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On the Optimal "Lockdown" During an Epidemic 关于流行病期间的最佳“封锁
CEPR: Macroeconomics & Growth (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3587254
MartÃn Gonzalez-Eiras, Dirk Niepelt
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引用次数: 79
The Separation and Reunification of Germany: Rethinking a Natural Experiment Interpretation of the Enduring Effects of Communism 德国的分离与统一:重新思考共产主义持久影响的自然实验解释
CEPR: Macroeconomics & Growth (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.26481/umagsb.2020009
Sascha O. Becker, Lukas Mergele, Ludger Woessmann
{"title":"The Separation and Reunification of Germany: Rethinking a Natural Experiment Interpretation of the Enduring Effects of Communism","authors":"Sascha O. Becker, Lukas Mergele, Ludger Woessmann","doi":"10.26481/umagsb.2020009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26481/umagsb.2020009","url":null,"abstract":"German separation in 1949 into a communist East and a capitalist West and their reunification in 1990 are commonly described as a natural experiment to study the enduring effects of communism. We show in three steps that the populations in East and West Germany were far from being randomly selected treatment and control groups. First, the later border is already visible in many socio-economic characteristics in pre-World War II data. Second, World War II and the subsequent occupying forces affected East and West differently. Third, a selective fifth of the population fled from East to West Germany before the building of the Wall in 1961. In light of our findings, we propose a more cautious interpretation of the extensive literature on the enduring effects of communist systems on economic outcomes, political preferences, cultural traits, and gender roles.","PeriodicalId":403294,"journal":{"name":"CEPR: Macroeconomics & Growth (Topic)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130762689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 66
Imputing Missing Values in the US Census Bureau's County Business Patterns 美国人口普查局县商业模式中缺失价值的估算
CEPR: Macroeconomics & Growth (Topic) Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.3386/w26632
Peter K. Schott, Natalie Yang, Fabian Eckert, Teresa C. Fort
{"title":"Imputing Missing Values in the US Census Bureau's County Business Patterns","authors":"Peter K. Schott, Natalie Yang, Fabian Eckert, Teresa C. Fort","doi":"10.3386/w26632","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/w26632","url":null,"abstract":"The County Business Patterns data published by the US Census Bureau track employment by county and industry from 1946 to the present. Two features of the data limit their usefulness to researchers in practice: (1) employment for the majority of county-industry cells is suppressed to protect confidentiality, and (2) industry classifications change over time. We address both issues. First, we develop a linear programming method that exploits the large set of adding-up constraints implicit in the hierarchical arrangement of the data to impute missing employment. Second, we provide concordances to map all data to a consistent set of industry codes.","PeriodicalId":403294,"journal":{"name":"CEPR: Macroeconomics & Growth (Topic)","volume":"136 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115679532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 65
Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers 让自己变得稀缺:人口变化对有经验工人的相对工资和就业率的影响
CEPR: Macroeconomics & Growth (Topic) Pub Date : 2019-03-01 DOI: 10.26481/UMAGSB.2019008
Michael J. Böhm, Christian Siegel
{"title":"Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers","authors":"Michael J. Böhm, Christian Siegel","doi":"10.26481/UMAGSB.2019008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.26481/UMAGSB.2019008","url":null,"abstract":"We argue that rising supply of experience not only reduces experienced workers' relative wages but also their relative labor market participation. From a theoretical model we derive predictions which we quasi-experimentally investigate, using variation across U.S. local labor markets (LLMs) over the last decades and instrumenting experience supply by the LLMs' age structures a decade earlier. We find that aging substantially reduces experienced workers' relative wages and employment rates, and also their labor market participation rates. Our results imply thatthe effect of demographic change on labor markets might be more severe than previously recognized, as it reaches beyond wages.","PeriodicalId":403294,"journal":{"name":"CEPR: Macroeconomics & Growth (Topic)","volume":"243 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114598216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
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