{"title":"Movables as collateral and corporate credit: Loan-level evidence from legal reforms across Europe","authors":"Steven Ongena , Walid Saffar , Yuan Sun , Lai Wei","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107331","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107331","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does pledging movables as collateral alter corporate borrowing? To answer this question, we study the effect of collateral law reforms on syndicated bank loans granted across nine European countries that facilitated pledging movables between 1995 and 2019, comparing them to 19 countries that did not. We differentiate firms in sectors of higher versus lower asset movability to strengthen the identification. We find that although the reforms have enabled firms in movable-intensive sectors to issue more secured loans, the average cost of the loans and the number of covenants have also increased. Channel tests suggest that banks may demand more to compensate for the potential wealth redistribution induced by newly issued secured credit, or the unique risk involved with using movables as collateral.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107331"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nusret Cakici , Christian Fieberg , Daniel Metko , Adam Zaremba
{"title":"Factor momentum versus price momentum: Insights from international markets","authors":"Nusret Cakici , Christian Fieberg , Daniel Metko , Adam Zaremba","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107332","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107332","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does factor momentum drive stock price momentum? We examine this relationship across 51 countries. Factor momentum proves strong across many markets and international portfolios, independent of typical return predictability drivers. However, its ability to capture stock momentum profits depends on methodological and dataset choices. Empirical factor momentum cannot entirely subsume stock or industry momentum globally. Conversely, price momentum often better explains its factor counterpart than vice versa. Notably, factor momentum based on principal components is more robust, capturing a major share of price momentum gains in developed and emerging markets. Our findings challenge the view that momentum merely times other factors rather than constituting a distinct anomaly.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107332"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142654687","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A new measure for differences of opinions: Institutional trade dispersion","authors":"Dallin M. Alldredge , Mustafa O. Caglayan","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107334","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107334","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using 13F quarterly holdings data of institutional investors, we introduce a novel measure for differences of opinions among investors by analyzing divergence in institutional investors’ trades. We find that increases in institutional trade dispersion predict a significant decline in future abnormal returns. Moreover, we find that this relationship persists after controlling for other proxies of divergence of investor opinions, such as the dispersion in analysts’ earnings forecasts, the change in the number of institutions holding the stock, and the dispersion in institutional investors’ holdings relative to their benchmarks. Consistent with Miller (1977), underperformance of high-dispersion stocks is found to be the strongest among stocks that experienced recent significant price increases, the stocks with the highest mispricing scores, and the stocks that face increases in short-interest positions after the onset of dispersion.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107334"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142701967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yiping Lin , Peter L. Swan , Frederick H.de B. Harris
{"title":"Does maker-taker limit order subsidy improve market outcomes? Quasi-natural experimental evidence","authors":"Yiping Lin , Peter L. Swan , Frederick H.de B. Harris","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107330","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107330","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We provide a new theory of exchange access fees that explains why fees relatively reduce the probability of execution and increase the limit order queue length on “maker-taker” platforms. Nonetheless, the limit order subsidy greatly improves market depth, together with market efficiency and trading volume. Moreover, fee structures never “wash out” regardless of the minimum tick. The regulatory requirement that trading and order flow depend only on raw (nominal) spreads and prices underpins the multi-billion-dollar subsidy to limit orders. So long as a platform remains competitive, elimination of the fee structure does not alter the raw spread, but it does lower the cum fee spread. We test these implications with a unilateral maker-taker fee/rebate reduction using NASDAQ's “quasi-natural” $1.9 trillion experiment to find support for our theory.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107330"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142593439","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nicolò Fraccaroli , Rhiannon Sowerbutts , Andrew Whitworth
{"title":"Does regulatory and supervisory independence affect financial stability?","authors":"Nicolò Fraccaroli , Rhiannon Sowerbutts , Andrew Whitworth","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107318","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107318","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Since the 2008 financial crisis, regulators and supervisors have been granted increased independence from political bodies. But there is no clear evidence of the benefits of more independence for the stability of the banking sector. In this paper we introduce a new indicator of regulatory and supervisory independence for 98 countries from 1999 to 2019. We combine this index with bank-level data to investigate the relationship between independence and financial stability. We find that greater regulatory and supervisory independence is associated with improved financial stability. We show that these results are robust to alternative measures of financial stability and to a number of tests. Overall, our findings indicate that increasing the independence of regulators and supervisors is beneficial for financial stability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107318"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142654686","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modeling and pricing credit risk with a focus on recovery risk","authors":"Haibo Liu , Qihe Tang","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107317","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107317","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Consider a defaultable bond traded in a financial market that is subject to shocks and regime shifts. Its recovery payment has a hybrid structure, comprising two components: one contingent on historical information up to the time of default, and the other an independent variable indexed by the regime at the time of default. The default intensity, interest rate, and reference rate are assumed to be general deterministic functions of certain state variables, while these state variables jointly follow a jump-diffusion process, with drift and volatility coefficients governed by the regime and with jumps induced by shocks. We construct a risk-neutral pricing measure that prices all risk sources in an integrated manner. A rigorous verification of this pricing measure reveals the corresponding time-dependent market prices of these risk sources. The resulting pricing framework is applicable to most defaultable bonds and credit derivatives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107317"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142561332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Options trading, managerial risk-taking, and brand development","authors":"Po-Hsuan Hsu , Fengfei Li , Yoshio Nozawa","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107319","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107319","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how options trading influences brand development strategies by encouraging managerial risk-taking. We find that firms with higher levels of options trading tend to introduce more new trademarks, which exhibit lower citation rates from subsequent trademarks. These firms favor brand creation over extension, leading to increased brand riskiness, as evidenced by greater trademark diversity. Potential channels for these effects include increased institutional ownership by transient investors and enhanced managerial hedging opportunities. These effects are more pronounced in firms with weaker governance, managers with higher pay-risk sensitivity, younger managerial teams, and intense competition. Additionally, we observe a negative relation between unrelated brand diversification, driven by options trading, and firm value. Our findings support the notion that active options markets incentivize managers to pursue riskier brand strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107319"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142654685","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The collateral channel versus the bank lending channel: Evidence from a massive earthquake,","authors":"Iichiro Uesugi , Daisuke Miyakawa , Kaoru Hosono , Arito Ono , Hirofumi Uchida","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107315","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107315","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper compares the economic impact of the collateral and bank lending channels in a unified framework by taking advantage of exogenous shocks to firms’ tangible assets and banks’ net worth caused by the massive Tohoku earthquake in 2011. We obtain the following findings: (1) both damage to a firm's tangible assets and to the net worth of its primary bank lead to an increase in the probability of the firm being credit constrained, which lends support to the existence of both the collateral and the bank lending channel; (2) the increase through the bank lending channel is about twice as large as and longer-lasting than that through the collateral channel; (3) the credit constraint has real effects: in terms of the aggregated sales decline, the impact through the bank lending channel is more than four times as large as that through the collateral channel, because the negative impact of damage to banks’ net worth spilled over to firms located outside the earthquake-damaged region. Overall, the bank lending channel played a far more substantial role than the collateral channel in the wake of the earthquake.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107315"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142534038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The treasury auction risk premium","authors":"Patrick Herb","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107316","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107316","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using a time series asset pricing model, I empirically show that underpricing of U.S. Treasury securities is explained by risk premia that compensate dealers for bearing price risk. This finding suggests that the Treasury could reduce underpricing by reducing the post-auction price risk (volatility) to auction participants, which can be achieved mathematically by reducing the time from auction to settlement. I calculate that underpricing cost the Treasury $46.3 billion from January 2000 through June 2016. I estimate that standardizing the settlement period to 1-day could have saved the Treasury $15.6 billion over the same period. In addition, I use the estimated model to forecast expected risk-adjusted returns (that result from underpricing) for each auction, and find that these forecasts predict Treasury auction demand. This finding suggests that auction demand depends on underpricing, albeit on an expected risk-adjusted basis. Further, this expected underpricing may actually help the Treasury to sell debt and avoid auction failures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 107316"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142587337","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Vulnerable funding in the global economy","authors":"Helena Chuliá , Ignacio Garrón , Jorge M. Uribe","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107314","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107314","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study builds on the conceptual framework of vulnerable growth to examine how US financial shocks influence the conditional distribution of real credit growth across a diverse set of countries, a phenomenon we term <em>vulnerable funding</em>. We show that deteriorating US financial conditions are linked to a reduction in real credit growth abroad, with particularly pronounced effects at the lower quantiles of real credit growth abroad. This suggests that, in common with the episodes of vulnerable growth discussed in the extant literature, episodes of vulnerable funding are also triggered globally by financial weakness in the US. However, our analysis reveals significant variation in the impact of US financial shocks across the quantiles of credit growth in countries worldwide. Specifically, countries with lower credit-to-GDP ratios or with higher levels of US investment relative to their GDP exhibit greater real credit growth vulnerability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"169 ","pages":"Article 107314"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142416994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}