{"title":"Does asynchronous market update matter? Re-examining the price discovery of stock index and futures in China","authors":"Qian Han , Chengzhi Zhao , Jing Chen , Qian Guo","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101307","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101307","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Uniquely addressing asynchronous informational update between index and futures, we find that reduction in data frequency depicts a dual effect of “noise reduction” and “speed reduction” on Hasbrouck's (1995) information share (IS) and Gonzalo-Granger's (1995) component share (CS) indicators. Furthermore, the “noise reduction” effect does not exist significantly on CS, thereby preventing Putniņš's (2013) information leading share (ILS) indicator from eliminating noise under low-frequency data. Our novel leading time (LT) indicator suggests that the Shanghai-Shenzhen Stock Exchange 300 (CSI 300) and China Stock Exchange 500 (CSI 500) futures dominate price discovery. An asynchronous informational update overestimates the price discovery ability of futures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101307"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144068368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do management climate change concerns mitigate greenwashing? Evidence from China","authors":"Sishi Yue , Mo Yang , Jiawei Cao , Jinyu Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101308","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101308","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we investigate whether management climate change concerns (MCCCs) have an effect on the greenwashing behavior of listed firms. We construct a score to measure MCCCs, which is computed via the informational content of the Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) sections in annual reports that contain climate-change-related words (phrases). We employ a panel dataset that comprises Chinese companies listed on the A-share market between 2015 and 2021 to examine the effect of MCCCs on greenwashing behavior via panel regression analysis. We find that the number of management concerns regarding climate change have increased, which has mitigated greenwashing behavior. The in-depth integration of MCCCs directly inhibits greenwashing through the corporate governance structure. Additionally, the effects are more evident among enterprises in non-highly polluting industries, enterprises with strong innovation ability, enterprises in eastern China, and enterprises in strongly competitive markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101308"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144083695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Commodity dependence: Providing information on emerging market CDS spreads when economic indicators are absent","authors":"Beyza Mina Ordu-Akkaya , Süheyla Özyıldırım","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101299","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101299","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Given that commodities play a significant role in the sustainability of economies, we investigate the role of commodity dependence in the economic fundamentals through sovereign CDS spreads. We employ 17 commodities and 16 emerging countries in our analysis. Results show commodities spill information over emerging market CDS spreads and the most influential commodity is copper. Hence, we check for the role of copper and risk measures of copper in CDS spreads and we see that the variance of copper is significant in explaining CDS spreads, however when local and global factors are included in the model, the significance vanishes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101299"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144068369","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pablo A. Garcia-Fuentes , P. Lynn Kennedy , Gustavo F.C. Ferreira
{"title":"Growth effects of remittances in developing countries: A growth accounting approach","authors":"Pablo A. Garcia-Fuentes , P. Lynn Kennedy , Gustavo F.C. Ferreira","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101303","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101303","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the growth effects of remittances using a panel of 103 countries over the period 1990–2019. It uses growth accounting methods and addresses the endogeneity of remittances by introducing external instruments based on economic indicators of the remittance sending-countries. It finds a robust remittance positive effect on growth in remittance-receiving countries. For the average country, an increase of one percentage point in remittances as share of GDP (from 4.16% to 5.46%) increases growth by 0.16%. Additionally, estimations based on the models in Chami et al. (2005), Barajas et al. (2009), and Senbeta (2013) show that remittances promote growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101303"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143935938","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Vardan Baghdasaryan , Roy Mersland , R. Øystein Strøm
{"title":"Multibanking in microfinance yields positive performance: Evidence from Ecuadorian entrepreneurs","authors":"Vardan Baghdasaryan , Roy Mersland , R. Øystein Strøm","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101302","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101302","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Is it, on average, harmful for micro-entrepreneurs to borrow from several banks? In this study we find that having loans from several banks improves entrepreneurs' performance, that is, their current revenue. We ensure causal identification by applying instrumental variable estimator to control for the endogeneity as well as test for possible attrition induced bias. Importantly, we uncover certain borrowing patterns of these multiple loans that are associated with greater gross income – specific temporal order of taking out loans and their size relative to incomes. We cannot claim whether this pattern is initiated by the borrower or the banks. The study uses proprietary rich customer data from an Ecuadorian bank matched with credit registry records. Although we acknowledge the many risks involved, our findings suggest a more positive role for multibanking, which has primarily been considered a driver of over-indebtedness in the microfinance literature.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101302"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143918341","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fatma Hilal Ergen Keleş , Emrah Keleş , Bodo B. Schlegelmilch
{"title":"CSR news and stock prices: A fine-grained analysis in an underexamined Muslim setting","authors":"Fatma Hilal Ergen Keleş , Emrah Keleş , Bodo B. Schlegelmilch","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101301","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101301","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite considerable efforts to understand the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) on corporate financial performance (CFP), findings have remained inconsistent for decades due to the complexity of the CSR-CFP relationship and its context-specific nature. Our study takes a fine-grained approach by examining the connection between CSR news and stock prices. We leverage comprehensive and up-to-date CSR characteristics obtained through content analysis and a novel dataset of 315 CSR events distilled from 14,473 corporate and industrial news items of 38 companies listed in the BIST 100 index of the Istanbul Stock Exchange from 2014 to 2018. We discover that the stock market responds positively to CSR news, with a mean 2-day cumulative abnormal return (CAR) of 0.14 percentage points, roughly equivalent to 9.59 million USD. This response is particularly strong in contexts related to “social CSR,” “external stakeholder focus,” and “new information.” Additionally, cross-sectional analysis indicates that investors are inclined to react favorably to CSR news related to productivity while exhibiting a negative response to international CSR initiatives. Our further analyses uncover that the impact of CSR news is moderated by social capital and institutional ownership and is contingent upon whether the market conditions are characterized as “normal” or “hard.” These findings remain robust after a series of tests. Our results offer insights into how firms should communicate CSR initiatives, implement international or local CSR, and prioritize actions serving the firm<strong>.</strong></div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101301"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143911584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Colonialism in sub-Saharan Africa, access to finance, and firm growth","authors":"Lawrence Ngalim , Asli Togan","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101300","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101300","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Whether adequate access to external finance matters for firm-growth remains an unsettled debate in the finance literature, mainly because of endogeneity concerns. In this paper, we approach these concerns with two instruments constructed from colonial history that plausibly explain the current variations in financial development across sub-Saharan African (SSA) economies. We conjecture that these instruments–– the firm's distance from a colonial railway station and whether it is located in an area that had colonial settlements—provide potential channels of impact that identify the present-day effects of access to finance on firm-growth across SSA. By using these instruments, empirical results underscore the primacy of access to finance in firm-growth and consistently suggest that firms with access to finance are more likely to experience higher revenue growth and asset growth. Overall, our results are consistent and robust to alternative specifications and highlight the importance of access to finance for firms. Our findings provide policy implications on the development of the banking sector as well as private sector development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101300"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899947","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Corporate investment and shadow banking channel of monetary policy","authors":"Bo Jiang, Liang Fu","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101291","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101291","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the differential impact of monetary policy on investment between state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and non-SOEs in China, a context marked by a transition from quantity-based to interest rate-based monetary policy and the growth of the shadow banking sector. Utilizing a high-frequency, interest-rate-based measure of monetary policy shocks, we find that contractionary monetary policy has a significantly larger negative impact on SOE investment. This differential response is attributed to the distinct financing structures of SOEs and non-SOEs: SOEs' reliance on traditional bank loans, facilitated by implicit government guarantees, renders them more sensitive to monetary tightening, while non-SOEs' dependence on the shadow banking sector mitigates this effect.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 101291"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143859115","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
José Antonio Ocampo , Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas , Germán Orbegozo-Rodríguez , Nicolás Fajardo-Baquero , Oscar Botero-Ramírez , Camilo Orozco-Vanegas
{"title":"The role of investor participation on sovereign debt markets: Evidence from an emerging economy","authors":"José Antonio Ocampo , Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas , Germán Orbegozo-Rodríguez , Nicolás Fajardo-Baquero , Oscar Botero-Ramírez , Camilo Orozco-Vanegas","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101284","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101284","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the impact of sovereign debt holdings on bond yields and volatility across different maturities and investor types. Using a unique Colombian panel dataset encompassing all government shares and concentrations of public and private institutions from 2006 to 2018, our analysis reveals that a one-standard-deviation increase in non-residents' market share leads to a 0.5% reduction in bond yields and a 10% decrease in volatility relative to their mean values. For domestic banks and pension funds, a one-standard-deviation increase in market shares results in a 0.7% and 1.3% increase in bond yields, along with a 10% and 6% rise in yield volatility, respectively. Additionally, we observe unexpected negative effects of foreign investors' market concentration on bond yields and volatility. These effects are attributed to the mix of investors. Initially, all foreign investors were foreign banks, demonstrating a stable demand despite their limited number. Over time, they ceded participation to mutual funds, which, although more numerous, adopted speculative strategies associated with short-term return investments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"66 ","pages":"Article 101284"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143821205","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The employment effects of anticorruption: Evidence from China","authors":"Xiangbing Xu , Nanyan Dong , Chengzhang Wu , Sicheng Luo","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101290","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101290","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines whether China's anticorruption efforts affect firm employment. We find that Chinese provinces with higher pre-existing levels of corruption experience significant increases in the employment scale of listed firms post-campaign. Two channels through which anticorruption affects employment are identified: the mitigation of expropriation risk and the alleviation of financing pressure. The employment effects are more pronounced in firms with higher labor costs, lower management fees, and those located in regions with weaker marketization. Moreover, the campaign can mitigate underhiring and its effects on employment will not come at the expense of compensation or firm profitability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"66 ","pages":"Article 101290"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143791857","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}