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Measuring the educational gradient of period fertility in 28 European countries: A new approach based on parity-specific fertility estimates 测量 28 个欧洲国家的周期生育率教育梯度:基于特定奇数生育率估算的新方法
IF 2.1 3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.34
Angela Greulich, Laurent Toulemon
{"title":"Measuring the educational gradient of period fertility in 28 European countries: A new approach based on parity-specific fertility estimates","authors":"Angela Greulich, Laurent Toulemon","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.34","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.34","url":null,"abstract":"Measures of fertility by level of female education are currently only available for cohorts who have already completed childbearing age. In this article, we provide more timely measures of the educational gradient of fertility for Europe. To measure period fertility by education for the whole set of European countries, we mobilize data from the European Union’s Survey of Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC). A semi-retrospective approach serves to observe parity-specific fertility behavior of cohorts that are currently at childbearing age, while at the same time recording the educational level correctly. Bayesian statistics allow obtaining credible intervals for the age, education-and parity specific birth probabilities for each country. These birth probabilities are then combined into a multi-state life table to obtain parity-specific and total birth intensities by education. A post-stratification of birth probabilities leads us to be consistent with national fertility estimates. We reveal if there are significant differences between education groups in fertility within each European country, in how far these differentials vary between European countries and if heterogeneity in period fertility behavior is larger among the higher or the lower educated across Europe. We also show for which parity the heterogeneity between education groups is the largest. This study is based on data from Eurostat, EU Statistics on Income and Living Conditions [2011,2012,2013]. The responsibility for all conclusions drawn from the data lies entirely with the authors.","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2023-11-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139223066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Point estimation of certain measures in organizational demography using variable-r methods 用变量-r 方法对组织人口学中的某些测量方法进行点估算
IF 2.1 3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-11-16 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.33
Michael Lachanski
{"title":"Point estimation of certain measures in organizational demography using variable-r methods","authors":"Michael Lachanski","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.33","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.33","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2023-11-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139270345","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 pandemic and fertility responses: TFR simulation analysis using parity progressions in South Korea COVID-19大流行和生育率应对:韩国使用均等级数的TFR模拟分析
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.32
Seulki Choi, Da eun Kwan Kwan, Bongoh Kye
{"title":"The COVID-19 pandemic and fertility responses: TFR simulation analysis using parity progressions in South Korea","authors":"Seulki Choi, Da eun Kwan Kwan, Bongoh Kye","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.32","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.32","url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUND The COVID-19 pandemic has had a notable impact on marriage and fertility intentions. Existing research has found that the impact of the pandemic on childbearing intentions and outcomes has varied across countries. Yet it remains unclear what the post-COVID-19 fertility rate would be if the changes in childbearing intentions observed during the pandemic translated into corresponding behavioral changes.","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"3 7","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136228307","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Bayesian model for the reconstruction of education- and age-specific fertility rates: An application to African and Latin American countries 重建特定教育和年龄生育率的贝叶斯模型:在非洲和拉丁美洲国家的应用
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.31
Afua Durowaa-Boateng, Dilek Yildiz, Anne Goujon
{"title":"A Bayesian model for the reconstruction of education- and age-specific fertility rates: An application to African and Latin American countries","authors":"Afua Durowaa-Boateng, Dilek Yildiz, Anne Goujon","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.31","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.31","url":null,"abstract":"Consistent and reliable time series of education-and age-specific fertility rates for the past are difficult to obtain in developing coun tries, although they are needed to evaluate the impact of women’s education on fertility along periods and cohorts. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian framework to reconstruct age-specific fertility rates by level of education using prior information from the birth history module of the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and the UN World Population Prospects. In our case study regions, we reconstruct age-and education-specific fertility rates which are consistent with the UN age specific fertility rates by four levels of education for 50 African and Latin American countries from 1970 to 2020 in five-year steps. Our results show that the Bayesian approach allows for estimating reliable education-and age-specific fertility rates using multiple rounds of the DHS surveys. The time series obtained confirm the main findings of the literature on fertility trends, and age and education specific differentials.","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"60 20","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135091926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Attitudes toward work and parenthood following family-building transitions in Sweden: Identifying differences by gender and education 瑞典家庭建设转型后对工作和为人父母的态度:识别性别和教育的差异
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.30
Eva Bernhardt, Frances Goldscheider, Malgorzata Switek
{"title":"Attitudes toward work and parenthood following family-building transitions in Sweden: Identifying differences by gender and education","authors":"Eva Bernhardt, Frances Goldscheider, Malgorzata Switek","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.30","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.30","url":null,"abstract":"OBJECTIVES This paper examines how family-building transitions (union formation and first birth) affect the attitudes of Swedes toward work and parenthood. The literature finds that these life course transitions have a traditionalizing effect on gender roles. Is this also the case in Sweden, one of the most gender-equal countries in the world? METHODS Our study uses the longitudinal Young Adult Panel Study database. We run first-difference OLS regressions on the relationship between family-building transitions and work and parenthood attitudes, distinguishing men from women, and those with more education from those with less.","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":" 24","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135192396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ultra-Orthodox fertility and marriage in the United States: Evidence from the American Community Survey 美国极端正统的生育和婚姻:来自美国社区调查的证据
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.29
Lyman Stone
{"title":"Ultra-Orthodox fertility and marriage in the United States: Evidence from the American Community Survey","authors":"Lyman Stone","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.29","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.29","url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUND Amid low fertility rates in the industrialized world, some subpopulations have maintained high fertility rates. However, it has often been difficult to study these populations due to limitations in extant data sources. OBJECTIVE This paper will demonstrate a method of measuring key demographic indicators for Ultra-Orthodox Jews using demographic and language variables in the American Community Survey (ACS).","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":" 49","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135340730","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Black–white intermarriage in global perspective 全球视角下的黑白通婚
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.28
Edward Telles, Albert Esteve, Andres Castro
{"title":"Black–white intermarriage in global perspective","authors":"Edward Telles, Albert Esteve, Andres Castro","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.28","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.28","url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUND Intermarriage is a leading indicator of racialized relations. Scholarly literature has focused on the United States and shows that black–white intermarriage is especially low within that country. Surprisingly, there are no studies that compare black–white intermarriage across a broad range of countries around the world. OBJECTIVE How does black–white intermarriage compare in Brazil, Cuba, France, South Africa, the United States, and the United Kingdom circa 2010?","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"22 6","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135875174","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The vanishing advantage of longevity in Nicoya, Costa Rica: A cohort shift 哥斯达黎加尼科亚的长寿优势消失:群体转变
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-10-18 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.27
Luis Rosero-Bixby
{"title":"The vanishing advantage of longevity in Nicoya, Costa Rica: A cohort shift","authors":"Luis Rosero-Bixby","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.27","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.27","url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUND The Nicoya region in Costa Rica has been identified as one of a handful of hotspots of extreme longevity. The evidence supporting this status comes mostly from observing the 1990 and 2000 decades and cohorts born before 1930. OBJECTIVE To determine how the longevity advantage of older men in Nicoya has progressed in the period 1990 to 2020 and in cohorts born from 1900 to 1950. METHODS Remaining length of life and adult mortality were estimated using new public administrative records from the electoral system and a Gompertz regression model. A new nationwide survival-time database of 550,000 adult Costa Ricans who were alive at any point during 1990–2020 was put together.","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135824047","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Variable-r in sex ratios: Formulas in honor of Jim Vaupel 性别比例的变量r:纪念Jim Vaupel的公式
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.26
Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Wen Su, Mike Hollingshaus
{"title":"Variable-r in sex ratios: Formulas in honor of Jim Vaupel","authors":"Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Wen Su, Mike Hollingshaus","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.26","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.26","url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUND Two seminal studies in the 1980s, by Preston and Coale (1982) and Arthur and Vaupel (1984), generalized the Lotka equations developing the variable-r methods. OBJECTIVE Time changes in sex ratios (males:females) are studied from the perspective of the variable-r method to estimate the contributions of fertility, mortality, and net-migration. METHODS The time change in sex ratios can be calculated as a comparison of the growth rates of the sexes. The difference is then decomposed into population composition, and the age-specific components of fertility, mortality, and net migration. Thirteen countries with long historical demographic series are used to illustrate the time trends in sex ratios.","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135944193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Early life exposure to cigarette smoking and adult and old-age male mortality: Evidence from linked US full-count census and mortality data 早期接触吸烟与成年和老年男性死亡率:来自美国全人口普查和死亡率数据的证据
3区 社会学
Demographic Research Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2023.49.25
Jonas Helgertz, John Robert Warren
{"title":"Early life exposure to cigarette smoking and adult and old-age male mortality: Evidence from linked US full-count census and mortality data","authors":"Jonas Helgertz, John Robert Warren","doi":"10.4054/demres.2023.49.25","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2023.49.25","url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUND Smoking is a leading cause of premature death across contemporary developed nations, but few longitudinal individual-level studies have examined the long-term health consequences of exposure to smoking. OBJECTIVE We examine the effect of fetal and infant exposure to exogenous variation in smoking, brought about by state-level cigarette taxation, on adulthood and old-age mortality (ages 55 ‒ 73) among cohorts of boys born in the United States during the 1920s and 1930s.","PeriodicalId":48242,"journal":{"name":"Demographic Research","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136059206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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