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Private savings and COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲的私人储蓄与COVID-19
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101363
Boileau Loko , Nelie Nembot , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro
{"title":"Private savings and COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"Boileau Loko ,&nbsp;Nelie Nembot ,&nbsp;Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101363","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101363","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 on private savings and economic activity in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using data for at least 13 SSA economies, we find that private saving rates have not increased during COVID-19 in SSA, a finding that contrasts with other regions in the world. Instead, COVID-19 mortality in our estimations is significantly associated with a decline in private savings and economic growth in SSA. Robustness checks and analyses of household surveys during the pandemic validate and explore some of the underlying drivers of those results. The paper further confirms real per capita economic growth as a key determinant of private savings in the region since 1983.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101363"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145265716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How stressed are the banks? An inter-temporal network analysis 银行的压力有多大?跨时间网络分析
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101369
Pankaj Swain , Abhishek Poddar , Arun Kumar Misra
{"title":"How stressed are the banks? An inter-temporal network analysis","authors":"Pankaj Swain ,&nbsp;Abhishek Poddar ,&nbsp;Arun Kumar Misra","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101369","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101369","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study employs a network model to examine the dynamics of stress in the Indian banking system. The study designs comprehensive Stress Network Structures under different phases of the economic cycle by integrating stress scores of constituent banks with a measure of return connectedness among them. Important metrics of the Stress Network Structures are combined to construct respective Stress Network Indices (SNIs). Besides identifying significant determinants of SNIs, the analysis identified major stress-emitting institutions. Our results underscore the potential of rapid stress transmission and greater destabilizing impact in a tightly interconnected Stress Network, characterized by a high average clustering coefficient and lower average path length. The paper also measures the magnitude of stress spillover, emphasizing its positive association with the degree of interconnectedness among banks during economic upturns and downturns. From a policy perspective, the study recommends a greater regulatory focus on Systemically Important Banks (SIBs) that serve as the epicenters of stress propagation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101369"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145105372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does inflation targeting live up to all the hype? 通胀目标制是否如其所言?
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101358
Taniya Ghosh, Yadavindu Ajit
{"title":"Does inflation targeting live up to all the hype?","authors":"Taniya Ghosh,&nbsp;Yadavindu Ajit","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101358","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101358","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study evaluates the impact of inflation targeting (IT) on inflation levels, volatility, and persistence in 59 emerging markets from 1985 to 2019, addressing the limitations of traditional methods that ignore staggered adoption. Using methodology that accounts for staggered implementation, IT is found to significantly reduce inflation, particularly when hyperinflationary economies are excluded. However, its effects on volatility and persistence are less conclusive. While traditional models suggest initial reductions in volatility, incorporating staggered adoption reveals no lasting impact. Similarly, IT does not significantly influence inflation persistence. The findings emphasize IT’s effectiveness in lowering inflation but limited influence on other aspects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101358"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145060016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the time-varying behavior of household credit in Brazil 巴西家庭信贷的时变行为研究
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101366
Paulo Matos , Aline Soares
{"title":"On the time-varying behavior of household credit in Brazil","authors":"Paulo Matos ,&nbsp;Aline Soares","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101366","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101366","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We add to the debate on access to finance by proposing an empirical exercise to address how credit, monetary, and macroeconomic variables can explain the time-specific behavior of the real variation in earmarked and non-earmarked credit issued to households in Brazil. We test an economic model by reconciling Brazil's limited availability of monthly data with the insights from the theoretical model suggested by Rubaszek and Serwa (2014) and the empirical literature applied to emerging markets. First, we estimate a standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. To capture the dynamic nature of household credit, we employ a Bayesian Time-Varying Coefficient VAR model (BTVC-VAR). About the messages of this paper, first we provide a methodological contribution because the joint behavior of both types of credit is crucial to understand their dynamics in the sense of a general equilibrium approach. Second, when we compare the standard VAR and BTCV-VAR, we can see how important it is to allow flexibility of parameters since the dynamics seem to have changed over time, from April 2011 to December 2023. We highlight the significant role played by non-earmarked spread, the average term of both types of credit, economic activity (IBC-BR), and the R$/US$ exchange rate. This exercise contributes to the discussion on financial stability and monetary policy and can be replicated for other emerging markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101366"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145105373","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social disclosure, business groups and firm risk 社会披露、企业集团与企业风险
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101364
Dhanushika Samarawickrama, Pallab Kumar Biswas, Helen Roberts
{"title":"Social disclosure, business groups and firm risk","authors":"Dhanushika Samarawickrama,&nbsp;Pallab Kumar Biswas,&nbsp;Helen Roberts","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101364","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101364","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using a sample of 5718 BSE-listed firm-year observations from 2008 to 2021, we find that increased CSR disclosure (CSRDS) is negatively associated with firm risk. However, the risk-reducing effect of CSRDS is less pronounced in business group firms, with a stronger attenuation in companies managed by affiliated CEOs. Additional analyses indicate that enhanced CSRDS, particularly after the enforcement of mandatory CSR regulations, significantly reduces total and idiosyncratic risk. These findings highlight how mandatory regulatory compliance mitigates specific components of firm risk and offer policymakers, practitioners, and investors insights to navigate risk management within the governance structures of a developing market.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101364"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145105374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Credit financing, accounting quality and distress under financial turmoil: Evidence from small partnerships 金融动荡下的信贷融资、会计质量和困境:来自小型合伙企业的证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101368
Panagiotis E. Dimitropoulos
{"title":"Credit financing, accounting quality and distress under financial turmoil: Evidence from small partnerships","authors":"Panagiotis E. Dimitropoulos","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101368","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101368","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The impact of the recent financial crisis on the financing opportunities and viability of firms has been extensively studied in the literature, with a focus on large, listed corporations. Loss avoidance behavior allows managers to report a more stable income stream, assisting market participants to assess firm prospects. The scope of this study is to examine the impact of loss avoidance and earnings management on the credit financing of small private partnerships within Greece, which is a country that faced a huge backlash on the viability of small businesses. The study collected a sample from 1119 small partnerships which have published abbreviated financial statements over the period 2003–2018. Empirical evidence suggests that firms with higher loss avoidance and discretionary accruals during the sovereign debt crisis period were receiving more credit from their suppliers, a fact that is positively associated with higher viability (lower distress risk). This is the first study in the literature considering loss avoidance behavior and credit financing before and during a debt crisis, within small partnership firms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101368"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
House price co-movement and labor migration: Evidence from China 房价联动与劳动力迁移:来自中国的证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101365
Zhengyi Zhou
{"title":"House price co-movement and labor migration: Evidence from China","authors":"Zhengyi Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101365","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101365","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the effect of house price co-movement on inter-city labor migration, leveraging China's unique institutional background. We construct a shift-share instrumental variable (IV) for house price co-movement, using pairwise banking integration as a source of exogenous variation. We find that at household level, house price co-movement facilitates inter-city labor migration, particularly for migrants with a stronger incentive to hedge against housing consumption risk. At city-pair level, house price co-movement also positively affects migration flows. Hence, as housing market interventions become increasingly city-specific, policymakers should take measures to prevent the deterrence of labor mobility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101365"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049415","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Formal and informal debt in China: Evidence from the 2014 hukou reform 中国的正式和非正式债务:来自2014年户籍改革的证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101367
Lei Xu , Massimiliano Tani , Yu Zhu , Xin Wen
{"title":"Formal and informal debt in China: Evidence from the 2014 hukou reform","authors":"Lei Xu ,&nbsp;Massimiliano Tani ,&nbsp;Yu Zhu ,&nbsp;Xin Wen","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101367","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101367","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the impact of China's 2014 <em>hukou</em> reform – a major change allowing migrants living in small and medium-sized cities of less than 5 million people to apply for urban residence - on formal and informal borrowing at a time of rapid economic transformation. We find that the <em>hukou</em> policy change has predominantly increased natives' access to finance, especially through informal sources, and for investments in housing. We also find that the policy affects households differently according to education level, with more educated households borrowing more to capitalise on rising asset prices driven by the ‘additional’ urban population created by the policy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101367"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145117697","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Growth-mindset financial education and labor supply of low-income women: An RCT evidence from rural China 成长型金融教育与低收入妇女劳动力供给:来自中国农村地区的随机对照试验证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101361
Yaojing Wang , Cheng Yuan , Jiayu Zhao
{"title":"Growth-mindset financial education and labor supply of low-income women: An RCT evidence from rural China","authors":"Yaojing Wang ,&nbsp;Cheng Yuan ,&nbsp;Jiayu Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101361","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101361","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the potential of growth-mindset financial education to empower low-income married women and increase their labor force participation. In contrast to traditional financial literacy programs, which focus on outcomes that concerns managing existing resources, our approach targets maximizing income opportunities outcomes alongside financial knowledge interpretation. We conducted a randomized experiment involving 680 rural married women in a poverty county in China to test the effectiveness of income growth oriented financial education. The results show that women who received this education had 14% higher labor supply participation rate and 1.17 times higher frequency of seeking job information compared to the control group through increased self-efficacy and confidence in pursuing income-generating opportunities. This study offers a novel perspective on how financial education programs can improve financial conditions of underprivileged populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101361"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049416","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Investment under anticorruption: Evidence from the high-profile anticorruption campaign in Vietnam 反腐败下的投资:来自越南高调反腐运动的证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学
Emerging Markets Review Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101360
Huy Viet Hoang , Khanh Hoang , Viet Hoang , Cuong Nguyen
{"title":"Investment under anticorruption: Evidence from the high-profile anticorruption campaign in Vietnam","authors":"Huy Viet Hoang ,&nbsp;Khanh Hoang ,&nbsp;Viet Hoang ,&nbsp;Cuong Nguyen","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101360","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101360","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Given Vietnam's current anticorruption campaign and its distinctive context of decentralized governance and public sector dominance, this paper investigates how anticorruption efforts affect corporate investment behaviour during 2006 and 2019. Using a novel text-based measure of anticorruption and comprehensive firm-level datasets, we uncover a consistent pattern that firms tend to delay investments in response to heightened uncertainty triggered by anticorruption activities. This strategic hesitation reflects a rational response to avoid potential regulatory and political uncertainty, and holds across a wide range of robustness checks, including alternative model specifications, variable definitions, and advanced estimation techniques such as system GMM and entropy balancing. Our findings also reveal that anticorruption campaigns significantly reduce informal business costs—particularly bribery, thus highlighting institutional improvements and a more transparent business environment. Notably, while public sector investment efficiency improves under the campaign, private firms show no significant efficiency gains, underscoring the asymmetry in how reforms affect different ownership structures. By bridging institutional reform with corporate finance, the study offers new insights into the channels through which anticorruption influences firm decision-making, governance, and political strategy. This research fills a critical gap in the literature, demonstrating that anticorruption is not merely a legal or ethical issue, but a transformative force in corporate investment dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101360"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145010535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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