{"title":"The management of COVID-19 epidemic: estimate of the actual infected population, impact of social distancing and directions for an efficient testing strategy. The case of Italy","authors":"G. Barcaroli, B. Guardabascio, F. Brogi","doi":"10.1504/ijcee.2021.10040893","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2021.10040893","url":null,"abstract":"This work focuses on the so called 'first wave' of COVID-19 epidemic (21 February-10 April 2020) and aims at outlining a viable strategy to contain the COVID-19 spread and efficiently plan an exit from lockdown measures. It offers a model to estimate the total number of actual infected among the population at national and regional level inferring from the lethality rate, to fill the proven gap with the number of officially reported cases. The result is the reference population used to develop a forecasting exercise of new daily cases, compared to the reported ones. The eventual discrepancy is analysed in terms of compliance with the restrictive measures or to an insufficient number of tests performed. This simulation indicates that an efficient testing policy is the main actionable measure. Furthermore, the paper estimates the optimal number of tests to be performed at national and regional level, in order to be able to release an increasing number of individuals from restrictive measures.","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66720298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A SAS macro for examining stationarity under the presence of endogenous structural breaks","authors":"S. Fargher, Dimitrios Dadakas","doi":"10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10036611","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10036611","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66719700","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nicholas Tsounis, Z. Kalogiratou, Y. Bassiakos, T. Monovasilis
{"title":"Computational method for approximating the behaviour of a triopoly: an application to the mobile telecommunications sector in Greece","authors":"Nicholas Tsounis, Z. Kalogiratou, Y. Bassiakos, T. Monovasilis","doi":"10.1504/ijcee.2021.10033211","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2021.10033211","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66719604","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Füllsack, Georg Jäger, Christian Hofer, Simon Plakolb
{"title":"Automated detection of entry and exit nodes in traffic networks of irregular shape","authors":"M. Füllsack, Georg Jäger, Christian Hofer, Simon Plakolb","doi":"10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10036612","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10036612","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66719712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Depth-based support vector classifiers to detect data nests of rare events","authors":"R. Dyckerhoff, Hartmut Jakob Stenz","doi":"10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10036613","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10036613","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66719724","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Two algorithms in sign restrictions: an exploration in an empirical SVAR","authors":"Hyeon‐seung Huh, L. Fisher","doi":"10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10037285","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJCEE.2021.10037285","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66720034","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Simulating long run structural change with a dynamic general equilibrium model","authors":"R. Roson, Britz Wolfgang","doi":"10.1504/ijcee.2021.10040792","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2021.10040792","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66720164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysing the degree of integration of the euro area: how a lack of complete markets and insufficient risk sharing raise concerns about its durability and stability","authors":"J. Juneja","doi":"10.1504/ijcee.2021.10040794","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2021.10040794","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66720254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The use of classification models to identify factors differentiating the competitiveness of the EU-15 and EU-13 countries","authors":"Agnieszka Kleszcz","doi":"10.1504/ijcee.2021.10043423","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2021.10043423","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66720400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Efficiency of microfinance institutions of South Asia: a bootstrap DEA approach","authors":"Rachita Gulati, A. Khan","doi":"10.1504/ijcee.2021.10033213","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2021.10033213","url":null,"abstract":": The microfinance institutions (MFIs) operate with the dual goals; financial sustainability and social outreach. Therefore, the present paper aims to assess the twin objectives of MFIs operating in the selected four South Asian countries (i.e., Bangladesh, India, Nepal and Pakistan) during the financial year 2010 to 2015. First, we remove the outliers from the dataset by following Banker and Gifford (1988) and Banker and Chang (2006) guidelines. Thereafter, the study use bootstrap data envelopment analysis (DEA) by designing two separate models to measure bias-corrected financial and social efficiency estimates. The empirical results confirm that the South Asian MFIs remain more financially efficient than socially during the study period. Further, the Indian MFIs outperform in terms of both the aspects followed by Nepali and Bangladeshi MFIs, respectively. However, the Pakistani MFIs are the least performers in terms of both social outreach and financial sustainability. economists and her research interests include efficiency and productivity analysis using frontier approaches. Her research work focuses on financial economics in India and bears important policy implications for further reforms in the financial sector in India. She has published research papers in journals of national and international repute.","PeriodicalId":42342,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.1,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"66719657","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}