{"title":"New ESG rating drivers in the cross-section of European stock returns","authors":"Ian Berk, Massimo Guidolin, Monia Magnani","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12356","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12356","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We assess the performance of two quantitative signals based on ESG scores across a large, multi-national cross-section of European stock returns. We test whether the cost of equity capital is more influenced by the upward momentum (measured over time) of the ESG scores of the firms issuing stocks or by their stability (identified as the volatility of the scores over time), measured around a changing mean level. We find that short-term ESG momentum over 1 month has a significant impact on the cross-section of stock returns, lowering the anticipated cost of capital and leading to positive average abnormal returns. This suggests that short-term ESG momentum may represent a novel, priced systematic risk factor. Furthermore, we find strong evidence that an ESG volatility spread strategy which buys low ESG score volatility stocks and sells high volatility ones, generates a substantial alpha and affects the ex-ante cost of capital. Both quantitative ESG signals result in portfolio sorting and long-short strategies that enhance the overall sustainability profile of the issuing firms without compromising the raw average of their ESG scores.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S133-S162"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jfir.12356","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136262147","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ge Gao, Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Oleksandr Talavera
{"title":"Can central banks be heard over the sound of gunfire?","authors":"Ge Gao, Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy, Oleksandr Talavera","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12358","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12358","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this study, we examined the effectiveness of central bank communications during times of significant adverse shocks. Specifically, we examined how the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) regulated foreign exchange (FX) markets during the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022. Data collected from both the black and authorized FX markets suggested that the content of the NBU's announcements significantly impacted FX market agents. Announcements aimed at maintaining a fixed (floating) FX rate prompted an increase (decrease) in the black market premium in cash transactions. Moreover, the NBU's announcements influenced the sale side of foreign currency more than any other aspect, an area where the black market FX traders held near monopolistic power.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S183-S203"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jfir.12358","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135723701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Climate transition risk and bank lending","authors":"Brunella Bruno, Sara Lombini","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12360","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12360","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We investigate whether and how banks in the global syndicated loan market adjusted the pricing and supply of credit to account for higher climate transition risk (CTR) in the years following the 2015 Paris Agreement. We measure CTR by considering the pollution levels of borrowers and the engagement of countries where borrowers are headquartered in addressing climate change issues. The evidence is mixed and points to nonlinear relations between lending variables and CO2 emissions. Policy events such as the Paris Agreement and government environmental awareness are significant climate risk drivers that, when combined, may amplify banks' perception of CTR.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S59-S106"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jfir.12360","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135191556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Firm reaction to geopolitical crises: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict","authors":"MD ASIF UL ALAM, Erik Devos, Zifeng Feng","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12354","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12354","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper investigates corporate announcements related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict of S&P 500 firms. We observe that firms withdrawing from Russia or suspending operations possess higher cash levels. Additionally, firms with more cash seem to announce withdrawals or suspensions more promptly. These findings suggest that cash levels are pivotal in how firms respond to geopolitical events. While cash does not seem influential when firms announce donations due to the conflict, it does affect the speed of such announcements. Social media also appears to play a significant role. Examining investor reactions to donation or withdrawal/suspension announcements, we report negative returns surrounding these announcements. Our paper underscores the critical role of cash reserves (i.e., financial flexibility) in shaping firm reactions to geopolitical events.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S163-S182"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134908855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Board structure and market performance: Does one solution fit all?","authors":"Milena Petrova","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12361","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12361","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We investigate the relationship between internal corporate governance and market performance across multiple countries, utilizing a comprehensive data set comprising 77,440 firm observations from 15 European Union countries over the period 2002-2018. Specifically, we examine the impact of board characteristics, including size, independence, gender diversity, CEO duality, and classified boards, on market performance. Our findings reveal that CEO duality is generally negatively related to returns, whereas independent directors and board diversity are positively related to market performance. We observe a positive association between staggered boards and market performance as well as Tobin's Q, aligning with the EU's emphasis on stakeholder investments. Upon analyzing the data at the country level, we identify that the links between board structure and performance vary by country, and there isn't a single variable that is consistently related to market returns or Tobin's Q. These divergent findings indicate that there is no universally applicable corporate governance solution that can be recommended for companies throughout Europe.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S7-S27"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jfir.12361","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135216300","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does environmental investment pay off?—portfolio analyses of the E in ESG during political conflicts and public health crises","authors":"Jiancheng Shen, Chen Chen, Zheng Liu","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12357","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12357","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines the contribution of environmental investment on firm value during the Russia-Ukraine War and Global Public Health Crisis. Using media-based environmental scores, we investigate the performance of the emission-reduction-based and green-innovation-based portfolios. The results indicate that while engaging in environmental activities decreases firm value during the noncrisis time, it creates value when companies face market-wide crises. Our findings suggest that environmental investment serves as a risk-hedging vehicle for political and health crises. In addition, compared to corporate ESG disclosures, firm-level media-based environmental scores mitigate the endogeneity between a company's ESG disclosure policies and its firm characteristics.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S107-S131"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135723690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Market impacts of the 2020 short selling bans","authors":"Alessandro Spolaore, Caroline Le Moign","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12355","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12355","url":null,"abstract":"<p>At the height of the COVID-19 related market stress in March 2020, six European countries implemented market-wide short selling bans. Based on a difference-in-difference approach using regulatory data, our estimation finds that the bans are associated with a deterioration in liquidity and trading volumes, and a decrease in volatility, without evidence of price impact. Remarkably, the negative impact persisted after the bans' lift. Liquidity deterioration appears stronger for liquid shares- large-cap, highly fragmented stocks, and stocks with listed derivatives. Sectoral effects are noticed for the stocks most affected by the market stress. Finally, no displacement effect was observed.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S29-S58"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jfir.12355","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135191542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"European equity markets volatility spillover: Destabilizing energy risk is the new normal","authors":"Zsuzsa R. Huszár, Balázs B. Kotró, Ruth S. K. Tan","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12359","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12359","url":null,"abstract":"<p>While energy risk is increasingly recognized as a systemic risk, there is limited comprehensive analysis of the risk propagation in regional contexts. In this study, we examine oil and natural gas price changes and shocks in relation to equity market returns and volatility for 24 European Economic Area (EEA) countries. In addition to traditional panel regressions, we also deploy the Diebold-Yilmaz (2014) spillover index for a closed network analysis. We differentiate in the cross-section across the core EU block, PIIGS countries, EU enlargement countries joining after 2004, and other non-EU countries, to provide insights into the ongoing debates on the European energy market stability. While we find evidence of the manifestation of energy risk throughout the sample period, we find that until 2019 the primary sources of volatility spillover in the EEA economic network arose from economic or political uncertainty. Energy risks, measured by large crude oil and natural gas price shocks also significantly contributed to equity market volatility, with increasing volatility risk arising from natural gas, a green labelled energy source after 2019. Last, we show that CEEC equity markets are more sensitive to oil and natural gas price shocks when domestic currencies depreciate against the Euro.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 S1","pages":"S205-S271"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2023-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135267321","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of labor on the performance of founder-family firms","authors":"Murali Jagannathan, Brett W. Myers, Xu Niu","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12353","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12353","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Firms managed by the scions of founders continue to be prevalent in the United States despite the increase in shareholder activism over the last few decades, calling into question the argument that such organizational structures reduce firm value. Founder-family successions are rare in high-growth industries where the benefits of selecting from a larger pool of managers is significant. Rather, they tend to happen in low-growth industries, in manufacturing/retail firms. Once we account for the differences in firm characteristics, we do not find that founder-family successions reduce firm value. We explore a mechanism that compensates for the costs of choosing from a smaller pool of managers and document evidence consistent with family firms benefiting from improved labor relations.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"47 1","pages":"27-60"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135945133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ghulame Rubbaniy, Ali Awais Khalid, Shoaib Ali, Efstathios Polyzos
{"title":"Cyclicality of liquidity creation: Nonlinear evidence from US bank holding companies","authors":"Ghulame Rubbaniy, Ali Awais Khalid, Shoaib Ali, Efstathios Polyzos","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12352","DOIUrl":"10.1111/jfir.12352","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using a panel smooth transition regression framework on a new proxy of the business cycle (BC) index and quarterly data of US bank holding companies from 1993Q1 to 2020Q1, our results provide empirical support for the theory that the BC has a nonlinear effect on liquidity creation. We find a positive and highly significant nonlinear effect of the BC on liquidity creation, which not only supports the pro-cyclicality of liquidity creation but also improves the liquidity creation estimation compared to previous studies. The results are robust to different proxies of the BC and model specifications. We also document that US bank holding companies create liquidity more during the expansion phase (normal times) than during the recession phase (crisis times) of the BC, suggesting an asymmetrical effect of BC changes on liquidity creation. Our findings have important implications for financial market participants by suggesting that banks should keep alternative sources of funding on hand during the BC recession phase. Insights from our study also provide policy implications for central banks and prudent supervisors to consider when incentivizing banks, for instance, by lowering regulatory requirements, adjusting the policy rate, or implementing any other quantitative easing policy during the BC recession phase to keep the financial system efficient.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"46 4","pages":"1165-1185"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43363451","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}