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International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy最新文献

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For a 'Europe of cultural regions' 为了一个“文化区域的欧洲”
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018067
Herbert Rauch
{"title":"For a 'Europe of cultural regions'","authors":"Herbert Rauch","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018067","url":null,"abstract":"The paper intends to explore the bedrock of Europe, on the basis of which all the developing problems of the 21st century - presuming a bit of good fortune - can be mastered: growing migration, growing conflicts with respect to scarcer resources and growing population, with respect to growing interdependency, etc. These considerations are the basis for the strategic choice to be made. As a methodological approach, the philosophical discourse is the final base to reflect and reason about past and future. History and social research help in the opportunity to understand part of the challenge and the 'zeitgeist'; the latter more and more saturated with technology and global connectivity. Sociological surveys show that everywhere in the 28 (27) countries of the present EU (still including the UK and especially England with respect to the attitude of the young) the generation of the children of the so-called 1968 generation do not even want to think of a future narrowed down only to smaller or larger nations. Nevertheless, the specific form of constitution (in principle: union vs. federation) is especially now (after Brexit) again open for discussion.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"211"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47181629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Brazilian agricultural sector: potentials and problems from different points of view 巴西农业部门:从不同角度看潜力和问题
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018074
Cornelia Gruber, Corinna Hausner, Irina Kinzner, Verena Kronberger, F. Schweikert
{"title":"Brazilian agricultural sector: potentials and problems from different points of view","authors":"Cornelia Gruber, Corinna Hausner, Irina Kinzner, Verena Kronberger, F. Schweikert","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018074","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018074","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims to discuss potentials and problems for the Brazilian agricultural sector from different points of view by applying the surfing global change (SGC) methodology. The intention is to give relevant stakeholders room for statements and to find solutions to improve the overall situation. The contrarian perspectives of indigenous peoples, government, private sector and international organisations shows the difficulty of finding acceptable compromises, although poverty reduction is a common goal. Both private and public sectors are in favour of FDIs and other investments into agriculture by using partly neoclassical and Keynesianism approaches. Indigenous peoples and international organisations focus on human rights and the unequal power of resources. First, the previously mentioned SGC methodology will be explained in detail. Secondly, the paper takes a closer look at the underlying theories. Thirdly, the arguments of the four different points of view will be portrayed. Afterwards the authors present their consensus approach.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"280"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46632603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Forthcoming changes in world population distribution and global connectivity: implications for global foresight 世界人口分布和全球连通性即将发生的变化：对全球前景的影响
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018065
J. Zinkina, S. Shulgin, A. Andreev, I. Aleshkovski, Andrey Korotayev
{"title":"Forthcoming changes in world population distribution and global connectivity: implications for global foresight","authors":"J. Zinkina, S. Shulgin, A. Andreev, I. Aleshkovski, Andrey Korotayev","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018065","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018065","url":null,"abstract":"For the first-world citizens, globalisation seems to be an all-pervasive phenomenon. Our research reveals that global connectivity rates differ dramatically for various countries and correspondingly, their populations. What will this picture look like in, say, 50 years? We combine demographic projections with our knowledge on the recent dynamics of national rates of global connectivity to estimate the proportion of world population which is expected to live in countries with varying rates of global connectivity. We show that the distribution of world population among the states with various rates of global connectivity is bound to experience significant changes in the coming decades, which should be taken into account at various attempts of providing global foresight.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"169-186"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46756014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Subjectivity and the evolution of reality 主体性与现实的演变
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018072
A. Brown
{"title":"Subjectivity and the evolution of reality","authors":"A. Brown","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018072","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018072","url":null,"abstract":"The profound impact of the information revolution and social media on human perceptions of reality is a phenomenon that is only now beginning to grow apparent. Our faculties of discernment are being challenged like never before as a bewildering array of ideologies, credos, agendas and epistemological attitudes jostle for supremacy on the information highway. What are some of the implications of these precarious shifts in our individual and collective perspectives of reality, and what forces or motivations may be responsible for driving them? Could the way the very systems we have developed for discerning and disseminating truth themselves be in some ways increasingly responsible for inhibiting our further understanding of the nature of reality, and our quest to improve the quality of life for one and all?","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"195"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48777532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Saving the economic system 拯救经济体系
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018075
Martina Pfarrhofer
{"title":"Saving the economic system","authors":"Martina Pfarrhofer","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018075","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018075","url":null,"abstract":"The economic system is facing troubles and so are the human race and many other species. The differentiated economic system developed in a way that stands in contradiction to the ecological system. While the ecological system mostly functions in cycles, with flows and stocks of mass and energy, the economic system has been characterised by terms like unlimited growth and maximisation of profits for the last centuries. The differences between the systems lead to negative effects, e.g., climate change, which can no longer be ignored. This article displays some paths that could be taken to resolve the discrepancies by applying basic principles of systems theory by Niklas Luhmann. Systems theory allows thinking out of the box and this is what is needed to save the economic system as well as its surrounding.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"223"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44146739","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An empirical analysis of the organisational structure and processes in a refugee collection centre 难民收容中心组织结构和流程的实证分析
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018068
E. Coutinho
{"title":"An empirical analysis of the organisational structure and processes in a refugee collection centre","authors":"E. Coutinho","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018068","url":null,"abstract":"In the last few years, foresight and systemic thinking have become increasingly important. Migration studies need to analyse issues from a holistic perspective as well, which also means including conclusions about the future and learning processes. In order to look at a rather important interface in the context of the migration crisis, an empirical study on the collection centre in Spielfeld at the southern border of Austria was performed. The findings were obtained by conducting expert interviews within a case study. The study indicated four key actors: police, Austrian Armed Forces, Caritas and Austrian Red Cross. Despite the reduction in staff, there are no current plans for the closure of the collection centre. The challenges and problems are divided into three categories: the construction phase, the period of operation and the pressure from asylum seekers, who want to continue their travels. Furthermore, there seems to have occurred a phase of overextension.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"300"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42002668","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
About the philosophy of international relations 关于国际关系的哲学
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018069
Y. Sayamov
{"title":"About the philosophy of international relations","authors":"Y. Sayamov","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018069","url":null,"abstract":"The author examines philosophic components in the ways of thinking and decision-making in the sphere of international relations, while drawing links from the past to the present. Thus, this article strategically contributes to the quality, democratic content and rationality of decision making on innovations for institutionalised processes for globalisation, and stimulates systemic international learning.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"206"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44010117","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Beyond Sigmund Freud's Totem and Taboo vision for the future - the omnipotence of thought 超越西格蒙德·弗洛伊德的《图腾与禁忌》对未来的展望——思想的全能
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018071
F. Moser
{"title":"Beyond Sigmund Freud's Totem and Taboo vision for the future - the omnipotence of thought","authors":"F. Moser","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018071","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018071","url":null,"abstract":"In 1913, Sigmund Freud (1856-1939) developed in his book Totem and Taboo, general ideas about humankind's evolution over the ages. He postulated three stages for humankind's evolution from prehistoric times up to the present and differentiated between a first phase of animism and magic, a second religious and a third phase of scientific paradigms. Only hundred years after Freud postulated his ideas, humankind is entering a fourth phase which, to everybody's surprise, again is an animistic-holistic paradigm. This time, however, this new paradigm is based on concepts and ideas from science, i.e., quantum physics and the theory of self-organisation. Corresponding to the scientific developments, a new metaphysical worldview was also presented by A Course in Miracles, which for the first time in history, is in complete agreement with the new scientific theories of quantum physics and self organisation and presents an entirely new world view for the coming ages.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"187"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47996481","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Policy analysis and strategic foresight for maintaining security during public events in the Global South 全球南方公共活动期间维护安全的政策分析和战略展望
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018070
R. Ziegler
{"title":"Policy analysis and strategic foresight for maintaining security during public events in the Global South","authors":"R. Ziegler","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018070","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018070","url":null,"abstract":"This article examines policies and policy-relevant effects during the preparation and implementation phases of an internationally relevant large-scale public event in an emerging country of the Global South. The 2010 World Cup in South Africa serves as an example to show the behavioural patterns, quality, democratic content and rationality of decision making of the involved transnational companies and globalised institutions. Global players such as FIFA, Coca Cola and others utilised strategic intelligence to serve own corporate interests but ignored human rights for their own benefit. As a consequence, South Africa plunged into enormously high public debts and experienced an increase of social inequalities and poverty. This example for neo-colonialist effects of globalisation in the Global South suggests that better policies for 'catch-up strategies' in the development process should be identified, namely one that takes into account foresight, public security for all populace and the importance of human rights.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"315"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48144381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Foresight into climate-compatible futures for cities and regions 预见城市和地区气候兼容的未来
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy Pub Date : 2018-12-19 DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018076
G. Ahamer
{"title":"Foresight into climate-compatible futures for cities and regions","authors":"G. Ahamer","doi":"10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018076","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2018.10018076","url":null,"abstract":"This article describes methods of climate-related action for sub-governmental bodies such as cities and regions. Durable ways of engagement within the Conference of the Parties (COP) negotiation dynamics are searched, analysed and proposed. The brief institutional and financial analysis covers the past decade and includes suggestions for concrete measures on municipal and regional levels. Overall, this article is intended to guide and inspire cities and regions towards concrete action to optimise their negotiation tactics, climate financing approaches, concrete project definitions and project-financing proposals.","PeriodicalId":35015,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy","volume":"13 1","pages":"235"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47003990","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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