{"title":"Foreign exchange liberalization and exchange rate exposure: Firm-level evidence of the Japanese Automobile Industry","authors":"Teru Nishikawa , Kiyotaka Sato","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101312","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101312","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper empirically examines the effect of the drastic amendment of the Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act (FEFTA) in 1998 on the exchange rate exposure of ten Japanese automobile firms. By conducting panel estimation using the firm-level explanatory variables constructed originally, we find that (1) the degree of automobile firms’ exchange rate exposure increased significantly during the post-1998 FEFTA amendment period; (2) however, more profitable automobile firms with higher ROE and facing larger exchange rate volatility could reduce their exposures after the 1998 FEFTA amendment because they could conduct efficient operational hedging through expanding supply chains and more readily utilize efficient hedging instruments to reduce group-wide foreign exchange risk; (3) more sales in and exports to Southeast Asian countries significantly reduced automobile firms’ exposures, because they tended to invoice their exports to Southeast Asian countries not in USD but in the yen. Our findings would be insightful for Asian economies that move gradually toward foreign exchange liberalization. Efficient operational and financial hedging, as well as invoice currency choice, significantly affect the degree of exposure after foreign exchange liberalization.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"75 ","pages":"Article 101312"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307846","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hyunjung Cho , Gahee Bak , Junyun Kim , Hongshik Lee
{"title":"The knowledge transfer patterns of multinational firms: The evidence from Korean firm-level analysis","authors":"Hyunjung Cho , Gahee Bak , Junyun Kim , Hongshik Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101313","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101313","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines one of the theoretical hypotheses of Keller and Yeaple (2013) in order to investigate how trade costs and the level of firm-level knowledge intensity of a parent firm affect its knowledge transfer to foreign affiliates. Specifically, we focus on Keller and Yeaple (2013)’s second prediction that the share of intra-firm imports from the parent declines in trade costs, but this decline is weaker in knowledge-intensive settings. Using a panel of Korean manufacturing firms over 2007–2018, we separate knowledge transfer into (a) knowledge-embedded intra-firm trade and (b) direct communication (human resource secondments). We then analyze the role of trade costs and knowledge intensity on each channel via fixed effects and dynamic panel estimations. We find that trade costs significantly reduce intra-firm exports of knowledge-embedded inputs; however, a higher knowledge intensity mitigates this effect. On the other hand, trade costs and knowledge intensity do not exert a significant influence on direct communication.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"75 ","pages":"Article 101313"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144221449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Corrigendum to “A nowcasting model of industrial production using alternative data and machine learning approaches” [Jpn. World Econ. 71 (2024) 101271]","authors":"Kakuho Furukawa , Ryohei Hisano , Yukio Minoura , Tomoyuki Yagi","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101297","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101297","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 101297"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144204742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regret aversion in Japanese and U.S. stock markets: Analyzing the effects of market conditions","authors":"Somyung Kim , Kiyool Ohk","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101311","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101311","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the effects of investors’ regret aversion and regret premium on investment decision-making and stock returns in the Japanese and U.S. stock markets from a behavioral finance perspective. Using regret variables, we demonstrate that regret aversion significantly impacts asset pricing. Our empirical results show that investors demand a higher regret premium when holding high-regret assets, and this relationship persists even after controlling for various firm characteristics. By analyzing market states and dynamics, we find that regret aversion is particularly strong in down markets, though its influence weakens in up markets. Market dynamics analysis reveals that regret premiums are most pronounced during simultaneous upward market trends. Robustness tests using cumulative returns and industry-adjusted short-term return reversals further confirm the significant influence of regret on stock returns. Additionally, our analysis of irrational investor behavior, including the disposition effect and psychological price barriers, shows that regret aversion is more pronounced in the context of unrealized capital losses and when asset prices deviate significantly from psychological price barriers. This study provides comprehensive insights into the impact of regret aversion and market dynamics on investor behavior and asset pricing, challenging traditional finance theories grounded in the assumption of rational decision-making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 101311"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144069862","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does SME policy enhance the adjustment of trade credit? Evidence from a revision of the Subcontract Act in Japan","authors":"Daisuke Tsuruta","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101310","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101310","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, we examine whether small and medium enterprises (SMEs) face severe constraints in adjusting their trade receivables by focusing on the 2016 revision of the Subcontract Act of Japan. Small businesses typically have weaker bargaining power than their customers because they are likely to depend on certain customers. Accordingly, many small businesses face severe constraints in the adjustment of their trade receivables. The Subcontract Act prohibits customer firms from receiving trade credit from small businesses over the long term, and this was enforced more strictly after 2016 following a regulatory revision. This made it easier for small businesses to adjust their trade receivables if their level was considered excessive, serving to enhance the speed of adjustment. We find that trade receivables decreased by an average of 2.1 days following the policy change for the main target firms of the Subcontract Act. Our results also show that small businesses could more rapidly adjust their trade receivables than large firms, both before and after the revision. On this basis, we conclude that while the policy effects on the level of trade receivables are significant, those on the adjustment are not.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 101310"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143894921","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Raehyung Lee , Jinki Hong , Duk Hee Lee , Jay Y. Ohm
{"title":"Influence of exclusive subcontracting on technological innovation: The case of Korean SMEs","authors":"Raehyung Lee , Jinki Hong , Duk Hee Lee , Jay Y. Ohm","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101309","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101309","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Does subcontracting with large firms promote the innovation endeavours of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)? This study addresses this question using panel data from 22,528 observations of Korean SMEs across all industries from 2015 to 2019. We tested the hypotheses individually for five sub-industries based on Pavitt’s (1984, 1990) technological trajectory classification. The findings indicate that exclusive subcontracting negatively affects innovation endeavours, specifically in the supplier-dominated, science-based, and assembly/processing industries. By examining SMEs both as a whole and within specific industries, this study provides new evidence on the relationship between exclusivity and innovation, expanding on prior research that focused on data from limited sectors. Specially, the findings have implications for the innovation strategies of firms, industries, and countries such as South Korea, where SMEs heavily rely on transactions with large firms. These findings offer new quantitative evidence for sectoral innovation systems, emphasising different innovation strategies for each industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 101309"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143873866","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Ex-ante and ex-post evaluation of zombie firms arising from the EAS program during the COVID-19 pandemic: A study of Japanese SMEs","authors":"Akira Fukuda , Isamu Yamamoto","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101308","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101308","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study provides an ex-ante and ex-post evaluation of the Employment Adjustment Subsidy (EAS) that the Japanese government extended to unprecedented levels during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using unique monthly data from firm-level surveys, we investigate the types of firms that applied for the EAS and the evolution of their subsequent performance. A key contribution of our study is that we provide an ex-post evaluation of the EAS on firm performance for approximately two years during the pandemic. As in previous studies, we confirm that majority of the firms that applied for the EAS were not zombies before the pandemic. However, their subsequent sales were much lower than those of non-applicant firms, even during the economic recovery period. This feature was conspicuous in 2021, specifically for small-scale firms in troubled sectors, unless they received extra support. The results suggest that the initial large-scale subsidy was unsuccessful in preventing the zombification of troubled firms during the pandemic.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 101308"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143833979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Global value chains and exchange rate pass-through into the import prices of Japanese industries","authors":"Fabien Rondeau , Yushi Yoshida","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101299","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101299","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With internationally fragmented processes of production via global value chains, value-added components of a country’s export include the importer’s contributions as well as that of exporters. The exchange rate sensitivity of export price reflects these value-added components. We examine the effect of value-added contributions of exporters and importers on the degree of exchange rate pass-through by focusing on the Japanese import prices by industries. Our results show that exchange rate pass-through increases for industries with a higher contribution of exporting countries’ value added and for industries with a lower contribution of the importing country’s value added. The differentials in value added among industries help explain the dynamics of exchange rate pass-through at the industry level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 101299"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143593875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Impact of the 2011 earthquake on the real estate market in Tokyo","authors":"Naoto Mikawa","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101298","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2025.101298","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>After the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake, seismic activity in Japan changed drastically, affecting people’s response to earthquakes even outside the affected area. This change may be heterogeneous depending on where they live, especially if the area is prone to seismic hazards. To measure seismic hazards, the nature of the ground on which a building stands was used as a source of people’s assessment of disaster. Using real estate transaction data and the hedonic approach, this study investigates the heterogeneous impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake on the real estate market in undamaged areas. The analysis of ground classification revealed that the Great East Japan Earthquake led to about 3 % reduction in both land prices and housing prices in the lowland areas in the Tokyo Special Zone, where ground was soft and experienced stronger shaking compared with other areas. The reduction lasted for 5 years before recovering to the pre-disaster level. However, the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake did not impact land prices in the Tokyo Special Zone.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"73 ","pages":"Article 101298"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143420646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Investigating how inflation expectations affect precautionary wealth","authors":"Tomohide Mineyama , Kiichi Tokuoka","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101295","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101295","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how inflation expectations affect precautionary wealth by focusing on the period of zero or low-interest rates in Japan and using Japanese household survey data during this period. The key finding of this paper is that experienced inflation as a proxy for inflation expectations has a positive impact on the target ratio of precautionary wealth to permanent income. This is consistent with the prediction of the buffer stock (Carroll, 1997) that given the nominal interest rate (as has been observed in Japan), higher inflation expectations raise the target ratio when households expect higher inflation to translate into their nominal income in a limited way. This study also confirms that actual liquid wealth gradually converges to the target level of precautionary wealth over the years, which is consistent with the implications of the buffer stock model.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"73 ","pages":"Article 101295"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2025-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143150365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}