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The influence of population aging on global climate policy 人口老龄化对全球气候政策的影响
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00425-4
Daniel Albalate, G. Bel, Jordi J. Teixidó
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引用次数: 0
Heat and Drought Reduce Subnational Population Growth in the Global Tropics. 炎热和干旱减少了全球热带地区的次国家人口增长
IF 3.2 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-06-01 Epub Date: 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00420-9
Clark Gray, Maia Call
{"title":"Heat and Drought Reduce Subnational Population Growth in the Global Tropics.","authors":"Clark Gray, Maia Call","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00420-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s11111-023-00420-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In recent decades, the possibility that climate change will lead to depopulation of vulnerable areas in the global tropics via migration, mortality, or collapsing fertility has generated significant concern. We address this issue by using data on subnational population growth from 1,809 subnational units across the global tropics and linked data on climate exposures to examine how decadal temperature and precipitation anomalies influence population-weighted intercensal growth rates. Our fixed effects regression analysis reveals that the lowest predicted population growth rates occur under hot and dry conditions. The effects of heat and drought are strongest in districts that, at baseline, have high population densities, high precipitation rates, or high educational attainment. These patterns are contrary to common assumptions about these processes, and even the rare combination of hot and dry conditions, occurring in less than 7% of our sample, does not lead to local depopulation. Taken together with previous findings, this suggests that depopulation narratives do not have a strong evidentiary basis.</p>","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11800963/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43151989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
"Measuring the Environmental Context of Child Growth in Burkina Faso". "衡量布基纳法索儿童成长的环境背景"。
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-06-01 Epub Date: 2023-03-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00414-7
Alfredo J Rojas, Clark L Gray, Colin Thor West
{"title":"\"Measuring the Environmental Context of Child Growth in Burkina Faso\".","authors":"Alfredo J Rojas, Clark L Gray, Colin Thor West","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00414-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s11111-023-00414-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Child growth failure, as indicated by low height-for-age z-scores (HAZ), is an important metric of health, social inequality, and food insecurity. Understanding the environmental pathways to this outcome can provide insight into how to prevent it. While other studies have examined the environmental determinants of HAZ, there is no agreed upon best-practices approach to measure the environmental context of this outcome. From this literature, we derive a large set of potential environmental predictors and specifications including temperature and precipitation levels, anomalies, and counts as well as vegetation anomalies and trends, which we include using linear, nonlinear, and interactive specifications. We compare these measures and specifications using four rounds of DHS survey data from Burkina Faso and a large set of fixed effects regression models, focusing on exposures from the time of conception through the second year of life and relying on joint hypothesis tests and goodness-of-fit measures to determine which approach best explains HAZ. Our analysis reveals that nonlinear and interactive transformations of climate anomalies, as opposed to climate levels or vegetation indices, provide the best explanation of child growth failure. These results underline the complex and nonlinear pathways through which climate change affects child health and should motivate climate-health researchers to more broadly adopt measures and specifications that capture these pathways.</p>","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10237046/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9939357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Population and environment: the evolution of the debate between optimists and pessimists 人口与环境：乐观主义者与悲观主义者争论的演变
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00424-5
J. Bongaarts
{"title":"Population and environment: the evolution of the debate between optimists and pessimists","authors":"J. Bongaarts","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00424-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-023-00424-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 1","pages":"1-12"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41853839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
From risk reduction to a landscape of (un)desired outcomes: Climate migrants’ perceptions of migration success and failure 从降低风险到实现（不）预期结果：气候移民对移民成功与失败的看法
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-05-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00421-8
Amit Tubi, Yael Israeli
{"title":"From risk reduction to a landscape of (un)desired outcomes: Climate migrants’ perceptions of migration success and failure","authors":"Amit Tubi, Yael Israeli","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00421-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-023-00421-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":" ","pages":"1-23"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45979467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social vulnerability and population loss in Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria 飓风玛丽亚过后波多黎各的社会脆弱性和人口损失
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-05-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00418-3
J. West
{"title":"Social vulnerability and population loss in Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria","authors":"J. West","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00418-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-023-00418-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 1","pages":"1-22"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41471435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Demo-livelihoods theoretical framework: microdemographics mediating livelihoods over frontier stages in the Amazon 示范生计理论框架：微观表情在亚马逊前沿阶段调节生计
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-04-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00419-2
A. Barbieri
{"title":"Demo-livelihoods theoretical framework: microdemographics mediating livelihoods over frontier stages in the Amazon","authors":"A. Barbieri","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00419-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-023-00419-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 1","pages":"1-20"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42178268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The need for willingness and opportunity: analyzing where and when environmental variability influences conflict in the Sahel 意愿和机会的需要:分析环境变化在何时何地影响萨赫勒地区的冲突
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-02-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00413-8
J. Schon, Brittney Koehnlein, Ore Koren
{"title":"The need for willingness and opportunity: analyzing where and when environmental variability influences conflict in the Sahel","authors":"J. Schon, Brittney Koehnlein, Ore Koren","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00413-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-023-00413-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 1","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48967938","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Disasters and subjective assessments of recovery in the long run 灾害和对长期恢复的主观评估
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00415-6
Ethan J. Raker, Tyler Woods, Saúl Ramírez, Marie-Claire Meadows, S. Lowe
{"title":"Disasters and subjective assessments of recovery in the long run","authors":"Ethan J. Raker, Tyler Woods, Saúl Ramírez, Marie-Claire Meadows, S. Lowe","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00415-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-023-00415-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 1","pages":"1-23"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45010939","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Impacts of rainfall shocks on out-migration are moderated more by per capita income than by agricultural output in Türkiye. 在土耳其，降雨冲击对移民外流的影响更多地受到人均收入的调节，而不是农业产出的调节。
IF 3.3 3区 社会学
Population and Environment Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-06-20 DOI: 10.1007/s11111-023-00423-6
Nathan Delacrétaz, Bruno Lanz, Amir H Delju, Etienne Piguet, Martine Rebetez
{"title":"Impacts of rainfall shocks on out-migration are moderated more by per capita income than by agricultural output in Türkiye.","authors":"Nathan Delacrétaz,&nbsp;Bruno Lanz,&nbsp;Amir H Delju,&nbsp;Etienne Piguet,&nbsp;Martine Rebetez","doi":"10.1007/s11111-023-00423-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s11111-023-00423-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Rural populations are particularly exposed to increasing weather variability, notably through agriculture. In this paper, we exploit longitudinal data for Turkish provinces from 2008 to 2018 together with precipitation records over more than 30 years to quantify how variability in a standardized precipitation index (SPI) affects out-migration as an adaptation mechanism. Doing so, we document the role of three potential causal channels: per capita income, agricultural output, and local conflicts. Our results show that negative SPI shocks (droughts) are associated with higher out-migration in rural provinces. A mediated-moderator approach further suggests that changes in per capita income account for more than one quarter of the direct effect of droughts on out-migration, whereas agricultural output is only relevant for provinces in the upper quartile of crop production. Finally, we find evidence that local conflict fatalities increase with drought and trigger out-migration, although this channel is distinct from the direct effect of SPI shocks on out-migration.</p>","PeriodicalId":47692,"journal":{"name":"Population and Environment","volume":"45 3","pages":"12"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10281901/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9766687","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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