Statistics and Public Policy最新文献

State-Building through Public Land Disposal? An Application of Matrix Completion for Counterfactual Prediction 通过公共土地处置进行国家建设？矩阵完成法在反事实预测中的应用

IF 1.6

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2024.2356514

Jason Poulos

引用次数: 0

Clusters of Jail Incarcerations in US Counties: 2010-2018 2010-2018 年美国各州的监狱监禁集群

IF 1.6

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2024.2342777

Raid Amin, Alexis Angstadt, Vladimir Dragomirov, Maria Drury, Kyra Farinas, Michael Mezzano, Amy Muller, Paul Waterhouse

引用次数: 0

Comment on ‘What protects the autonomy of the Federal Statistics Agencies? An Assessment of the Procedures in Place That Protect the Independence and Objectivity of Official Statistics” by Pierson et al. 评论 "什么保护联邦统计机构的自主权？对保护官方统计独立性和客观性的现行程序的评估 "的评论，作者 Pierson 等人。

IF 1.6

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2024.2314011

Stephen Penneck

引用次数: 0

On Coping in a Non-Binary World: Rejoinder to Biedermann and Kotsoglou 关于在非二元世界中的应对：再论比德尔曼和科茨格鲁

IF 1.6

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2024.2302189

Nicholas Scurich, Richard S. John

引用次数: 0

Commentary on “Three-Way ROCs for Forensic Decision Making” by Nicholas Scurich and Richard S. John (in: Statistics and Public Policy) Nicholas Scurich和Richard S. John对“法医决策的三方roc”的评论(见:统计与公共政策)

IF 1.6

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2023.2288166

Alex Biedermann, Kyriakos N. Kotsoglou

引用次数: 0

Statistical Fallacies in Claims about ‘Massive and Widespread Fraud’ in the 2020 Presidential Election: Examining Claims Based on Aggregate Election Results 1,2 关于2020年总统选举中“大规模和广泛的欺诈”的说法中的统计谬误:基于总选举结果的审查说法1,2

IF 1.6

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2023.2289529

Bernard Grofman, Jonathan Cervas

引用次数: 0

Bolstering Education Statistics to Serve the Nation 加强教育统计工作，为国家服务

IF 1.6

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2023.2285788

Emerson Elliott, Jonathan Auerbach, C. Citro, Daniel Elchert, Steve Pierson, Marilyn Seastrom, Thomas Snyder, Katherine Wallman, James L. Woodworth

引用次数: 0

Synthetic Control Analysis of the Short-Term Impact of New York State’s Bail Elimination Act on Aggregate Crime 纽约州保释取消法对综合犯罪短期影响的综合控制分析

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2023.2267617

Angela Zhou, Andrew Koo, Nathan Kallus, Rene Ropac, Richard Peterson, Stephen Koppel, Tiffany Bergin

{"title":"Synthetic Control Analysis of the Short-Term Impact of New York State’s Bail Elimination Act on Aggregate Crime","authors":"Angela Zhou, Andrew Koo, Nathan Kallus, Rene Ropac, Richard Peterson, Stephen Koppel, Tiffany Bergin","doi":"10.1080/2330443x.2023.2267617","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/2330443x.2023.2267617","url":null,"abstract":"We conduct an empirical evaluation of the short-term impact of New York’s bail reform on crime. New York State’s Bail Elimination Act went into effect on January 1, 2020, eliminating money bail and pretrial detention for nearly all misdemeanor and nonviolent felony defendants. Our analysis of effects on aggregate crime rates after the reform informs the understanding of bail reform and general deterrence, rather than specific deterrence via re-arrest rates of the detained/released population. We conduct a synthetic control analysis for a comparative case study of the impact of bail reform. We focus on synthetic control analysis of post-intervention changes in crime for assault, theft, burglary, robbery, and drug crimes, constructing a dataset from publicly reported crime data of 27 large municipalities. Due to the short time frame before the onset of COVID-19 and its far-reaching effects, we restrict attention to a short post-intervention time period. Nonetheless, evaluation of short-term impacts may still inform hypotheses of general deterrence of bail reform policy. Our findings, including placebo checks and other robustness checks, show that for assault, theft, and drug crimes, there is no significant impact of bail reform on aggregate crime. For robbery, we find a statistically significant increase; for burglary, the synthetic control is more variable and our analysis is deemed less conclusive. Since our study assesses the short-term impacts, further work studying long-term impacts of bail reform and on specific deterrence remains necessary.","PeriodicalId":43397,"journal":{"name":"Statistics and Public Policy","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135351849","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

STATISTICAL APPROACHES FOR ASSESSING DISPARATE IMPACT IN FAIR HOUSING CASES 评估公平住房案件中差别影响的统计方法

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2023.2263038

Dennis J. Aigner, Marco del Ángel, Joel Wiles

{"title":"STATISTICAL APPROACHES FOR ASSESSING DISPARATE IMPACT IN FAIR HOUSING CASES","authors":"Dennis J. Aigner, Marco del Ángel, Joel Wiles","doi":"10.1080/2330443x.2023.2263038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/2330443x.2023.2263038","url":null,"abstract":"The measurement of the disparate impact of a particular de facto discriminatory policy on a minority or otherwise legally protected group has been of importance since passage of the Civil Rights Act of 1964. When the data available for the measurement of disparate impact, as embodied in the so-called “disparity ratio,” come from samples, a statistical approach naturally suggests itself. This article reviews both the law and statistics literature with regard to statistical inference applicable to the disparity ratio and related measures of disparate impact. From that review, three primary approaches are evaluated, the difference in so-called “rejection” rates for the protected and non-protected groups, their ratio (the disparity ratio), and the natural logarithm of the disparity ratio. For various reasons, the direct ratio estimator is recommended for use in all but small samples, where the log-ratio approach is to be preferred. The main points are illustrated with two fair housing examples, one being the possible discriminatory effect by race owing to a landlord’s refusal to accept Section 8 housing vouchers in lieu of cash rent, and the other being the effects of occupancy restrictions on families with children. Various methodological issues that arise in the application of these three estimation approaches are addressed in the context of the more complex sample designs that underlie the data utilized.","PeriodicalId":43397,"journal":{"name":"Statistics and Public Policy","volume":"45 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135194068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Comment on “What Protects the Autonomy of the Federal Statistical Agencies? An Assessment of the Procedures in Place That Protect the Independence and Objectivity of Official Statistics” by Pierson et al. 评论《什么保护联邦统计机构的自主权?》《对保护官方统计的独立性和客观性的现行程序的评估》，作者:Pierson等。

Statistics and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1080/2330443x.2023.2221320

Wayne Smith

引用次数: 0