{"title":"In Scope and Depth","authors":"Kirill V. Babaev, Sergei V. Lavrov","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-4-124-137","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-4-124-137","url":null,"abstract":"The article explores ways to ensure the internal consolidation of the BRICS group, which is at a crucial stage of its development due to the sharply changed geopolitical situation. It emphasizes that the issue of BRICS’ enlargement, which has taken central stage lately due to the desire of more than two dozen states to join it, should not sideline the task of deepening economic interaction within the group, structuring it further, and turning it into a full-fledged economic cooperation organization. The authors conclude that one of the main reasons for the difficulties encountered by the BRICS member states while conducting joint activities and for the “dispersion” of BRICS’ efforts is the lack of a comprehensive strategy, that is, clearly defined ultimate goals and parameters of the partnership. The article examines the advantages of adopting a concept of the BRICS common economic space as an integral plan that sets the direction for the group’s long-term development. The article outlines practical steps and areas for building a necessary system of institutional mechanisms and instruments that are critical for asserting BRICS’ role of a distinct macroeconomic entity in the world economy.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"21 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135844500","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does Russia Have “Black Knights”?","authors":"I. Timofeev","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-3-127-132","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-3-127-132","url":null,"abstract":"Trade with friendly countries has helped mitigate the effects of the sanctions imposed on Russia by the collective West. However, many problems remain. Replacing Western imports in the consumer sector will be easier than replacing industrial equipment or high-tech goods. Friendly countries are still unlikely to be ready to act as “black knights” in the form which was acceptable in the 20th century. So, Russia must rely on itself and its own resources.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69355838","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Food/Energy Security and Global Markets","authors":"M. R. Salikhov","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-1-111-113","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-1-111-113","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69355847","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
O. Barabanov, T. Bordachev, Yaroslav D. Lissovolik, F. Lukyanov, A. Sushentsov, Ivan N. Timofeev
{"title":"The Distributed World","authors":"O. Barabanov, T. Bordachev, Yaroslav D. Lissovolik, F. Lukyanov, A. Sushentsov, Ivan N. Timofeev","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-1-66-68","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-1-66-68","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69356022","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Guns Before Butter — A New Reality?","authors":"Dmitry V. Stefanovich, Alexander S. Ermakov","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-4-24-46","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-4-24-46","url":null,"abstract":"Warfighting in Ukraine in 2022-2023 has become the first large-scale armed conflict in Europe in the 21st century that directly involves Russia and NATO. The scale of events, the geography of operations, the number of weapons used and the personnel engaged require a reassessment of military development and defense spending priorities in many countries around the world. This article analyzes certain features of the current armed conflict and the decisions already made by individual countries. The authors come to the conclusion that given the scale of military buildup in Europe and elsewhere it is advisable to think about new measures to reduce risks now and establish effective arms control in the future.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135844543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"“Will There Be a Role for Us Ordinary People to Play in the New World?’’","authors":"S. Karaganov","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-2-12-36","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-2-12-36","url":null,"abstract":"The cartel of nation states and the symbolic dominance of this organizational form, boosted by interstate conflicts, will come under fire from different sides. Free traders, constructivist sociologists, transnational communities, and international organizations will reach a consensus that “a nation state is some kind of medieval relic.” The UN, which maintains this order at a symbolic and organizational level, will also be under attack. But states will not give up quickly and will try to delegitimize rebellion against them on all fronts: ethnicity studies will redeem and justify primordialism; unconventional armies will be declared terrorist in increasingly complicated military conflicts; pro-state ideologies and theories, both left and right, will find support in economics and political theory. The front line 2043 will separate nation states from all other forms of organization; the parties will dig trenches and begin to arm themselves with increasingly sophisticated discursive and real offensive and defensive instruments. But the results of this war cannot be seen through the smoke of battles.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69356088","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Kazakhstan’s Multi-Vector Foreign Policy","authors":"Roman A. Yuneman","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-2-141-162","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-2-141-162","url":null,"abstract":"The concept of multi-vector policy underlies Kazakhstan’s foreign policy strategy. However the implementation of this strategy in the UN General Assembly has not yet been studied. In this work, the author analyzes voting cohesion of Kazakhstan and Russia, China, the U.S., and Germany in 2007-2022, and also studies Kazakhstan’s behavior when the above countries voted oppositely. Based on a quantitative and qualitative analysis of voting on more than a thousand resolutions concerning international relations or foreign policy, the author concludes that the main vector of this policy is not Russia, which is formally a key ally of Kazakhstan, but China. Most often Kazakhstan’s foreign policy position is identical to that of China (and least of all to that of the United States). In addition, Kazakhstan avoids offering explicit support to Russia on initiatives related to armed conflicts, including the one in Ukraine.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69356144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"“To Foresee Black Swans, to Watch Out for Gray Rhinos”","authors":"A. Lomanov","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-2-164-179","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-2-164-179","url":null,"abstract":"This article discusses possible trajectories China may follow in its development after the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China. Comparing various scenarios of China’s political development suggested by acclaimed Western experts with Xi Jinping’s latest statements, the author concludes that the chances for the country’s liberalization and democratization are slim. China will have to complete modernization amid growing confrontation with the West. If the CPC succeeds in addressing this challenge while maintaining acceptable growth rates and social stability over the next two decades, China will be able to change not only itself, but the entire world order.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69356162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"EU Identity as a Factor of Resilience in the Face of Russia’s Special Operation in Ukraine","authors":"Elena V. Khakhalkina, Anastasia M. Pogorelskaya","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-4-77-94","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-4-77-94","url":null,"abstract":"The authors examine a close connection between the European Union’s resilience and identity in academic and contemporary political discourse. In the latter case, the sources of the EU’s resilience have not yet been identified, but the Russian factor has come as a variable that determines the connection between resilience and identity in the context of the Russia-Ukraine clash as a conflict of values. As a non-systemic challenge, Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine has shifted the focus in the EU’s search for the sources of resilience and made it face the problems of self-identity in a changed environment. The article argues that the EU’s collective identity may be a factor of its resilience. It concludes that, given the European Union’s previous unsuccessful experience of appealing to collective identity in crisis situations, its use in the face of Russia’s special military operation will be limited, although it has highlighted the need for strengthening the EU’s identity.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135844517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Franco-Russian Great Power Rivalry in the Sahara-Sahel Region","authors":"A. Nadzharov, E. Entina","doi":"10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-3-181-204","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31278/1810-6374-2023-21-3-181-204","url":null,"abstract":"The confrontation between Paris and Moscow, which commenced at the end of last decade in the Sahara-Sahel region, is largely a consequence of the weaknesses of the French foreign policy in the region, which Russia strives to exploit to its political and economic benefit. The hotspots of this confrontation are Libya and Mali, where the Franco-Russian rivalry has led to the global securitization of the conflict (in both countries), transformation of the regional balance of power (in Libya), and the aggravation of existing security problems (in Mali). Overall, the Franco-Russian rivalry in the Sahara-Sahel region is a phenomenon of the upcoming age of multipolarity and a new Scramble for Africa.","PeriodicalId":36949,"journal":{"name":"Russia in Global Affairs","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"69355944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}