{"title":"Terror and Voting Behavior of Turkey in 1986-2020.","authors":"Melike E Bildirici, Fulya Ozaksoy Sonustun","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study investigated the existence of chaotic structure in voting behavior by considering non-economic and macroeconomic factors in Turkey during the period of 03.1986-01.2020. The chaotic structure among the analyzed variables was characterized by Lyapunov exponents that explore the chaotic dynamics of the series. Following, the effects of inflation, unemployment, economic growth and terror on party votes were analyzed by Fourier regression model. Then, the causality among the macroeconomic variables, terror and party groups was analyzed by the Granger causality method. According to our results, there is unidirectional causality from terror to all four party groups. In the context of macroeconomic variables, there is the evidence of bidirectional causality between conservative parties and inflation; unidirectional causality from inflation to center-right and center-left parties. There is no causality between nationalist parties and inflation. Furthermore, center-right and center-left parties have the evidence of no causality with unemployment while there is unidirectional causality from unemployment to conservative and nationalist parties. There is unidirectional causality from economic growth to conservative parties and bidirectional causality between center-right parties and economic growth. However, the center-left and nationalist parties are not the sources of Granger causality of economic growth, and there is no inverse Granger causality relationship between these variables. Therefore, it can be concluded that between the periods 03.1986-01.2020, there was no concern for economic growth in left-wing and nationalist-based parties in Turkey.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"26 1","pages":"105-121"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39776696","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Complexity Regulation Competencies: A Naturalistic Framework.","authors":"Michael Kimmel","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This article presents a framework to describe how professional experts regulate complex adaptive systems (CAS), a skill found across bio-psychological, ecological, technical, and social contexts. The regulation aim is to facilitate and constrain the self-organization of a CAS; regulators engage in dynamic decision making while the system evolves. While many naive regulators are overtaxed when they encounter nonlinear and multi-causal dynamics, less is known about how experts perform. I argue that a rich set of competencies can make expert performance distinctive. The basic sensitivities for CAS that shape the general philosophy of practice and a role identity as process facilitators provide some foundation. Turning this into an applied skill set, however, additionally requires (a) the creation of mediating interfaces with a 'target' CAS, (b) interaction skills for exploring and stimulating the CAS, (c) the use of domain knowledge about the system's nature and structure for conceptualizing its state as well as dynamics, (d) the use of analogical reasoning, categories, heuristics, and models to make 'if-then' inferences from systemic problem constellations to holistic strategies, and (e) synoptic and meta-regulative capabilities that allow supervising the mix of deployed resources relative to the demands of ongoing task. These CAS regulation tools mesh in variable ways and can mutually amplify each other, i.e. synergize. Illustrations for the framework come from two somatic therapies (aka bodywork), the Shiatsu and Feldenkrais methods, in which therapists use manual techniques as a regulatory means to help their clients.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"26 1","pages":"45-79"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39865991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Linguistic Behavior of Well-Defined Strings in the Non-Coding Human Genome.","authors":"Havard R Glattre, Eystein Glattre, Lars Moe","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this article we do a top-down analysis of the non-protein-coding human genome using well-defined parameters, resulting in what we call ?-strings. We show that there are altogether 45,371,328 different ?-strings in the human non-protein-coding genome. We explore statistical properties of the y-strings and demonstrate that they have many characteristics in common with human words. We indicate how they are 'packed' in the chromosomes and that each chromosome has its own specific y-dictionary. We also outline our future work exploring the linguistic features of y-strings and y-text using methods developed to study human, natural language.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"26 1","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39865989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Making Sense of Sanctions: An Agent-Based Model of Sanction Recognition.","authors":"Martin Neumann, Ulf Lotzmann","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Theories of norm emergence are a central building block for comprehending the emergence of society. The article investigates a central terminus in theories of norms, in particular rational choice theory: The notion of sanctions. Sanctions are an unexplained theoretical term for securing norm conformity. Agent-based models inspired by evolutionary game theory show that the evolution of cooperation can be enforced by sanctions. However, in behavioral terms, sanctions are a form of aggression. An empirical investigation of the violent collapse of a criminal group reveals that interpretation is necessary for recognizing aggression as sanction. Whereas theories of norms attempt to explain the emergence of social structure, successful sanction recognition imposes the existence of social structure in the form of normative authorities. In the absence of social structure for securing social order such as the state monopoly of violence this interpretation remains ambiguous and error prone. Simulation experiments with an agent-based model investigate the conditions for the emergence of a normative authority.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"427-453"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39412242","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Identifying Rivals Among Clustered and Isolated Firms: An Empirical Investigation and a Computational Model.","authors":"Cristina Boari, Guido Fioretti, Vincenza Odorici","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We carried out an empirical investigation among producers of packaging machines collecting information about their rivals, i.e., those few competitors which they closely monitor. We found interesting regularities that take geographically clustered firms apart from isolated firms, that existing theories left unexplained. By constructing an agent-based model we were able to formulate a simple and plausible heuristic for rival selection which is able to generate the empirically observed facts. We submit that this case is exemplary in showing what agent-based models can do, namely, providing sufficiency proofs that help theory-building.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"507-522"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39412245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Garbage Can Model: A Study in (Non)Reproducible Research.","authors":"Stewart A Levin","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The classic paper 'A Garbage Can Model of Organizational Choice' by Cohen, March and Olsen (1972) both heralded a significant expansion of the study of organizational decision making to non-industrial settings, in particular universities, and served as a very early example of reproducible computational research, incorporating a Fortran 66 program in its appendix to permit others to reproduce their results and run further examples. In this work my extensive attempts to perfectly reproduce the original results show the inherent challenge of reproducing computational research in the presence of ever-changing computing platforms and technology. Indeed, exact values could not be reproduced in this study, nor any other published study, because of hypersensitivity. Despite this, additional statistics allowed by modern computer capabilities almost completely agree with the qualitative observations and conclusions in the original work. Finally, in light of the need for high precision, it will be worthwhile to retest and reevaluate later studies of the internal dynamics of the model that faulted the code for behavior at odds with the theory.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"455-465"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39412243","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"From Bounded Rationality to Collective Behavior.","authors":"Andrea Ceschi, Guido Fioretti","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Since the pioneering work of Herbert A. Simon, bounded rationality (BR) constitutes a viable alternative to utility maximization in settings characterized by uncertainty about the possible emergence of novel events, missing information, and limitations to human reasoning. Because of its realism, BR gained consensus in organization and management studies. However, BR is a theory of individual decision-making. Substantial extensions are required in order to turn it into a tool to analyze collective decision processes. Following an intuition by the late Simon himself, we submit that organizations channel information flows in ways that alleviate human BR. Thus, analysis and reconstruction of their structure as well as differential degrees and qualities of individual BR within organizations is key to extend this concept to collective decision-making. In this special issue we collected contributions where instances of BR couple with interaction structures to yield collective behavior. Tools range from mathematical models to experimental settings to computational models, testifying to the value of multiple approaches and perspectives.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"385-394"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39413303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Individual Rationality and Market Efficiency.","authors":"Steven Gjerstad, Jason Shachat","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Smith's (1962) demonstration that prices and allocations quickly converge to the competitive equilibrium in the continuous double auction (CDA) remains one of the most important results in experimental economics. Market experiments and exchange models have added considerably to our knowledge of how markets reach equilibrium, and how they respond to disruptions. Perhaps the best-known model of exchange in CDA market experiments is the random behavior 'zero-intelligence' (ZI) model by Gode and Sunder (1993). They argue that the CDA generates efficient allocations and 'convergence of transaction prices to the proximity of the theoretical equilibrium price,' provided only that agents meet their budget constraints. We demonstrate that prices do not converge in their simulations. Their budget constraint requires that a buyer's currency never exceeds her commodity value, which is an unnatural restriction. Their conclusion that market efficiency results from the structure of the CDA independent of traders' profit seeking behavior rests on their claim that the constraints that they impose are a part of the market institution. We show that actually they impose individual rationality. Misinterpretation of this behavioral constraint has led to unproductive debate on market adjustment processes.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"395-406"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39413304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"To Enter or Not to Enter: Multiple Markets, Heterogeneous Customer and Exogenous Quality.","authors":"Ann van Ackere, Erik R Larsen","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We consider a stylized model of competition between two firms who provide a local service, for instance coffee-shops or hamburger chains. These firms are characterised by their quality of service, with one firm being high quality and the other being low quality. Quality impacts both the fixed and variable costs of the firms. The firms compete for customers in two areas, which are characterised by a different customer density. Firms decide in which area(s) to locate, and what price to charge. A firm entering both areas must charge the same price in both, i.e., price-discrimination is not allowed. We analyse the impact of cost levels and quality and density differences on the resulting market structure, prices, profits, customer surplus and social welfare. We show how the balance between fixed and variable cost determine the competitive conditions ranging from highly competitive markets to local monopolies under the same regulatory environment. Furthermore, in some areas with multiple equilibria the profitability of the firms is highly dependent on which of the possible equilibria is realised. The results can help explain some of the patterns observed in the location of chain outlets.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"407-425"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39412241","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Computational Modeling Approaches to OrganizationalChange.","authors":"Claudia P Estevez-Mujica, Cesar Garcia-Diaz","doi":"","DOIUrl":"","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Change is ubiquitous in the study of organizations. Organizational change is characterized by multiple perspectives, both conceptually and methodologically. Computational modeling efforts are not the exception. In this work, we aim to provide an analysis of computational modeling approaches to organizational change. For that, we first review published works that directly connect to developing knowledge in organizational change from a computational lens. Second, we offer an account of unexplored topics in computational organizational change. Last, we highlight the potentialities of computer simulation models based on agent interactions in regard to how they could contribute to the understanding of central issues in this organizational research subfield.</p>","PeriodicalId":46218,"journal":{"name":"Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences","volume":"25 4","pages":"467-505"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9,"publicationDate":"2021-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39412244","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}