Earth Surface Dynamics最新文献

{"title":"Alpine hillslope failure in the western US: insights from the Chaos Canyon landslide, Rocky Mountain National Park, USA","authors":"Matthew C. Morriss, Benjamin Lehmann, Benjamin Campforts, George Brencher, Brianna Rick, Leif S. Anderson, Alexander L. Handwerger, Irina Overeem, Jeffrey Moore","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1251-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1251-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The Chaos Canyon landslide, which collapsed on the afternoon of 28 June 2022 in Rocky Mountain National Park, presents an opportunity to evaluate instabilities within alpine regions faced with a warming and dynamic climate. Video documentation of the landslide was captured by several eyewitnesses and motivated a rapid field campaign. Initial estimates put the failure area at 66 630 m2, with an average elevation of 3555 m above sea level. We undertook an investigation of previous movement of this landslide, measured the volume of material involved, evaluated the potential presence of interstitial ice and snow within the failed deposit, and examined potential climatological impacts on the collapse of the slope. Satellite radar and optical measurements were used to calculate deformation of the landslide in the 5 years leading up to collapse. From 2017 to 2019, the landslide moved ∼5 m yr−1, accelerating to 17 m yr−1 in 2019. Movement took place through both internal deformation and basal sliding. Climate analysis reveals that the collapse took place during peak snowmelt, and 2022 followed 10 years of higher than average positive degree day sums. We also made use of slope stability modeling to test what factors controlled the stability of the area. Models indicate that even a small increase in the water table reduces the factor of safety to <1, leading to failure. We posit that a combination of permafrost thaw from increasing average temperatures, progressive weakening of the basal shear zone from several years of movement, and an increase in pore-fluid pressure from snowmelt led to the 28 June collapse. Material volumes were estimated using structure from motion (SfM) models incorporating photographs from two field expeditions on 8 July 2022 – 10 d after the slide. Detailed mapping and SfM models indicate that ∼1 258 000 ± 150 000 m3 of material was deposited at the slide toe and ∼1 340 000 ± 133 000 m3 of material was evacuated from the source area. The Chaos Canyon landslide may be representative of future dynamic alpine topography, wherein slope failures become more common in a warming climate.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138553983","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Barchan swarm dynamics from a Two-Flank Agent-Based Model","authors":"Dominic T. Robson, Andreas C. W. Baas","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2023-2900","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2900","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> We perform simulations of barchan swarms using the Two-Flank Agent-Based model investigating the effects of changing the angular separation between primary and secondary modes of wind, the density at which new dunes are injected, and the parameter <em>q</em>_shift which controls the rate at which sediment is reorganised to restore symmetry in an asymmetric dune. Unlike previous agent-based models, we are able to produce longitudinally homogeneous size distributions and, for sparse swarms, steady longitudinal number density. We are able to constrain <em>q</em>_shift by comparing the range of values for which longitudinally stability is observed with the range of values for which the width of asymmetry distributions is consistent with real-world swarms. Furthermore, we demonstrate dune size, asymmetry, dune density, spatial alignment, and collision dynamics are all strongly influenced by the angular separation of bimodal winds.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138553855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Using repeat UAV-based laser scanning and multispectral imagery to explore eco-geomorphic feedbacks along a river corridor","authors":"Christopher Tomsett, Julian Leyland","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1223-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1223-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Vegetation plays a critical role in the modulation of fluvial process and morphological evolution. However, adequately capturing the spatial and temporal variability and complexity of vegetation characteristics remains a challenge. Currently, most of the research seeking to address these issues takes place at either the individual plant scale or via larger-scale bulk roughness classifications, with the former typically seeking to characterise vegetation–flow interactions and the latter identifying spatial variation in vegetation types. Herein, we devise a method which extracts functional vegetation traits using UAV (uncrewed aerial vehicle) laser scanning and multispectral imagery and upscale these to reach-scale functional group classifications. Simultaneous monitoring of morphological change is undertaken to identify eco-geomorphic links between different functional groups and the geomorphic response of the system. Identification of four groups from quantitative structural modelling and two further groups from image analysis was achieved and upscaled to reach-scale group classifications with an overall accuracy of 80 %. For each functional group, the directions and magnitudes of geomorphic change were assessed over four time periods, comprising two summers and winters. This research reveals that remote sensing offers a possible solution to the challenges in scaling trait-based approaches for eco-geomorphic research and that future work should investigate how these methods may be applied to different functional groups and to larger areas using airborne laser scanning and satellite imagery datasets.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"29 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138515351","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Late Pleistocene – Holocene denudation, uplift, and morphology evolution of the Armorican Massif (western Europe)","authors":"Oswald Malcles, Stéphane Mazzotti, Philippe Vernant, Vincent Godard","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2023-2154","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2154","url":null,"abstract":"<strong>Abstract.</strong> Elevated Plio-Pleistocene coastal and marine markers in stable continental regions are commonly explained by a combination of eustatic sea-level variations and regional geodynamics (e.g., mantle dynamics, active faults). In this study, we test the role of erosion rates on the Late Pleistocene uplift and landform evolution of the Armorican Massif, western France. Denudation rates are estimated for 19 drainage basins using terrestrial cosmogenic nuclide (¹⁰Be) measurements in quartz. They range between 3 and 34 m.Ma^-1, with a factor of two difference between the western highland region and the central lowland region (16 ± 8 m.Ma^-1 vs. 9 ± 6 m.Ma^-1). Assuming a thin elastic plate model, the lithosphere flexural isostatic response to these denudation rates produces an overall uplift of the Armorican Peninsula from 12 – 15 m.Ma^-1 in the central lowland region to 4 – 10 m.Ma^-1 in the western peninsula and along the coastline. We show that these erosion-driven uplift rates can explain the uplifted Late Pleistocene marine terraces along the Armorican Peninsula coastline as well as the elevated Quaternary marine deposits in the central lowland region, without necessitating additional geodynamic processes such as regional compression or local active faults. Our results suggest that, in stable continental regions, long-term erosion should be taken into account as a driver of uplift and deformation before trying to derive global or regional geodynamic or tectonic conclusions.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"25 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138515333","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Numerical modelling of the evolution of a river reach with a complex morphology to help define future sustainable restoration decisions","authors":"Rabab Yassine, Ludovic Cassan, Hélène Roux, Olivier Frysou, François Pérès","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1199-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1199-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The prediction of river morphology evolution is very complicated, especially in the case of mountain and Piedmont rivers with complex morphologies, steep slopes, and heterogeneous grain sizes. The Lac des Gaves (LDG) reach, located within the Gave de Pau River in the Hautes-Pyrénées department, France, has precisely the complex morphological characteristics mentioned above. This reach has gone through severe sediment extractions for over 50 years, leading to the construction of two weirs for riverbed stabilisation. Two large floods resulted in changes in the LDG's hydromorphological characteristics as it went from a single channel river section to a braided river reach. In this study, a 2D hydromorphological model is developed with the TELEMAC-MASCARET system to reproduce the evolution of the channel following a flood that occurred in 2018. The model's validity is assessed by comparing the simulated topographic evolution to the observed one. The results reveal the challenge to choose well-fitted sediment transport equations and friction laws that would make it possible to reproduce such complex morphology. Although the exact localisation of the multiple channels forming the braided nature of the LDG was challenging to reproduce, our model was able to provide reliable volumetric predictions as it reproduces the filling of the LDG correctly. The influence of the two weirs on the river's current and future morphology is also studied. The aim is to provide decision-makers with more reliable predictions to design suitable restoration measures for the LDG reach.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"28 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138515352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Method to evaluate large-wood behavior in terms of the convection equation associated with sediment erosion and deposition","authors":"Daisuke Harada, Shinji Egashira","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1183-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1183-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Recent flood hazards occurring in mountainous areas are often characterized by numerous amounts of sediment and large wood supplied from upstream, which often exacerbate flood disasters in downstream areas. This paper proposes a method for describing large-wood behavior in terms of the convection and storage equations, together with the governing equations for describing flood flows and channel changes associated with active sediment erosion and deposition. The proposed method is tested for its validity by simulating the phenomena occurring in an open channel with an erodible bed and flood flow with numerous amounts of sediment and large wood in the Akatani River flood disaster. As a result of calculations reproducing the open channel experiment, the applicability of the method is indicated as the percentage of wood pieces captured in the sediment deposition areas in the channel is within the range of the experimental results. The results of 2-D flood flow calculations with sediment and large wood in the Akatani River flood disaster suggested that large-wood deposition is reproduced where bed deformation is well reproduced. Overall, since the proposed method makes it possible to simulate the behavior of various amounts of large wood, it can be applied to the management of hazards in mountainous rivers such as the Akatani River.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"58 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138515387","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Effects of seasonal variations in vegetation and precipitation on catchment erosion rates along a climate and ecological gradient: insights from numerical modeling","authors":"Hemanti Sharma, Todd A. Ehlers","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1161-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1161-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Precipitation in wet seasons influences catchment erosion and contributes to annual erosion rates. However, wet seasons are also associated with increased vegetation cover, which helps resist erosion. This study investigates the effect of present-day seasonal variations in rainfall and vegetation cover on erosion rates for four catchments along the extreme climate and ecological gradient (from arid to temperate) of the Chilean Coastal Cordillera (∼ 26–∼ 38∘ S). We do this using the Landlab–SPACE landscape evolution model to account for vegetation-dependent hillslope–fluvial processes and hillslope hydrology. Model inputs include present-day (90 m) topography and a time series (from 2000–2019) of MODIS-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) for vegetation seasonality, weather station observations of precipitation, and evapotranspiration obtained from Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) Noah. The sensitivity of catchment-scale erosion rates to seasonal average variations in precipitation and/or vegetation cover was quantified using numerical model simulations. Simulations were conducted for 1000 years (20 years of vegetation and precipitation observations repeated 50 times). After detrending the results for long-term transient changes, the last 20 years were analyzed. Results indicate that when vegetation cover is variable but precipitation is held constant, the amplitude of change in erosion rates relative to mean erosion rates ranges between 5 % (arid) and 36 % (Mediterranean setting). In contrast, in simulations with variable precipitation change and constant vegetation cover, the amplitude of change in erosion rates is higher and ranges between 13 % (arid) and 91 % (Mediterranean setting). Finally, simulations with coupled precipitation and vegetation cover variations demonstrate variations in catchment erosion of 13 % (arid) to 97 % (Mediterranean setting). Taken together, we find that precipitation variations more strongly influence seasonal variations in erosion rates. However, the effects of seasonal variations in vegetation cover on erosion are also significant (between 5 % and 36 %) and are most pronounced in semi-arid to Mediterranean settings and least prevalent in arid and humid–temperature settings.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"28 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138515353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"On the use of convolutional deep learning to predict shoreline change","authors":"Eduardo Gomez-de la Peña, Giovanni Coco, Colin Whittaker, Jennifer Montaño","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1145-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1145-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The process of shoreline change is inherently complex, and reliable predictions of shoreline position remain a key challenge in coastal research. Predicting shoreline evolution could potentially benefit from deep learning (DL), which is a recently developed and widely successful data-driven methodology. However, so far its implementation for shoreline time series data has been limited. The aim of this contribution is to investigate the potential of DL algorithms to predict interannual shoreline position derived from camera system observations at a New Zealand study site. We investigate the application of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and hybrid CNN-LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks. We compare our results with two established models: a shoreline equilibrium model and a model that addresses timescales in shoreline drivers. Using a systematic search and different measures of fitness, we found DL models that outperformed the reference models when simulating the variability and distribution of the observations. Overall, these results indicate that DL models have potential to improve accuracy and reliability over current models.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"51 3","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136346296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Steady-state forms of channel profiles shaped by debris flow and fluvial processes","authors":"Luke A. McGuire, Scott W. McCoy, Odin Marc, William Struble, Katherine R. Barnhart","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1117-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1117-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Debris flows regularly traverse bedrock channels that dissect steep landscapes, but our understanding of bedrock erosion by debris flows and their impact on steepland morphology is still rudimentary. Quantitative models of steep bedrock channel networks are based on geomorphic transport laws designed to represent erosion by water-dominated flows. To quantify the impact of debris flow erosion on steep channel network form, it is first necessary to develop methods to estimate spatial variations in bulk debris flow properties (e.g., flow depth, velocity) throughout the channel network that can be integrated into landscape evolution models. Here, we propose and evaluate two methods to estimate spatial variations in bulk debris flow properties along the length of a channel profile. We incorporate both methods into a model designed to simulate the evolution of longitudinal channel profiles that evolve in response to debris flow and fluvial processes. To explore this model framework, we propose a general family of debris flow erosion laws where erosion rate is a function of debris flow depth and channel slope. Model results indicate that erosion by debris flows can explain the occurrence of a scaling break in the slope–area curve at low-drainage areas and that upper-network channel morphology may be useful for inferring catchment-averaged erosion rates in quasi-steady landscapes. Validating specific forms of a debris flow incision law, however, would require more detailed model–data comparisons in specific landscapes where input parameters and channel morphometry can be better constrained. Results improve our ability to interpret topographic signals within steep channel networks and identify observational targets critical for constraining a debris flow incision law.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":" 6","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135242441","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"On the use of packing models for the prediction of fluvial sediment porosity","authors":"Christoph Rettinger, Mina Tabesh, Ulrich Rüde, Stefan Vollmer, Roy M. Frings","doi":"10.5194/esurf-11-1097-2023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-11-1097-2023","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Obtaining accurate porosity information of fluvial sediment deposits is helpful and desirable for many tasks of river engineers. Besides direct measurements of single samples and empirical formulas specialized for specific cases, packing models promise efficient predictions due to their theoretical and extensible foundation. The objective of this work is thus to investigate the usability of three such models in order to obtain a suitable porosity prediction method for the challenging case of fluvial sediment packing. There, the complexity originates from wide continuous size distributions, from silt to gravel, and different grain shapes. We use data obtained from extensive numerical packing simulations to determine the required model parameters and to verify the models' accuracy for moderate size ratios. This study reveals systematic deficits in one of the models, which can be attributed to the absence of a built-in mixture packing model. By combining these findings with data from laboratory measurements and extending the model to include cohesive effects, we exemplify that reasonable porosity predictions can be obtained with the Compressible Packing Model for the Rhine river in Germany. Through an additional comparison with data from French rivers, guidelines for a successful prediction in cases with limited prior knowledge of the model parameters are developed. Future model enhancements of the packing models directly, and by incorporating more effects that are known to influence porosity, are expected to improve the predictive performance.","PeriodicalId":48749,"journal":{"name":"Earth Surface Dynamics","volume":"15 27","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135973370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}