 多级计算机实验序列设计的自适应策略

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2021-04-05 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2023038376

Ayao Ehara, S. Guillas

{"title":"An adaptive strategy for sequential designs of multilevel computer experiments","authors":"Ayao Ehara, S. Guillas","doi":"10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2023038376","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2023038376","url":null,"abstract":"Investigating uncertainties in computer simulations can be prohibitive in terms of computational costs, since the simulator needs to be run over a large number of input values. Building an emulator, i.e. a statistical surrogate model of the simulator constructed using a design of experiments made of a comparatively small number of evaluations of the forward solver, greatly alleviates the computational burden to carry out such investigations. Nevertheless, this can still be above the computational budget for many studies. Two major approaches have been used to reduce the budget needed to build the emulator: efﬁcient design of experiments, such as sequential designs, and combining training data of different degrees of sophistication in a so-called multi-ﬁdelity method, or multilevel in case these ﬁdelities are ordered typically for increasing resolutions. We present here a novel method that combines both approaches, the multilevel adaptive sequential design of computer experiments (MLASCE) in the framework of Gaussian process (GP) emulators. We make use of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces as a tool for our GP approximations of the differences between two consecutive levels. This dual strategy allows us to allocate efﬁciently limited computational resources over simulations of different levels of ﬁdelity and build the GP emulator. The allocation of computational resources is shown to be the solution of a simple optimization problem in a special case where we theoretically prove the validity of our approach. Our proposed method is compared with other existing models of multi-ﬁdelity Gaussian process emulation. Gains in orders of magnitudes in accuracy or computing budgets are demonstrated in some of numerical examples for some settings.","PeriodicalId":48814,"journal":{"name":"International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2021-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47683184","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 7

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo in Inverse Problems; Ill-Conditioning and Multi-Modality. 反问题中的哈密顿蒙特卡罗病态和多模态。

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2021-03-12 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2022038478

I. Langmore, M. Dikovsky, S. Geraedts, P. Norgaard, R. V. Behren

引用次数: 3

GLOBAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS MEASURES BASED ON STATISTICAL DISTANCES 全局敏感性分析基于统计距离度量

IF 1.7 4区工程技术

International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1615/int.j.uncertaintyquantification.2021035424

S. Nandi, T. Singh

引用次数: 2