{"title":"Effect of Agglomeration Externalities of Adjacent Retail Areas on Commercial Business Continuity in Seoul, Korea","authors":"Dongjun Kim, Changhyo Yi, Seungil Lee","doi":"10.1111/grow.70037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70037","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study investigates the relationship between commercial business continuity and regional characteristics, specifically, agglomeration externalities, in Seoul, South Korea, while accounting for random effects. Key findings reveal that, first, specialized retail areas experience lower closure probabilities. Second, increased related diversity increases closure probabilities, whereas higher unrelated diversity reduces them, illustrating the impact of diversity on continuity. Third, when comparing the agglomeration externalities of retail areas and their surroundings, higher unrelated diversity in the surrounding areas increases the probability of closure. Fourth, commercial development in surrounding areas, rather than within retail areas, enhances overall functionality and reduces closure probability. These results examine the positive and negative effects of agglomeration externalities on commercial businesses in Seoul, South Korea, presenting findings that specifically reflect the characteristics of the surrounding areas. In the context of future sustainable urban management, retail area management should be based on a macroscopic perspective that includes surrounding areas.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144256451","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Trade Ties and Economic Divides: Trade and Income Inequality in the Regions of Europe","authors":"Martina Pardy, Andrés Rodríguez-Pose","doi":"10.1111/grow.70036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70036","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper analyses how trade influences intra-regional income inequality across Europe's NUTS-2 regions. Drawing on newly compiled datasets capturing both inter-regional trade and local-level inequality for all EU member states plus the UK, we employ an econometric framework—complete with Instrumental Variable estimations and robust sensitivity analyses—to gauge the impact of trade on regional interpersonal inequality. In addition to examining aggregate trade, we distinguish between various trade channels, including exchanges within the EU versus those with the rest of the world, links to neighbouring regions versus non-neighbours and domestic versus international flows. Our findings reveal that higher levels of trade are positively associated with changes in regional income inequality, as measured by the Gini coefficient. Crucially, this link depends on trading partners: trade within a single country, within the EU and with non-neighbouring regions correlates with rising inequality, whereas international trade, trade with non-EU partners or trade with neighbouring regions shows no statistically significant effect. These conclusions withstand a battery of robustness checks, including new control variables and a population-weighted approach, further underscoring the role that particular types of trade play in shaping regional income disparities.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70036","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144085101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exploring the Role of Digital Economy in Reducing Natural Resource Dependence: An Empirical Study From Resource-Based Cities in China","authors":"Yuanqiao Yang, Jianlong Wang, Yong Liu","doi":"10.1111/grow.70034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70034","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The potential of the digital economy to mitigate resource dependence by affecting industrial structure is a topic of great significance for the transformation of resource-based cities. This paper presents a digital economy development index and employs data sourced from 102 Chinese resource-based cities from 2011 to 2019 to investigate the impact of the digital economy on resource dependence in resource-based cities. The findings of this study can be summarized as follows: (1) The digital economy has an inhibitory effect on resource dependence. (2) By decomposing industrial structure upgrading into industrial structure rationalization and industrial structure advancement, it becomes evident that the digital economy reduces resource dependence by facilitating industrial structure advancement. (3) The digital economy exerts a more pronounced negative influence in the eastern and central regions, thereby substantiating the presence of regional heterogeneity. This study elucidates the extent to which the digital economy mitigates resource dependence and offers invaluable insights for guiding the transformation of resource-based cities.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143883842","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Claudia V. Montanía, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, D. Michael Ray
{"title":"Shift-Share Analysis and Multifactor Partitioning: What do Aggregated Data Hide?","authors":"Claudia V. Montanía, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, D. Michael Ray","doi":"10.1111/grow.70035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70035","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Shift-share analysis (SSA) is a widely used tool for studying economic changes, particularly in employment, due to its simplicity and minimal data requirements. However, its reliance on crude growth rates and issues associated with aggregation can lead to biases, such as Simpson's Paradox, that may hide regional and industry-specific insights. Multifactor Partitioning (MFP) addresses these limitations by standardizing growth rates in a way that disentangles industry and regional effects. This paper compares SSA and MFP using employment data from 10 U.S. states between 2005 and 2019. The analysis incorporates three levels of disaggregation: (1) aggregate employment and time, (2) disaggregated employment with aggregated time, and (3) both sectoral and temporal disaggregation. Results show that while SSA and MFP yield similar conclusions at an aggregate level, discrepancies emerge in disaggregated analyses, particularly in high-growth regions. These findings highlight the importance of data disaggregation and MFP's capacity to provide nuanced insights for policymakers and researchers.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143883907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Playing by the Rules: Is Business Formality Driving Economic Growth? Evidence From Colombia's Capital Cities","authors":"Adolfo Maza, José Alfonso Sáenz-Zapata","doi":"10.1111/grow.70033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70033","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper contributes to the literature on the effects of institutions on economic growth by addressing a topic that has been little explored. Specifically, it uses Colombia's capital cities as a case study for the period 2007–2020 to examine the impact of business formality on local economic performance. To do so, an ad hoc variable is constructed to be incorporated into a beta convergence growth approach. The model, estimated using GLS and GMM techniques, yields quite robust results, indicating that increased formality has significantly raised per capita income. Additionally, the findings show a reduction in disparities among urban centers in Colombia, with a convergence speed that is by no means negligible. Finally, a spatial GMM framework is proposed to capture the potential influence of neighboring cities. This new approach confirms, on one hand, the role of formalization in stimulating productive activity, and on the other hand, underscores that the convergence process is driven not only by city-specific factors but also by inter-city relationships, particularly spillover effects from wealthier urban areas.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143845970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does Foreign Direct Investment Exacerbate or Alleviate Income Inequality in Vietnam? Empirical Evidence in Vietnam Provinces","authors":"Huynh Ngoc Chuong, Nguyen Hoang Khanh Linh, Le Thi Kieu Vy","doi":"10.1111/grow.70032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70032","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper aims to examine the Foreign direct investment (FDI) effect on household income equality in Vietnam. The authors applied the panel data regressions including fixed effect model and quantile model for all provinces of Vietnam from 2010 to 2022. The empirical results show that foreign direct investment can have both positive and negative effects on income inequality. Foreign direct investment may not have a direct impact on each specific income group, but it can alleviate income inequality between groups in the short term. Moreover, foreign direct investment reduces income inequality in high-income groups, but increases income inequality between groups. The authors find that ensuring social equity in general and reducing income inequality in particular play an important role in stabilizing society, leading to sustainable development, especially for developing countries like Vietnam. Therefore, this paper suggests that foreign direct investment attraction and utilization policies need to be linked to social security policies that reduce income inequality.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143845971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hasan Engin Duran, Zeynep Elburz, Burcu Değerli Çifçi
{"title":"The Future of European Regional Inequalities: Box-Cox Transformed ARMA Process Trend Smoothing (BATS) Forecasting","authors":"Hasan Engin Duran, Zeynep Elburz, Burcu Değerli Çifçi","doi":"10.1111/grow.70031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70031","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The vast majority of the empirical studies on regional economic inequalities has analyzed the past evolutions, while the future trajectories are often ignored. Despite, no methods exist to predict the future precisely, it is worthwhile to shed light on the prospective tendencies in order to plan and formulate the policies at the present time. The current study addresses the following questions; <i>Will regional convergence continue in Europe? Which regions will become more prosperous? What are the future determinants of regional growth?</i> Our dataset covers 236 NUTS-2 regions belonging to the 28 European Countries for the period 2000–2022. In terms of methodology, we use a nonlinear forecasting technique <b>BATS (“Box-Cox Transformation, ARMA errors, Trend and Seasonal Components</b>”) model and <b>Spatial Durbin Regressions</b> along with explorative maps and descriptive statistics. As an outcome of the analyses, we obtained several remarkable results. First, regional inequalities are expected to widen by 2050 indicating the evidence of regional divergence. Second, spatial poles of prosperity are likely to change substantially. Most of the regions belonging to the countries in the “Mediterranean Basin” are predicted to remain relatively backward while many Eastern European regions are expected to rise in prosperity. Northern and Central European regions are likely to keep their prosperous position. Third, several crucial determinants of future growth patterns are detected. It appeared that younger demographic profile, industrialization and cohesion policies (particularly for CEE regions) have become key factors of future growth performance.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70031","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143689263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Henrry Morales, Miguel Atienza, Marcelo Lufin, Markus Grillitsch
{"title":"Disentangling Regional Diversification: Identifying Theoretical and Empirical Challenges Through Complex Networks","authors":"Henrry Morales, Miguel Atienza, Marcelo Lufin, Markus Grillitsch","doi":"10.1111/grow.70024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70024","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Regional diversification has been positioned as a topic of great interest among researchers of economic geography, however, there remain some research gaps that must be attended to. Through the use of complex networks analysis from this literature in a period from 1975 to 2022, we identify some methodological and theoretical issues related to its measurement methods, the lack of an integrative framework and ontology, a social structure few integrated and mostly constituted by researchers of the global north, and scarce attention to the relationship between diversification and its long-term consequences for regional development.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143622673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Anastasia Blouchoutzi, Georgios Tsaples, Dimitra Manou, Jason Papathanasiou
{"title":"Refugees' Settlement in Greece: Employment in Agriculture as a Criterion for an Alternative Dispersal Plan","authors":"Anastasia Blouchoutzi, Georgios Tsaples, Dimitra Manou, Jason Papathanasiou","doi":"10.1111/grow.70030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70030","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines the settlement of refugees in Greece from the perspective of employment in the agricultural sector and suggests an allocation scheme that could contribute to rural revitalization in the country. Since the demographic challenge and rural depopulation are long-term issues to be addressed by the Greek state, the authors argue that fast track vocational training and job matching between refugees and farmers could benefit the refugee population and secure the sustainability of agriculture in Greece. The empirical model offers an alternative approach to the allocation of refugees in Greek mainland, considering for their willingness to work in agriculture and the reactions of the natives toward them. The results confirm that the rich regions with migrant networks and agricultural production can absorb a large share of refugees in periods of crisis. The paper extends the literature on the agriculture-migration nexus in the EUMed with a case of refugee allocation under the lens of labor market integration and rural revitalization.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70030","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143594898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Administrative Mechanism Behind Sustainable Waste Disposal Practices: Evidence From State-Level Specific Authorities in Nigeria","authors":"Dafeng Xu, Adler (Zheqi) Kang","doi":"10.1111/grow.70029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70029","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Indiscriminate waste disposal practices—such as dumping waste in public spaces and burning waste at home—pose severe environmental threats. Yet, they are prevalent in Africa. In this paper, we study factors affecting household waste disposal in Nigeria using national survey data, focusing on the administrative mechanism, through which specific waste management authorities (rather than general environmental agencies) effectively promote the use of waste bins for sustainable disposal practices. This paper's statistical analysis presents four major conclusions: First, baseline estimates show correlational evidence that state-level specific waste management authorities are positively associated with sustainable waste disposal practices, conditional on household socioeconomic status. Second, this positive association between waste management authorities and sustainable waste disposal is largely absorbed after controlling for regional GDP or GDP per capita. Third, conditional on GDP (or GDP per capita), waste management authorities play a significant role in influencing waste disposal practices only in states with relatively low levels of GDP (or GDP per capita). Fourth, one important function of these specific waste management authorities is to lower the waste collection fee, so that households in some, although not all, states would be more able and willing to dispose of waste sustainably.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143571378","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}