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Normalized lifespan inequality: disentangling the longevity-lifespan variability nexus. 标准化寿命不平等:解开长寿-寿命变异性关系。
Genus Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-01-10 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00150-6
Iñaki Permanyer, Jiaxin Shi
{"title":"Normalized lifespan inequality: disentangling the longevity-lifespan variability nexus.","authors":"Iñaki Permanyer,&nbsp;Jiaxin Shi","doi":"10.1186/s41118-021-00150-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-021-00150-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Previous studies have documented a historically strong and negative association between countries' life expectancy (i.e., average longevity) and length-of-life inequality (i.e., variability in ages at death). The relationship between both variables might be partially explained by life expectancy increasing at a faster pace than maximal length of life, a phenomenon that mechanically compresses the age-at-death distribution and has not been taken into consideration in previous studies. In this paper, we propose a new approach to lifespan inequality measurement that accounts for the (uncertainly) bounded nature of length-of-life. Applying the new approach to the countries of the Human Mortality Database, we observe that the decline in overall lifespan variability typically associated with increases in longevity seems to stop and even reverse at higher levels of life expectancy. This suggests the emergence of worrying ethical dilemmas, whereby higher achievements in longevity would only be possible at the expense of higher lifespan variability.</p>","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"78 1","pages":"2"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8744031/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39824534","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Examining sex differences in the completeness of Peruvian CRVS data and adult mortality estimates. 检查秘鲁CRVS数据完整性和成人死亡率估计的性别差异。
Genus Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-01-15 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00151-5
Helena Cruz Castanheira, José Henrique Costa Monteiro da Silva
{"title":"Examining sex differences in the completeness of Peruvian CRVS data and adult mortality estimates.","authors":"Helena Cruz Castanheira,&nbsp;José Henrique Costa Monteiro da Silva","doi":"10.1186/s41118-021-00151-5","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41118-021-00151-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The production, compilation, and publication of death registration records is complex and usually involves many institutions. Assessing available data and the evolution of the completeness of the data compiled based on demographic techniques and other available data sources is of great importance for countries and for having timely and disaggregated mortality estimates. In this paper, we assess whether it is reasonable, based on the available data, to assume that there is a sex difference in the completeness of male and female death records in Peru in the last 30 years. In addition, we assess how the gap may have evolved with time by applying two-census death distribution methods on health-related registries and analyzing the information from the Demographic and Health Surveys and civil registries. Our findings suggest that there is no significant sex difference in the completeness of male and female health-related registries and, consequently, the sex gap currently observed in adult mortality estimates might be overestimated.</p>","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"78 1","pages":"3"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8760572/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39962579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Assessing mortality registration in Kerala: the MARANAM study. 评估喀拉拉邦的死亡率登记:MARANAM研究。
Genus Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-01-10 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00149-z
Aashish Gupta, Sneha Sarah Mani
{"title":"Assessing mortality registration in Kerala: the MARANAM study.","authors":"Aashish Gupta,&nbsp;Sneha Sarah Mani","doi":"10.1186/s41118-021-00149-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41118-021-00149-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Complete or improving civil registration systems in sub-national areas in low- and middle-income countries provide several opportunities to better understand population health and its determinants. In this article, we provide an assessment of vital statistics in Kerala, India. Kerala is home to more than 33 million people and is a comparatively low-mortality context. We use individual-level vital registration data on more than 2.8 million deaths between 2006 and 2017 from the Kerala MARANAM (Mortality and Registration Assessment and Monitoring) Study. Comparing age-specific mortality rates from the Civil Registration System (CRS) to those from the Sample Registration System (SRS), we do not find evidence that the CRS underestimates mortality. Instead, CRS rates are smoother across ages and less variable across periods. In particular, the CRS records higher death rates than the SRS for ages, where mortality is usually low and for women. Using these data, we provide the first set of annual sex-specific life tables for any state in India. We find that life expectancy at birth was 77.9 years for women in 2017 and 71.4 years for men. Although Kerala is unique in many ways, our findings strengthen the case for more careful attention to mortality records within low- and middle-income countries, and for their better dissemination by government agencies.</p><p><strong>Supplementary information: </strong>The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s41118-021-00149-z.</p>","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"78 1","pages":"1"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8744029/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39914971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
An urban-level prediction of lockdown measures impact on the prevalence of the COVID-19 pandemic. 从城市层面预测封锁措施对 COVID-19 大流行的影响。
IF 2.1
Genus Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-09-05 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-022-00174-6
Saeid Pourroostaei Ardakani, Tianqi Xia, Ali Cheshmehzangi, Zhiang Zhang
{"title":"An urban-level prediction of lockdown measures impact on the prevalence of the COVID-19 pandemic.","authors":"Saeid Pourroostaei Ardakani, Tianqi Xia, Ali Cheshmehzangi, Zhiang Zhang","doi":"10.1186/s41118-022-00174-6","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41118-022-00174-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The world still suffers from the COVID-19 pandemic, which was identified in late 2019. The number of COVID-19 confirmed cases are increasing every day, and many governments are taking various measures and policies, such as city lockdown. It seriously treats people's lives and health conditions, and it is highly required to immediately take appropriate actions to minimise the virus spread and manage the COVID-19 outbreak. This paper aims to study the impact of the lockdown schedule on pandemic prevention and control in Ningbo, China. For this, machine learning techniques such as the K-nearest neighbours and Random Forest are used to predict the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases according to five scenarios, including no lockdown and 2 weeks, 1, 3, and 6 months postponed lockdown. According to the results, the random forest machine learning technique outperforms the K-nearest neighbours model in terms of mean squared error and R-square. The results support that taking an early lockdown measure minimises the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases in a city and addresses that late actions lead to a sharp COVID-19 outbreak.</p>","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"78 1","pages":"28"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9444099/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"33460002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Population perspectives and demographic methods to strengthen CRVS systems: introduction. 人口观点和人口统计方法,以加强登记和统计系统:导言。
Genus Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-02-23 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-022-00156-8
Romesh Silva
{"title":"Population perspectives and demographic methods to strengthen CRVS systems: introduction.","authors":"Romesh Silva","doi":"10.1186/s41118-022-00156-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00156-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Civil registration and vital statistics (CRVS) systems and legal identity systems have become increasingly recognized as catalytic both for inclusive development and for monitoring population dynamics spanning the entire life course. Population scientists have a long history of contributing to the strengthening of CRVS and legal identity systems and of using vital registration data to understand population and development dynamics. This paper provides an overview of the <i>Genus</i> thematic series on CRVS systems. The series spans 11 research articles that document new insights on the registration of births, marriages, separations/divorces, deaths and legal residency. This introductory article to the series reviews the importance of population perspectives and demographic methods in strengthening CRVS systems and improving our understanding of population dynamics across the lifecourse. The paper highlights the major contributions from this thematic series and discusses emerging challenges and future research directions on CRVS systems for the population science community.</p>","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"78 1","pages":"8"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8864586/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71427535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Recognizing duration effects in multistate population models 识别多州人口模型中的持续时间效应
Genus Pub Date : 2021-11-06 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00120-y
R. Schoen
{"title":"Recognizing duration effects in multistate population models","authors":"R. Schoen","doi":"10.1186/s41118-021-00120-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-021-00120-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"77 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65776938","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the magnitude, frequency, and nature of marriage dissolution in Italy: insights from vital statistics and life-table analysis 意大利婚姻破裂的规模、频率和性质:来自生命统计和生命表分析的见解
Genus Pub Date : 2021-10-30 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00138-2
A. Guarneri, Francesca Rinesi, R. Fraboni, A. De Rose
{"title":"On the magnitude, frequency, and nature of marriage dissolution in Italy: insights from vital statistics and life-table analysis","authors":"A. Guarneri, Francesca Rinesi, R. Fraboni, A. De Rose","doi":"10.1186/s41118-021-00138-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-021-00138-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44641027","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Grandparents in Italy: trends and changes in the demography of grandparenthood from 1998 to 2016 意大利的祖父母:1998年至2016年祖父母人口统计的趋势和变化
Genus Pub Date : 2021-10-14 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-022-00153-x
Elisa Cisotto, Eleonora Meli, G. Cavrini
{"title":"Grandparents in Italy: trends and changes in the demography of grandparenthood from 1998 to 2016","authors":"Elisa Cisotto, Eleonora Meli, G. Cavrini","doi":"10.1186/s41118-022-00153-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-022-00153-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"78 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65777551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Deficiency in civil registration and vital statistics reporting in remote areas: the case of Sabah, Malaysia 偏远地区民事登记和生命统计报告的不足:马来西亚沙巴的案例
Genus Pub Date : 2021-09-15 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-021-00132-8
Siow-Li Lai, N. Tey
{"title":"Deficiency in civil registration and vital statistics reporting in remote areas: the case of Sabah, Malaysia","authors":"Siow-Li Lai, N. Tey","doi":"10.1186/s41118-021-00132-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-021-00132-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"77 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"65777039","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Work histories and provision of grandparental childcare among Italian older women 意大利老年妇女的工作经历和提供祖父母照顾
Genus Pub Date : 2021-07-21 DOI: 10.31235/osf.io/pdxfr
Francesca Zanasi, B. Arpino, Elena Pirani, V. Bordone
{"title":"Work histories and provision of grandparental childcare among Italian older women","authors":"Francesca Zanasi, B. Arpino, Elena Pirani, V. Bordone","doi":"10.31235/osf.io/pdxfr","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/pdxfr","url":null,"abstract":"This work investigates the link between grandmothers’ participation in the labour market during adult life (between ages 18 and 49) and their provision of grandparental childcare later in life. Our contribution is twofold. First, we consider the Italian case, that despite its reliance on informal care has been under-researched. Second, we test two contrasting arguments on the association between grandchild care provision and grandmother’s work histories. On the one hand, lifelong homemakers could be more family-oriented and more likely to provide grandchild care in later life. On the other hand, ever-employed grandmothers could be more likely to have employed daughters and provide grandchild care to support their working careers. With data from the Multipurpose surveys on Families and Social Subjects (2003, 2009, 2016), we estimate logistic regression models, considering various specifications of grandparental childcare, and measuring labour market attachment in three different ways (having ever worked, length of working career, employment interruptions for family reasons). Results show a dualism between grandmothers who ever worked and those who never did, with the former more likely to provide grandparental childcare, especially when parents are at work. Grandmothers who worked only a few years are more similar, in terms of grandchild care provision, to those who worked throughout their life, than to lifelong homemakers. This association is stronger in the South and North-West of Italy. Overall, we showed that care responsibilities are inextricable from labour market participation, as grandmothers who already juggled family and work are those supporting the most their adult children’s work–family reconciliation.","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"78 1","pages":"1-27"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45952740","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
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