International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy最新文献_第5页

Assessment of the Impact of Electric Power Production on the Economic Growth of Kazakhstan 评估电力生产对哈萨克斯坦经济增长的影响

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16036

S. Smagulova, B. Chereyeva, S. Zhakupova, Saule Intykbayeva, Bayan Abdulina, Taizhan Sarzhanov, Gulnar Abdulina, Aigerim Abeldanova

{"title":"Assessment of the Impact of Electric Power Production on the Economic Growth of Kazakhstan","authors":"S. Smagulova, B. Chereyeva, S. Zhakupova, Saule Intykbayeva, Bayan Abdulina, Taizhan Sarzhanov, Gulnar Abdulina, Aigerim Abeldanova","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.16036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.16036","url":null,"abstract":"This scientific research is devoted to the analysis of the impact of the development of the energy industry on economic growth in Kazakhstan. The work assesses the economic development of the country using the example of a comparative analysis of the state of the GDP level from 2011 to 2023. Particular emphasis is placed on increasing industrial production of finished goods. It stands out here that to ensure economic growth, the rapid pace of development of the domestic energy sector is not enough. The study emphasizes that electricity generation mainly comes from thermal power plants using coal. There is a high level of equipment depreciation and wear and tear, which leads to significant harmful emissions, delivery losses and a decline in electricity generation. Some attention is paid to intensifying the construction of renewable energy sources. Here, an economic and mathematical model was built and forecasting was implemented in order to determine the factors affecting the growth of electricity generation in Kazakhstan. To solve energy shortage issues and achieve economic growth, an investment mechanism is proposed using the example of PPP infrastructure energy projects. In order to enhance the influx of investment in the reconstruction and construction of new Kazakh energy facilities, mutually beneficial cooperation between the state and business within the framework of PPP approaches is justified. Key problems are identified and measures for economic growth and stimulation of development of the energy complex are proposed. It is recommended to intensify investments in the construction of nuclear power plants, new renewable energy facilities and innovative power plants.","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141673821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Investigating the Nature of Growth-Environment Relationship for India 调查印度增长与环境关系的性质

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15074

M. I. Haque, Mohammad Asif, M. Tausif, Mohd Naved Khan

引用次数: 0

Multi-step Natural Gas Price Forecasting using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Long Short-Term Memory Hybrid Model 利用集合经验模式分解和长短期记忆混合模型进行多步骤天然气价格预测

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16053

Herry Kartika Gandhi, Ispány Márton

{"title":"Multi-step Natural Gas Price Forecasting using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Long Short-Term Memory Hybrid Model","authors":"Herry Kartika Gandhi, Ispány Márton","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.16053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.16053","url":null,"abstract":"With the characteristic of natural gas as a clean, non-toxic, and valuable energy source, its use has been increasing in recent years. Thus, maintaining stable natural gas security requires a reliable long-step price forecasting indicator with less error. We propose a hybrid theory of Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to perform multi-step forecasting focusing on 30 to 90 steps of the daily Henry Hub natural gas price as a dataset. Using four widespread error measurements, the proposed model provides excellent results compared to no-decomposition as the benchmark model. The proposed model provides 50% lower error results than the single LSTM. EEMD_LSTM brings values below 10 in the MAPE indicator, even up to 90-step prediction. The Diebold-Mariano test also confirms that EEMD_LSTM outperforms the single LSTM on every step with the majority of 90% confidence level. We also simulated the model by analysing the box and whiskers plot of RMSE, which shows that the variance of predicted values ranges between 1.11%. These results show that the proposed forecasting model provides robust results for the case of medium-term natural gas prices with excellent forecasting results.","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141676899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Green Growth or Economic Gain? Assessing Environmental Efficiency Using Data Envelopment Analysis: Case of Africa 绿色增长还是经济收益？利用数据包络分析评估环境效率：非洲案例

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15973

Benomar Ikram, Ababou Mariame

{"title":"Green Growth or Economic Gain? Assessing Environmental Efficiency Using Data Envelopment Analysis: Case of Africa","authors":"Benomar Ikram, Ababou Mariame","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.15973","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.15973","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000\u0000\u0000In the African context, achieving sustainable development while fostering economic growth and environmental conservation presents a formidable challenge. This article employs Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to assess the environmental efficiency of 34 African countries from 2013 to 2022. Using key economic indicators such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Logistics Performance Index (LPI), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) relative to CO2 emissions, the study evaluates the ability of African nations to optimize economic output while minimizing environmental impact. The analysis reveals significant heterogeneity in environmental efficiency levels among countries, with some demonstrating high efficiency, while others exhibit room for improvement. Factors such as FDI, LPI, and GDP play pivotal roles in shaping environmental outcomes, highlighting the need for sustainable investment practices and infrastructure development. Peer comparison and output slack analysis provide further insights, identifying opportunities for enhancing efficiency and promoting sustainable growth. Case studies of South Africa, Mali, and Zambia underscore varying degrees of environmental efficiency and offer valuable lessons for sustainable development across the continent. Overall, the findings contribute to a deeper understanding of environmental efficiency in Africa and provide a roadmap for policymakers to pursue greener and more inclusive development trajectories.\u0000\u0000\u0000","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141674133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Analysis of Existing and Forecasting for Coal and Solar Energy Consumption on Climate Change in Asia Pacific: New Evidence for Sustainable Development Goals 煤炭和太阳能消费对亚太地区气候变化的现有影响和预测分析：可持续发展目标的新证据

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16187

A. P. Kurniadi, H. Aimon, Zamroni Salim, Ragimun Ragimun, Adang Sonjaya, Sigit Setiawan, Viktor Siagian, Lokot Zein Nasution, R. Nurhidajat, Mutaqin Mutaqin, Joko Sabtohadi

{"title":"Analysis of Existing and Forecasting for Coal and Solar Energy Consumption on Climate Change in Asia Pacific: New Evidence for Sustainable Development Goals","authors":"A. P. Kurniadi, H. Aimon, Zamroni Salim, Ragimun Ragimun, Adang Sonjaya, Sigit Setiawan, Viktor Siagian, Lokot Zein Nasution, R. Nurhidajat, Mutaqin Mutaqin, Joko Sabtohadi","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.16187","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.16187","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to identify trends in the role of coal and solar energy consumption on climate change through existing and forecasting analysis as new evidence for the sustainable development goals launched by 2030. This research targets countries in the Asia Pacific, especially coal exporters (Indonesia and Australia) and coal importers (China). The basic model uses panel regression as the existing condition, which covers the period 2008-2023. Meanwhile, the forecasting analysis uses the ARIMA method, which covers the period 2024-2030. The findings of existing conditions include coal energy consumption contributing to increasing climate change. Meanwhile, solar energy consumption can reduce climate change. Furthermore, the forecast findings on average are climate change conditions of 5.237 million tons and coal energy consumption of 33,830 exajoules, but on average the annual growth rate is relatively small (0.91 percent for climate change and 1.46 percent for coal energy consumption). Meanwhile, solar energy has also increased with a small quantity of 2.40 exajoules, but the growth rate is relatively high (29.61 percent). This research recommends that the government massively increase the transition of clean energy consumption towards solar so that the mix can dominate for greater reductions in climate change in achieving sustainable development goals.","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 17","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141673991","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Investigating the Effect of Gross Capital Formation on Carbon Emissions in Somalia 调查资本形成总额对索马里碳排放的影响

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15788

Abdirahman Mohamed Nur, Ahmed Hassan Adan, Ahmed Dahir Ahmed, Ali Abdukadir Ali Gutale, Ali Yassin Sheikh Ali, M. Dalmar

{"title":"Investigating the Effect of Gross Capital Formation on Carbon Emissions in Somalia","authors":"Abdirahman Mohamed Nur, Ahmed Hassan Adan, Ahmed Dahir Ahmed, Ali Abdukadir Ali Gutale, Ali Yassin Sheikh Ali, M. Dalmar","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.15788","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.15788","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000\u0000\u0000The advent of climate change has evolved into a paramount challenge for humanity, prompting extensive endeavors to mitigate its consequences. This research delves into the influence between gross capital formation (GCF) and carbon dioxide emissions in Somalia, spanning the years 1991-2019. To scrutinize the long-term associations among the variables under consideration, the study employed autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Additionally, to ensure the robustness of the study, both dynamic ordinary least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares were applied. Contrary to expectations, the findings indicate that GCF does not exert a significant influence on carbon dioxide emissions. The study advocates for the implementation of a comprehensive environmental policy framework that considers a spectrum of contributing factors beyond GCF. To address the multifaceted nature of environmental challenges, the study recommends initiatives such as diversification of energy sources, technology transfer, promotion of sustainable practices, and integration of climate resilience.\u0000\u0000\u0000","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141675526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The 50-year-old Oil Crisis and its Impact on the Global Economy: A Bibliometric Analysis 长达 50 年的石油危机及其对全球经济的影响：文献计量分析

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16028

Tahmina Akther Mim, Chinnadurai Kathiravan, Balasundram Maniam

{"title":"The 50-year-old Oil Crisis and its Impact on the Global Economy: A Bibliometric Analysis","authors":"Tahmina Akther Mim, Chinnadurai Kathiravan, Balasundram Maniam","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.16028","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.16028","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000\u0000\u0000The world faced different crises, several times, in the last five decades. The COVID-19 pandemic, debt crisis and oil bubble were the most important crises among them. During the crisis, the main financial driving factor was the oil price which transmitted an alarming hit to other economic nexus factors. The objective of this paper was to find out the crisis period, caused by crude oil and its eventuality in different markets’ historical plots. Scopus data represent 605 studies, using the bibliometrix R tool, about crude oil and related crises. Within the context of the contemporary scientific literature, the most significant authors, publications, and research institutions were included in this paper. In the context of the most recent scientific literature, the most significant authors, publications, and research institutions were identified and the relevance of their contributions was established. This research employed disaggregated sectoral analysis and mechanistic analysis on grounded theory, which included moderation analysis. Finally, this bibliometric analysis tried to locate roadblocks in the current literature as well as indicate new directions for investigation.\u0000\u0000\u0000","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141676305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Carbon Neutrality and Sustainable Development: An Empirical Study of Indonesia’s Renewable Energy Adoption 碳中和与可持续发展：印度尼西亚采用可再生能源的实证研究

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15953

Nur Dwiana Sari Saudi, Indraswati Tri Abdi Reviane, Abd Hamid Paddu, Grisvia Agustin, Fitriwati Djam’an, Sabbardahham Sabbar

{"title":"Carbon Neutrality and Sustainable Development: An Empirical Study of Indonesia’s Renewable Energy Adoption","authors":"Nur Dwiana Sari Saudi, Indraswati Tri Abdi Reviane, Abd Hamid Paddu, Grisvia Agustin, Fitriwati Djam’an, Sabbardahham Sabbar","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.15953","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.15953","url":null,"abstract":"In the modern world, emerging economies are examining how technological progression and carbon neutrality goals can encourage sustainable production and consumption. Striving for carbon neutrality requires using energy storage technologies and alternative energy sources. This study investigates Indonesia’s ecological sustainability, focusing on CO2 emissions and air quality index-related smog pollution, with renewable energy adoption, energy storage technology, and environmental innovation as primary influencing factors. The study employed the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) method to explore long-term and short-term correlations between the predictors and the resultant variables. Findings reveal a significant negative correlation between adopting renewable energy (REA), using renewable energy, and EST and CO2 emissions across various quantiles in Indonesia. However, globalization was found to have a positive and significant relationship with CO2 emissions, but this association was only seen at higher quantiles. The long-term analysis revealed that environmental conservation efforts, renewable energy utilization, and environmental taxes could significantly reduce PM2.5 level haze pollution in Indonesia. The QARDL method also supports a negative long-term correlation between REA, ALT, and EST, while globalization is linked to increased CO2 emissions in Indonesia, exacerbating environmental sustainability concerns. In summary, this research concludes that practical innovation, renewable energy consumption, and environmental taxation decrease carbon emissions, while globalization increases them in Indonesia.","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 19","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141676197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

An Assessment of the Relationship between Profitability and Energy Intensity for Technology Oriented Manufacturing Firms in India 印度技术导向型制造企业盈利能力与能源强度关系评估

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16344

Helan Alias Vaibhavi Kabirdas Alavani, Richa Shukla, Debasis Patnaik

{"title":"An Assessment of the Relationship between Profitability and Energy Intensity for Technology Oriented Manufacturing Firms in India","authors":"Helan Alias Vaibhavi Kabirdas Alavani, Richa Shukla, Debasis Patnaik","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.16344","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.16344","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000\u0000\u0000The hypothesis put forth by Porter and Linde (1995) suggests imposing regulation to promote energy efficiency can lead to improved innovation and performance among firms. This study seeks to explore this theoretical premise in the Indian manufacturing sector by analysing the influence of energy intensity on profitability of firms belonging to the Perform Achieve and Trade (PAT) regulated sectors, with a particular focus on classifying technology oriented firms. The study examines seven manufacturing industries from the first cycle of the PAT policy. Two measures of energy intensity indicators, namely the physical economic indicator and the economic indicator, are included in the study. The empirical analysis is divided into two categories: Firms that import technology (714 firms) and firms that do not import technology (752 firms). The study employs panel data analysis with a fixed effect model to conduct the analysis for the time period 2011-2020. Based on empirical analysis, it appears that firms that import technology exhibit a negative relationship between energy intensity and firm performance. Non-technology importing firms exhibit a similar relationship but with a higher coefficient value for energy intensity. The study also includes control variables such as firm size, age, capital intensity, raw material imports, and market concentration. The results show that relatively small to medium-sized firms, which are also young and striving to expand their market size, achieve energy efficiency gains. This highlights the reluctance of established players to improve their performance efficiency through technological up gradation.\u0000\u0000\u0000","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141673326","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Time Varying Causality between Oil Price and Precious Metals : Bootstrap Rolling Windows Granger Causality Approach 油价与贵金属之间的时变因果关系：引导式滚动窗口格兰杰因果关系方法

International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15728

Amna Zardoub

引用次数: 0