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A real-options analysis of climate change and international migration 气候变化和国际移民的现实选择分析
4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2023-03-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x23000013
Marius Braun
{"title":"A real-options analysis of climate change and international migration","authors":"Marius Braun","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x23000013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x23000013","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The potential impact of climate change on international migration patterns has recently received considerable attention, yet much of the empirical literature fails to find increases in international migration due to climate change. This paper attempts to resolve this “immobility paradox” by applying a real-options framework to the relationship between climate change and international migration. This framework suggests that individuals may postpone their migration response to climate change in the face of uncertainty and only migrate once impacts of climate change have exceeded certain thresholds. We test this prediction using semiparametric regression methods which allow us to empirically identify the threshold effects implied by the real-options framework. However, the findings are generally inconsistent with such threshold effects. Rather, the results suggest that in low-income countries, individuals’ migration response is hampered by the existence of liquidity constraints. These are likely to become more binding due to climate change-induced decreases in agricultural productivity.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":"140 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135001704","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The effect of air pollution on China's internal migration 空气污染对中国内部人口迁移的影响
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2023-01-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000377
Wenbo Li
{"title":"The effect of air pollution on China's internal migration","authors":"Wenbo Li","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x22000377","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x22000377","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Have people in China moved from more polluted cities to less polluted ones? We merge city-level air pollution data from 2003 to 2016 with migration data from a nationally representative sample. We estimate a linear model and a conditional logit model, and employ air pollution from distant sources carried by the wind as an instrument for local air pollution to address the potential concern that air pollution is endogenous to local economic activities. We make a distinction between out-migration that left some family members behind and whole-household out-migration, and discover that the former was more responsive to air pollution than the latter. The decline in net in-migration in response to an increase in air pollution was driven by both a decrease in gross in-migration and an increase in gross out-migration. We find suggestive evidence that out-migrants brought their children with them, but some aged parents were left behind.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43926589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
EDE volume 27 issue 6 Cover and Front matter EDE第27卷第6期封面和封面问题
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-11-10 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x2200033x
{"title":"EDE volume 27 issue 6 Cover and Front matter","authors":"","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x2200033x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x2200033x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":" ","pages":"f1 - f4"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47667418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
EDE volume 27 issue 6 Cover and Back matter EDE第27卷第6期封面和封底
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-11-10 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000341
{"title":"EDE volume 27 issue 6 Cover and Back matter","authors":"","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x22000341","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x22000341","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":"27 1","pages":"b1 - b4"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48171372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
COVID-19 lockdown and municipal solid waste: evidence from the discarding records of 252 communities in China COVID-19封锁与城市固体废物:来自中国252个社区丢弃记录的证据
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-11-08 DOI: 10.1017/S1355770X22000353
Dongmin Kong, Chenhao Liu, Ling Han
{"title":"COVID-19 lockdown and municipal solid waste: evidence from the discarding records of 252 communities in China","authors":"Dongmin Kong, Chenhao Liu, Ling Han","doi":"10.1017/S1355770X22000353","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X22000353","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This study investigates the impacts of the COVID-19 lockdown on municipal solid waste (MSW). Based on a unique data set of daily discarding records of 252 communities in Beijing, China, we conduct a difference-in-differences estimation and find that the total daily MSW decreased by 134.16 kg in a community, which is equivalent to at least 0.22 kg per household per day, and the average weight of MSW per package decreased by 56.8 per cent after the COVID-19 lockdown. We consider a series of potential mechanisms, such as MSW hoarding, shifts in discarding time, and fear of going out, and find the most support for consumption pattern shifts with reduced consumption. We then discuss the effect of the lockdown on the reduction of MSW generation because of the strict restriction of consumption. We also conduct various heterogeneity analyses. Our results present clear implications for municipal waste management by highlighting the effect of the lockdown on the generation of MSW and the underlying consumption mechanism.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42582622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Does idiosyncratic risk matter for climate policy? 特殊风险对气候政策重要吗?
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-11-02 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000328
Richard Jaimes
{"title":"Does idiosyncratic risk matter for climate policy?","authors":"Richard Jaimes","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x22000328","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x22000328","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This paper studies the implications of distortions in intertemporal margins for the conduct of climate policy. We do so by introducing a framework that combines a standard two-period overlapping generations (OLG) model with a tractable model of household heterogeneity, in which over-accumulation of capital arises from uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. We illustrate that market-based climate policies must be adjusted when the government cannot provide full insurance to households by taxing only capital and is constrained to transfer resources across generations for risk-sharing. In a numerical exercise, we find that idiosyncratic risk leads to an optimal capital income tax rate of 35 per cent and a carbon price 7.5 per cent lower than its first best.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":"277 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"57069476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Unravelling the pastoralist paradox – preferences for land tenure security and flexibility in Kenya 解开牧民悖论——肯尼亚对土地保有权保障和灵活性的偏好
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-10-19 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000298
G. Bostedt, Erlend Dancke Sandorf, S. Mureithi, Deborah Muricho
{"title":"Unravelling the pastoralist paradox – preferences for land tenure security and flexibility in Kenya","authors":"G. Bostedt, Erlend Dancke Sandorf, S. Mureithi, Deborah Muricho","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x22000298","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x22000298","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In this paper, we use a discrete choice experiment conducted among pastoralists in four different semi-arid counties in Kenya characterized by different land tenure regimes to analyze how pastoralists make tradeoffs between tenure security and grazing flexibility – the so-called pastoralist paradox. Results show that there is one group of respondents who are desperate for change and seem to prefer either group or private title deeds to their current situation. A second, smaller group has strong preferences for the status quo, which could be driven by their relatively short migration distances. Concerning index-based livestock insurance, the basis risk suffered by insured pastoralists due to underprediction is high, but willingness to pay (WTP) for livestock insurance should still be high enough to ensure maximum uptake, leaving current low uptakes hard to explain. The worry about climate change is high but does not translate into increased WTP for more secure tenure or formal livestock insurance.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45874849","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Greenhouse gases mitigation: global externalities and short-termism 减缓温室气体排放：全球外部性和短期主义
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-10-13 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000249
Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, Behnaz Minooei Fard, W. Semmler
{"title":"Greenhouse gases mitigation: global externalities and short-termism","authors":"Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, Behnaz Minooei Fard, W. Semmler","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x22000249","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x22000249","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Policies designed to control greenhouse gases imply domestic tradeoffs and international externalities, which lead to both domestic and international conflicts, influencing their feasibility and implementations. Our paper investigates two quantitative aspects within this debate. We intend to quantify the impact of: (a) the internalization of international externalities; and (b) the damage associated with a short-term view of climate policies. In this respect, we adopt the innovative (in this field) idea of model predictive control to formalize moving-horizon policy strategies and, thus, to build counterfactuals characterized by a different horizon for all policymakers.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41872720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Disclosure of enterprises' environmental violations: evidence from Chinese public supervision 企业环境违法行为披露:来自中国公众监督的证据
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000304
Beibei Shi, Fei Yang, Rong Kang
{"title":"Disclosure of enterprises' environmental violations: evidence from Chinese public supervision","authors":"Beibei Shi, Fei Yang, Rong Kang","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x22000304","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x22000304","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Environmental violation by enterprises is a common problem in environmental management worldwide. To restrict enterprises' environmental pollution behaviors, China has implemented a public supervision system based on environmental information publicity, which guides the public to participate in environmental governance and supervises enterprises' environmental pollution behaviors. This study exploits a quasi-natural experiment based on the disclosure policy of the Pollution Information Transparency Index in China from 2008 and the difference-in-differences method to evaluate the disclosure effect of public supervision on enterprises' environmental violations, and to examine its environmental benefits and their realization path. We find that the public supervision system is conducive to the disclosure of enterprises' environmental violations. At the same time, public supervision has achieved the expected environmental benefits, mainly realized by reducing enterprises' output to reduce polluting emissions, and this mechanism is more obvious for high-polluting enterprises.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-10-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47611253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Reducing carbon footprint by replacing generators with solar PV systems: a contingent valuation study in Lagos, Nigeria 通过用太阳能光伏系统取代发电机来减少碳足迹：尼日利亚拉各斯的一项偶然评估研究
IF 2.1 4区 经济学
Environment and Development Economics Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI: 10.1017/s1355770x22000316
Eleanya Nduka
{"title":"Reducing carbon footprint by replacing generators with solar PV systems: a contingent valuation study in Lagos, Nigeria","authors":"Eleanya Nduka","doi":"10.1017/s1355770x22000316","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x22000316","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Nigeria is endowed with abundant sunshine year-round; thus, solar PV would solve the environmental problems associated with petrol-powered generators. However, it is unclear whether households are willing to transition. Thus, we analyze households’ willingness to pay (WTP) for solar PV under four scenarios: (i) WTP when a solar PV is complemented with a generator, (ii) WTP when a solar PV completely displaces a generator, (iii) WTP when a solar PV is complemented with a generator, plus a subsidy, and (iv) WTP when a solar PV completely displaces a generator, given a subsidy. We find that WTP for solar PV is higher when it can displace generators completely. Subsidy plus monthly rather than upfront payment would scale up the adoption of solar PV by about 6 per cent. Furthermore, the cost benefit analysis results show that solar PV investment is profitable. Thus, there is a need to implement policies aimed at scaling up the energy transition.","PeriodicalId":47751,"journal":{"name":"Environment and Development Economics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-10-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46880081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
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