Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.148

Agata Sobków

引用次数: 27

Gary Stanley Becker. Ekonomia jako sztuka najlepszego wykorzystywania życia 加里·斯坦利·贝克尔。经济是一门充分利用生命的艺术

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.150

A. Domurat, Akademia Leona Koźmińskiego

引用次数: 0

Show issue Year 12/2012 Volume 2020 Issue 34 Regional Correction of The Flis-Słomczyński-Stolicki Formula: The Case of Turkish Elections 2012年12月展会 2020卷第34期Flis-Słomczyński Stolicki公式的区域更正：土耳其选举案例

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.7206/dec.1733-0092.145

Uğurcan Evci

{"title":"Show issue Year 12/2012 Volume 2020 Issue 34 Regional Correction of The Flis-Słomczyński-Stolicki Formula: The Case of Turkish Elections","authors":"Uğurcan Evci","doi":"10.7206/dec.1733-0092.145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7206/dec.1733-0092.145","url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a correction to the Flis-Słomczyński-Stolicki (2019, 2020) formula for countries with large variation among their districts in terms of political divisions. The Flis-Słomczyński-Stolicki formula (FSS formula) estimates seat allocations under the Jefferson-D’Hondt method by using national vote shares, as well as other parameters that are often readily available. However, the FSS formula does not yield precise estimates in those countries where there are independent candidates, special rights assigned to minority parties, signifi cant variation in district sizes, or an unequal distribution of votes due to ethnic or other regional divisions. Hence, I propose dividing the national distribution of votes into regions that satisfy the assumptions of the FSS formula within their district borders. By applying the FSS formula to regions consisting of historically and politically homogenous districts, I demonstrate that the formula’s estimates become signifi cantly more precise. For instance, by applying the regional correction to the 2018 Turkish Parliamentary elections, as well as other Turkish elections between 2007 and 2015, I show that the formula with the correction in three separate regions improves the Loosemore-Hanby goodness of fi t estimates from 2.1 to 3.41 percentage points (95% CI). Thus, the correction might signifi cantly improve the estimates of the FSS formula in various countries, including Spain, Peru, and Belgium.","PeriodicalId":37255,"journal":{"name":"Decyzje","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45323966","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Zdolności numeryczne jako kluczowe zdolności poznawcze w procesie podejmowania decyzji

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.139

Agata Sobków, Jakub Figol, Jakub Traczyk

{"title":"Zdolności numeryczne jako kluczowe zdolności poznawcze w procesie podejmowania decyzji","authors":"Agata Sobków, Jakub Figol, Jakub Traczyk","doi":"10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.139","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.139","url":null,"abstract":"The goal of the present paper is to review recent theoretical models and empirical studies on the role of numeracy (i.e., cognitive ability in processing numerical information) in decision making under risk and uncertainty. The research conducted in the last decade points that numeracy is the most robust predictor of making good decisions, which predictions are independent of other psychological constructs or cognitive abilities (such as fluid intelligence or cognitive reflection). The pivotal role of numeracy has been described in at least three theoretical models: Fuzzy-Trace Theory, Skilled Decision Theory, and Multiple Numeric Competencies model. Furthermore, the results of numerous research indicate that better decisions made by people with high numeracy are underpinned by various psychological mechanisms of the cognitive, motivational, and affective nature. Findings related to the performance of people with high and low numeracy served to develop both immediate (e.g., visual aids or an experience-based format of risk communication) and long-term (e.g., cognitive training) methods of improving the decision-making process. Based on these decision aids, we can effectively support people with low numeracy in an accurate risk assessment, risk comprehension, and making better decisions","PeriodicalId":37255,"journal":{"name":"Decyzje","volume":"1 1","pages":"25-54"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43325046","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Gender Differences In Trust, Reactions To Trust Violation, And Trust Restoration 信任的性别差异、对信任违反的反应与信任恢复

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-06-15 DOI: 10.7206//DEC.1733-0092.140

Anna Macko

引用次数: 2

Evangel according to St. Matthew 25 福音根据圣马太福音25

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-06-15 DOI: 10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.143

Grzegorz Lissowski

引用次数: 0

The robustness of the anchoring effect in valuation tasks 锚定效应在估值任务中的稳健性

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-06-15 DOI: 10.7206//DEC.1733-0092.138

M. Brzozowicz

引用次数: 0

Ernst's Fehr profile Ernst误差简介

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-06-15 DOI: 10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.142

M. Krawczyk

引用次数: 0

The role of need for structure in technical analysis and how identifying information in price movements raises traders’ confidence 结构需求在技术分析中的作用，以及识别价格波动中的信息如何提高交易员的信心

Decyzje Pub Date : 2020-06-15 DOI: 10.7206//DEC.1733-0092.141

Łukasz Markiewicz, Marcin Czupryna, E. Kubińska

{"title":"The role of need for structure in technical analysis and how identifying information in price movements raises traders’ confidence","authors":"Łukasz Markiewicz, Marcin Czupryna, E. Kubińska","doi":"10.7206//DEC.1733-0092.141","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.7206//DEC.1733-0092.141","url":null,"abstract":"Technical analysis (TA) is a tool believed to support investor’s investment decisions. Even if research has demonstrated that TA cannot be used to make systematic profits over a long time period, it could potentially bring psychological payoffs to its users in the form of enhancing their confidence. In an experimental study we show that: (1) chartists demonstrate overconfidence in TA usage, believing that they are better than they actually are in TA formation recognition, and that; (2) the act of naming an observed trend as a TA formation brings extra confidence to the chartist, regardless of whether this is a real TA sequence or a random sequence. Thus, both naming an existing TA formation as a TA formation and naming a random sequence as a TA formation result in greater confidence. Also, irrespective of the high popularity of TA among investors, there are marked individual differences in TA followers. In a questionnaire study, we demonstrate that declared positive attitudes toward TA correlate positively with high need for (cognitive) closure (as measured by the Need for Cognitive Closure Scale; NFCS), specifically, desire for predictability.","PeriodicalId":37255,"journal":{"name":"Decyzje","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48245852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Kociołek i chochelka: formuła szacowania rozkładu mandatów metodą Jeffersona-D’Hondta 大锅和筷子：用Jefferson-D’Hondt方法估算门票分配的公式

Decyzje Pub Date : 2019-12-15 DOI: 10.7206/DEC.1733-0092.129

J. Flis, Wojciech Słomczyński, Dariusz Stolicki

引用次数: 0

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