Naselenie i ekonomika最新文献_第7页

Impact of unemployment by sex and marriage rate on fertility decline: Estimates for Turkey and Greece using CCR model 按性别和结婚率划分的失业率对生育率下降的影响：使用CCR模型对土耳其和希腊的估计

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-09-30 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.5.e69189

Goran Miladinov

{"title":"Impact of unemployment by sex and marriage rate on fertility decline: Estimates for Turkey and Greece using CCR model","authors":"Goran Miladinov","doi":"10.3897/popecon.5.e69189","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.5.e69189","url":null,"abstract":"The article analyses the effect of unemployment by sex and marriage rate on fertility changes in Greece and Turkey. The empirical part of the study is based on annual time series data retrieved from the World Bank and National Statistical Offices of Turkey and Greece for 1991–2019. Canonical Cointegrating Regression model is applied for the two countries separately, allowing to quantify the effects of the determinants (crude marriage rate and unemployment rate by sex) on the variation of fertility rate. CCR models show these determinants to be the most significant factors of fertility dynamics in both countries. The results from Engle-Granger and the Phillips-Ouliaris tau (t-statistics) tests confirm the cointegration, i.e., long-term relationship between the variables only for Turkey’s CCR model. However, it was found that in Greece, female unemployment impacts fertility rate negatively and male unemployment has a positive effect on fertility rate; for Turkey modelling shows the opposite relationship. The results of the study suggest that economic uncertainties might be one of the factors contributing to fertility decline in these countries, long-term or in the coming years.","PeriodicalId":33779,"journal":{"name":"Naselenie i ekonomika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45142549","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Database “Childfree (antinatalist) communities in the social network VKontakte” 数据库“VKontakte社交网络中的无子女(反出生主义者)社区”

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.5.e70786

I. Kalabikhina, E. Banin

{"title":"Database “Childfree (antinatalist) communities in the social network VKontakte”","authors":"I. Kalabikhina, E. Banin","doi":"10.3897/popecon.5.e70786","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.5.e70786","url":null,"abstract":"The database contains an upload of text comments in Russian from the social network VKontakte in .csv format (UTF-8 encoding). The comments are collected from communities, which discuss pregnancy, childhood, motherhood, paternity, etc. The upload contains comments under the posts with which the interaction took place. The absolute amount of likes is used as a criterion (comments are collected where the number of likes is greater than or equal to 5). The text data is processed (stemmization and lemmatization).\u0000 The data are suitable for thematic analysis (e.g. LDA — Latent Dirichlet Allocation), sentiment analysis of statements, modelling the graph structure of communities (the link_comment variable contains a unique identifier of the post, link_author contains a unique user identifier), and forming a dictionary of demographic connotation in Russian. Sentiment analysis of statements enables measuring the dynamics of «demographic temperature» in antinatalist communities.\u0000 The database is a supplement to the publication Kalabikhina IE, Banin EP (2020) Database «Pro-family (pronatalist) communities in the social network VKontakte». Population and Economics 4(3): 98–130. https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.4.e60915.","PeriodicalId":33779,"journal":{"name":"Naselenie i ekonomika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46549590","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Private and public transfers: substitute or complement? 私人和公共转让：替代还是补充？

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.5.e60293

A. Mironova, L. A. Shenshina

引用次数: 1

Demographic contraction as an indicator of the problems of single-industry municipalities 人口收缩作为单一工业城市问题的一个指标

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.5.e65661

M. Ivanova

{"title":"Demographic contraction as an indicator of the problems of single-industry municipalities","authors":"M. Ivanova","doi":"10.3897/popecon.5.e65661","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.5.e65661","url":null,"abstract":"Migration processes associated with the outflow of the population from single-industry municipalities (monotowns) are becoming one of the components of global demographic changes on the territory of the Russian Federation. One of the tools to curb demographic contraction in the territory of single-industry municipalities can be the strengthening of diversification of the economy of monotowns, which should contribute to improving the quality of life of the population, including through a change in the structure of employment. The article analyzes the existing trends in the socio-economic development of single-industry towns of various types and shows that a significant number of them are characterized by demographic contraction, caused, among other things, by outflow of the working age population. Correlation analysis for a number of indicators characterizing demographic processes in single-industry municipalities showed a weak connection between them. Population survey data for 2016 and 2019 indicate a low assessment of measures to support single-industry towns by the population. The most significant factors for residents, indicating a favourable level of socio-economic development of the single-industry entity, in the opinion of the respondents, are employment opportunities, a decent level of wages, the quality of medical care, the quality of housing and utilities, and the ecological situation.","PeriodicalId":33779,"journal":{"name":"Naselenie i ekonomika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47841808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Evaluation of consumer behaviour on the Internet under the conditions of pandemic shock based on search activity in the luxury segment 基于奢侈品领域搜索活动的流行病冲击条件下互联网消费者行为评估

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.5.e63315

Viktor Ivanovich Gerasimenko, E. Golovanova

{"title":"Evaluation of consumer behaviour on the Internet under the conditions of pandemic shock based on search activity in the luxury segment","authors":"Viktor Ivanovich Gerasimenko, E. Golovanova","doi":"10.3897/popecon.5.e63315","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.5.e63315","url":null,"abstract":"The article provides an overview and assessment of consumer trends that emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic from both a global and local perspective (Russia). The authors investigate perception of change and adaptive consumer behaviour, as well as the tactical capabilities of luxury brands interested in expanding the market while maintaining a premium brand with its values and history.\u0000 First of all, the market in the luxury segment is shown through the lens of changes that have arisen in consumer behaviour in connection with the development of digital technologies. Taking this factor into account, the authors study the reactions of consumer behaviour that appeared in the new pandemic reality, and with the use of statistics of search queries based on Google and Yandex data, they show how global trends are manifested in the Russian market.\u0000 The study reveals that against the background of global trends in consumer behaviour there was a more significant adaptation of the Russian population to new conditions, and in some cases specificity of consumer behaviour manifested itself in the local market at different stages of the dynamics of coronavirus spread. Based on the analysis of new trends, recommendations are given on what technologies luxury brands can use in the conditions of pandemic decline in the Russian market to match consumer requests in new realities. The research may be of interest to marketing and management professionals, as well as researchers in this field of sociology and industry management.","PeriodicalId":33779,"journal":{"name":"Naselenie i ekonomika","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42491535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

Features and factors of demographic dynamics in the Kyrgyz Republic 吉尔吉斯斯坦共和国人口动态的特点和因素

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.5.e67183

A. Avdeev, Irina A. Troitskaya

引用次数: 2

Influence of migration processes on the demographic development in the Yamal–Nenets Autonomous Okrug 亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区移民过程对人口发展的影响

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-04-21 DOI: 10.3897/POPECON.5.E65133

D. Pomazkin

引用次数: 0

Fertility in the Yamal–Nenets Autonomous Okrug 亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区的生育力

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-04-09 DOI: 10.3897/POPECON.5.E65207

V. Arkhangelsky

引用次数: 0

Specifics and prospects of the Yamal–Nenets Autonomous Okrug labour market in the context of economic and demographic development trends 经济和人口发展趋势背景下亚马尔-涅涅茨自治区劳动力市场的具体情况和前景

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-04-08 DOI: 10.3897/POPECON.5.E65258

O. Kuchmaeva

{"title":"Specifics and prospects of the Yamal–Nenets Autonomous Okrug labour market in the context of economic and demographic development trends","authors":"O. Kuchmaeva","doi":"10.3897/POPECON.5.E65258","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/POPECON.5.E65258","url":null,"abstract":"The paper studies peculiarities of formation and use of the Yamal–Nenets Autonomous Okrug labour potential. The purpose of the study is to identify the specifics of the situation in the regional labour market, its main determinants and development prospects, and to formulate proposals for employment policy corresponding to the peculiarities of the socio-demographic and economic situation. The paper is based on state labour statistics, municipal statistics, information of the Federal Register of Disabiled Persons, and the Rosstat population surveys data. To solve the research tasks the author uses methods of descriptive statistical analysis, as well as clustering methods in application to data characterizing tensions in the labour market of the municipalities of the region. The results of the analysis indicate the high role of migration in the formation of the labour potential of the region. Among the structural features of employment of the Yamal–Nenets Autonomous Okrug are a significant share of shift labour and a high proportion of migrants in the labour force, significant disparities in the structure of employed by economic activity and occupational group, as well as a small proportion of self-employed and entrepreneurs. The author concludes that the problems of the labour market act as an obstacle to the sustainable development of the region.","PeriodicalId":33779,"journal":{"name":"Naselenie i ekonomika","volume":"5 1","pages":"49-71"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45853779","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Socioeconomic determinants of demographic development of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug 亚马罗-涅涅茨自治区人口发展的社会经济决定因素

Naselenie i ekonomika Pub Date : 2021-03-31 DOI: 10.3897/POPECON.5.E57105

E. Barkova

引用次数: 1