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JPS volume 53 issue 2 Cover and Front matter JPS第53卷第2期封面和封面问题
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123423000030
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引用次数: 0
The Segregation Effect: How Residential Isolation Shapes Ethnic Minority Representation in England 种族隔离效应：居住隔离如何塑造英国少数民族的代表性
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.1017/S0007123422000606
Selene Campion
{"title":"The Segregation Effect: How Residential Isolation Shapes Ethnic Minority Representation in England","authors":"Selene Campion","doi":"10.1017/S0007123422000606","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123422000606","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Extant literature argues that ethnic minority representation in plurality systems will benefit from the presence of sizable co-ethnic populations. I argue that the threshold for election depends not only on a minority population's group size but a district's level of segregation. I show that residential segregation can facilitate the increased representation of ethnic minority populations. Contrary to the prevailing literature, however, I find that increased segregation levels in cities with sizable minority populations decrease the percentage of co-ethnics elected to office. I support this argument with evidence from an original dataset on the local representation outcomes of Muslims in England between 2011 and 2021, which covers 434 district council elections. Using threshold modelling, I introduce the concept of the population threshold, above which increases in segregation level decrease Muslim representation. This article contributes to the electoral geography literature on ethnic minority representation.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":"53 1","pages":"1081 - 1091"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49535277","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ancestral Kinship and the Origins of Ideology 祖先亲属关系与意识形态的起源
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123422000709
Neil Fasching, Yphtach Lelkes
{"title":"Ancestral Kinship and the Origins of Ideology","authors":"Neil Fasching, Yphtach Lelkes","doi":"10.1017/s0007123422000709","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123422000709","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Families are not only the first institution ever created, they are also, for most people, the first institution ever encountered. The preindustrial family structure, which was a function of local ecology and cooperation needs, instilled family members with different values, such as trust in strangers and respect for elders. These values passed through generations and, as we show in three studies, impact today's political attitudes and policies. First, using surveys of second-generation immigrants representing roughly 180 ethnicities living in 32 European countries, we show that the tighter kinship structure of a person's ancestors predicts right-wing cultural attitudes. Among those who are less engaged in politics, tighter ancestral kinship structure also predicts left-wing economic attitudes. In a second study, we control for country-level differences by comparing ethnic groups within countries and find that ancestral kinship strength predicts right-wing cultural attitudes but not left-wing economic attitudes. Finally, in a third study, we examine the policy implications of ancestral kinship. We show that stronger country-level ancestral kinship strength also increases anti-LGBT policies and welfare spending. Finally, we examine whether value systems link preindustrial kinship with modern political attitudes. In total, this work indicates that our political beliefs are rooted in the value systems and familial institutions created by our forebears.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41767988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
External Threats, Capacity, and Repression: How the Threat of War Affects Political Development and Physical Integrity Rights 外部威胁、能力和镇压：战争威胁如何影响政治发展和人身完整权
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123422000692
Eugenia Artabe, Samantha Chapa, Lea Sparkman, Patrick E. Shea
{"title":"External Threats, Capacity, and Repression: How the Threat of War Affects Political Development and Physical Integrity Rights","authors":"Eugenia Artabe, Samantha Chapa, Lea Sparkman, Patrick E. Shea","doi":"10.1017/s0007123422000692","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123422000692","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 How do external threats affect leaders' incentives to repress? We argue that external threats both increase and decrease state repression, but through different causal pathways. Directly, external threats provide leaders with political cover to use repression against political opponents. Indirectly, threats incentivize leaders to augment state capacity, which decreases the likelihood of state repression. To test this argument, we develop a new latent measure of external threat using a Bayesian measurement model. We use mediation analysis to examine the direct and indirect effects of external threats on repression in developing countries from 1980 to 2016. We find that external threats increase government repression directly, but indirectly decrease repression through stronger state capacity. Our findings have implications for how international factors connect to domestic politics to help explain state repression. In addition, our new measure of external threat will help scholars study the consequences of the international threat environment.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42149136","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Rush to Personalize: Power Concentration after Failed Coups in Dictatorships 个性化的热潮：独裁政权政变失败后的权力集中
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI: 10.1017/S0007123422000655
Joan C. Timoneda, Abel Escribà-Folch, John J. Chin
{"title":"The Rush to Personalize: Power Concentration after Failed Coups in Dictatorships","authors":"Joan C. Timoneda, Abel Escribà-Folch, John J. Chin","doi":"10.1017/S0007123422000655","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123422000655","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract How do failed coups influence power personalization in dictatorships? While scholars have studied the mechanisms of personalism in dictatorships in detail, little attention has been paid to the timing and determinants of surges in personalism levels. In this article, we propose that personalism can evolve non-linearly, and show that large, quite rapid increases in personalization by dictators occur after a failed coup attempt. The logic is that failed coups are information-revealing events that provide the dictator with strong motives and ample opportunities to accumulate power. The leader uses this window of opportunity to rapidly consolidate his power at the expense of the ruling coalition. We test the theory using time-series, cross-sectional data on dictatorships in 114 countries in the period between 1946 and 2010. Two placebo tests indicate that disruptive events by regime outsiders – failed assassination attempts and civil war onsets – do not promote the rush to personalize.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":"53 1","pages":"878 - 901"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42043530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The Dynamics of Refugee Return: Syrian Refugees and Their Migration Intentions 难民回归的动力:叙利亚难民及其移民意图
1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-02-16 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123422000667
Ala Alrababah, Daniel Masterson, Marine Casalis, Dominik Hangartner, Jeremy Weinstein
{"title":"The Dynamics of Refugee Return: Syrian Refugees and Their Migration Intentions","authors":"Ala Alrababah, Daniel Masterson, Marine Casalis, Dominik Hangartner, Jeremy Weinstein","doi":"10.1017/s0007123422000667","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123422000667","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We study the drivers of refugees' decision making about returning home using observational and experimental data from a survey of 3,003 Syrian refugees in Lebanon. We find that the conditions in refugee-hosting countries play a minor role. In contrast, conditions in a refugee's home country are the main drivers of return intentions. Even in the face of hostility and poor living conditions in host countries, refugees are unlikely to return unless the situation at home improves significantly. These results challenge traditional models of decision making about migration, where refugees weigh living conditions in the host and home countries (“push” and “pull” factors). We offer an alternative theoretical framework: a model of threshold-based decision making whereby only once a basic threshold of safety at home is met do refugees compare other factors in the host and home country. We explore some empirical implications of this new perspective using qualitative interviews and quantitative survey data.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135474331","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
How do Voters Form Perceptions of Party Positions? 选民如何形成对政党立场的认知？
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123422000746
Markus Wagner, Thomas M. Meyer
{"title":"How do Voters Form Perceptions of Party Positions?","authors":"Markus Wagner, Thomas M. Meyer","doi":"10.1017/s0007123422000746","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123422000746","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Political debates are structured by underlying conflict dimensions, such as left-right and economic and cultural ideology, which form the basis for voter choice and party competition. However, we know little about how voters arrive at perceptions of parties' positions on these dimensions. We examine how the emphasis parties place on the different issues that make up a higher-level ideological dimension affects perceptions of their position on that dimension. Using two population-based survey experiments, we present respondents with either short or long statements that communicate the same issue stances. We then test whether the length of statements affects positional perceptions on the higher-level dimension. The empirical results show support for our hypotheses and imply that political parties – and the context in which they compete – can affect their perceived position even if underlying issue stances remain stable.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46032299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Animosity, Amnesia, or Admiration? Mass Opinion Around the World Toward the Former Colonizer 仇恨，健忘，还是钦佩?世界各地对前殖民者的舆论
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-02-15 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123422000710
Andy Baker, David Cupery
{"title":"Animosity, Amnesia, or Admiration? Mass Opinion Around the World Toward the Former Colonizer","authors":"Andy Baker, David Cupery","doi":"10.1017/s0007123422000710","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123422000710","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Nearly all contemporary countries were colonized at some point in their history by a foreign power, but do citizens resent their former metropoles for past colonial abuses? We exploit survey questions in which respondents were asked for their opinion of a named foreign country. Our analyses of responses from over ninety countries yield the surprising finding that today's citizens are more favourable toward their country's former colonizer – by 40 per cent of a standard deviation – than they are toward other countries. Contemporary monadic traits that make former metropoles liked around the world – especially their tendency to be democracies – as well as their relatively high volumes of trade with former colonies explain their popularity among citizens of their former colonies. We also illustrate and describe these patterns in two least-likely cases, Mexico and Zimbabwe. Our findings have important implications for understanding international soft power, an asset about which today's states care deeply.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45757415","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Conceptual Replication of Four Key Findings about Factual Corrections and Misinformation during the 2020 US Election: Evidence from Panel-Survey Experiments 关于2020年美国大选期间事实更正和错误信息的四个关键发现的概念复制：来自小组调查实验的证据
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1017/s0007123422000631
A. Coppock, Kimberly Gross, Ethan Porter, Emily A. Thorson, Thomas J. Wood
{"title":"Conceptual Replication of Four Key Findings about Factual Corrections and Misinformation during the 2020 US Election: Evidence from Panel-Survey Experiments","authors":"A. Coppock, Kimberly Gross, Ethan Porter, Emily A. Thorson, Thomas J. Wood","doi":"10.1017/s0007123422000631","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123422000631","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In the final two months of the 2020 US election, we conducted eight panel experiments to evaluate the immediate and medium-term effects of misinformation and factual corrections. Our results corroborate four sets of existing findings: fact-checks reliably improve factual accuracy, while misinformation degrades it; effects of fact-checks on belief accuracy endure, though they fade with time; effects on attitudes are minuscule; and there are important partisan asymmetries. We also offer one new empirical finding suggesting that effect heterogeneities by personality type and cognitive style may reflect attention paid to treatments. Our study confirms that the fundamental push and pull of misinformation and factual corrections on political beliefs holds even in electoral settings as saturated with mistruths as the 2020 US election.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41956304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Modern Family? The Gendered Effects of Marriage and Childbearing on Voter Turnout 现代家庭?婚姻和生育对选民投票率的性别影响
IF 5 1区 社会学
British Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2023-01-26 DOI: 10.1017/S0007123422000680
G. Bellettini, Carlotta Berti Ceroni, Enrico Cantoni, C. Monfardini, Jerome Schafer
{"title":"Modern Family? The Gendered Effects of Marriage and Childbearing on Voter Turnout","authors":"G. Bellettini, Carlotta Berti Ceroni, Enrico Cantoni, C. Monfardini, Jerome Schafer","doi":"10.1017/S0007123422000680","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123422000680","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In many democracies, gender differences in voter turnout have narrowed or even reversed. Yet, it appears that women participate more in some circumstances and men in others. Here we study how life trajectories – specifically, marriage and having children – will impact male and female turnout differently, depending on household-level context. To this end, we leverage a unique administrative panel dataset from Italy, an established democracy where traditional family structures remain important. Our within-individual estimates show that marriage increases men's participation to women's higher pre-marital levels, particularly so in low-income families. We also find that infants depress maternal turnout, especially among more traditional families, whereas primary school children stimulate paternal turnout. Exploring aggregate-level consequences, we show that demographic trends in marriage and fertility have contributed to recent shifts in the gender composition of the electorate. Together, our results highlight the importance of the family as a variable in political analyses.","PeriodicalId":48301,"journal":{"name":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":"53 1","pages":"1016 - 1040"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41676139","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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