Genus Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-020-00091-6

Tom Wilson, Peter McDonald, Jeromey Temple, Bianca Brijnath, Ariane Utomo

{"title":"Past and projected growth of Australia's older migrant populations.","authors":"Tom Wilson, Peter McDonald, Jeromey Temple, Bianca Brijnath, Ariane Utomo","doi":"10.1186/s41118-020-00091-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-020-00091-6","url":null,"abstract":"In recent years, Australia's older population (aged 65 and over) has been growing rapidly, accompanied by a shift in its country of birth composition. Although a great deal of research has been undertaken on past and current aspects of Australia's migrant groups, little attention has been paid to future demographic trends in older populations. The aim of this paper is to examine recent and possible future demographic trends of Australia's migrant populations at the older ages. We present population estimates by country and broad global region of birth from 1996 to 2016, and then new birthplace-specific population projections for the 2016 to 2056 period. Our findings show that substantial growth of the 65+ population will occur in the coming decades, and that the overseas-born will shift from a Europe-born dominance to an Asia-born dominance. Cohort flow (the effect of varying sizes of cohorts moving into the 65+ age group over time) will be the main driver of growth for most older birthplace populations. The shifting demography of Australia's older population signals many policy, planning, service delivery and funding challenges for government and private sector providers. We discuss those related to aged care, health care, language services, the aged care workforce, regulatory frameworks and future research needs in demography and gerontology.","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"76 1","pages":"20"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s41118-020-00091-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38295607","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

A reflection on economic uncertainty and fertility in Europe: The Narrative Framework. 对欧洲经济不确定性和生育率的思考：叙述框架。

Genus Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-09-09 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-020-00094-3

Daniele Vignoli, Raffaele Guetto, Giacomo Bazzani, Elena Pirani, Alessandra Minello

{"title":"A reflection on economic uncertainty and fertility in Europe: The Narrative Framework.","authors":"Daniele Vignoli, Raffaele Guetto, Giacomo Bazzani, Elena Pirani, Alessandra Minello","doi":"10.1186/s41118-020-00094-3","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s41118-020-00094-3","url":null,"abstract":"The generalized and relatively homogeneous fertility decline across European countries in the aftermath of the Great Recession poses serious challenges to our knowledge of contemporary low fertility patterns. In this paper, we argue that fertility decisions are not a mere \"statistical shadow of the past\", and advance the Narrative Framework, a new approach to the relationship between economic uncertainty and fertility. This framework proffers that individuals act according to or despite uncertainty based on their \"narrative of the future\" - imagined futures embedded in social elements and their interactions. We also posit that personal narratives of the future are shaped by the \"shared narratives\" produced by socialization agents, including parents and peers, as well as by the narratives produced by the media and other powerful opinion formers. Finally, within this framework, we propose several empirical strategies, from both a qualitative and a quantitative perspective, including an experimental approach, for assessing the role of narratives of the future in fertility decisions.","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"76 1","pages":"28"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7480209/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38373976","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The elasticity of marital fertility in three sub-Saharan African countries: a decomposition analysis 三个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的婚姻生育弹性:分解分析

Genus Pub Date : 2019-08-16 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-019-0064-z

Pedzisai Ndagurwa, C. Odimegwu

引用次数: 1

Race and life expectancy in the USA in the Great Depression 大萧条时期美国的种族和预期寿命

Genus Pub Date : 2019-08-08 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-019-0063-0

T. Bruckner, Ashley M. Ima, Trang T. Nguyen, A. Noymer

引用次数: 0

Marital fertility patterns and nonmarital birth ratios: an integrated approach 婚姻生育模式和非婚姻生育比率:一个综合的方法

Genus Pub Date : 2019-02-13 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-019-0056-z

Reginald D. Smith

引用次数: 1

Socioeconomic disparity in adult mortality in India: estimations using the orphanhood method 印度成人死亡率的社会经济差异：使用孤儿法的估计

Genus Pub Date : 2019-02-04 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-019-0054-1

N. Saikia, J. Bora, M. Luy

引用次数: 12

Mapping foreign nationals in Spain: an exploratory approach at local level 绘制西班牙外籍人士的地图:地方层面的探索性方法

Genus Pub Date : 2019-01-18 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-018-0047-5

S. Oliveau, Quentin Larue, Yoann Doignon, Isabelle Blöss-Widmer

引用次数: 5

The involvement in childcare of married and cohabiting fathers: evidence from Italy 已婚和同居父亲参与照顾孩子:来自意大利的证据

Genus Pub Date : 2019-01-18 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-018-0051-9

S. Meggiolaro, F. Ongaro

引用次数: 3

Childbearing intentions in a low fertility context: the case of Romania. 低生育率背景下的生育意愿:罗马尼亚的案例。

Genus Pub Date : 2019-01-01 Epub Date: 2019-01-18 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-018-0046-6

Alexandra-Andreea Ciritel, Alessandra De Rose, Maria Felice Arezzo

{"title":"Childbearing intentions in a low fertility context: the case of Romania.","authors":"Alexandra-Andreea Ciritel, Alessandra De Rose, Maria Felice Arezzo","doi":"10.1186/s41118-018-0046-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-018-0046-6","url":null,"abstract":"This paper applies the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) to find out the predictors of fertility intentions in Romania, a low-fertility country. We analyse how attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavioural control relate to the intention to have a child among childless individuals and one-child parents. Principal axis factor analysis confirms which items proposed by the Generation and Gender Survey (GGS 2005) act as valid and reliable measures of the suggested theoretical socio-psychological factors. Four parity-specific logistic regression models are applied to evaluate the relationship between the socio-psychological factors and childbearing intentions. Social pressure emerges as the most important aspect in fertility decision-making among childless individuals and one-child parents, and positive attitudes towards childbearing are a strong component in planning for a child. This paper also underlines the importance of the region-specific factors when studying childbearing intentions: planning for the second child significantly differs among the development regions, representing the cultural and socio-economic divisions of the Romanian territory.","PeriodicalId":35741,"journal":{"name":"Genus","volume":"75 1","pages":"4"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1186/s41118-018-0046-6","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"37106504","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 22

Alessandro Rosina, Sergio Sorgi: Il futuro che (non) c’è. Costruire un domani migliore con la demografia. The future that is(n’t). Building a better future with demography 亚历山大·罗茜娜，塞尔吉奥·索尔吉:没有的未来。用人口统计学建设一个更美好的明天。未来是(不是)。用人口统计学建设更美好的未来

Genus Pub Date : 2018-05-10 DOI: 10.1186/s41118-018-0034-x

Alessandra Minello

引用次数: 1

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