African Journal of Economic and Management Studies最新文献

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Examining the relationship between inclusive growth and tax revenue mobilization: additional evidence from sub-Saharan African countries 审查包容性增长与税收动员之间的关系:来自撒哈拉以南非洲国家的更多证据
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0435
Opeoluwa Adeniyi Adeosun, Philip Akani Olomola, Adebayo Adedokun, Mosab I. Tabash
{"title":"Examining the relationship between inclusive growth and tax revenue mobilization: additional evidence from sub-Saharan African countries","authors":"Opeoluwa Adeniyi Adeosun, Philip Akani Olomola, Adebayo Adedokun, Mosab I. Tabash","doi":"10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0435","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0435","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The study investigates the influence of inclusive growth on tax revenue. It validates the fiscal exchange and resource bargaining theories, which suggest that tax compliance improves when citizens perceive that their tax contributions lead to enhanced welfare and that the government negotiates with people to provide public goods and services in exchange for taxes received.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The paper employs inclusive growth measures, including an integrated GDP and equity growth measure and alternative proxies based on GDP per person employed and Asian Development Bank (ADB) inclusive growth indicators. Using 39 sub-Saharan African countries as a sample, our analysis captures spatial interactions across these contiguous countries using the Fixed-Effect model with the Driscoll and Kraay non-parametric consistent covariance matrix and the spatial Durbin Arellano–Bond linear dynamic panel generalized method of moment (Spatial GMM) approach with an interaction weight matrix to capture interactions between countries in the region.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The paper shows that inclusive growth positively influences tax revenue in the region. This validates the fiscal exchange and resource bargaining hypotheses, demonstrating that tax compliance is positively influenced by public goods provision and the government’s ability to emphasize the necessity of taxes for service provision. It indicates that citizens are more willing to pay taxes when the government effectively promotes welfare. We find a significant positive spatial spillover effect, suggesting that inclusive growth not only boosts tax revenue within a specific country but also extends its benefits to neighboring countries, aligning with the spillover theory.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>The study posits that the government implements policies that guarantee effectiveness and accountability in public welfare delivery as well as sufficient tax bases and tax revenue. An inclusive growth policy that engenders GDP growth, employment and equity growth should be implemented since the rate of tax compliance of the citizens improves for every welfare provided by the government.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This study tests the validity of the fiscal exchange and resource bargaining theories in Sub-Saharan Africa. Accommodating spatial dependence and cross-border effects, the study sheds light on how inclusive growth impacts tax revenue across contiguous countries in the region. As such, the region should prioritize regional integration, fostering economic ties and harmonizing policies through knowledge sharing and cross-border investment.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142248359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Tariff effects on industrial performance: symmetric and asymmetric evidence from Nigeria 关税对工业绩效的影响:尼日利亚的对称和非对称证据
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-09-2023-0366
Richard O. Ojike, Marius Ikpe, Joseph Chukwudi Odionye, Sunday V. Agu
{"title":"Tariff effects on industrial performance: symmetric and asymmetric evidence from Nigeria","authors":"Richard O. Ojike, Marius Ikpe, Joseph Chukwudi Odionye, Sunday V. Agu","doi":"10.1108/ajems-09-2023-0366","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-09-2023-0366","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>Despite the government’s efforts to protect domestic industries from foreign competition through tariffs, the industrial sector’s contribution to GDP continued to decline in Nigeria. Based on the scenario, this study assessed the symmetric and asymmetric effects of tariffs on industrial performance in Nigeria for the period 1988–2021. Tariff was captured with a tariff rate applied to the weighted mean of all products, while industry value added as a percent of GDP was used as a proxy for industrial performance.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>Linear and nonlinear ARDL techniques were used for the analysis.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The symmetric (linear ARDL) results revealed that tariffs have a significant positive effect on industrial performance in both the short and long term. The asymmetric (nonlinear ARDL) results showed that a long-term asymmetry exists between tariffs and industrial performance. It revealed positive effects on industrial performance for both positive and negative tariff changes, with the negative change having a greater impact.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>Generally, the results showed that the use of tariffs to protect domestic industries in Nigeria promotes industrial performance. The implication is that the declining contribution of the industrial sector to GDP in Nigeria is not a result of the tariff policy. It shows that the government should look beyond tariff policy to enhance the industrial contribution to GDP.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>Nigeria should exercise caution in using tariff policies to protect domestic industries to avoid retaliation from their trade partners that could reverse the positive impacts.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142183285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Capital market development in emerging African countries: the pandemic problem and role of macroeconomic policies 新兴非洲国家的资本市场发展:大流行病问题和宏观经济政策的作用
IF 1.4
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-01-2024-0046
Samson Edo
{"title":"Capital market development in emerging African countries: the pandemic problem and role of macroeconomic policies","authors":"Samson Edo","doi":"10.1108/ajems-01-2024-0046","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-01-2024-0046","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThe study investigates the role of macroeconomic policies in driving capital market development in emerging African countries where the markets are relatively active. It aims to determine the effects of these policies in pre-pandemic period vis-a-vis the post-pandemic period.Design/methodology/approachThe generalized method of moments (GMM) and auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) are employed in estimating the role within the period 2012Q1-2023Q3. The panel unit root test is used to ascertain the stationary status of variables, while maximum likelihood estimator is employed to determine structural stability of the model.FindingsThe empirical results reveal that fiscal and monetary policies played significant positive role in capital market development in both pre- and post-pandemic periods. On the other hand, trade policy and investment return had significant impact in pre-pandemic period which could not be sustained in post-pandemic period. It is only exchange rate policy that remained insignificant in both periods. The findings therefore suggest that capital market development slowed in the post-pandemic period due to reduced performance of macroeconomic policies. Furthermore, the unit root test reveals that all the variables satisfy empirical properties that ensure estimation results are consistent and non-spurious. The maximum likelihood estimator showed there was long-term structural break, hence short-term impacts were used in comparative analysis.Originality/valueMacroeconomic policies are fundamental to financial market development in developing countries. The role in resuscitating capital market in the post-pandemic period has yet to be adequately investigated in African countries. This study is carried out to fill this void.","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141926962","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing the extent of exchange rate risk pricing in equity markets: emerging versus developed economies 评估股票市场汇率风险定价的程度:新兴经济体与发达经济体
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0436
Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, Salifya Mpoha
{"title":"Assessing the extent of exchange rate risk pricing in equity markets: emerging versus developed economies","authors":"Lumengo Bonga-Bonga, Salifya Mpoha","doi":"10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0436","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0436","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>This paper contributes to the literature on exchange rate exposure by assessing the extent to which exchange rate risk is priced in both African emerging and developed equity markets. It examines whether this risk leads to a premium or discount in market returns. The study uses the United States and South Africa as representatives for developed and emerging economies, respectively.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The paper employs two-factor and three-factor conditional CAPM approaches with a two-stage estimation process. In the first stage, time-varying risk exposures are derived using the ICAPM model estimated through rolling regression. In the second stage, the impact of these risk exposures, particularly exchange rate risk exposure, is assessed on stock market returns using Generalized Linear Model (GLM) regression.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>Unlike previous studies that suggest exchange rate risk is not necessarily priced in the equity market due to hedging, this paper finds that exchange rate risk is indeed priced in both African and developed equity markets, albeit to different extents. The African equity market demands a higher premium compared to the developed equity market.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>The findings of this paper have significant implications for policymakers, asset managers, and investors. They provide insights for making more informed decisions, implementing effective risk management strategies, and fostering a more stable and appealing investment environment.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the degree of exchange rate exposure in environments characterized by high currency volatility versus those with low volatility, all within the context of the conditional ICAPM model.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141867340","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fiscal policy and poverty reduction in sub-Saharan Africa: is the relationship influenced by the business cycle? 撒哈拉以南非洲的财政政策与减贫:这种关系是否受商业周期的影响?
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0447
Olumide O. Olaoye, Mulatu Fekadu Zerihun, Mosab I. Tabash
{"title":"Fiscal policy and poverty reduction in sub-Saharan Africa: is the relationship influenced by the business cycle?","authors":"Olumide O. Olaoye, Mulatu Fekadu Zerihun, Mosab I. Tabash","doi":"10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0447","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-11-2023-0447","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The study examined the effect of fiscal policy on poverty in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) while accounting asymmetric (captured by economic downturns) and spillover effects.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The study used a fixed effect (within regression) IV model to account for country-specific characteristics. The study also adopts a cross-sectional and spatial dependence-consistent model to account for the potential cross-sectional and temporal dependence in panel data modeling.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The study discovered that the effect of fiscal policy on poverty is dependent on the state of the economy. Specifically, we find that fiscal policy helps to reduce the level of poverty during an economic downturn, more than at any other time. More specifically, the findings indicate that the fiscal policy lowers the rate of poverty in SSA, following macroeconomic shocks (captured by the COVID-19 epidemic, the Global Financial Crisis, and the commodity terms of trade shocks). Our findings suggest that fiscal policy is an important policy tool to mitigate the effects of macroeconomic shocks in SSA. Further, the findings also demonstrate that there is a spillover effect of poverty in the region. This implies coordinated, constructive actions by the regional governments can help to lessen the detrimental effects of extreme poverty.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>The study examined the effectiveness of fiscal policy to reduce poverty in the event of an economic downturn.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141776081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ownership structure and financial distress: is the tale from Sub-Saharan Africa different? 所有权结构与财务困境:撒哈拉以南非洲的故事是否与众不同?
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-03-2024-0153
Mohammed Abdulkadir, Samuel Nduati Kariuki, Peter Wang’ombe Kariuki
{"title":"Ownership structure and financial distress: is the tale from Sub-Saharan Africa different?","authors":"Mohammed Abdulkadir, Samuel Nduati Kariuki, Peter Wang’ombe Kariuki","doi":"10.1108/ajems-03-2024-0153","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-03-2024-0153","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The paper investigates the effect of ownership structure on the financial distress of firms listed in sub-Saharan Africa.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>Using secondary data from 106 non-financial firms listed in 9 selected SSA countries from 2016 to 2021, the research using paired <em>t</em>-tests and conditional logistic regression model analysed a sample of 174 distressed observations matched with 174 non-distressed observations.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>T-tests determined significant differences between distressed and non-distressed groups concerning institutional, foreign, and local ownership. Conditional logistic results established that institutional, foreign, and state ownership significantly reduce distress. However, managerial ownership does not influence financial distress while a significant positive relationship is observed between local ownership and financial distress.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This is the first study to investigate the influence of ownership structure, including local ownership, on financial distress in SSA, employing a unique methodology of matched design and conditional logistic regression analysis. Furthermore, the paper presents cross-country evidence from emerging frontier markets, highlighting the importance of governance frameworks in firms’ stability.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141746015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mobility restrictions and firms' decisions to adopt digital technologies during the COVID-19 pandemic: across industry sectors study COVID-19 大流行期间的流动限制与企业采用数字技术的决定:跨行业研究
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-05-2023-0165
Ebaidalla M. Ebaidalla
{"title":"Mobility restrictions and firms' decisions to adopt digital technologies during the COVID-19 pandemic: across industry sectors study","authors":"Ebaidalla M. Ebaidalla","doi":"10.1108/ajems-05-2023-0165","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-05-2023-0165","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>Despite the importance of digital technology in mitigating the adverse effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and related containment measures, limited research attention has been devoted to the impact of movement restrictions on digital business transformation in North Africa. This paper investigates the impact of mobility restrictions on firms' decisions to adopt digital technologies across sectors, emphasizing the challenges associated with accessing both customers and suppliers.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The study uses the ERF COVID-19 MENA Monitor Enterprise survey (2021), covering 3,978 enterprises across three North African countries: Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco. The analysis employed the linear probability model (LPM) to account for observable and unobservable heterogeneity across countries and over time.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The results indicated that mobility restrictions have a positive impact on firms' decisions to adopt digital solutions during the COVID-19 pandemic across most industry sectors. Notably, firms operating in manufacturing, trade, retail and services demonstrated a higher likelihood to adopt technologies. However, the analysis revealed some variations in the impact of mobility restrictions across sectors and countries.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This study has several contributions. First, this study is unique in utilizing firm-level data gathered during the COVID-19 pandemic to investigate the impact of mobility restrictions on firms' decisions to adopt digital solutions. Second, the study examines the influence of mobility restrictions on digitalization across industry sectors, to the best of our knowledge, no empirical study has specifically focused on the digital business transformation across sectors.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141746016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Domestic debt, public spending and economic growth in Nigeria: a mediation analysis 尼日利亚的内债、公共开支和经济增长:中介分析
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-10-2023-0400
Nnachi Egwu Onuoha
{"title":"Domestic debt, public spending and economic growth in Nigeria: a mediation analysis","authors":"Nnachi Egwu Onuoha","doi":"10.1108/ajems-10-2023-0400","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-10-2023-0400","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>This study is aimed at interrogating the mediation role of public spending in domestic debt and economic growth nexus, drawing on debt overhang theory and the Keynesian view.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The study deployed a time series data (from 1981 to 2020) set drawn from the 2021 Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin. The mediation effect of public spending was tested by performing structural equation modeling after pre-estimation Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>Overall, the study outcomes indicate that domestic debt and public spending have significant positive effects on economic growth. Additionally, the study finds public spending to partially mediate domestic debt and economic growth nexus.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>This study's outcomes provide insights that will enable fiscal policymakers to focus on internal borrowing, keep it under strict control to avert crowding out effects and improve public spending on productive projects to stimulate economic growth.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>As the first study to question the mediation effect of public spending in domestic debt-economic growth relationship, it deepens and extends extant literature on domestic debt-economic growth nexus.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141746017","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Determinants of exchange rate threshold effect on economic growth. Evidence from Ghana 汇率阈值效应对经济增长的决定因素。加纳的证据
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-10-2023-0383
David Mensah Awadzie, Edward Attah-Botchwey, Bright Gabriel Mawudor
{"title":"Determinants of exchange rate threshold effect on economic growth. Evidence from Ghana","authors":"David Mensah Awadzie, Edward Attah-Botchwey, Bright Gabriel Mawudor","doi":"10.1108/ajems-10-2023-0383","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-10-2023-0383","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The exchange rate is an important driver of a country’s economic growth, influencing trade, investment, inflation, and employment. This study’s main objective was to investigate the threshold effects of exchange rates on economic growth.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>In this research, innovative endogenous threshold autoregressive (TAR) models introduced by Hansen (2000) are employed for estimation and inference. The dataset comprises secondary annual time series data from Ghana, covering thirty-one years from 1990 to 2021. Economic growth is represented by GDPPC, with the growth exchange rate serving as the crucial threshold variable.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The finding suggests a single exchange rate threshold for Ghana, indicating a nonlinear relationship with economic growth. However, above 8.97%, the exchange rate considerably slows growth, harming the economy. The exchange rate negatively influences growth in both low and high-exchange-rate regimes, but it is insignificant in the high regime. In addition, inflation has a significant negative influence on growth in the low regime but a positive impact on the high regime. In contrast, interest rates positively impact growth in both regimes, though not as significantly in the high regime.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>The findings from this study offer valuable insights to the Ghanaian government and policymakers as they consider choosing an exchange rate target that helps minimise the negative impact of a high exchange rate to promote economic growth.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This paper is remarkable for being one of the few studies that have explored the relationship between exchange rates and economic growth, exploring the threshold effect.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":46031,"journal":{"name":"African Journal of Economic and Management Studies","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141569198","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sustainable economic development in Kenya: influence of diaspora remittances, foreign direct investment and imports 肯尼亚的可持续经济发展:侨汇、外国直接投资和进口的影响
IF 1.3
African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1108/ajems-01-2024-0059
Noah Cheruiyot Mutai, Lawrence Ibeh, Manh Cuong Nguyen, Joyce Wangui Kiarie, Cynthia Ikamari
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