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Large-scale Victorian manufacturers: reconstructing the lost 1881 UK employer census 维多利亚时代的大型制造商:重建丢失的1881年英国雇主普查
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2021-08-11 DOI: 10.17863/CAM.74107
L. Hannah, R. Bennett
{"title":"Large-scale Victorian manufacturers: reconstructing the lost 1881 UK employer census","authors":"L. Hannah, R. Bennett","doi":"10.17863/CAM.74107","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.74107","url":null,"abstract":"We present the first available - and near-complete - list of large UK manufacturers in 1881, by complementing the employer data from that year’s population census (recovered by the British Business Census of Entrepreneurs project) with employment and capital estimates from other sources. The 438 largest firms with 1,000 or more employees accounted for around one-sixth of manufacturing output. Examples can be found in most industries. Exploiting powered machinery, intangible assets, new technologies and venture capital, and generally operating in competitive markets, their exports about equalled domestic sales. The more capital-intensive accessed stock markets, more - and in larger firms - than in follower economies. Some alleged later causes of UK decline relative to the US or Germany cannot be observed in 1881. Indeed, contemporary overseas observers - capitalist and socialist - correctly recognized the distinctive features of UK manufacturing as its exceptional development of quoted corporations, professional managers and “modern,” scalable, factory production.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130463987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
EM Estimation for the Poisson-Inverse Gamma Regression Model with Varying Dispersion: An Application to Insurance Ratemaking 变离散泊松-逆回归模型的电磁估计:在保险费率制定中的应用
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2020-09-11 DOI: 10.3390/risks8030097
G. Tzougas
{"title":"EM Estimation for the Poisson-Inverse Gamma Regression Model with Varying Dispersion: An Application to Insurance Ratemaking","authors":"G. Tzougas","doi":"10.3390/risks8030097","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3390/risks8030097","url":null,"abstract":"This article presents the Poisson-Inverse Gamma regression model with varying dispersion for approximating heavy-tailed and overdispersed claim counts. Our main contribution is that we develop an Expectation-Maximization (EM) type algorithm for maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of the Poisson-Inverse Gamma regression model with varying dispersion. The empirical analysis examines a portfolio of motor insurance data in order to investigate the efficiency of the proposed algorithm. Finally, both the a priori and a posteriori, or Bonus-Malus, premium rates that are determined by the Poisson-Inverse Gamma model are compared to those that result from the classic Negative Binomial Type I and the Poisson-Inverse Gaussian distributions with regression structures for their mean and dispersion parameters.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129364951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 11
What Should We Spend to Save Lives in a Pandemic? A Critique of the Value of Statistical Life 在大流行中,我们应该花什么钱来拯救生命?对统计生命价值的批判
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2020-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3636550
M. Adler
{"title":"What Should We Spend to Save Lives in a Pandemic? A Critique of the Value of Statistical Life","authors":"M. Adler","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3636550","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3636550","url":null,"abstract":"The value of statistical life (VSL) is a risk-to-money conversion factor that can be used to accurately approximate an individual’s willingness-to-pay for a small change in fatality risk. If an individual’s VSL is (say) $7 million, then she will be willing to pay approximately $7 for a 1-in-1-million risk reduction, $70 for a 1-in-100,000 risk reduction, and so forth. VSL has played a central role in the rapidly emerging economics literature about COVID-19. Many papers use VSL to assign a monetary value to the lifesaving benefits of social-distancing policies, so as to balance those benefits against lost income and other policy costs. This is not surprising, since VSL (known in the U.K. as “VPF”: value of a prevented fatality) has been a key tool in governmental cost-benefit analysis for decades and is well established among economists. Despite its familiarity, VSL is a flawed tool for analyzing social-distancing policy—and risk regulation more generally. The standard justification for cost-benefit analysis appeals to Kaldor- Hicks efficiency (potential Pareto superiority). But VSL is only an approximation to individual willingness to pay, which may become quite inaccurate for policies that mitigate large risks (such as the risks posed by COVID-19)—and thus can recommend policies that fail the Kaldor- Hicks test. This paper uses a simulation model of social-distancing policy to illustrate the deficiencies of VSL. I criticize VSL-based cost-benefit analysis from a number of angles. Its recommendations with respect to social distancing deviate dramatically from the recommendations of a utilitarian or prioritarian social welfare function. In the model here, it does indeed diverge from Kaldor- Hicks efficiency. And its relative valuation of risks and financial costs among groups differentiated by age and income lacks intuitive support. Economists writing about COVID-19 need to reconsider using VSL","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"410 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122195344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 17
The COVID-19 Pandemic and Business Law: A Series of Posts from the Oxford Business Law Blog COVID-19大流行与商业法:牛津商业法博客系列文章
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2020-04-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3573419
Gert‐Jan Boon, Markus K. Brunnermeier, Horst Eidenmueller, L. Enriques, Aurelio Gurrea-Martínez, Kathryn Judge, J. Landau, M. Pagano, R. Reis, Kristin van Zwieten
{"title":"The COVID-19 Pandemic and Business Law: A Series of Posts from the Oxford Business Law Blog","authors":"Gert‐Jan Boon, Markus K. Brunnermeier, Horst Eidenmueller, L. Enriques, Aurelio Gurrea-Martínez, Kathryn Judge, J. Landau, M. Pagano, R. Reis, Kristin van Zwieten","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3573419","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3573419","url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 Pandemic is the biggest challenge for the world since World War Two, warned UN Secretary General, Antonio Guterres, on 1 April 2020. Millions of lives may be lost. The threat to our livelihoods is extreme as well. Job losses worldwide may exceed 25 million. Legal systems are under extreme stress too. Contracts are disrupted, judicial services suspended, and insolvency procedures tested. Quarantine regulations threaten constitutional liberties. However, laws can also be a powerful tool to contain the effects of the pandemic on our lives and reduce its economic fallout. To achieve this goal, rules designed for normal times might need to be adapted to ‘crisis-mode’, at least temporarily. Business Laws in particular fulfil an important function in this context. Our livelihoods depend on how well businesses are able to navigate through the current crisis. Beginning in early February 2020, the Oxford Business Law Blog has published posts on how Business Laws could contribute to containing the effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic, and on how they need (or need not) to be adapted to achieve the desired effect. This working paper collects the posts published throughout March in chronological order. Thematically, the focus is on finance, financial regulation and insolvency laws. This is not surprising as the most pressing problem businesses face right now is to manage their cash flow. We hope that the contributions in this paper inspire more work by scholars and help policymakers worldwide to adopt the right measures to reduce the damage caused by the Pandemic.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"88 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126752666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Market Power and Innovation in the Intangible Economy 无形经济中的市场力量与创新
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2019-03-29 DOI: 10.17863/CAM.38666
M. D. Ridder
{"title":"Market Power and Innovation in the Intangible Economy","authors":"M. D. Ridder","doi":"10.17863/CAM.38666","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.38666","url":null,"abstract":"Productivity growth has stagnated over the past decade. This paper argues that the rise of intangible inputs (such as information technology) can cause a slowdown of growth through the effect it has on production and competition. I hypothesize that intangibles cause a shift from variable costs to endogenous fixed costs, and use a new measure to show that the share of fixed costs in total costs rises when firms increase ICT and software investments. I then develop a quantitative framework in which intangibles reduce marginal costs and endogenously raise fixed costs, which gives firms with low adoption costs a competitive advantage. This advantage can be used to deter other firms from entering new markets and from developing higher quality products. Paradoxically, the presence of firms with high levels of intangibles can therefore reduce the rate of creative destruction and innovation. I calibrate the model using administrative data on the universe of French firms and find that, after initially boosting productivity, the rise of intangibles causes a 0.6 percentage point decline in long-term productivity growth. The model further predicts a decline in business dynamism, a fall in the labor share and an increase in markups, though markups overstate the increase in firm profits.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127001239","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 87
Transmission of Monetary Policy with Heterogeneity in Household Portfolios 家庭投资组合异质性下的货币政策传导
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2018-06-21 DOI: 10.1257/MAC.20190064
R. Luetticke
{"title":"Transmission of Monetary Policy with Heterogeneity in Household Portfolios","authors":"R. Luetticke","doi":"10.1257/MAC.20190064","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1257/MAC.20190064","url":null,"abstract":"Monetary policy affects both intertemporal consumption choices and portfolio choices between liquid and illiquid assets. The monetary transmission, in turn, depends on the distribution of marginal propensities to consume and invest. This paper assesses the importance of heterogeneity in these propensities for the transmission of monetary policy in a New Keynesian business cycle model with uninsurable income risk and assets with different degrees of liquidity. Liquidity-constrained households have high propensities to consume but low propensities to invest, which makes consumption more and investment less responsive to monetary shocks compared to complete markets. Redistribution through earnings heterogeneity and the Fisher channel from unexpected inflation further amplifies the consumption response but dampens the investment response.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"85 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127660126","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 91
Does Investment in National Highways Help or Hurt Hinterland City Growth 国家高速公路的投资是帮助还是伤害内陆城市的发展
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2018-05-10 DOI: 10.3386/W24596
Nathaniel Baum-Snow, J. Henderson, M. Turner, Qinghua Zhang, L. Brandt
{"title":"Does Investment in National Highways Help or Hurt Hinterland City Growth","authors":"Nathaniel Baum-Snow, J. Henderson, M. Turner, Qinghua Zhang, L. Brandt","doi":"10.3386/W24596","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W24596","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the effects of the recently constructed Chinese national highway system on local economic outcomes. On average, roads that improve access to local markets have small or negative effects on prefecture economic activity and population. However, these averages mask a distinct pattern of winners and losers. With better regional highways, economic output and population increase in regional primates at the expense of hinterland prefectures. Highways also affect patterns of specialization. With better regional highways, regional primates specialize more in manufacturing and services, while peripheral areas lose manufacturing but gain in agriculture. Better access to international ports promotes greater population, GDP, and private sector wages on average, effects that are probably larger in hinterland than primate prefectures. An important policy implication is that investing in local transport infrastructure to promote growth of hinterland prefectures has the opposite effect, causing them to specialize more in agriculture and lose economic activity.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115506132","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
Law and political economy 法律与政治经济学
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2018-04-06 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3144723
Michael A. Wilkinson, H. Lokdam
{"title":"Law and political economy","authors":"Michael A. Wilkinson, H. Lokdam","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.3144723","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3144723","url":null,"abstract":"‘Law and Political Economy’ surveys recent approaches to the study of phenomena at the intersection of law, politics and the economy. These take an interdisciplinary perspective, viewing markets as fields of social power that are not spontaneous but created and reproduced in the meeting of legal norms, political action and economic activity. Through regulating economic relationships, the politico-legal order constitutes and reconstitutes the power relations that make up society. This, in turn, is driven by the formation of class, sectoral and geopolitical interests, as well as ideological convictions, which harness political and legal authority. We present these inter-related processes through exploring contemporary debates on inequality, inter-personal market relations, the relation between the state and market, and the effects of economic integration and globalisation on democracy and political self- determination.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-04-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122654543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Bayesian vector autoregressions 贝叶斯向量自回归
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2018-03-23 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3253086
Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, G. Ricco
{"title":"Bayesian vector autoregressions","authors":"Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, G. Ricco","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.3253086","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.3253086","url":null,"abstract":"This article reviews Bayesian inference methods for Vector Autoregression models, commonly used priors for economic and financial variables, and applications to structural analysis and forecasting.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114854741","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 31
Collecting data from migrants in Ghana: lessons learned using respondent-driven sampling 收集加纳移民的数据:使用受访者驱动抽样的经验教训
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics Pub Date : 2018-03-16 DOI: 10.4054/demres.2018.38.36
S. R. Lattof
{"title":"Collecting data from migrants in Ghana: lessons learned using respondent-driven sampling","authors":"S. R. Lattof","doi":"10.4054/demres.2018.38.36","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2018.38.36","url":null,"abstract":"Background: Policymakers and program implementers require high-quality data on migrants and migration in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC); however, a shortage of high-quality data exists in these settings. Sampling migrant populations requires better techniques. Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) may be one such solution. Objective: Using Ghana as a case study, the objectives of this paper are to: 1) assess RDS recruitment productivity, network size, and ties of internal migrants; 2) test for homophily; and 3) detail the successes of and challenges to implementing RDS in Ghana and how these lessons can be applied to migrant populations in other LMIC settings. Methods: This study used RDS to sample 625 rural–urban female migrants working as market porters (kayayei) in Accra, Ghana. Results: This study generated the most comprehensive data set on kayayei to date. Network size increases as participants become more educated and migrate more often to Accra. Ethnic group membership is an important determinant of recruitment, with certain groups preferring to recruit from within. Employing members of the kayayei population to collect data built crucial trust. Conclusions: Whilst RDS is not a one-size-fits-all solution for sampling hard-to-reach migrants in LMIC, it can be a powerful tool to uncover and to recruit hard-to-reach migrant populations. In countries with multiple ethnolinguistic groups, recruiting a migrant population with greater ethnolinguistic overlap may facilitate quicker equilibrium. Contribution: This study expands the evidence base on use of RDS among migrant populations in LMIC and provides lessons learned to assist other researchers implementing RDS in LMIC settings.","PeriodicalId":359449,"journal":{"name":"LSE Research Online Documents on Economics","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130735265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
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