International Conference on Complex Information Systems最新文献

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Forecasting of COVID-19 Pandemic Using ARIMA and Fb-Prophet Models: UK Case Study 使用ARIMA和Fb-Prophet模型预测COVID-19大流行:英国案例研究
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0011990300003485
Victor Chang, Oghara Akpomedaye, V. Jesus, Qi Xu, Karl Hall, Meghana Ganatra
{"title":"Forecasting of COVID-19 Pandemic Using ARIMA and Fb-Prophet Models: UK Case Study","authors":"Victor Chang, Oghara Akpomedaye, V. Jesus, Qi Xu, Karl Hall, Meghana Ganatra","doi":"10.5220/0011990300003485","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0011990300003485","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to provide insights into predicting future cases of COVID-19 infection and rates of virus transmission in the UK by critically analyzing and visualizing historical COVID-19 data, so that healthcare providers can prepare ahead of time. In order to achieve this goal, the study invested in the existing studies and selected ARIMA and Fb-Prophet time series models as the methods to predict confirmed and death cases in the following year. In a comparison of both models using values of their evaluation metrics, root-mean-square error, mean absolute error and mean absolute percentage error show that ARIMA performs better than Fb-Prophet. The study also discusses the reasons for the dramatic spike in mortality and the large drop in deaths shown in the results, contributing to the literature on health analytics and COVID-19 by validating the results of related studies. Copyright © 2023 by SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, Lda. Under CC license (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129223905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Semantics and Algebra for Action Logic Monitoring State Transitions 动作逻辑监控状态转换的语义和代数
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0006345901100115
S. Yamasaki
{"title":"Semantics and Algebra for Action Logic Monitoring State Transitions","authors":"S. Yamasaki","doi":"10.5220/0006345901100115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0006345901100115","url":null,"abstract":"This position paper is concerned with aspects of an interactive state transition system (based on abstract state machine) by means of the state monitoring in action logic (as multi-modal logic), towards a step to the design for complex systems. Logical models are here presented as theories for implementation design on iDevice, with respect to the algebraic structure caused by state transitions. As a simpler design of complex AI, the environmental constraint is captured as a state, where the function applications are available at each state with the transition to the next states. For communication to the state, and function applications at the state, multi-modal logic model may be of use, where the formula or the condition monitors the state. Then interaction availability is significant, expressed in some algebra on the basis of the meaning definitions for formulas (conditions). By the state transition system, URL searching operations are now formally considered as in algebraic structure. The application of predicates to the states is regarded as applications of functions (transforming conditions) such that its algebraic structure may be given.","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122184919","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Paramo and High-Andean Simulation using Reactive Agents - Hydrological Role of High Andean Ecosystems 使用反应剂的Paramo和高安第斯山脉模拟-高安第斯生态系统的水文作用
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0006379301390143
J. Morales, L. D. A. Nieto
{"title":"Paramo and High-Andean Simulation using Reactive Agents - Hydrological Role of High Andean Ecosystems","authors":"J. Morales, L. D. A. Nieto","doi":"10.5220/0006379301390143","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0006379301390143","url":null,"abstract":"Ecosystems like Páramos and High-Andean forests have a very important role as regulators of the water process for the majority of rivers in Colombia. For this reason, a simulation, which shows the main functions performed by them, was developed. Simple reactive agents was the technique used in order to simulate these ecosystems and their components. the results obtained reaffirm the ecological importance both (paramos and High-Andean forests) for Equatorial countries.","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"49 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124495491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Real World Examples of Agent based Decision Support Systems for Deep Learning based on Complex Feed Forward Neural Networks 基于复杂前馈神经网络的深度学习决策支持系统的真实世界示例
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0006307000940101
H. Kisch, C. Motta
{"title":"Real World Examples of Agent based Decision Support Systems for Deep Learning based on Complex Feed Forward Neural Networks","authors":"H. Kisch, C. Motta","doi":"10.5220/0006307000940101","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0006307000940101","url":null,"abstract":"Nature frequently shows us phenomena that in many cases are not fully understood. To research these phenomena we use approaches in computer simulations. This article presents a model based approach for the simulation of human brain functions in order to create recurrent machine learning map fractals that enable the investigation of any problem trained beforehand. On top of a neural network for which each neuron is illustrated with biological capabilities like collection, association, operation, definition and transformation, a thinking model for imagination and reasoning is exemplified in this research. This research illustrates the technical complexity of our dual thinking process in a mathematical and computational way and describes two examples, where an adaptive and self-regulating learning process was applied to real world examples. In conclusion, this research exemplifies how a previously researched conceptual model (SLA process) can be used for making progress to simulate the complex systematics of human thinking processes and gives an overview of the next major steps for making progress on how artificial intelligence can be used to simulate","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121814063","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Ad Hoc Communication Topology Switching during Disasters from Altruistic to Individualistic and Back 灾难中自组织通信拓扑从利他到个人再返回的切换
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0009434201030107
Indushree Banerjee, M. Warnier, F. Brazier
{"title":"Ad Hoc Communication Topology Switching during Disasters from Altruistic to Individualistic and Back","authors":"Indushree Banerjee, M. Warnier, F. Brazier","doi":"10.5220/0009434201030107","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0009434201030107","url":null,"abstract":"Disaster communication has made immense progress in the last thirty years. At present, disaster research focuses on bottom-up approaches such as civilian inclusion in disaster response. With the advent of smartphones, citizen-based emergency communication has become possible. Present ad hoc communication technologies typically form a fully connected mesh network, which connects all phones that are within each other's transmission range. This facilitates low-latency direct communication between citizens, but it quickly drains the battery of phones. Alternative ad hoc communication networks form an adaptive energy-efficient network topology, that is most draining to batteries of phones that have a higher charge, while low-energy phones are spared from relaying messages, thereby preserving battery and thus maintaining their connection with the rescue communication network. Both of these approaches have their own advantages. Which one is best for communication needs depends on the context. This position paper discusses the possibility of a decision model as an approach to automatically switch between the two alternative ad hoc communication networks. This ensures that citizens in disasters can make use of the optimal communication system at all times.","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124499221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Structural Analysis of the Curriculum Through a Bipartite Network 基于二部网络的课程结构分析
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0011854700003485
D. Vukic, A. Jakupović, S. Čandrlić
{"title":"Structural Analysis of the Curriculum Through a Bipartite Network","authors":"D. Vukic, A. Jakupović, S. Čandrlić","doi":"10.5220/0011854700003485","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0011854700003485","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130918962","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pro-Natalism Policy, Demography and Democracy - Nonlinear Dynamics Analysis 亲生育政策、人口统计学与民主——非线性动力学分析
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0006367301240129
T. Mor, Y. Rezek
{"title":"Pro-Natalism Policy, Demography and Democracy - Nonlinear Dynamics Analysis","authors":"T. Mor, Y. Rezek","doi":"10.5220/0006367301240129","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0006367301240129","url":null,"abstract":"Pro-natal policies, namely promoting human reproduction, are common in many societies, often due to religious, nationalistic, or ethnic reasons. If successful, such policies can have detrimental enviromental impact, increase demand for natural and economical resources, and may lead to demographic changes with poliical consequences. Hence, high fertility rates deserve careful analysis. Here we study, using linear dynamics and non-linear dynamics tools, how high fertility rates may impact demography in Israel. We further comment on potential implications of such scenarios for democracy in Israel.","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"442 3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123450504","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
University Student Desertion Analysis using Agent-Based Modeling Approach 基于agent建模方法的大学生遗弃分析
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0006777601280135
M. Rojas, L. D. A. Nieto, J. Puentes
{"title":"University Student Desertion Analysis using Agent-Based Modeling Approach","authors":"M. Rojas, L. D. A. Nieto, J. Puentes","doi":"10.5220/0006777601280135","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0006777601280135","url":null,"abstract":"Student dropout at universities is a worldwide phenomenon that exceeds a 40% rate of the students admitted to first semester. In Colombia, it exceeds 45%, an alerting rate that makes studies on the subject very important for Governments and universities considering that it has a huge social impact and affects the resources of the education area. Traditionally, studies are performed by statistical and mathematical methods and the Ministry of National Education acknowledges that they have been insufficient since they fail to explain the dropout behavior. Agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) has been considered a new way of doing science when managing social problems that are complex systems forcing an evolution simulation as a useful approach to develop this phenomenon.","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131217697","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evolution of Physics Sub-fields 物理学子领域的演变
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0009424900880095
M. Enduri, I. Reddy, Shivakumar Jolad
{"title":"Evolution of Physics Sub-fields","authors":"M. Enduri, I. Reddy, Shivakumar Jolad","doi":"10.5220/0009424900880095","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0009424900880095","url":null,"abstract":": We study the evolution and relationships between sub-fields of Physics using the large data set of articles published in the various physical review journals from 1985-2010. Each article is assigned to some PACS codes by their authors which represent specific sub-fields of Physics. We construct a weighted network with nodes as PACS codes and there is a link between two PACS codes if there is an article assigned to both these codes. The weight of a link represents the number of articles in which both PACS codes appears. We study the time evolution of PACS network at various hierarchy levels of PACS codes. We observe that sub-fields Physics of elementary particles and fields, Nuclear Physics and Condensed matter physics have stronger connections inside the field compared to connections to other sub-fields. We also observe that both condensed matter physics sub-fields are strongly related compared to any other pair of sub-fields.","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132554171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Food Recommendation in a Worksite Canteen 工地食堂食物推荐
International Conference on Complex Information Systems Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.5220/0010502401170124
V. Carchiolo, Marco Grassia, A. Longheu, M. Malgeri, G. Mangioni
{"title":"Food Recommendation in a Worksite Canteen","authors":"V. Carchiolo, Marco Grassia, A. Longheu, M. Malgeri, G. Mangioni","doi":"10.5220/0010502401170124","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0010502401170124","url":null,"abstract":"Recommendation systems tackle with information overload to assist people in finding their best choice according to their preferences and past behaviour. This occurred in many contexts, including the food sector where culinary inspiration, sales increase or healthy advice motivate the adoption of such a system. In this paper we propose a canteen food recommendation system for workers operating at an innovation hub including more than 20 companies. The system leverages a 30 months data set of past choices, and adopts a content based and a collaborative filtering approach for canteen users, suggesting them with dishes chosen by other similar users. First results for frequent as well as occasional canteen visitors are encouraging to validate the proposed","PeriodicalId":414016,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Complex Information Systems","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131404855","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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