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FAILED STRATEGY? THE LEGACY OF BARACK OBAMA’S PRESIDENCY IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA 失败的战略?奥巴马总统在中东和北非的政治遗产
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.108984
M. Lewicka, Michał Dahl
{"title":"FAILED STRATEGY? THE LEGACY OF BARACK OBAMA’S PRESIDENCY IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA","authors":"M. Lewicka, Michał Dahl","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.108984","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.108984","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this paper is to verify whether “a failed strategy”, a phrase commonly used in the literature, is an adequate description of Barack Obama’s legacy in the Middle East and North Africa. Based on the selected political manifestos and actions in the sphere of diplomacy, it has been proven that the Middle East and North Africa was not a priority to the decision-makers in Washington in the years 2009–2012, unlike in the years 2005–2008. However, although President Obama did not manage to implement most of his original plans, he achieved a few significant successes, the most notable of which is the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq and the conclusion of the nuclear deal with Iran. Authors seek to contextualize and explain Obama’s failures and successes, arguing that using the phrase “a failed strategy” does not reflect the complexity of the problems analyzed.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78447786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
THE ENDURING RELEVANCE OF NAVAL POWER: REFLECTIONS ON DEFENCE, SECURITY AND POWER PROJECTION OF SEA FRONTIER 海军力量的持久相关性:对海上边界防御、安全和力量投射的思考
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.113269
S. Oyewole, A. Duyile
{"title":"THE ENDURING RELEVANCE OF NAVAL POWER: REFLECTIONS ON DEFENCE, SECURITY AND POWER PROJECTION OF SEA FRONTIER","authors":"S. Oyewole, A. Duyile","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.113269","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.113269","url":null,"abstract":"The sea/maritime domain is a critical frontier of human exploration and exploitation for food production, transportation, commerce, research, communication, mining, defence, security, power projection and prestige in international system. These made it a frontier of strategic cooperation, competition and conflict. Consequently, the sea has been militarised by littoral states, which have led to the rise of naval powers, across time and space. Naval power is strategically relevant in defence, security and power projection, as evident in its roles in warfare, deterrence, policing, and diplomacy across history. This is even more pronounced during the golden age of naval power, when the roles of the navy were decisive in outcomes of war, territorial defence and conquest, empire building and maintenance, bargaining, industrialisation, commerce and global policing. However, the strategic relevance of naval power has undergone notable changes with the rise of air, nuclear and space powers. Against this background, this article examines the enduring strategic relevance of naval power over the last century, vis-à-vis its challenges and prospects among other instruments of force and frontiers of defence, security and power projection that have emerged.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90469243","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
REVITALIZATION OF MARITIME SILK ROAD BASED ON THE SECURITY IMPLICATIONS AND COOPERATION 振兴海上丝绸之路的安全内涵与合作
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.108771
H. Akib, Lutfi Syaefullah, Hamsu Abdul Gani
{"title":"REVITALIZATION OF MARITIME SILK ROAD BASED ON THE SECURITY IMPLICATIONS AND COOPERATION","authors":"H. Akib, Lutfi Syaefullah, Hamsu Abdul Gani","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.108771","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.108771","url":null,"abstract":"The revitalization of the Silk Road as a trade route, cultural exchange, religion, science and civilization based on the “Maritime Silk Road” (MSR) is the focus of strategic studies and international relations. ASEAN countries, including Indonesia in the MSR route and the contestation of the United States and China who are fighting for dominance in the Indo-Pacific region, face challenges and opportunities. The results of this research, which uses a normative approach, show that the revitalization of the MSR may give positive impacts to China’s foreign affairs for the good interaction and communication among people by economic trade.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91308134","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
PRIORIZAÇÃO DE ACORDOS MULTILATERAIS DE CONTROLE DE EXPORTAÇÃO DE PRODUTOS DE DEFESA E TECNOLOGIAS SENSÍVEIS POR PROCESSO DE ANÁLISE HIERÁRQUICA 通过分层分析程序对国防产品和敏感技术出口管制多边协定进行优先排序
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.119666
L. O. Gavião, Luciano Dias Dutra, S. Kostin
{"title":"PRIORIZAÇÃO DE ACORDOS MULTILATERAIS DE CONTROLE DE EXPORTAÇÃO DE PRODUTOS DE DEFESA E TECNOLOGIAS SENSÍVEIS POR PROCESSO DE ANÁLISE HIERÁRQUICA","authors":"L. O. Gavião, Luciano Dias Dutra, S. Kostin","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.119666","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.119666","url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a model to support the decision to choose which multilateral export control regime of defense products and sensitive technologies in which Brazil does not yet participate, namely, Wassenaar Arrangement, Australia Group and Zangger Committee, should be prioritized for adhesion. For the development of this model, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) method was used, considered adequate for solving problems where criteria are qualitative and decisions tend to be based on personal experiences. The hierarchical structure of the problem used seven criteria (Country Legislation, Regulatory System, Licensing Structure, Enforcement Capacity, International Cooperation, Costs of Adhesion and Benefits for the Defense Industrial Base) to compare the three mentioned agreements. A questionnaire was set up and specialists related to National Defense were selected to answer them, after which their answers were collected, standardized, processed and analyzed. At the end, the agreements were ordered by preference to support decision making, illustrating the application of the proposed model.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83284572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
ORÇAMENTO EM DEFESA E CAPACIDADES ESTRATÉGICAS: DISSIMILARIDADES ENTRE OS PAÍSES DA AMÉRICA DO SUL 国防预算和战略能力:南美国家之间的差异
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.118036
A. Neves, Tássio Franchi
{"title":"ORÇAMENTO EM DEFESA E CAPACIDADES ESTRATÉGICAS: DISSIMILARIDADES ENTRE OS PAÍSES DA AMÉRICA DO SUL","authors":"A. Neves, Tássio Franchi","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.118036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.118036","url":null,"abstract":"We take into account that interpretations of security complexes, traditions of long peace, and violent peace do not fully explain how South American countries are organized regarding Defense. Given those, we ran a cluster analysis with data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) and Military Balance report with economic defense expenditure and capabilities investment from South American countries to identify how they are organized, determining those that are most similar to each other (which would form complexes) and how they differ from the others (dissimilarities). The results showed four different clusters: the first formed by Chile, Peru, Argentina, and Bolivia; the second by Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador and Paraguay; the third only by the Guyana; and the fourth, formed only by Uruguay. We interpreted these clusters considering the history of conflicts, current countries threats and treaties.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82425850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
THE SINO-RUSSIAN GEOPOLITICS IN EURASIA AND CHINA-USA DISPUTES: ASIA-PACIFIC-GREATER EURASIA VS INDO-PACIFIC 欧亚大陆的中俄地缘政治与中美争端:亚太-大欧亚vs印太
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.117778
Lucas Gualberto do Nascimento, Marcos Cordeiro Pires
{"title":"THE SINO-RUSSIAN GEOPOLITICS IN EURASIA AND CHINA-USA DISPUTES: ASIA-PACIFIC-GREATER EURASIA VS INDO-PACIFIC","authors":"Lucas Gualberto do Nascimento, Marcos Cordeiro Pires","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.117778","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.117778","url":null,"abstract":"This article aims to analyze the main elements and processes underway in Eurasia, involving three essential actors: the United States, Russia, and China. At first, it is emphasized the importance of Eurasia as a space that has historically influenced the hegemonic disputes between Great Powers. Then, Eurasia is analyzed as a space for development cooperation, presenting the intersections of the Chinese BRI and the Russian EAEU. Last, the US approach to China is addressed, specifically the Indo-Pacific strategy. We conclude that despite the intense pressure to contain the rise of China and Russia in Eurasia, rivaling both powers is not feasible. In the current path, it will boost the cooperation between two giants, China and Russia.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81378715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
THE DYNAMICS OF THE SUCCESSION OF CURRENCIES IN THE 21ST CENTURY – A CASE OF CHINESE FINANCIAL LEADERSHIP? 21世纪货币更替的动态——中国金融领导力的一个例子?
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.113284
Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes de Moraes, Leonardo Giacomin
{"title":"THE DYNAMICS OF THE SUCCESSION OF CURRENCIES IN THE 21ST CENTURY – A CASE OF CHINESE FINANCIAL LEADERSHIP?","authors":"Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes de Moraes, Leonardo Giacomin","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.113284","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.113284","url":null,"abstract":"The global monetary system since the Industrial Revolution in two periods had two periods. First, a period with Britain as the great economic and political power and the Pound Sterling as the most important international currency and second, the United States as the leading economy and a dollar-based international scenario. The relation between goods, money, and foreign exchange markets is important to understand patterns in terms of exchange rate and currency internationalization. Therefore, the Crowther balance of payments cycles may be important to identify these patterns and to serve as a standard of reference to investigate shifts in exchange rate, and their consequences on balance of payments movements. Since 1978, China has emerged as a strong candidate to assume protagonist in the global monetary system, displaying high and stable economic growth. This paper aims to investigate the necessary conditions for China to internationalize the Renminbi, local currency, and to infer its status in that progress.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72673289","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
NEW DAWN OR ETERNAL TWILIGHT? 新的黎明还是永恒的黄昏?
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.119804
V. Shubin
{"title":"NEW DAWN OR ETERNAL TWILIGHT?","authors":"V. Shubin","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.119804","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.119804","url":null,"abstract":"The article was prepared within the project \"Post-crisis world order: challenges and technologies, competition and cooperation\" supported by the grant from Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation program for research projects in priority areas of scientific and technological development (Agreement № 075-15-2020-783).","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77745566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
GLOBALIZATION AND THE CHANGING CONCEPT OF NATO 全球化和北约概念的变化
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.117757
Umair Khan, Kashaf Sohail
{"title":"GLOBALIZATION AND THE CHANGING CONCEPT OF NATO","authors":"Umair Khan, Kashaf Sohail","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.117757","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.117757","url":null,"abstract":"North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has been the most important and successful multilateral military cum political organization, pursuing the agenda of exporting democracy globally and ensuring the mutual defense of its allies. Historically, NATO was formed against the threat of communism emanating from USSR (Russia). The alliance did not use military option till the end of the cold war between the west and USSR, but post-cold war, it transformed and operated in Balkans, South Asia, Horn of Africa, and Middle East. The 9/11 incident further enhanced the military role of the organization and gave it ample reason to act internationally for ensuring the global security. America, being the leader of the alliance used it for fighting the so-called global war on terrorism and its adventures in Middle East. Nevertheless, in the last two decades the organization went through various changes and is now continuously in the state of transformation. The wave of populism which had influenced the very concept of globalization has posed serious challenges for the alliance. The Trump rhetoric of “America first”, BREXIT, challenges of migration, changing demography of Europe, assertion of Russia in global politics, confrontation between the NATO allies like Turkey and France, and rise of China are few factors which may affect the future of the so-called intergovernmental military alliance. This article concurrently discusses the new challenges for the NATO and sheds light on the possible options to the strategy of Biden administration to reverse the policies of its predecessor which have influenced the cooperation of different allies of NATO. In the end researcher has tried to put forth few recommendations which may help the policy makers to cope with the challenges NATO is facing. The study is qualitative and analytical in nature whereas primary as well as secondary sources are used for data collection.","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85250910","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
SECURITY STUDIES IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS: EVOLUTION, APPROACHES AND CONTEMPORARY CHALLENGES 国际关系中的安全研究:演变、方法和当代挑战
Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations Pub Date : 2021-12-08 DOI: 10.22456/2238-6912.117331
Ali Muhammad, S. Riyanto
{"title":"SECURITY STUDIES IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS: EVOLUTION, APPROACHES AND CONTEMPORARY CHALLENGES","authors":"Ali Muhammad, S. Riyanto","doi":"10.22456/2238-6912.117331","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.22456/2238-6912.117331","url":null,"abstract":"This article examines the growth and evolution of security studies since its emergence to the end the Cold War. Security studies as a subfield in international relations was dominated by realist approach during the Cold War. However, by the of the cold war, the concept of security was debated between the widener–deepener. Not only about the concept, but variety of theoretical approaches also emerged to challenge the traditional realist/liberal approach, such as, constructivism, critical theory, feminism, human security and postcolonialism. There were crucial differences in how these competing approaches constituted referent objects, the sectors to which security is applicable, and epistemological position as well. ","PeriodicalId":37936,"journal":{"name":"Austral: Brazilian Journal of Strategy and International Relations","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-12-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89808389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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