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Determinantes de la Diversificación Exportadora: Enfoque Bayesiano
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2019-01-15 DOI: 10.24265/raef.2019.v2n1.9
César Salinas Depaz, Wilder Pérez Condor, Ricardo Najarro Chuchón
{"title":"Determinantes de la Diversificación Exportadora: Enfoque Bayesiano","authors":"César Salinas Depaz, Wilder Pérez Condor, Ricardo Najarro Chuchón","doi":"10.24265/raef.2019.v2n1.9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24265/raef.2019.v2n1.9","url":null,"abstract":"La diversificacion exportadora brinda a las economias diversos beneficios como el fomento y estabilizacion del crecimiento economico mediante la reduccion de la volatilidad de los ingresos por las exportaciones y el incremento de la productividad a traves de externalidades positivas a nivel intra e inter sectorial. En este sentido, es relevante poder identificar que posibilita la diversificacion de las exportaciones; no obstante, ante un marco teorico disperso, esta identificacion se convierte en una ardua tarea. Este documento mediante la metodologia Bayesian Moving Average intenta descubrir que factores idiosincraticos de cada pais son relevantes para explicar una mayor diversificacion exportadora en el largo plazo. Los resultados sugieren que seis elementos son los mas importantes para la prediccion de la diversificacion de las exportaciones. Estos elementos son: i) renta de recursos naturales, ii) poblacion, iii) formacion bruta de capital (stock de capital), iv) ensenanza secundaria, v) credito al sector privado y vi) capital humano. Estos resultados estan en linea con los resultados obtenidos en la literatura.","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"115 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89376220","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
La gestión de riesgos en la toma de decisiones de los agentes 在代理人的决策过程中进行风险管理
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2019-01-15 DOI: 10.24265/raef.2019.v2n1.10
Edwin Paul Navarro Loaiza
{"title":"La gestión de riesgos en la toma de decisiones de los agentes","authors":"Edwin Paul Navarro Loaiza","doi":"10.24265/raef.2019.v2n1.10","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24265/raef.2019.v2n1.10","url":null,"abstract":"El presente documento tiene como objetivo presentar casos en los cuales los agentes involucrados enfrentaron situaciones en las cuales tomaron decisiones, las cuales no siempre fueron afortunadas. Asimismo, se presenta una breve discusion sobre la importancia de la gestion del riesgo, que deberia ser utilizada como una herramienta para la toma de decisiones, antes que como otra de las decisiones que tomamos los agentes. Con este proposito se discute y analiza la definicion de riesgo y conceptos relacionados","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"100 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78108602","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
El rol del tipo de cambio en Perú: ¿Amortiguador o fuente de choques? 汇率在秘鲁的作用:缓冲还是冲击的来源?
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-88702018000200079
João Ribeiro
{"title":"El rol del tipo de cambio en Perú: ¿Amortiguador o fuente de choques?","authors":"João Ribeiro","doi":"10.4067/S0718-88702018000200079","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-88702018000200079","url":null,"abstract":"Este documento examina el rol del tipo de cambio en Peru utilizando un modelo estocastico para una economia pequena y abierta que es identificado mediante un modelo estructural con vectores autorregresivos (SVAR) con restricciones de largo plazo a lo Blanchard y Quah. La descomposicion de varianza indica que los choques reales de oferta y demanda son la principal fuente de fluctuaciones de los ciclos economicos en Peru y que conforme pasan los trimestres van ganando relevancia en explicar los movimientos del tipo de cambio. Estos resultados sugieren que el tipo de cambio juega un rol de absorber los choques reales que afectan la economia peruana.","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47735212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dinámica de los flujos de entrada y salida del desempleo en Chile 1996-2016 1996-2016年智利失业流入和流出的动态
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-88702018000200003
Felipe Lopez Sabalaga
{"title":"Dinámica de los flujos de entrada y salida del desempleo en Chile 1996-2016","authors":"Felipe Lopez Sabalaga","doi":"10.4067/s0718-88702018000200003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4067/s0718-88702018000200003","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.4067/s0718-88702018000200003","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"70292434","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Asymmetries in utility functions and marriage decisions: A Ramsey-Koopmans approach 效用函数的不对称性与婚姻决策:Ramsey-Koopmans方法
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-88702018000200091
Gonzalo Edwards
{"title":"Asymmetries in utility functions and marriage decisions: A Ramsey-Koopmans approach","authors":"Gonzalo Edwards","doi":"10.4067/S0718-88702018000200091","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-88702018000200091","url":null,"abstract":"This paper determines an empirical indicator for the cost of marrying a spouse with a different level of impatience or rate of time preference, and/or a different degree of aversion to intertemporal variability in consumption. Empirical data from different published sources are used to calibrate the model.","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.4067/S0718-88702018000200091","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41471262","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inversión minera y un régimen fiscal que promueva la inversión: un modelo intertemporal 矿业投资与促进投资的税收制度:跨期模式
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.5
Rudy Laguna Inocente, Álvaro Orozco Ávalos, Madeherik Bejarano Pacheco
{"title":"Inversión minera y un régimen fiscal que promueva la inversión: un modelo intertemporal","authors":"Rudy Laguna Inocente, Álvaro Orozco Ávalos, Madeherik Bejarano Pacheco","doi":"10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"72 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73900653","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
El impacto de la formación de hábitos sobre los programas sociales para reducir la pobreza en Perú 习惯形成对秘鲁减少贫困的社会项目的影响
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.4
Renzo Vidal Caycho, Madeherik Bejarano Pacheco
{"title":"El impacto de la formación de hábitos sobre los programas sociales para reducir la pobreza en Perú","authors":"Renzo Vidal Caycho, Madeherik Bejarano Pacheco","doi":"10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79399598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sistema de Pensiones en el Perú: La siguiente reforma 秘鲁的养老金制度:下一个改革
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.7
Freddy Espino Lazo
{"title":"Sistema de Pensiones en el Perú: La siguiente reforma","authors":"Freddy Espino Lazo","doi":"10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85164002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Infraestructura portuaria y crecimiento económico regional en la Costa Oeste del Pacífico Sur: Un análisis de causalidad de Granger 南太平洋西海岸港口基础设施与区域经济增长:格兰杰因果分析
Revista de Analisis Economico Pub Date : 2018-07-15 DOI: 10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.6
Victor Alejandro Chang Rojas, Fernando Martin Castro Muro
{"title":"Infraestructura portuaria y crecimiento económico regional en la Costa Oeste del Pacífico Sur: Un análisis de causalidad de Granger","authors":"Victor Alejandro Chang Rojas, Fernando Martin Castro Muro","doi":"10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.24265/raef.2018.v1n1.6","url":null,"abstract":"The objective of this article is to determine the causal relationship between investment in port infrastructure and regional economic growth and measure their impact for 10 macro-regions of Peru and Chile during the period 2004-2016. To do that, a cointegration analysis in a panel data framework, as well as a vector error correction model and a Granger Non Causality test are used. The empirical evidence shows that there exists bidirectional causality in the short-term between the investment in port infrastructure and the economic growth, also an unidirectional relationship in the long-term from investment in port infrastructure towards economic growth. With respect to impact, an increase of USD 1 million of investment in port infrastructure, would lead increase of the regional GDP per capita in USD 56.11. On the other hand, it was found that there are asymmetric effects in the short-term between the investment in port infrastructure and the economic growth. In this way, a lesser effect is evidenced in the macro-regions of Peru from investment in port infrastructure towards economic growth.","PeriodicalId":38640,"journal":{"name":"Revista de Analisis Economico","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72911730","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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