{"title":"KESALAHAN MAHASISWA PROGRAM STUDI ADMINISTRASI PUBLIK DALAM MENYELESAIKAN SOAL STATISTIKA DESKRIPTIF DAN STATISTIKA INFERENSIAL","authors":"Ratna Yuniarti","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v8i1.13312","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v8i1.13312","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129192109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
F. Salsabila, Rahmalisa Aulia Fatharani, Teguh Ammar Taqiyyuddin, M. Irfan
{"title":"Aplikasi Model ARCH/GARCH dalam Peramalan Laju Inflasi Bulanan Indonesia","authors":"F. Salsabila, Rahmalisa Aulia Fatharani, Teguh Ammar Taqiyyuddin, M. Irfan","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v8i1.13252","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v8i1.13252","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125437726","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rizky Normelia, Titian Dewi Fortuna, Elen Prihana Putri, Edy Widodo
{"title":"Analisis Mann-Whitney untuk Mengetahui Efektivitas Vaksin pada Jumlah Penderita Covid-19 di Indonesia","authors":"Rizky Normelia, Titian Dewi Fortuna, Elen Prihana Putri, Edy Widodo","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v8i1.15087","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v8i1.15087","url":null,"abstract":"Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian berkaitan dengan topik yang melanda seluruh dunia berupa pandemi Corona virus disease (COVID) yang pertama kali ditemukan di China tahun 2019. Terkonfirmasi terinfeksi Covid-19 di Indonesia pertama kali diberitakan pada 2 Maret 2020 oleh Presiden Joko Widodo dan telah memakan 38.229 korban jiwa per 14 Maret 2021. Vaksin Covid-19 Sinovac telah dikembangkan oleh China pada November 2020 dan mulai didistribusikan ke Indonesia pada Januari 2021. Penggunaan data pada penelitian ini bersumber dari data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Our World in Data yaitu Coronavirus Source Data mengenai Cases Coronavirus in Indonesia. Analisis yang digunakan merupakan uji nonparametrik MannWhitney untuk menguji efektivitas vaksin dengan melihat perbedaan dua sampel yang independen antara jumlah kasus terkonfirmasi terinfeksi Covid-19 sebelum (awal adanya Covid-19, 2 Maret 2020) dan sesudah adanya vaksin (mulai menjadwalkan kegiatan vaksinasi Covid-19, 13 Januari 2021). Pada penelitian ini diperoleh hasil adanya perbedaan antara jumlah terkonfirmasi Covid-19 sebelum dan sesudah adanya vaksin di Indonesia dengan nilai p-value sebesar 9.317*10-49 menunjukkan bahwa ditolak yang artinya terdapat perbedaan antara jumah penambahan kasus terkonfirmasi Covid-19 untuk kelompok sebelum adanya vaksin dengan kelompok sesudah adanya vaksin, yang menunjukkan bahwa vaksin efektif untuk mengurangi jumlah terkonfirmasi Covid-19.","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114332673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Estimation of Online learning Challenges in Rural Areas During a Pandemic with Linear Regression","authors":"Muhammad Marizal, D. Diniya, Sarina Fadila H","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v8i1.15123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v8i1.15123","url":null,"abstract":"The Covid-19 pandemic has changed the behavior of life today, including the formal learning process that is carried out online. There are many challenges faced by students in following the pattern of the online learning system. Students who live in rural areas or in non-urban areas are students who experience greater challenges. The challenges analyzed in this research are physical, psychological, family and community factors on school policies. It was found that the factors that greatly influence school policy are family and community factors. Furthermore, these factors will be modeled so that they can assist schools in establishing an appropriate policy. This model can also describe in general about online-based learning for non-city areas during the covid-19 pandemic","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"4 4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116786872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Joko Riyono, C. Pujiastuti, Aina Latifa Riyana Putri
{"title":"Forecasting Laju Inflasi Indonesia Menggunakan Rantai Markov","authors":"Joko Riyono, C. Pujiastuti, Aina Latifa Riyana Putri","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v8i1.14767","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v8i1.14767","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132125610","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Metode Sirisha-Viola Untuk Menemukan Solusi Optimal Masalah Transportasi","authors":"Fahrudin Muhtarulloh, Aisyah Maulidina","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v8i1.15499","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v8i1.15499","url":null,"abstract":"Finding the minimum cost of shipping a company's goods is still an important thing that needs to be studied to reduce the company's expenses. Therefore, many studies continue to be carried out to find the minimum cost (optimal solution) of transportation problems. This article aims to find the minimum cost of transportation problems which are expected to correct previous studies. The author uses a new method, the Sirisha-Viola method. Based on the calculations that have been done, the optimal value of transportation costs is Rp. 1.335.000,-. Therefore, the smallest cost of the transportation problem is Rp. 1.335.000,-.","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127510780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Peramalan Penutupan Harga Saham The Walt Disney Dengan Metode Permodelan SARIMA Dan ARCH-GARCH","authors":"Muhammad Irfan Rizki, Teguh Ammar Taqiyyuddin, Nabilla Clarissa Salma, Nadiyah Nisrina","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v7i2.13175","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v7i2.13175","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124532991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pemodelan Vector Autoregressive (Var) untuk Data Jumlah Perceraian di Kota Pekanbaru","authors":"Ari Pani Desvina","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v7i2.13765","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v7i2.13765","url":null,"abstract":"Perceraian merupakan terputusnya hubungan antara suami istri akibat dari kegagalan pasangan suami istri dalam menjalani peran masing-masing. Maraknya fenomena perceraian yang terjadi bisa disebabkan oleh beberapa faktor seperti faktor ekonomi, tidak harmonis dan tidak bertanggung jawab. Model Vector Autoregressive (VAR) merupakan salah satu model yang digunakan untuk menentukan peramalan dengan beberapa variabel dan berguna untuk melihat keterkaitan hubungan antar variabel. Tujuan penelitian ini yaitu untuk menentukan peramalan jumlah perceraian di Kota Pekanbaru dengan menggunakan model Vector Autoregressive (VAR). Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data time series yaitu data jumlah perceraian, faktor ekonomi, tidak harmonis dan tidak bertanggung jawab di Kota Pekanbaru mulai Januari 2014 sampai Desember 2018. Hasil pembahasan yang diperoleh menunjukkan bahwa model VAR(2) adalah model yang sesuai untuk meramalkan jumlah perceraian di Kota Pekanbaru pada waktu yang akan datang. Berdasarkan hasil uji kausalitas Granger menunjukkan bahwa perceraian mempengaruhi tidak harmonis, tidak harmonis mempengaruhi ekonomi, dan tidak harmonis mempengaruhi tidak bertanggung jawab. Sedangkan hasil peramalan jumlah perceraian di Kota Pekanbaru untuk Januari 2019 sampai Desember 2020 menunjukkan terjadinya peningkatan yang tidak berbeda jauh dari bulan sebelumnya, dengan nilai akurasi peramalannya menggunakan MAPE adalah 47,76 %.","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"177 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133899725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Model Penyebaran Perilaku Merokok Berdasarkan Faktor Biologis dan Lingkungan Provinsi Riau","authors":"M. Suryani, M. Soleh, Habibul Kelana","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v7i2.13708","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v7i2.13708","url":null,"abstract":"Paper ini membahas tentang penyebaran perilaku merokok berdasarkan faktor biologis dan faktor lingkungan di Provinsi Riau. Model mempunyai dua titik ekuilibrium yaitu titik ekuilibrium bebas rokok dan titik ekuilibrium endemik rokok. Titik ekuilibrium ditentukan dengan menyelesaikan persamaan pada model dan diuji kestabilannya dengan kriteria nilai eigen dan Routh Hurwitz. Hasil yang diperoleh dari penelitian ini adalah titik ekulibrium bebas rokok dan titik ekuilibrium endemik stabil asimtotik lokal","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133734654","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Penerapan Metode Analytical Hierarchy Process dalam Menentukan Gaji Bonus Karyawan Pada PTPN III Sei Putih","authors":"Radita Fadillah, Sajaratud Dur, H. Cipta","doi":"10.24014/jsms.v7i2.12968","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24014/jsms.v7i2.12968","url":null,"abstract":"Employees are the most important part in the company. The establishment of a company depends on employees, where employee performance is needed by the company to support the success of a company. Every employee must have these criteria, including absenteeism, work discipline, responsibility, confidence and cooperation. but there is a problem to determine the order of priority on the bonus salaries of employees, because the value of the criteria on employee bonus salaries is different so that the research becomes a research writer. The purpose of this study was to find out how the application of the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method in determining the order of priority on bonus salaries at PT. Nusantara Plantation (PTPN) III Sei Putih. Based on the calculations that have been made, the priority order for employee bonus salaries at PTPN III Sei Putih is confidence (0.336), work discipline (0.221), cooperation (0.214), attendance (0.176), responsibility (0.109).","PeriodicalId":403832,"journal":{"name":"Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika","volume":"2012 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127407353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}