Quarterly Journal of Economics最新文献_第2页

The Damages and Distortions from Discrimination in the Rental Housing Market 租赁住房市场歧视的损害与扭曲

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2023-06-16 DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjad029

Peter Christensen, Christopher Timmins

引用次数: 0

Children’s Indirect Exposure to the U.S. Justice System: Evidence from Longitudinal Links Between Survey and Administrative Data 儿童对美国司法系统的间接暴露:来自调查和行政数据之间纵向联系的证据

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjad021

Keith Finlay, Michael Mueller-Smith, Brittany Street

{"title":"Children’s Indirect Exposure to the U.S. Justice System: Evidence from Longitudinal Links Between Survey and Administrative Data","authors":"Keith Finlay, Michael Mueller-Smith, Brittany Street","doi":"10.1093/qje/qjad021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjad021","url":null,"abstract":"Children’s indirect exposure to the justice system through biological parents or coresident adults is both a marker of their own vulnerability and a measure of the justice system’s expansive reach in society. Estimating the size of this population for the United States has historically been hampered by inadequate data resources, including the inability to (1) observe nonincarceration events, (2) follow children throughout their childhood, and (3) measure adult nonbiological parent cohabitants. To overcome these challenges, we leverage billions of restricted administrative and survey records linked with Criminal Justice Administrative Records System data, and find substantially larger exposure rates than previously reported: prison, 9% of children born between 1999–2005; felony conviction, 18%; and any criminal charge, 39%. Charge exposure rates exceed 60% for Black, American Indian, and low-income children. While broader definitions reach a more expansive population, strong and consistently negative correlations with childhood well-being suggest these remain valuable predictors of vulnerability. Finally, we document substantial geographic variation in exposure, which we leverage in a movers design to estimate the effect of living in a high-exposure county during childhood. We find that children moving into high-exposure counties are more likely to experience postmove exposure events and exhibit significantly worse outcomes by age 26 on multiple dimensions (earnings, criminal activity, teen parenthood, mortality); impacts are strongest for those who moved at earlier ages.","PeriodicalId":48470,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Economics","volume":"13 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":13.7,"publicationDate":"2023-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50167845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates 期限溢价和汇率的数量驱动理论

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2023-05-27 DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjad024

Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson, Jeremy C Stein, Adi Sunderam

引用次数: 0

Seeing What is Representative 看到什么是有代表性的

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2023-05-27 DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjad020

Ignacio Esponda, Ryan Oprea, Sevgi Yuksel

引用次数: 2

A Fiscal Theory of Persistent Inflation 持续通货膨胀的财政理论

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2023-05-27 DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjad027

Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini, Leonardo Melosi

引用次数: 7

Economic Consequences of Kinship: Evidence From U.S. Bans on Cousin Marriage 亲属关系的经济后果:来自美国禁止表亲结婚的证据

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2023-05-27 DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjad018

Arkadev Ghosh, Sam Il Myoung Hwang, Munir Squires

{"title":"Economic Consequences of Kinship: Evidence From U.S. Bans on Cousin Marriage","authors":"Arkadev Ghosh, Sam Il Myoung Hwang, Munir Squires","doi":"10.1093/qje/qjad018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjad018","url":null,"abstract":"Close-kin marriage, by sustaining tightly knit family structures, may impede development. We find support for this hypothesis using U.S. state bans on cousin marriage. Our measure of cousin marriage comes from the excess frequency of same-surname marriages, a method borrowed from population genetics that we apply to millions of marriage records from the eighteenth to the twentieth century. Using census data, we first show that married cousins are more rural and have lower-paying occupations. We then turn to an event study analysis to understand how cousin marriage bans affected outcomes for treated birth cohorts. We find that these bans led individuals from families with high rates of cousin marriage to migrate off farms and into urban areas. They also gradually shift to higher-paying occupations. We also observe increased dispersion, with individuals from these families living in a wider range of locations and adopting more diverse occupations. Our findings suggest that these changes were driven by the social and cultural effects of dispersed family ties rather than genetics. Notably, the bans also caused more people to live in institutional settings for the elderly, infirm, or destitute, suggesting weaker support from kin.","PeriodicalId":48470,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Economics","volume":"40 16","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":13.7,"publicationDate":"2023-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50167994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

Would Eliminating Racial Disparities in Motor Vehicle Searches have Efficiency Costs? 消除机动车搜索中的种族差异会带来效率成本吗？

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.1093/QJE/QJAB018

B. Feigenberg, Conrad Miller

{"title":"Would Eliminating Racial Disparities in Motor Vehicle Searches have Efficiency Costs?","authors":"B. Feigenberg, Conrad Miller","doi":"10.1093/QJE/QJAB018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/QJE/QJAB018","url":null,"abstract":"During traffic stops, police search black and Hispanic motorists more than twice as often as white motorists, yet those searches are no more likely to yield contraband. We ask whether equalizing search rates by motorist race would reduce contraband yield. We use unique administrative data from Texas to isolate variation in search behavior across and within highway patrol troopers and find that search rates are unrelated to the proportion of searches that yield contraband. We find that troopers can equalize search rates across racial groups, maintain the status quo search rate, and increase contraband yield. Troopers appear to be limited in their ability to discern between motorists that are more or less likely to carry contraband. JEL Codes: J15, K42. ∗We thank the editors, Larry Katz and Stefanie Stantcheva, five anonymous referees, Ian Ayres, Felipe Goncalves, Peter Hull, Patrick Kline, Jonathan Leonard, David Levine, Dan O’Flaherty, Steven Rivkin, Evan Rose, Yotam Shem-Tov, Chris Walters, and seminar participants at USC, University of Illinois, Chicago, the Online Economics of Crime seminar, the Online Economics of Racism seminar, NBER Summer Institute, Yale SOM, Harvard, Stanford, and MIT for helpful comments. We thank researchers at the Stanford Open Policing Project for providing data on Texas Highway Patrol stops. We thank the Fisher Center for Real Estate and Urban Economics at Haas for providing computing resources.","PeriodicalId":48470,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Economics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":13.7,"publicationDate":"2021-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1093/QJE/QJAB018","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45452110","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 19

Unemployment Insurance and Job Search Behavior* 失业保险与求职行为*

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-24 DOI: 10.1093/qje/qjaa037

I. Marinescu, Daphné Skandalis

{"title":"Unemployment Insurance and Job Search Behavior*","authors":"I. Marinescu, Daphné Skandalis","doi":"10.1093/qje/qjaa037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjaa037","url":null,"abstract":"Unemployment insurance (UI) can affect unemployment duration and re-employment wages, through various dimensions of unemployed workers’ job search behavior. We shed light on the effects of UI on job search behavior using new longitudinal data: we link administrative registers to data from a major online search platform, and track the job applications sent over the unemployment spells of about 500,000 French workers. We identify changes in individual search behavior caused by UI around benefits exhaustion, after accounting for changes in the sample composition—i.e. dynamic selection—and for the effect of the time spent unemployed—i.e. duration dependence. We show that search effort (the count of job applications) increases by at least 50% during the year preceding benefits exhaustion and remains relatively high thereafter. The target monthly wage decreases by at least 2.4% during the year preceding benefits exhaustion, and remains relatively low thereafter. We document particularly large dynamic selection around benefits exhaustion, as some workers increase their search effort more before exhaustion and find a job faster. We also show evidence for duration dependence: workers decrease their target wage by 1.5% over each year of unemployment, irrespective of their UI status. Overall, the effect of UI on individual search behavior is consistent with the predictions of search models and constitutes evidence against search-free models where UI merely subsidizes leisure.","PeriodicalId":48470,"journal":{"name":"Quarterly Journal of Economics","volume":"136 1","pages":"887-931"},"PeriodicalIF":13.7,"publicationDate":"2021-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1093/qje/qjaa037","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48569684","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 11

Belief Movement, Uncertainty Reduction, and Rational Updating* 信念运动、不确定性消减与理性更新*

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-24 DOI: 10.1093/QJE/QJAA043

Ned Augenblick, M. Rabin

引用次数: 28

The Micro-Level Anatomy of the Labor Share Decline* 劳动收入占比下降的微观剖析*

IF 13.7 1区经济学

Quarterly Journal of Economics Pub Date : 2021-03-24 DOI: 10.1093/QJE/QJAB002

Matthias Kehrig, Nicolas Vincent

引用次数: 41