Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis最新文献_第7页

The Benefits and Costs of Automotive Regulations for Low-Income Americans 汽车法规对低收入美国人的收益和成本

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-11-16 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2021.12

Kylie Conrad, John D. Graham

引用次数: 2

The Cost-Benefit Fallacy: Why Cost-Benefit Analysis Is Broken and How to Fix It 成本效益谬误:为什么成本效益分析是错误的，以及如何修复它

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-09-06 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2021.9

B. Flyvbjerg, Dirk W. Bester

引用次数: 22

Open Access in Scientific Information: Sustainability Model and Business Plan for the Infrastructure and Organization of OpenAIRE –Corrigendum 科学信息的开放获取:OpenAIRE基础设施和组织的可持续性模型和商业计划-勘误表

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-07-05 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2021.3

P. Koundouri, Nikos Chatzistamoulou, Osiel González Dávila, Amerissa Giannouli, Nikolaos C. Kourogenis, A. Xepapadeas, Petros Xepapadeas

引用次数: 0

Addressing Fundamental Uncertainty in Benefit–Cost Analysis: The Case of Deep Seabed Mining 解决效益-成本分析中的基本不确定性:深海海底采矿的案例

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2020.28

K. Krutilla, D. Good, Michael T. Toman, Tijen Arin

引用次数: 8

Incidence and Costs of Personal and Property Crimes in the USA, 2017 2017年美国人身和财产犯罪的发生率和成本

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2020.36

T. Miller, M. Cohen, D. Swedler, B. Ali, D. Hendrie

{"title":"Incidence and Costs of Personal and Property Crimes in the USA, 2017","authors":"T. Miller, M. Cohen, D. Swedler, B. Ali, D. Hendrie","doi":"10.1017/bca.2020.36","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2020.36","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Total cost estimates for crime in the USA are both out-of-date and incomplete. We estimated incidence and costs of personal crimes (both violent and non-violent) and property crimes in 2017. Incidence came from national arrest data, multi-state estimates of police-reported crimes per arrest, national victimization and road crash surveys, and police underreporting studies. We updated and expanded upon published unit costs. Estimated crime costs totaled $2.6 trillion ($620 billion in monetary costs plus quality of life losses valued at $1.95 trillion; 95 % uncertainty interval $2.2–$3.0 trillion). Violent crime accounted for 85 % of costs. Principal contributors to the 10.9 million quality-adjusted life years lost were sexual violence, physical assault/robbery, and child maltreatment. Monetary expenditures caused by criminal victimization represent 3 % of Gross Domestic Product – equivalent to the amount spent on national defense. These estimates exclude the additional costs of preventing and avoiding crime such as enhanced lighting and burglar alarms. They also exclude crimes against businesses and most white-collar and corporate offenses.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"51 1","pages":"24 - 54"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2021-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81005009","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 22

Benefit–Cost Analysis of Social Media Facilitated Bystander Programs 社会媒体辅助旁观者项目的收益-成本分析

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-10 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2020.34

A. Ebers, Stephan L. Thomsen

{"title":"Benefit–Cost Analysis of Social Media Facilitated Bystander Programs","authors":"A. Ebers, Stephan L. Thomsen","doi":"10.1017/bca.2020.34","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2020.34","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Bystander programs contribute to crime prevention by motivating people to intervene in violent situations. Social media allow addressing very specific target groups, and provide valuable information for program evaluation. This paper provides a conceptual framework for conducting benefit–cost analysis of bystander programs and puts a particular focus on the use of social media for program dissemination and data collection. The benefit–cost model treats publicly funded programs as investment projects and calculates the benefit–cost ratio. Program benefit arises from the damages avoided by preventing violent crime. We provide systematic instructions for estimating this benefit. The explained estimation techniques draw on social media data, machine-learning technology, randomized controlled trials and discrete choice experiments. In addition, we introduce a complementary approach with benefits calculated from the public attention generated by the program. To estimate the value of public attention, the approach uses the bid landscaping method, which originates from display advertising. The presented approaches offer the tools to implement a benefit–costs analysis in practice. The growing importance of social media for the dissemination of policy programs requires new evaluation methods. By providing two such methods, this paper contributes to evidence-based decision-making in a growing policy area.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"17 1","pages":"367 - 393"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2021-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82450618","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Economic Evaluation of Investments in Airports: Recent Developments 机场投资的经济评估:最近的发展

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-09 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2020.31

P. Forsyth, Hans-Martin Niemeier, E. Njoya

{"title":"Economic Evaluation of Investments in Airports: Recent Developments","authors":"P. Forsyth, Hans-Martin Niemeier, E. Njoya","doi":"10.1017/bca.2020.31","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2020.31","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The problem of how to evaluate investments in airports has now been studied for over 50 years. This paper analyzes the use of different methods like cost–benefit analysis (CBA), economic impact analysis (EIA), and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models to address the question. It assesses the strength and weaknesses of each method, and it discusses which methods have been used in different countries. The paper argues that the CBA approach and the newer CGE modeling approach address the policy issue well and that both methods are appropriate, although improvements are possible, especially in the newer aspects of evaluation. Furthermore, more data intensive CGE models are able to analyze broader aspects of the evaluation question for which CBA has had difficulty. EIA does not address the problem satisfactorily, and it misleads air transport policy. But this evaluation contrasts sharply with practice. EIA has been extensively used to decide on airport investment. CGE approaches are very promising, though further work is needed for them to reach their full potential. This paper pays particular attention to the relationship between CBA and CGE in airport investment evaluation and also the possible role of wider economic benefits (WEBs) of aviation in evaluation.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"29 1","pages":"85 - 121"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2021-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78970530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 6

Cost–Benefit Assessment of Public Investments in France: The Use of Counter-Experts 法国公共投资的成本效益评估:反专家的使用

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-05 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2020.30

L. Baumstark, R. Guesnerie, Jincheng Ni, Jean-Paul Ourliac

引用次数: 7

Poverty, Irrationality, and the Value of Cash Transfers 贫困、非理性和现金转移的价值

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-03 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2020.22

Dan Acland

{"title":"Poverty, Irrationality, and the Value of Cash Transfers","authors":"Dan Acland","doi":"10.1017/bca.2020.22","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2020.22","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract It has been demonstrated that irrationality reduces the efficiency of individuals’ allocations, as measured by their “true” or rational preferences. There is also evidence that poverty increases irrationality of different sorts. As a result, the net benefit to society of a cash transfer from taxpayers to welfare recipients may not be zero. The fact that the transfer will be allocated less efficiently by the recipients than by the taxpayers will reduce the value of the transfer, while if the transfer increases recipients’ rationality, it will increase the efficiency of the allocation of their pretransfer budgets, thus increasing the value of the transfer. The net effect on society will be positive or negative, depending in large part on the degree to which the transfer increases rationality. I model these effects in the context of present-biased preferences and explore the effect of irrationality, income, and the size of transfer on the value of transfers. I conclude that under a plausible range of conditions, transfers can generate a substantial positive net benefit. I also model the choices of a fully rational paternalist and find little support for paternalistic in-kind transfers.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"93 1","pages":"227 - 257"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2021-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73554211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Risk-Informed Benefit–Cost Analysis for Homeland Security R&D: Methodology and an Application to Evaluating the Advanced Personal Protection System for Wildland Firefighters 基于风险信息的国土安全研发收益-成本分析:方法及其在野外消防员先进个人防护系统评估中的应用

IF 3.4 4区经济学

Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis Pub Date : 2021-02-02 DOI: 10.1017/bca.2020.33

S. Thrift, D. von Winterfeldt

{"title":"Risk-Informed Benefit–Cost Analysis for Homeland Security R&D: Methodology and an Application to Evaluating the Advanced Personal Protection System for Wildland Firefighters","authors":"S. Thrift, D. von Winterfeldt","doi":"10.1017/bca.2020.33","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/bca.2020.33","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This article describes a methodology for a risk-informed benefit–cost analysis that includes (i) risk analysis to quantify risk reduction benefits and (ii) uncertainty analyses to quantify probability distributions over costs and benefits. It also summarizes the lessons from 25 applications of this methodology to evaluate R&D projects of the Science and Technology Directorate of the Department of Homeland Security. The article then illustrates the methodology with a specific application to evaluate the benefits and costs of the Advanced Personal Protection System (APPS), a new garment system developed to protect wildland firefighters. The goals of the APPS project were to reduce risk and to improve comfort. The cost analysis revealed that the APPS garments are more expensive by about $279 per garment system. Total costs were roughly $7.3 million, including the upfront project cost and the increased 5 year cost of purchasing the APPS. Benefits from reduced injuries and fatalities resulted in 5 year benefits of about $19.3 million, with an NPV of $13.6 million in 2019 dollars. In the base case, the benefit–cost ratio was 2.87 and the return on investment was 187 % over 5 years. Taking the perspective of a decision-maker when the project was first funded in 2011, NPVs are $11,993,728, $10,025,519, and $7,967,479 in 2011 dollars for discount rates of 0, 3, and 7 % respectively. An uncertainty analysis of the NPV showed a large variability, ranging from the 5th percentile of $6.4 million to a median of $19.3 million to the 95th percentile of $43.7 million in 2019 dollars. This large range was primarily due to the uncertainty about the reduction of fatality and injury risks and the market penetration rates of the new garments.","PeriodicalId":45587,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis","volume":"15 1","pages":"335 - 366"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2021-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86640447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1