Growth and Change最新文献_第6页

What Causes Housing Price Decline? A Fuzzy Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis Based on 267 Prefecture-Level Cities in China 是什么导致了房价下跌？基于中国267个地级市的模糊集定性比较分析

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70110

Guangping Liu, Xinlin Guo

{"title":"What Causes Housing Price Decline? A Fuzzy Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis Based on 267 Prefecture-Level Cities in China","authors":"Guangping Liu, Xinlin Guo","doi":"10.1111/grow.70110","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70110","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The stability of housing prices is crucial to both macroeconomic stability and people's livelihoods. In order to explore the root causes of the decline in China's real estate prices and formulate targeted policies for stabilizing housing prices, this study adopts a configuration perspective and employs the fuzzy set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA) method. Taking the housing price changes of 267 prefecture-level cities in China from 2021 to 2023 as the research object, this paper identifies the key combined paths influencing the downward trend of housing prices. The research findings reveal four core configuration paths for housing price decline: cost relief type, cost reduction adaptation type, supply-demand contraction type, and supply-demand recession type. All four paths include a high decline rate of land prices, indicating that the decrease in land prices serves as a critical foundational condition for the decline in housing prices. The interaction between the supply and demand sides determines the market mechanism underlying the housing price decline: when demand is strong, the supply side proactively adjusts its structure and reduces costs by leveraging the decrease in land costs to achieve active price adjustment; when demand is weak, the supply side is forced into passive price discounts due to inventory backlogs and capital chain pressures. Financial support, functioning as a lubricant, amplifies elasticity on the demand side and mitigates risks on the supply side, yet it cannot reverse the fundamental trends of demand recession and supply clearance.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146193691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Co-Creating an Urban Circularity Questionnaire: A Workshop Approach With Experts 共同创建城市循环调查问卷：与专家的研讨会方法

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-25 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70106

Rengin Aslanoğlu, Loredana Ivan, Cihan Kayaçetin, Qiuxian Li, Joost van Hoof, Jeroen Dikken

{"title":"Co-Creating an Urban Circularity Questionnaire: A Workshop Approach With Experts","authors":"Rengin Aslanoğlu, Loredana Ivan, Cihan Kayaçetin, Qiuxian Li, Joost van Hoof, Jeroen Dikken","doi":"10.1111/grow.70106","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70106","url":null,"abstract":"<p>As cities strive for sustainable development, the concept of urban circularity is gaining increasing recognition as a framework for systemic transformation. Yet, tools used to assess circularity, such as questionnaires, are often limited to traditional measurement functions. This paper argues that adopting new methods for developing questionnaires can serve as both a mechanism for creating a circularity measurement tool and for initiating conversations with stakeholders. It details a co-creation process involving international stakeholders (architects, urban planners, local government representatives, and social scientists) in the development of a circularity questionnaire and argues that these should be context-driven, methodologically sound, and, more importantly, socially accountable tools that include all stakeholders. This paper emphasizes ensuring effective measurements of urban circularity through the participation of all perspectives, improving the development process and the quality of surveys, and increasing stakeholder participation and dialog to effect change and increase insights into circularity practices.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70106","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146096622","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Intercity Distance and Functional Complementarity in Chinese Megaregions 中国特大区域的城际距离与功能互补

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-25 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70105

Yixiao Wang, Bindong Sun

{"title":"Intercity Distance and Functional Complementarity in Chinese Megaregions","authors":"Yixiao Wang, Bindong Sun","doi":"10.1111/grow.70105","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70105","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>By combining the city attribute data of sectoral employment in producer service and manufacturing and the intercity interaction data of population travel, internet, and patent cooperation from 2015 to 2019, the improved functional complementarity between core cities and their peripheral cities is measured. Using physical distance and expressway length as proxies for intercity distance, the analysis investigates the impact of intercity distance on functional complementarity by taking 11 Chinese megaregions as cases. The empirical results show that: (1) Intercity complementarity decreases with increasing intercity distance. (2) Considering intercity interaction in the measurements reveals the greater sensitivity of intercity functional complementarity to distance. (3) The negative effect of the distance becomes increasingly important over time if the interaction is highly sensitive to distance. (4) Among the sectors examined, leasing and business services show the weakest sensitivity to intercity distance while transportation services exhibit the most sensitivity. Our research emphasizes the significance of intercity distance on intercity functional relations in urban systems.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146058054","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Beyond Path Dependence: Local State Interventions and Firm Export Upgrading in China 超越路径依赖：中国地方政府干预与企业出口升级

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70107

Qi Guo, Haoyu Zhang, Yi Zhou, Zhiding Hu, Tinglin Wang

{"title":"Beyond Path Dependence: Local State Interventions and Firm Export Upgrading in China","authors":"Qi Guo, Haoyu Zhang, Yi Zhou, Zhiding Hu, Tinglin Wang","doi":"10.1111/grow.70107","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70107","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>While evolutionary economic geography has documented path-dependent patterns of regional industrial upgrading, it has paid less attention to the firm-level mechanisms underlying these patterns and to the role of spatially differentiated institutional environments. This paper examines how firm capabilities interact with locally varied policy regimes to shape export product upgrading in China. Using matched panel data linking firm-product exports with city-industry policy indicators, we show that firm upgrading is strongly capability-dependent, but systematically conditioned by local policy regimes. Stronger policy support weakens firms' reliance on pre-existing capabilities, facilitating upgrading into more technologically distant product spaces, while policy structure plays a critical role: competition-oriented policy regimes are more effective than selective ones in enabling path-breaking upgrading. These findings show that the ability of firms to move beyond capability-related trajectories depends critically on how local policies are structured, not merely on how much support is provided.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146091474","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Creative Economy and Slum Incidence in Developing Countries: Effect and Channels 创意经济与发展中国家贫民窟发生率：影响与渠道

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70102

Mbouombouo Adamou Nji Nchange, Dieudonné Mignamissi

{"title":"Creative Economy and Slum Incidence in Developing Countries: Effect and Channels","authors":"Mbouombouo Adamou Nji Nchange, Dieudonné Mignamissi","doi":"10.1111/grow.70102","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70102","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Recent analyses have highlighted the fact that the creative economy promotes the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and consequently affects urban structure and dynamics. Previous work primarily provided descriptive analyses and case studies regarding the link between the creative economy and urban poverty. In this context, this paper advances the discussion by examining the effect of the creative economy, measured by the share of creative goods and services exports in GDP, on slum incidence from a macroeconomic perspective. Using a panel of 115 developing countries over the period 2002–2022 based on the Driscoll-Kraay technique, we support the hypothesis that the creative economy reduces slum incidence. In other words, the socioeconomic benefits of cultural and creative industries (CCIs) contribute to addressing urban planning challenges. These results remain less sensitive to decomposition by type of creative goods, changes in measures of the creative economy, and the additional control variables. Furthermore, these results remain robust when we use estimation techniques that control endogeneity, censoring, and asymmetry. In addition, mediation analysis shows that income inequality and foreign direct investment are the main channels through which the creative economy influences slum prevalence.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146096414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Bridging or Widening the Gap? How Urban Growth and Openness Shape Infrastructure's Impact on Inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa 缩小差距还是扩大差距？撒哈拉以南非洲城市增长和开放如何影响基础设施对不平等的影响

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70103

Yousif Abdelbagi Abdalla, Atif Awad, Adam Yahya Jafeel, M. Azhar Hussain, Ilhan Ozturk

{"title":"Bridging or Widening the Gap? How Urban Growth and Openness Shape Infrastructure's Impact on Inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"Yousif Abdelbagi Abdalla, Atif Awad, Adam Yahya Jafeel, M. Azhar Hussain, Ilhan Ozturk","doi":"10.1111/grow.70103","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70103","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Income inequality remains a persistent socio-economic challenge in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), posing a significant threat to inclusive growth and sustainable development. Although infrastructure development is widely promoted as a catalyst for economic progress, its impact on income distribution remains ambiguous and context-dependent. This study investigates both the direct and conditional effects of infrastructure on income inequality in SSA, with particular attention to how urbanization and trade openness may amplify or mitigate these impacts. Using a balanced panel of 44 SSA countries from 2005 to 2023, the analysis employs dynamic panel estimators (System GMM) alongside Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQREG) to capture distributional heterogeneity. The findings indicate that, on average, infrastructure expansion tends to widen income inequality; however, this effect is moderated by higher levels of trade openness and urbanization. Specifically, greater trade openness dampens the inequality-increasing effect of infrastructure and can occasionally reverse it, resulting in a slight reduction in inequality at higher openness levels. Likewise, accelerated urban population growth offsets the adverse distributional impact, with results indicating that an urban growth rate exceeding 6.5% neutralizes the inequality effect. The quantile regression results further confirm that the relationship between infrastructure and inequality is more pronounced at lower and median quantiles. These insights underscore the importance of integrated infrastructure planning, supportive trade policies, and inclusive urban governance to leverage infrastructure for more equitable development in SSA.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146058024","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Effect of Land Transfer on Rural Collective Action: Evidence From Guizhou Province, China 土地流转对农村集体行动的影响：来自贵州省的证据

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70104

Jiayi Wang

引用次数: 0

Unpacking Endogeneity: Growth, Discontent and Cohesion Policy in the EU Regions 拆封内生性：欧盟地区的增长、不满和凝聚力政策

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70097

George Petrakos, Stavroula Alexiou, Alexandra Sotiriou

引用次数: 0

Human Capital and Regional Resilience: Nevada Computable General Equilibrium Approach 人力资本与区域弹性：内华达可计算一般均衡方法

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70099

Jaewon Lim, Euijune Kim, Aaron Colletta

{"title":"Human Capital and Regional Resilience: Nevada Computable General Equilibrium Approach","authors":"Jaewon Lim, Euijune Kim, Aaron Colletta","doi":"10.1111/grow.70099","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70099","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper analyzes the long-term economic impacts of workforce development initiatives designed to address skill mismatch in Nevada's labor market, driven by automation shock and rising demand for skilled labor. Two key programs—Career Technical Education and the Governor Guinn Millennium Scholarship—aim to improve educational attainment and job readiness, ensuring a stable supply of skilled workers. Using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, we simulate six policy scenarios reflecting varying levels of educational attainment and workforce upskilling. Results show these programs significantly boost high school and post-secondary graduation rates, increase Gross State Product (GSP), and modestly reduce income inequality. In the best-case scenario, cumulative household income rises by $9.1 billion, with an annual GSP increase of 0.164% over 30 years. All scenarios, however, experience short-term output contractions due to temporary labor supply reductions during upskilling periods. Reductions in occupational income disparities are modest, highlighting the need for broader program reach. The study underscores the importance of sustained investment in inclusive, scalable education and training programs, particularly for future workforce facing the automation challenges. Aligning workforce strategies with evolving labor demands is essential for strengthening Nevada's economic resilience and adaptability amid ongoing technological and industrial transformation.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145993980","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Bridging the Regional Innovation Gap: The Driving Role of Digital Governance in China 弥合区域创新差距：数字治理在中国的推动作用

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70098

Liping Li, Jie Peng, Bin Hu, Peiyu Li

{"title":"Bridging the Regional Innovation Gap: The Driving Role of Digital Governance in China","authors":"Liping Li, Jie Peng, Bin Hu, Peiyu Li","doi":"10.1111/grow.70098","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70098","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Digital governance (DG), functioning as a critical driver in regional innovation ecosystems, effectively promotes spatial equity and innovation equilibrium. Based on a panel of Chinese cities from 2010 to 2023, we treat the Internet + Government Services policy as a quasi-natural experiment of DG and apply a difference-in-differences model to analyze the impact of the DG on the regional innovation gaps (RIG). Results indicate that DG significantly narrows RIG, particularly in cities with advanced digital infrastructure, non-shrinking population, large-scale cities and abundant human capital. The mechanism analysis demonstrates that DG narrows RIG by eliminating disparities in the innovation environment and facilitating the cross-regional flow of innovation factors. This convergence effect predominantly originates from reducing RIG between developed and less-developed regions. Additionally, DG exerts a more pronounced promotional effect on innovation development in central municipal districts, while its effect on county-level areas remains relatively limited, thereby exacerbating the RIG within cities. These findings offer substantial implications for formulating targeted DG strategies to foster spatially balanced regional innovation development.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145963815","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0