International Journal of Microsimulation最新文献

Editorial: Special Issue in honour of Vale Emerita Professor Ann Harding AO 社论：纪念淡水河谷名誉教授安-哈丁（Ann Harding AO）特刊

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00278

引用次数: 0

The ‘German Job Miracle’ and Its Impact on Income Inequality: A Decomposition Study “德国就业奇迹”及其对收入不平等的影响:一项分解研究

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-04-30 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00274

J. Mühlhan

引用次数: 0

Tax and Benefit Policies to Reduce Poverty in the Netherlands: A Microsimulation Analysis 荷兰减少贫困的税收和福利政策:微观模拟分析

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-04-30 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00277

引用次数: 2

Analysing the Effects of Healthcare Payment Policies on Poverty: A Microsimulation Study with Real-World Healthcare Data 医疗支付政策对贫困的影响分析:基于真实医疗数据的微观模拟研究

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-04-30 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00276

Ph.D Katri Aaltonen, Dr Jussi Tervola, M.Sc Pekka Heino

引用次数: 1

Editorial and outline of the special issue 特刊的编辑和提纲

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-04-30 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00272

引用次数: 0

The Impact of COVID-19 on Living Standards: Addressing the Challenges of Nowcasting Unprecedented Macroeconomic Shocks with Scant Data and Uncharted Economic Behavior 新冠肺炎对生活水平的影响：用扫描数据和未知的经济行为应对当前前所未有的宏观经济冲击的挑战

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-04-30 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00273

N. Lustig, V. M. Pabon, F. Sanz, S. Younger

引用次数: 1

SWITCH: A Tax-Benefit Model for Ireland Linked to Survey and Register Data SWITCH：与调查和登记数据相关的爱尔兰税收优惠模型

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2023-04-30 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00275

C. Keane, Karina Doorley, Theano Kakoulidou, Seamus O’malley

引用次数: 3

Simulations of Policy Responses and Interventions to Promote Inclusive Adaptation to and Recovery from the COVID-19 Crisis in Ghana 加纳促进包容性适应新冠肺炎危机并从中恢复的政策应对和干预措施模拟

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00270

E. Cooke, A. Araar, E. Abrokwah, V. Acheampong, S. Appiah

{"title":"Simulations of Policy Responses and Interventions to Promote Inclusive Adaptation to and Recovery from the COVID-19 Crisis in Ghana","authors":"E. Cooke, A. Araar, E. Abrokwah, V. Acheampong, S. Appiah","doi":"10.34196/ijm.00270","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.00270","url":null,"abstract":"We assess the impact of COVID-19 shocks on household welfare and the effectiveness of select policies implemented to reduce their impact on welfare in Ghana. We adopt a microsimulation approach to assess the effects of COVID-19 on household welfare. Welfare fell by 34.2% to 41.9% between March and June 2020. Over the same period, the poverty headcount and the Gini index increased by 9 to 10.5 percentage points and 0.4 to 0.6 points respectively. The number of poor people increased by 2.8 to 3.2 million. The hardest-hit sector was education, with agriculture, forestry and fishing, trade and repairs, manufacturing, and other services also affected. The effects vary for men, women and children. While women experienced the largest decline in welfare, men experienced the highest increase in poverty incidence. The three policies selected reduced poverty marginally but were unable to offset the increase in poverty that occurred between March and June. The estimated cost of the three policies is GHS3.7 billion excluding administrative costs, which equates to approximately 1% of 2020 GDP © 2022, Cooke et al","PeriodicalId":37916,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Microsimulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49320813","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Economic and Distributional Impacts of Covid-19 Economic Shocks on Women in Senegal 新冠肺炎经济冲击对塞内加尔妇女的经济和分配影响

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00267

H. Maisonnave, F. Cabral, M. Henseler

{"title":"Economic and Distributional Impacts of Covid-19 Economic Shocks on Women in Senegal","authors":"H. Maisonnave, F. Cabral, M. Henseler","doi":"10.34196/ijm.00267","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.00267","url":null,"abstract":"Like other African countries, Senegal has been hit by Covid-19 and has implemented measures to contain the epidemic. These measures impact men and women differently, mainly via the impacts on the labour market. We simulate the economic shocks in a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the economic impacts. We capture the gendered impact on women's employment by linking the CGE model with a micro-simulation employment module. Furthermore, we assess the impact on poverty and inequality by executing a distributive analysis with a sequential top-down layered micro-simulation households module. The results show that the Senegalese economy suffers from Covid-19 measures with a decrease in gross domestic product by 5% and 7% in the moderate and severe scenarios, respectively. While most sectors are negatively affected, some benefit from the increase in foreign demand (e.g., for certain agricultural products). In terms of employment, unskilled workers are the most affected group. Female workers are relatively less affected than male workers due to the predominant presence of women in the agricultural sectors. Indeed, the increased foreign demand for agricultural products positively affects the agricultural sectors. However, poverty increases at the national level for all households, especially for rural households and households living in urban areas except Dakar. Specifically, the poverty gap and severity for rural households increase more than for urban households © 2022, Maisonnave et al","PeriodicalId":37916,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Microsimulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41952225","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Monetary Child Poverty in Morocco Covid-19大流行对摩洛哥货币儿童贫困的影响

International Journal of Microsimulation Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00268

T. Abdelkhalek, D. Boccanfuso, L. Savard

{"title":"Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Monetary Child Poverty in Morocco","authors":"T. Abdelkhalek, D. Boccanfuso, L. Savard","doi":"10.34196/ijm.00268","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.00268","url":null,"abstract":"The Covid-19 pandemic had a very quick and damaging impact on several economies around the world, including in Morocco. This economy was hit hard with some sectors strongly exposed to the impact on the households and their children. In this article, we built a micro-simulation model and use it jointly with an input-output model to assess the distributional impact of COVID-19 and mitigation measures targeting households in Morocco with a focus on children living in poor households. Our original results show that the crisis has led to a fairly significant increase in poverty, with more pronounced effects in the urban area. Children under 5 years of age and young adults (over 18 years of age) are the most affected. Just over half a million children under the age of 18 would fall into poverty as a result of the pandemic. The mitigation measures put in place by the government and additional measures we designed and simulated further reduce the negative impact of the pandemic. In addition, the number of vulnerable rural population has decreased in both rural and urban areas. However, the two scenarios focusing on mitigation of the effects of the pandemic do not fully compensate for the negative effects of the pandemic in the urban area as opposed to rural areas. When we focus our analysis by age category, the incidence rates of vulnerability decrease to their initial rates for children under 5 years of age and decrease very slightly for youth aged 5 to 17 years at the national level. However, we find that this vulnerability is deeper and more severe even after the implementation of compensatory measures © 2022, Abdelkhalek et al","PeriodicalId":37916,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Microsimulation","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48529561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0